AZ54

True value is always what the highest bidder is willing to pay.

Jaylon said he was going to play so I expect him out there.

Were you expecting a rebuilding team to start out beating the better teams and QBs? We have to start learning how to win somewhere and that is mostly likely to happen against the bad teams. FWIW he also beat Goff and I can make a good argument he soundly defeated him for 117 minutes in 2 games. It's also interesting that Wilson made your list of good QBs a week after he was benched, or maybe more depressing that we lost that game.

Wow. It's been awhile. https://www.chicagobears.com/news/montez-sweat-jaylon-johnson-selected-to-pro-bowl-games-2023

Never saw it. It’s pretty funny.

Can you edit that and add the number of players rostered next to the cap space/value? If you are $40m over the cap and only have 40 players counting in that calculation then you have to find a way to sign 13 players.

I can't find the link right now on Youtube but I saw where some mock had us trade back with Wash and get both of their 2nd Rd picks (our former pick being one of them). Then he had us trade back again, I think with Atlanta, and pick up their 2025 1st, along with 2024 2nd and 3rd Rd picks. In the end he had 8 picks in the top 100. One of those, #100, was a comp pick for losing Ian Cunningham which I think happens this year. All total we had 10 picks by the end of the 5th round, plus plenty of draft picks heading into 2025 including two 1st Rd, and two 2nd Rd, to hedge the bet on the QB or just keep piling on the talent. That is a very realistic scenario. In 18 months we've come far enough as a roster that at first it's hard to imagine 10 rookies making this roster. Who is leaving? Ok with a bit of thought you can figure out 10 to lose but there will be names in that list we were counting on going into 2023, including Whitehair and Jackson. The point is that if we follow this trade down scenario there will be some serious competition in training camp this year. That's not even including the FAs we will add. As long as Poles takes value in the draft as he's done for 2 years you can't help but come out of this offseason with a very good roster and some good depth. Now that means we give up on Harrison Jr. and both LT talents. If you think we can get by with Braxton Jones improving enough into his 3rd season to be a good starter (not Pro Bowl), which I think is a reasonable expectation, then there's no reason not to bypass those talents. FIelds' escapability allows us to save money at LT which offsets his contract by 10-20%.

Agreed. I think it also depends on the root cause of the injury. Logic says its physical trauma but sometimes it can be a muscle imbalance leading to a lack of stability in the knee. Think about the players who make a simple cut and go down. Some players come back stronger and faster with better training. Then there is the fact that certain performance enhancing drugs build muscle but weaken ligaments and tendons. We may have a good sense what the NFL does for testing but in college?

Just using last years draft there are 3 positions for which a team is willing to trade up into the top 5 picks. QB, LT, Edge. There are no top 5 edge players, at least not yet. Ideally I’d love to have two picks between 5 and 10. As badly as I’d like to see MHJr I know adding another good edge rusher could put our D into the elite category. I’m thinking I’d close that deal then put the rest of the draft toward the offense. I’ve been on board with keeping Fields for some time. How he plays this last game could close the deal for me on any need to hedge the bet via a backup QB. At least until day 3. If Poles feels the same way then just throw open the trade windows early like he did last year. Teams already know his price and that he is willing to trade as far back as 9. It also removes the negative impact of the Bears scouting the QB class and then saying we don’t like them now we’ll trade the pick. That puts Atlanta and Vegas in play. Which could be enough to get Wash or NE to overpay.

I prefer Latu. He’s much more mobile and still brings the same length and power.

It's going to be very interesting to see how good Dexter becomes next season. He's starting to move grown men around like pylons. I'm not sure why he's not getting more snaps yet. During the AZ game I didn't even notice the play where he lined up at DE and rushed the passer, pretty effectively too. Against the Falcons he got the call for the stunts as the man to loop around free. I'm sure he's done that before but with his power I expected he'd be more likely the one asked to take the dive inside to try to tie up 2 Oline. It's clear the team is starting to view him as key chess piece and it's paying off with QB pressures and sacks.

Perfect look at what “late hands” looks like. Post game DJ said Bates was in good position and he knew he was just waiting for his hands to go up so he waited as long as possible. I’d guess that ball is moving about 30mph. Maybe more.

I'm not worried about money as much as winning. Caleb Williams looks like a smaller version of Fields. He has some plusses and minuses on the arm talent and field vision over Fields. Maye looks like a very talented project. Fortunately for us both of them are going to look awesome at the combine (if they go) and their pro day workouts. But those aren't games. It seems obvious to me (just my dumb opinion) that if Fields can throw for 1300 yds to DJ Moore in a season then he can certainly do that on the other side of the field with another good WR. Add two of them or a good 2nd TE to compliment Kmet and then a defense has an awful lot to think about. Then fix the early pressure issues up the middle.

