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AZ54

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Everything posted by AZ54

  1. Somebody needs to get on the wayback machine because I think Davenport was in some pre-draft discussions here years ago as an OT option on Day 3 or UDFA. Unless something has changed he's got really slow feet. At best he's competing for a backup OT role but that's ok. If he has improved his technique with his length he can be a viable backup. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2706642-julien-davenport-nfl-draft-2017-scouting-report-for-houston-texans-pick "A two-time team captain and four-year starter at left tackle, Julie'n Davenport has two things you can't coach—size and length. At 6'7" and 318 pounds, he has 36 ½-inch arms and massive 10 ½-inch hands. He's the first guy you want coming off the bus. Davenport has an excellent reach, and his best asset is his punch. He has a quick strike and can get to defenders much earlier than his peers. At the Senior Bowl, we saw him knocking back pass-rushers with nice timing and power on the limbs he calls arms. Davenport is a great fit in a zone-blocking scheme, where his length and his movement skills would allow him to cut off defenders in the running game. From a size and strength perspective, Davenport is prototypical." David Moore is absolutely in the mix and will push Dazz to earn a roster spot. Plus it's a small world and he's got some family tradition to live up to.... https://www.chicagobears.com/news/roster-moves-bears-sign-wr-moore-cb-stroman Moore is ultra-excited to follow in the footsteps of his second cousin, James Allen, a Bears running back from 1998-2001 who rushed for 1,978 yards and four touchdowns on 515 carries while appearing in 50 games with 27 starts.
  2. That rookie deal only logic makes sense to me. After that the teams are on the same competitive ground to wheel and deal as they choose.
  3. AZ54

    39-48-71

    Depending on who is on the board at 39 I could take the Dallas proposal. But if it's Watson I'm taking him.
  4. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    I'm ok with the late round developmental strategy at LT versus reaching for one. In Rd 2 it's very likely we can draft a good starting OG, and maybe even Linderbaum falls to 39. If he doesn't, it just makes it more likely one of the OGs does. The only thing Poles has to watch for is that after losing out on a couple upgrades the entire league knows he wants Oline players and that makes us an obvious target to trade ahead of should someone drop. You can say we need/want WRs too but the fact remains Poles was more willing to commit cap space to fix the Oline than he was for WR. I think that priority carries forward into the draft.
  5. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    A few sleepers at OT: https://thedraftnetwork.com/articles/2022-nfl-draft-offensive-tackle-day-2-3-prospects
  6. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    I don't think either Raimann or Smith are ready to start at LT as a rookie. For Raimann we have to keep this in mind and that's based on a lot of NFL history or data points if you prefer. I'm not saying he'll never develop into that technician like Slater but there is nothing I've read about his game that says he has those skills today. https://trenchwarfare.substack.com/p/ol-scouting-notebook-2022-nfl-combine?s=r Central Michigan T Bernhard Raimann - Raimann’s arm length came in at 33 inches at the Senior Bowl and 32 7/8 at the Combine. Left tackle Rashawn Slater measured in at 33 inches at the Combine last year and was a Second Team All-Pro as a rookie in 2021, but Slater is also an exceptional case and an absolute technician. The reality is that having 33 inch arms and under at tackle is a rarity and an obstacle to overcome rather than an asset for Raimann. Smith has poor technique and simply being the bully on the field can work against lesser competition like he faced at Tulsa but it will get him beat often in the NFL. He at least has the physical tools to develop into a LT but IMO he's best served starting out on the interior until he gets his technique down, or he's going to ride the bench for a year while he learns. We have too many holes to fill to park one of our top 3 players on the bench for a year. If we don't feel they can play inside then I'd pick someone for any other position with a higher floor. IMO if the team feels either can play well inside then go ahead and draft them, we need help inside. We can survive with Borom and Jenkins as our OTs and there is still the option of a FA LT as a stopgap. If they develop into LT then we take it off our list next year. I just don't think I'm prepared to bank on that in 2022.
