BearFan PHX

mathematically, 23 *IS* 77% larger than 13. If you had a 13% chance of picking a winner out of a green hat, and a 23% chance of picking a winner out of a different blue hat, you would rightly say that you have a 77% better chance to pick a winner out of the blue hat than the green one. That is correct.

nice data - for what it's worth, when you say "23% is 10% better than 13%" it actually should say 23% hit rate is 77% better than 13% hit rate, because you'd have to better 13 by 77% to get to 23, so your point is actually that much stronger. You have a 77% better chance to draft a quality player in the first ten picks, than in the next ten.

Let him go, he's performed semi good in front of two horrible defenses, and one mediocre one. He also threw into triple coverage. No one caught it, so we forgot it. Had the DB caught it, you'd be thinking about the interception. Trubisky is bad. I understand the last few weeks he's looked better than the garbage we saw before. That is no baseline though. He is not GOOD.

Preach. This has been a constant and repeated error.

I have always been a David Montgomery fan - I think he remains drastically underrated. He's tough, has great vision, and always finished his runs. That extra yard at the end means everything to keep the chains moving. Theoretically, if you could get exactly 4 yards on every run, you'd never lose a game and be the most feared offense in history, even if you never threw the ball even once. I'm not saying that is possible, but I am saying that a consistent 4yard run is more fearsome than an 80 yard touchdown pass. They both end in a touchdown, but one takes 8 minutes off the clock and fatigues the opposing defense. Montgomery's fight at the end of runs adds an extra yard or more to every carry, and that is everything in football. I understand why he has been under the radar - he had some of the all time worst run blocking any back has ever seen in front of him. And the play calling did nothing to help either. No one got rhythm, no one got moved and Montgomery had no chance at all. It's nice to see him get a chance, and what he can do with it.

I see him missing assignments constantly. I think he should be out of the NFL.

Whatever else we do, we absolutely need an OLT and to get Leno away from this team. I have said for over a year now that he is the main reason for this team's failure, and I still believe that.

Not saying I WANT this to happen, but there is some chance I suppose that the Bears could fire Nagy, and move Lazor up to HC, and possibly replace Pagano. With the cap shrinking and all the money tied up, it's hard to think you'd get a top notch GM or HC interested in coming in next year. The year after, sure. What if they dumped Nagy, and signed Trubisky cheap and moved Lazor to HC? Im not saying this is a GOOD idea, Im saying it is an idea they might be considering.

I agree

We will miss Hicks if we let him go. I think we can survive Robinson leaving better than Hicks.

and more carnage in a Bear tree...

ugh.

yes, as mad as I am, I see no reason why doing it now is any better than doing it at the end of the season. Except Leno.

Well remember that Ernie Accorsi picked Pace, and he has as much NFL cred as anyone. I think the thing is, whether you're looking for a GM or a franchise QB, that there are no proven winners available. You either have to take someone who's won before but has been in decline, or you have to take someone young who has promise but hasn't proved it yet. And that means that you take a risk. I think you take that younger guy and you give him a few years to grow, and then you find out if you found the next superstar or not. Pace, Nagy, Trubisky, Philips - none of you is a superstar. Thanks for trying. Let's take another swing of the bat. No one know for sure, but once youve evaluated them in the NFL for a few years THEN you do know. So I cant say who the right pick is, and we might swing and miss again, but it's time to trade in the cards we have and take new ones.

but with a good GM and coach, we'd be totally different of course

we should have fired Nagy mid season last year, and determined that Trubisky sucked then too, like i said, and it cost us a year and the window on the defense, like I said too. And to think, how much better might this have looked if they had a player at OLT...

they werent gonna win a superbowl either.

maybe we should all agree to become Chiefs fans or something. Seriously, at this point what am I still rooting for? The uniform? Its cant still be 1985...

Yes, if you're going to fire Pace, you have to FINALLY remove Ted from his role too. HE is the common variable. He's had his fun. Decades of it. And the results are clear. Enough.

right. no coaching, and no ability to develop. Also, having just watched the last 20 minutes of the Lions game. Fire Nagy today.

we can shoot the messenger all we like, but Trubisky is not a good QB, and part of his problem is mechanics, which is something anyone of any talent level could fix with discipline and concentration. Similarly, no matter how good or bad Leno is, if he is trying to block the wrong guy, it doesnt matter, and even pee wee football players can be taught how to figure out who theyre supposed to be blocking. This all comes down either to drafting people without the mental abilities to learn how to play football or epic failure of coaching. Or Both.

In the example above, Trubisky had a clean pocket.

Yes! Let Vic run the team and the defense, and he will bring in an OC who runs the ball. I dont want a Jetsons futuristic offense.

I think that any guaranteed money (signing bonus etc which is a good percentage of these high priced players' contracts) becomes due on the first teams cap in the year that the player is traded. Salary goes to the nes team, but these huge guarantees stay with the team that signed them.

Holy hell. That stat encapsulates what we've all been feeling, but couldn't quite express with the strings of wins here and there.