It's been mostly bypassed in media but Atlanta came into this past game with a top 10 defense of their own. I'm sure you can put some context into that given their division but they weren't bad by any means. I'd like to get Mooney back because as bad as he's been, he's still better than either Jones or Taylor. Aside from DJ Moore, watching our WRs last week was painful. In Week 1 Fields was horrible bypassing numerous open WRs. If they think the same QB is coming to town and they can get away with the same scheme then they won't get so lucky.

Lots of merit to the double trade down scenario especially if you are willing to give up on MHJr. If ever there was a draft to bypass that talent it's this one with several very good WR prospects.

I just don't like Williams that much. I'm not sure why all the hype surrounds him as a generational player but I'm glad it's exists. That doesn't mean he's not a really good QB but I don't know how rapidly he'll learn the NFL game, and I question his leadership. If you want the most secure pick of a Pro Bowl player you just take either MHJr, Alt, or Fashanu. Alt and Fashanu both have positional value at the top of the draft.

I'm ok with keeping Patrick as backup. If nothing else I think he'll be a great mentor to a rookie OC but he's serviceable as a backup. That would be even more true if Davis can recapture how he played earlier in the season or we find a solid starter at RG. Even when he's been on the sidelines Patrick was always one of the first players to congratulate teammates on a big play. Bagent is like that too.

Now that #1 overall is secured I've started some scouting. I have man crushes on 3 players for top 10ish. We need one of these 3 and 2 would be outstanding. MHJr (nothing needs to be said) Malik Nabers who I feel is very similar athletically to DJ Moore with his quickness in/out of cuts. WRs that can consistently win out of their break is a huge plus for a QB. I'd like 2 please. We'll add a 3rd WR later in this draft or via FA. Dallas Turner. Last year he didn't impress but this year he's playing with length and strength to compress the pocket but also has the bend and speed to get around the corner. Not only that, he can get off blocks to chase down the play (i.e. when QB scrambles). He'd look fantastic opposite of Sweat with a developing Dexter pushing up the middle. As far as safeties go I like Tyler Nubin out of Minn. There are 3 good safety candidates in the early 2nd Rd as of now, he's one of them depending on where you look. Van Pran at C makes a ton of sense but I also like the center from Oregon: Jackson Powers-Johnson as backup plan. Naturally we have a long way to go in the draft process but my takeways from initial mocks is that if we accumulate a lot of top 100 picks then. 1) We're going to have much better depth in 2024 and 2) we're going to start cutting some names we've relied on in the last year or two. That's even without adding in FA. I'm all for keeping Fields and really excited to see the roster in 2024.

When they come out with studs and duds the 3 idiots on the Bears sideline who stepped aside to let DJ Moore run into a heater need to be the dud list. How do you not put out an arm and assist the best WR the Bears have had in years slow down before he gets injured?

1 Bears 2 Wash need QB 3 NE needs QB 4 AZ could take a QB but they definitely won't trade up to do that. If they grab one, I'd say they are more likely to grab a QB in the 2nd Rd or after a trade down. 5 NY Giants...toss up here. 6 Tenn. Drafted a QB last year and expect they will develop Levis. 7 Chargers ... top need HC 8 Jets. they'll add talent and try to win with Rodgers although it would be awesome to see a pouty Rodgers if they drafted a QB. 9 Falcons. Fits last year's blueprint for a trade down to a tee. The one player I'd take off their roster is Safety Jessie Bates. I'd even be kind enough to send them Eddie Jackson in exchange. This doesn't really shake out well for the Bears if you want a mega trade down. Plus like last year we likely have Williams/Maye as 1a/1b. There will need to be a clear #1 at QB. However, if you consider we might not want to drop back any further than 2 or 3 it is perfect. The price to move up to 1 overall isn't exorbitant to guarantee your preference at QB.

Nice win all the way around.

I agree. I think he keeps everyone guessing even if he trades down from #1.

And the backstory gets better. Their top QB choice is not Wilson. https://thefalconswire.usatoday.com/2023/12/27/russell-wilson-atlanta-falcons-broncos-nfl-trades/

Bummer won’t get to see a grudge match against our former punter. https://thefalconswire.usatoday.com/lists/atl-falcons-practice-squad-tracker/

You have more loyalty than I do. No way I’d give him a raise based on his performance in any other industry. I wouldn’t even guarantee Flus his job unless or until I understood the details. That’s stuff we can’t get. The overall trend for the team is upward You just see it as this is as high as it will ever get. I think the ceiling is higher with better talent and better coordinators.