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The coach sets the overall personality of the team, until player leaders emerge. That being said, coaches can kill teams by expecting personas that are against the nature of individuals. I remember Eberflus not wanting foul language on Hard Knocks. Are you thinking about playing football or the camera? I also remember Eberflus going the extra mile insisting his players not get into a fight during joint practices. In their world, not fighting back makes you a punk ass bitch.(Verbatim) I can't remember how many times I've heard accomplished coaches say that a good camp fight is a good thing. A recent example leads me to the Trevor Lawrence hit. If his OL doesn't come to defend him, what does that say? Damn the penalty. Don't F with my quarterback!
- Today
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Caleb is on pace to have the best all-around statistical season of any Bears quarterback ever as a rookie. He won't break the TD or yardage records for a single season, but a 20/7, 3700 yards, 4000+ total yards season he's projected to have (as of now) would be, in my opinion, the most impressive season in franchise history. No Bears quarterback has ever gotten close to a 3:1 TD/INT ratio, and Caleb is right there.
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We get the right guy and we are going to be solid for years.
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Stats vs teams with a winning record: Player G Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Y/A Y/C Drake Maye 1 20 33 60.6 243 3 2 88.3 7.4 12.2 Jayden Daniels 3 63 101 62.4 662 3 1 87.1 6.6 10.5 Caleb Williams 5 108 178 60.7 1132 5 2 83.8 6.4 10.5 Bo Nix 5 106 173 61.3 1038 4 6 71.4 6 9.8
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🤔🤔Strength of Victory: DEN SoV .302 CHI SoV .292 NE SoV .292 (w/ Maye starting) WAS SoV .281
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Maye has only played one winning team, Daniels only two. Maye 0-1 vs winning teams Daniels 0-3 vs winning teams Nix 0-5 vs winning teams Williams 0-5 vs winning teams
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Nix: 11 TD, 0 INT vs LVR, ATL, CAR 6 TD, 8 INT vs everyone else 🤔 No one is talking about this Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more as well? Daniels: WAS is 3-2 when he throws an INT. All other QBs have a losing record when throwing an INT. Last 5 wins: TEN, NYG, CHI, CAR, CLE who have a combined 15-45 record. His other wins: ARZ, CIN, and NYG again lol. Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more? Interesting trend for rookie QBs. Maye: 5 straight games with a TD and INT (1-4, only win vs Bears lol). The Bears game is Maye's only win as a starter (where he finished the game) Just to clarify, no rookie QB has a win against a team that is currently over .500.
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Last 3 games, 4 rookie QBs, two are getting ORoY consideration, can you guess who: A. 71-110, 64.5%, 874 Yds, 7 TD, 2 INT, 14 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 888) B. 75-117, 64.1%, 827 Yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 142 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 969) C. 75-106, 70.8%, 742 Yds, 4 TD, 3 INT, 112 Rushing Yards, 2 FL (Total Yards 854) D. 72-100, 72.0%, 672 Yds, 6 TD, 4 INT, 126 Rushing Yards, 2 TD (Total Yards 798) I thought it was pretty wild that all 4 were within 4 completions of each other. The only other thing that stood out was one QB was clean the last 3 games while the other 3 had at least 2 INTs, and one QB had 2 rushing TDs while the other 3 had zero. If you take away the names, I don't know how Williams is not in the discussion with what he is doing lately. It goes to show that wins have more of an impact on the awards than raw stats.
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I know these can be taken with a grain of salt, but there are some good stats in there beyond the grades. Some of the grades actually pass the eye test. I find it interesting that the top 3 offensive players in PFF for the Bears are on the OL, Wright, Jones, and Jenkins, and all the OL are higher than Williams, Kmet, Odunze, Allen, and Swift. The only offensive skill players higher than Shelton and Pryor are Moore and Roschon. The good thing is the worst starter, (according to PFF), is Swift at a 62.0, which means every starter is above average (60.0). The worst players with over 100 snaps are: Lewis - 43.3, Everett - 45.3, and Borom - 49.3 which passes the eye test. On defense, the top player with over 100 snaps is Terell Smith (79.1), which makes it even more baffling why they keep running Stevenson out there. The biggest surprise for me is the fall off of Jaylon Johnson; he has fallen off a cliff during this losing streak and is now 8th on defense, falling all the way from 1st. The pleasant surprises are Byard (79.0) who has been a massive upgrade from Jackson, and Dexter (71.4). There are 3 starters on defense below the Mendoza Line, Stevenson - 57.7 (I am surprised he graded that high), Edmunds - 57.2 (feels about right, not enough impact plays), and Taylor - 56.1. Pickens is the only defender below 50 with over 100 snaps at 49.9. Using 60 as the metric, here are the number of snaps, by position, for players with a grade below 60: CB - 642 (Stevenson) LB - 740 (Edmunds) ED - 490 TE - 378 DT - 340 G - 218 T - 218 WR - 157 Taking it down to 50, these would be the critical upgrade areas: TE - 378 (Lewis/Everett) T - 218 (Borom) DT - 130 (Pickens/Williams) G - 76 (Kramer) LB - 5 WR - 5 TE2 has really been a black hole for the Bears this year. For an overall team grade, the Bears are 19th with a 77.3, the best 4-win team and better than WAS, DAL, and MIA, all who have better records than the Bears. They are also only 0.5 lower than GB. Coaching matters.