  7. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    Watson is 1, then I'm between Pickens and Pierce. Since I have to choose I'll stay with the healthier and stronger/faster player in Pierce 2, Pickens 3. I agree with the thought to have one taller receiver in the mix especially for redzone options. Some recent feedback I've seen: TDN on Pickens - he's limited in ways he can win and separate. Great at adjusting to the ball, great hands, but is he going to handle press coverage and still get into his route on time? In his defense he's had the injuries and less time to develop those route running skills. https://thedraftnetwork.com/articles/george-pickens-nfl-draft-player-breakdown Moore - quite a few analysts have high praise for his game even as a late 1st Rd pick. I like him but I'm a bit less enamored than that, plus he's a slot WR and I still prefer we find an X especially one who can get open deep to take advantage of Fields' skillset. https://www.nfl.com/news/2022-nfl-draft-which-prospect-might-not-be-a-first-round-pick-but-should-be
  8. Yes. I finally finished listening to Eberflus interview with Chris Collinsworth. The two lines below are exactly what he said our offense is going to be. https://thedraftnetwork.com/prospect-rankings "Linderbaum is still best projected to the Shanahan systems but I have enough belief in his tools that I wouldn’t consider him a scheme-exclusive candidate;" "Scheme tendencies: Wide zone, play-action pass-heavy, screen-heavy"
  9. That's probably all we need at TE for the season. Kmet, Griffin, O'Shaughnessy, Hosted. We won't commit early picks to TE and we won't find anyone on day 3 ready to contribute more than these guys. I expect we'll focus on other priorities in the draft.
  10. Which puts him around 120 unless someone gets crazy and takes him late 3rd. I'm not that high on him. He seems like someone who, at best, can replace Nichols production which is not a bad pick on day 3, but I'd say that's his ceiling. We might add him late in the draft to help with depth but he won't be someone we build around and he's definitely not someone I'd put into Eberflus' "likely starter" category. https://www.nfl.com/prospects/haskell-garrett/32004741-5244-3684-c6f4-4959ba1721da "Three-technique with average size and athleticism who needs to play in a one-gapping front where his ability to find the gap can be made useful. Garrett has a good football IQ and is skilled, but he's not able to impose his will across all levels of competition. He can discard the average guard with efficient hand work but he's missing the length to play read-and-react, and the anchor to occupy space against most double teams. He's not explosive but does have the tools to help threaten a pocket as a rusher. Haskell is a scheme-dependent, middle-round prospect with rotational value."
  11. Matt Waletzko is a good target for that role on day 3.
  12. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    Smith (move him inside), and Watson. I have to admit I love Pitre's game and he'd be a great pick too but I have to stick with my priorities.
  13. I agree we should have good options at our first 3 picks for each of the needs with the exception of 3-tech. I think that is spot you either get at 39 or not at all. I only see Wyatt and Winfrey as good fits to start there with Leal behind them but he seems a bit more project and there's nothing special about his physical traits. It's possible Winfrey drops to 48 but players who can rush the passer like he did at the Senior Bowl tend to go higher than lower. Looking at Draftek they list 3-tech: Wyatt 26th, Winfrey 46th, and Leal 47th overall. After those 3 players they drop to 120 with Haskell Garrett and I don't even think that's an ideal fit for him. That's not a drop off it's cliff in terms of talent.
  14. AZ54

