DABEARSDABOMB

We just need Fields to be good - either way - they wren't taking a QB early next year (class isn't depth) - so really it was you get one this year or you aren't picking one until 2023 - which basically means you are punting 2 years only to hope you get a QB in '23. So fired up for this move. Yeah we gave up a 1st plus some other stuff, but we have opportunity to add some more good guys this year and are going to see the cap space explode in a year. Plus we have 2 good vets to surround Fields by so we don't have to rush him. Nagy has no excuse - but just so fired up they were bold and went up here. Draft worked out so well. Thought they would have to give up way more...so nice. Now I would hope we get a good value offer to maybe move down in the 2nd - stack up some extra 3rd/4ths and get more depth.

Pace had a crappy initial draft and missed on Mitch. Outside of that - Pace has been a very good drafter. In fact better than most GM's. Problem is that QB miss is huge and he's had some big misses in FA. I am hoping he gets QB right this year and Nagy shows he can learn and it turns out the Bears have 2 really good guys running the ship. Probably not - but it could happen...right.

This - I think moving up is fantastic - cause it meant we went up and got hopeful value for one of the top guys in a deep QB draft. I don't see a scenario where we get any of the top 5 at 20 - so taking a QB at 20 is probably the worse case scenario because it means we are really reaching and taking the 6th QB in the draft at 20. So that is probably my worse case scenario - Trask or Mills or Mond at 20. Quite frankly - it is easy for me: QB (well above anything else & I pay a premium and willing to move up to get one - but I won't give up more than next years FRP (i.e., no Niners deal where we give up 2). OT / WR / DB - all 3 of these are on similar page so I go based upon BPA as it fits this needs - with some weight on the overall depth of draft at respective positions.

Awful disease and awful news. Sending best wishes to Mongo and his family.

Better yet - if Pats go swing for Jimmy G at some point - maybe you have 3 teams fighting for 2 QB's - which has to again increase the odds to move up.

The key is - Lance/Fields get to the Panthers pick - the cost should be less. The way I see it - at that point - you have Pats, Redskins, Bears, and Patriots as 4 teams vying for those 2 remaining QB's. The cost to move up is not going to be 3 1st round picks - reality is you are going to more likely be talking about this years first, plus next years 1st and maybe some swapping of other picks. At that point - feels like the juice is worth the squeeze. Will hurt to lose a 1st round pick next year - but Bears cap position will be significantly better. A lot of dead cap space gone, full flexibility with Dalton/Foles & Graham. Lower dead cap hits on Mack (if you want to move), ability to create space with Robinson (or trade), plus ability to do the same with Leno. And for those that say - just draft a later round QB - you aren't going to solve the QB problem doing it. There is no sure thing doing what I propose - but swinging at FRP's at QB is a higher % play than drafting later round picks and hoping you find Brady/Wilson/Brees. https://www.espn.com/blog/new-orleans-saints/post/_/id/34139/why-its-so-hard-to-find-developmental-qbs-in-the-nfl-drafts-middle-rounds

110% agree with both of you.

QB

In some ways - it isn't wrong. Trubisky and Foles were not good. Foles was worse - Trubisky was a bit better due to his athleticism, but he wasn't breaking down defenses on the regular. Nagy has consistently had BAD QB play. Maybe it is him and his playbook, etc...maybe it is fact he has his hands tied by lousy QB's. See Shanny in San Fran - only so much you can do without having a real good QB.

I wouldn't worry about a QB transferring - Kyler Murray transferred from A&M to OU and looks every bit the part. Reality is in this day and age - guys aren't going to sit around waiting and Georgia has whiffed more than a few times on some top level QB's who ended up elsewhere. The inverse is true - Joe Burrow couldn't start with Ohio State and ended up at LSU. He went on to become #1 overall pick and flashed a lot to like before he went down with injury in his rookie season. I actually would be pretty pleased if the Bears could get Fields. He has his flaws - but so does every QB. He is very talented though and highly athletic.

That can't possibly be correct. The Bears couldn't trade a 2nd next year + 4th/6th for a 7th overall pick. No possible way. And again - not for a 16th overall pick. If they could - Pace would have already done that. There is something extremely wrong with that persons math/logic. Lets remember - a 2nd round pick a year from now is worth a 3rd. The 4th round pick is also a next year pick - so that is worth a 5th. So basically the logic above says I could trade a 3rd, 5th, and 6th round pick for FRP? No chance.

Biggs reported that it sounds like Bears will not get Williams.

So I read this somewhere - but evidently Bears can potentially adjust Foles contract and subsequently trade him (for a conditional 7th or whatever) at a $1M cap hit. I don't know if that is actually true - but if it is - I have to imagine that is a move we will see and it would make the Dalton deal MUCH more appealing - in the sense that Dalton is either the back-up / bridge guy depending on what else the Bears do at QB. I.e. - getting Dalton and moving Foles (at $1M hit) - basically puts you in the same position we entered the day in - except I presume the team feels that Dalton > Foles (and I would agree with that assessment) - but this also means the team still has the exact same ability to swing big and/or trade-up in the draft (if they want to go down that route). Basically put - I expect Bears will move on from Foles (in a strategic manner that has minimal near / long term implications) and basically be in a slightly better spot than they were yesterday....but one where at the very least - they know on paper they already have one guy who is better than what they had a year ago (or lets hope he is). If Dalton actually is the guy and we go into next year with Dalton/Foles - welp - in that case - pretty likely outcome that we have a new regime in '22 anyway and in that case - at least they didn't do anything to hurt the future.

I get it. 5M is a lot of money to pay a returned...even one as good as Cordelle. At least sounds like he isn’t leaving on bad terms. I liked his personality a lot.