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1. JAX 2-10 2. LVR 2-10 3. NYG 2-10 ------------ 4. NE 3-10 BYE > 3-10 5. CAR 3-9 PHI > 3-10 6. NYJ 3-9 MIA > 3-10 7. TEN 3-9 JAX > 4-9 8 CLE 3-9 PIT > 3-10 ----------- 9. CIN 4-8 DAL > 5-8 10. NO 4-8 NYG > 5-8 11. CHI 4-8 SF > ? The Bears currently have the 11th pick, 40th pick (CAR), and the 43rd pick. There is a good chance both of the other 4-8 teams get a win this weekend, and TEN as well to move to 4-9. If the Bears win, they could drop to 13th. If they lose, there is a good chance they could slide to #9. Based on the remaining schedule, it is very unlikely that more than 2x of the 3-win teams win 2 games, so the Bears losing out would probably only get them to #7. Finishing 5-12, probably #9 or 10. 6-11? Probably #12.
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What do you guys think about Mike McDaniels? He was all the hype and all of a sudden, after a 5-7 start, there are whispers that he is soft and the team is playing soft. This was also something mentioned late in the season last year and during the playoffs where they were 1 and done. Do teams take on the persona of their HC over time?
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I totally agree. But mostly Poles biggest strikes have been in choosing coaches?
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an offensive Vrabel would be best. But who is that? I'm open because no one looks perfect to me (yet?).
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HC Thomas Brown and the Bears promoted Chris Beatty, WR coach to OC. Now there's a name we most likely never heard of.
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I do love defense, but it's time we join today's NFL and get a coach that is an offense specialist, AND is a leader. We have our QB that can whip the teams in our division and, with the right coach, can be the catalyst for Super Bowls.
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The Bears had how many years with few draft picks. How many vet contracts did they have to clear to actually have healthy cap space again. Poles said he was going to build through the draft and not FA, so that means taking many shots on lower level vet contracts and not chasing the stars. With little resources and needs, he bit on Claypool which at the time we were all excited to get Fields a deep threat. Nate Davis filled a huge void but he checked out mentally, played 11 and 2 games. He graded 3rd in 2023 for the Bears oline behind Jenkins and Braxton Jones. So he was fine in 2023. Edmunds has not lived up to his ability, but could with an improved dline, so here is too hoping Poles addresses this area along with the oline. The issue, in my opinion, is coaching. If you have a coach that knows how to win, and you are winning games, your players look better, play better, and you forget the bad easier. This we will have to see.
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I dont know that Brown has any set of things he could do to unilaterally take the job. There are other candidates too, but then again i cant imagine him going 5-0 from here. If he did that, it'd surely be impressive. I am leaning toward Vrabel too. He has everything I'd want except he isn't an offensive guy. Honestly there is no one available that I'm 100% on. I'll just have to let it play out, and likely they will make an imperfect hire, and then Ill have to root hard for him to succeed. But if they pick another HR approved McCaskey muppet nerd, I'm gonna be angry
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That's a good list, when players get hurt and dont perform up to contracts, I give a nuetral grade. No one figures injuries. What Poles does that I like is not give a lot of big contracts that are long term hits on cap. Edmunds is an above average players but not lived up to the money. Its hard to find Edwards and Billings cheap pay , good play . Edmunds is a leader and presence in the middle of the defense that doesnt always shows up in stats. Sweat has had nagging injuries that has slowed him down. Davis and Claypool are the only players that got good money , the rest were just cheap contracts he took a shot on. He paid JJ, Kmet, DJ Moore, Sweat and Swift. Swift has not lived up to par because of the poor offensive play of OL and play calling. Sweat has been bothered by injuries. All those guys he paid deserved it. Edmunds ??? He has excellent cap space and 4 top picks 11-37-40-73, I say that is gives us a good future.
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Brown is auditioning for the job, 4 or 5 wins gives him the job. 3-2 or 2-3 and Caleb keeps getting better, maybe. I like Vrabel, he seems most like a Dan Campbell type and has had success. He was doomed because of QB play, here he has it.
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it might just be getting used to cameras, but he hasnt fully landed in himself yet. I cant possibly guess who he will be in 3 years, but right now, hes a little nervous to my eye. But thats for cameras, I dunno how he is in game and with players. agree, and yes. That's the trick to find that blend. I dont have a single name in mind that checks all my boxes. Hopefully in time someone will emerge.
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I'd be insecure too getting promoted twice in a month and taking over the jobs of my top 2 bosses. That said accountability is one thing, strategy is another. We need both.
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I thought he looked and sounded confident. He did that all off the cuff and none of it was the bs generic jargon we have heard from Flus for the last 3 years. Also, 3 weeks ago he was the Passing Game Coordinator, and now he is sitting in front of the media as the HC after the OC and HC have been fired. That's a huge leap. He did not seemed overwhelmed by the moment.
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This game is actually going to be exciting because SF needs a win just as bad as the Bears. They are reeling too. They still have Kittle and Deebo, and Jennings, so the offense will be fine. It will be interesting to see if Bosa plays because if not, that DL is suspect.