    Darnell Mooney

    I agree not many and it's not a must-have worth focusing on. Just get a good WR corps and a TE that can get separation.
  15. "What's nice about this draft is that it's deep," Eberflus said. "It's deep just because of the whole COVID thing; guys stayed in [college] another year. We feel that it's a good draft to have where we are: 39, 48, 71. We feel pretty good we're going to pick up three starters there or have potentially three starters based on the development of those players. So, we feel real good about it." https://thedraftnetwork.com/articles/chicago-bears-matt-eberflus-ryan-poles-2022-nfl-draft-starters That's exactly where I'm at and any trade back must be met with the same expectation on the end result.
  16. AZ54

    Darnell Mooney

    Valid points combined with the fact the new coaches noted that the timing between Fields and Mooney was off. I don't know that I'd go as high as saying Mooney can be a #1 WR winning against double teams consistently but he's a really good #2 and he's going to get a very nice contract next year. Any offense can be really good with a couple WRs like that.
  17. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    That's for an offense that scored 10pts in a playoff game. This stat on RB receptions plays well into Montgomery's production. He's got the hands and he breaks tackles which should bode well for our offense. Having this kind of a consistent outlet should also put Fields into a more comfortable position early on in the season while he's settling into the new offense.
  18. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    It's still baffling that a team that believes it is ready to compete to win the Superbowl let's that much production walk out the door.
  19. Patrick likely knows the line calls Getsy wants and even if Trettor might be the better player, getting all 5 guys aligned on blocking assignments has more value. I don't need to see a repeat of the Brown's game from last year.
  20. Someone mentioned Brandon Thorn in some posts (forgive me for not remembering who) as an Oline analyst. I accidentally came across his Substack so I figure I'd post the link here in case anyone is interested. https://trenchwarfare.substack.com/ https://trenchwarfare.substack.com/p/ol-scouting-notebook-2022-nfl-combine?s=r Like everyone else I'm highly interested in Oline this draft but I'm also not an expert in analyzing the finer points of the positions. I've kinda had Raimann as a target for us somewhere and watched as he reportedly moved up to as high as a 2nd Rd prospect. His arm length makes me think we take him off the board as an OT. We already have concerns with the same issue for Jenkins. While it's possible both players perform well at OT, I can't see Poles putting the same risk on both ends of the Oline. I think he'll take someone safer that fits the OT mold even if it's in a later round. He could very well take Raimann with intent to move him inside if he believes he fits there. I'm still not high on Faalele as I don't think he fits the athletic mold Poles said he wants. "Central Michigan T Bernhard Raimann - Raimann’s arm length came in at 33 inches at the Senior Bowl and 32 7/8 at the Combine. Left tackle Rashawn Slater measured in at 33 inches at the Combine last year and was a Second Team All-Pro as a rookie in 2021, but Slater is also an exceptional case and an absolute technician. The reality is that having 33 inch arms and under at tackle is a rarity and an obstacle to overcome rather than an asset for Raimann." "Minnesota T Daniel Faalele - Faalele came in weighing 384 pounds, down three pounds from the 387 he weighed in at during the Senior Bowl. Even though Faalele visibly carries his weight exceptionally well, there’s a concern he’s too heavy due to how tardy he can be to transfer his weight on the field and redirect laterally. There is a legitimate question about how much weight he can lose and maintain as a pro to maximize his ability to deal with edge-rushers on an island in the NFL."
  21. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    He has to get good value too. Other teams know he wants more picks so he'll get some low-ball offers. Just say no. I'm less concerned about getting more picks than I am with getting at least 2 and potentially 3 good core starters. I not convinced trading back for 4 picks in the top 100 makes that more likely than having 3 in the top 75. It is easy to fill out depth via FA any given year.
  22. AZ54

    Mock Drafts

    It all depends on the player rankings and sometimes in these systems you don't even know what list or lists they are using. Plus it seems clear sites are using some random generator for some of the picks likely based on their pre-defined needs list. If you want people to keep coming back to your site you have to show them something different. Nonetheless, every year NFL teams still manage to surprise everyone with their picks even in the 1st round which is why I find it to be must-see TV.
  23. I agree and don't understand the concept behind this comp pick.
  24. AZ54

    Trade Quinn?

    Like I said it all depends on how badly they want to win this year or next. That division is so tough now it’s not unrealistic for them to miss the playoffs depending on injuries. Kelsey is 33 how many more seasons will he play? Do they follow the Rams all-in approach or draft and hope for the best near term and focus more on the long term?
  25. AZ54

    Trade Quinn?

    This is pure speculation but the logic behind this deal makes sense from the Chiefs perspective if they have their sites set on a Superbowl in 2022. Proposal: Chiefs get Quinn. Bears get pick 96. (not good enough IMO) https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2955188-5-trades-nfl-teams-should-try-to-execute-before-the-2022-draft I see the Chiefs with 12 picks (albeit 4 in Rd 7). While the draft is a good one for edge rushers those who are ready to contribute as a rookie will be gone well before the end of Rd 1. Poles has a good idea of their urgency in finding a pass rusher, and that has only increased while watching the offseason trades in their division. To get one of the top 4 edge rushers KC has to be in the top 15 picks. To get there KC has to package at least one of their 1st Rd picks with a 2nd Rd pick or more. To get into the top 10 they have to give up both 1st Rd picks. Regardless, no matter where you are in the draft you can't find anyone as ready to contribute against the run and pass as much as Quinn in 2022. The Chiefs have some $18mil in cap room now but that will get eaten up by the large rookie pool, or they reduce the draft picks. They are also stuck with Frank Clark's contract. They'd need the Bears to take some of the cost of Quinn's deal but doing so just increases his draft pick value. If I were Poles I'd be asking pretty firm for pick 30. That's 620pts which could be a bit much but if KC won't take that, then to get one of the top 4 edge rushers it will cost them both 1st Rd picks and at least 1000pts. Even to get Ojabo they will likely have to move up to somewhere around 20 at a cost of 850pts. That's equivalent to a 1st and 2nd Rd pick. If Poles can't get the 1st Rd pick move back to 50 and 94 at 524pts and a floor of 50/121 in the 4th Rd at a cost of 452pts. https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp?RequestTeam=kc Draft day brings a different sense of urgency. It'll be interesting to see if any team has interest in Quinn.
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