adam

Good info about home teams playing against division opponents, 9-0 since 2021:

2024 QB Two-Year Passing Totals: Nix - 764-1179, 64.8%, 7706 Pass Yds, 54 TD, 23 INT, 46 Sacks Williams - 681-1130, 60.3%, 7483 Pass Yds, 47 TD, 13 INT, 92 Sacks Maye - 579-830, 69.8%, 6670 Pass Yds, 46 TD, 18 INT, 81 Sacks Daniels - 445-668, 66.6%, 4830 Pass Yds, 33 TD, 12 INT, 65 Sacks An impressive group overall, over 25K Passing Yards and 180 Pass TDs. With Rushing TDs, over 200 for the group in two years with over 10 games missed. Nix and Williams have not missed a game.

That's wild because he has an odd gaite. He doesn't look like he is moving that fast. I always get a kick out of it because he looks like a guy running to the bathroom after eating too much chili.

If they keep DJ, they will restructure his contract. No way he goes into next year with that big of a cap hit.

An exaggeration on my part. More like an All-Pro level for himself. Switching to the Will seemed to make him more useful. However, for how big and fast he is, he doesn't make enough plays at or behind the LOS.

I don't know if any of the current defensive players match the scheme. The secondary, outside of the INTs has been subpar in coverage, and it was supposed to be a strength. Again I know injuries, but there are way too many wide open receivers while the DBs are playing off or in a soft zone.

I agree, we can hold off until we are discussing what to do at pick 32.

I would love a blowout win, domination for 60 minutes. Put the entire league on notice in the playoffs. Getting Odunze and Gordon back (hopefully) would be a huge boost.

The scripted plays are just not working for whatever reason. I looked back at the last 6 games first 3 plays. How predictable are they being? There are only 8 possible combinations with a run and pass with 3 plays. In the last 6 games, every game had a different combination. To me that can't be a coincidence. To never have the same play sequence out of 8 possible sequences, in 6 games seems deliberate. I was thinking they were being too predictable but that isn't the case, so I really have no clue what is going wrong. PHI Run, Pass, Run GB Run, Pass, Pass CLE Pass, Run, Pass GB Run, Run, Pass SF Pass, Pass, Pass DET Pass, Run, Run

Hopefully the Bears actually get 9 games at Soldier Field in 2026, but I would not be surprised if one ends up as an International game (like vs Jacksonville). 8 games against 2025 playoff teams (one being CAR). They have 5 tough non-divisional games (SEA, JAX, BUF, NE, and PHI), what I see as 3 easy games (NO, NYJ, and MIA), and 3 other games they should be favored in (TB, ATL, and CAR). I am thinking 4-2 in the Division. They are not losing to MIN with McCarthy, I think they split vs GB and DET next year at a minimum. No way DET wins 4 straight against Johnson. 3-0 in easy games, 2-1 in the other games makes you 9-3 with the 5 tough games. If you go 2-3 you're back to 11 wins, go 3-2, you are a 12-win team. So 10-12 seems like a fair range. 3 of the tough games are at home, which helps. If this offense takes the normal 2nd year leap, and the defense just improves marginally, 10-12 wins should become the standard regardless of the schedule. I could see 7-2 at home, 4-4 on the road as a fair projection HOME Detroit Lions 9-8 - W *Green Bay Packers 9-7-1 - W Minnesota Vikings 9-8 - W Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-9 - W *Philadelphia Eagles 11-6 - W *Jacksonville Jaguars 13-4 - L New York Jets 3-14 - W *New England Patriots 14-3 - L New Orleans Saints 6-11 - W AWAY Detroit Lions 9-8 - L *Green Bay Packers 9-7-1 - L Minnesota Vikings 9-8 - W *Buffalo Bills 12-5 - L Miami Dolphins 7-10 - W Atlanta Falcons 8-9 - W *Carolina Panthers 8-9 - W *Seattle Seahawks 14-3 - L

Yeah, if he was head and shoulders above the others in terms of playtime, targets, and production, then you keep him. However, like you have pointed out, the cap is a finite resource, and you have to squeeze every ounce out of it, so a cap hit of $28.5M is about double what he should be making for that type of production. He has the 13th highest contract AAV for a WR. For that, he should be at least in the top 20-25 across the major categories (considering rookie deals). He is 40th in receptions, 39th in Yards, 49th in Yards/Target, and 87th in Catch% amongst only WRs. Then when you consider pass catching options, Loveland, Burden, and Odunze would be the top 3 going forward. That's makes Moore very expendable. There have already been concerns about attitude, body language, and normally where there is smoke there is fire. It is hard to argue with the dropoff. Just in targets alone he dropped from a consistent 120-160 target WR to 85. Obviously that impacts his potential, but the catch% is way too low. He had 5x 100-yard games in 2023, but hasn't had one in his last 23 games. His max targets in a game this year is 7. He had 11 games with 8+ last year including a game with 16 targets. The Wild Card game will probably be a huge indicator for the team going forward. Who are they calling plays for, who is getting open, and who are getting targets. If Moore ends up with only 4-5 targets, to me that says all you need to know about his future. You don't pay close to $30M for 4-5 targets in the most important game of the season so far.

The Bears are 7-1 when they hold opponents to 21 or less. The only loss coming this week. They are 1-4 when they score 21 or less, like they did this week. The entire team is at fault, but for how bad the defense played, they kept the score in the range where coming in, they were 7-0.

Regardless of injuries, giving up the 3rd most yards per play, 4th most yards and 10th most points is a fireable offense. The Bears defense allowed 1,400 more yards than the #1 defense, 1,400! That is insane. Almost 100 yards per game more. The Bears scored 90 pts off turnovers, 2nd most in the NFL. If that went down to the average, they would've lost 42 pts on the season and would be a 7-win team because of the defense.

The Bears need someone who can take the top off the defense. Right now safeties can really crowd the box and make intermediate passes and rushing that much more difficult because they don't have to worry about anyone running by them.

The Bears still haven't played a complete game all season. A few close ones, but all 3 units, playing close to their maximum potential. If both teams play like that, the Bears win. Without Parsons, GB has yet to win a game. When Parsons plays, they allow 19 pts a game, without him, over 28. With Parsons, they held opponents to 21 or under 9 times. I know there is so much talk about GB's offense and Love, but it seems that GB's winning is more tied to their defense than their offense.