Nice

After seeing that article on cap space - why do I need 3 1st round picks - get it done and we can maneuver the cap in a year that is a buyers market and get Russell + have $30M of cap space without gutting the roster. Heck yeah - lets go. If it doesn't work - in 2 years spin Wilson and let him launch you into a rebuild (cause unless his arm falls off of he has an Alex Smith type of injury - you will be able to recoup what you pay). I'm super fired up!!!

Seriously - how amazing would it be to get 2 1st rounders for arob. I'd run to the bank with 1 haha.

I'm 100% on board with the Winston angle - has the upside I like.

I just heard Schefter on ESPN - as of now - he is saying all indications are the league the deadline is going to stay tomorrow (Tuesday). Doesn't seem like the league wants to push things back - despite the cap uncertainty.

I think the issue is Diggs was more of a full market move - where as anyone signing Arob kind of has to play out the whole franchise thing and so that naturally lowers his value. Said another way - Bears don't have the same leverage Vikings did. If you look at Jarvis Landry - he is probably most recent/relevant comp - franchised & traded - and Dolphins got a 4th & 7th round pick for him. But Pix - I hope you are right - cause that would be way better. Leverage matters though - and the good news is - the FA WR crop is pretty thin - but the flipside is - this is a deep wideout draft.

I like Corey Davis a lot and if it were up to me I would franchise and trade Arob. It will be a near-term step down, but its a deep WR draft so take a couple shots there. I would love a 2nd rounder for Arob in that scenario and that is possible - but my guess is maybe you get a 3rd this year and a 3rd next year or something.

A lot more smoke popping up on Wilson - seems like Seattle is ready to move on as well - and they previously were close to trading him (evidently) in 2018. Writing seems to be on the wall there - Bears and Raiders would in my opinion be the 2 most likely possibilities. I think Saint would be all-in as well - not sure if they have the cap space to pull it off - but I would not bet against them (either). Raiders made public stance on Carr - not sure if that is to increase his trade value or to truly reiterate they are happy with him. If Raiders are out - as long as Wilson sticks to his list - one would think it would put the Bears in a really really good position.

So I just want to point out one stat of Wilson and where he has ranked amongst all QB's each of the past 4 years. The stat I'm cherry picking is TD's. He's been top 3 each of the past 4 years on TD's. This is purely passing TD's - Wilson is also pretty nimble so doesn't even value his rushing yards. 2020 = 2nd 2019 = 3rd 2018 = 3rd 2017 = 1st

I’d say the opposite - the misses of first round picks are higher than anyone wants to admit (whether you are Ryan pace or someone else) vs the importance that the qb position is. If I converted it to Leonard Floyd, Kevin White and Roquan Smith for Wilson or Watson - what would you rather have. That is basically one hit (Smith), one ok (Floyd) and one bust (White). I’d take one Watson or Smith over that. I’ll actually go one step further - let’s take the last 3 first round hits - Smith, Fuller and Kyle Long - again - I’ll take one an over those three. You can still put a good online and other things around said player. The Bears issue with Cutler was never that the trade or Jays cap space prevented / hindered their ability to deal with the line or provide Cutler with the right protection and weapons, rather it was the front office and coaching staffs inability to prioritize that. Plus obviously fact that they thought Jay was going to be a top 5 special QB but he wasn’t. And while football is a team sport - having a top 5 qb increases your chance to be a perennial contender - big time.

You are probably 100% right on the above. But if you are Pace - is that seriously how you are going down? With Gardner Minshew and Nick Foles again as QB? Maybe that is okay if Pace thinks highly of Minshew (in fact if he does - great - I don't fault this at all). But otherwise - what are you going to do - tell McCaskey's at end of the season but but but? No - you can't do that. If you are Nagy - you might have an out - if you somehow were .500 with those turds as your QB all year - whether Bears keep you or not - you probably have a resume that gets you another coaching job. You could pretty clearly state you have always been .500 or better despite below average QB play and maybe you directly lay some of that blame on front office that never got you what you needed / pivoted despite whatever feedback you gave (it was pretty clear Nagy was done with Trubisky a whole year ago and Fole was the best the 2 could come up with). But bottom line - Pace and Nagy know they need to find a QB. Pace literally has no excuse - if he doesn't deliver an answer at QB or a different path to a winning team - he's toast. Unless of course he's cleared it with McCaskey - such as - look - I could do X or Y and we can go there, but here is the downside so my preference is this plan - but it will take a bit longer - are you committed to doing such. For now - I'm going to assume - Bears are going to go down one of these paths: - Acquire potential reclamation QB who they pair with a mid round pick (i.e., sign Winston, trade for Minshwe/Mariotta + draft in 2nd / 3rd round whomever they like best) - Make a big strike (i.e., Carr, Wilson, Watson, type of QB (Jimmy G or Cousins I suppose would fit into this list - but much less preferable) - Acquire QB with 1st round pick (trade up or one falls - doesn't matter - but if either shows promise - than Pace/Nagy hitch there hat on that progress) The "big strike" is most expensive, probably highest floor - because this team in the short team is pretty good with a major upgrade at QB and while not having draft picks hurts - it probably hurts more in 2 or 3 years than it does in 1 year (and maybe you can supplement those lost picks in years 2/3 with an expanding cap - cause revenues will normalize and cap probably has a big jump in years 2/3 - especially with new tv dollars coming in). Safest bet is to trade up and get one of the young QB's and just hope they don't look like instant dumpster fires. That should be enough to buy at least a year and if you are ownership - probably easiest to sign up for because yes you've given picks away, but you certainly aren't giving up the same # of assets that it would take for the "big strike". Anything other than the above - I just don't see how Pace could do it, unless he got an extension none of us knew about - in which case I'd be going about this entirely differently.