adam

He was activated off the PUP on August 16th, so next week is close to 2 months.

OZ.

Yes, before he gets on the court. I am assuming he is implying that he will be coming off IR soon (next month).

Also, the Bears are in good company right now. They are one of 4 teams with a top 10 offense and top 10 defense in EPA/P. They join KC, JAX, and CIN. Other teams are skewed really heavily towards offense (BUF and SF) or defense (MIN and LVR) which is typically unsustainable. Extending on this thought, teams that finished with a + Offensive EPA/P and a - Defensive EPA/P where their EPA Difference was over 0.10 has an average record of 12.5 - 4.5 over the last 5 years. Only one team in the last 5 years finished below .500 when they had a positive EPA/P on Offense and negative on defense, the Colts last year who lost 7 straight (started 8-2). Right now SF leads with an absurd +0.40, KC at +0.31, JAX at +0.30, and CHI at +0.21. The Bears are the only one to have already started a backup QB in that group.

This guy has exceeded my expectations tenfold. Not only does he seem like an awesome leader and locker room presence, he is balling on the field too. If anyone would've told me he would be a top 10 WR in the NFL thru 3 weeks and the Bears leading receiver, I would've called them crazy. He has a 90.5% catch rate (19/21) which is the highest catch rate in the NFL this season with players that have 20+ targets. The next closest is Coker at 80.8%. He is 6th in Receptions, and his average separation is 5.2 yds, tied for the best in the NFL. In comparison, Burden has a 2.8 and Odunze has a 1.5. Raymond is on pace for over 1,200 yards receiving. I am sure others will get more involved, like Loveland and Thomas but it is clear Raymond has more than replaced DJ Moore's productivity on this roster.

With Breece out, they become much more predictable. Mitchell was their #2 WR, so the only real threats on offense are Wilson and Sadiq. Using EPA/Play as a guide, the Bears should be favored by 7 pts as the Bears defense has a huge advantage on the Jets offense, and that doesn't take into account the injuries you mentioned: +0.08 CHI OFF vs -0.08 NYJ DEF = Net 0.00 +0.01 NYJ OFF vs -0.13 CHI DEF = -0.12 CHI ADV So this should be a game the Bears can control and win handily.

At 2-1, and going into a game at home against NYJ, the Bears should be 3-1 going to GB next Saturday. If they can squeeze out a win there and go to 4-1, it feels like they can go on crazy run. This is the remaining schedule through the bye: WK 6 - @ ATL 1-2 WK 7 - vs NE 1-2 WK 8 - @ SEA 2-1 WK 9 - vs TB 0-3 WK 10 - vs NO 1-2 WK 11 - BYE The SEA game feels like the only one that is a truly tough matchup, but they just lost to WAS with Mariota and barely beat the terrible Patriots. So I even feel optimistic about that game. So 8-1 is actually realistic at the bye. They may not get there, but it is not completely crazy to think they can.

Most were not expecting him back until December or January, but this was an interesting post in early October: With a Week 10 bye, it would be amazing if he could get back after the bye against NO in Week 11 on November 22nd. That is close enough to December from the original estimate, and the way Trapilo has returned early, Bryant would be a massive boost.

With Kyler on the PUP, he can't play until Week 5 against GB. So hopefully he gets enough reps in this week and next week to play.

Yeah, Geno has been sacked 9 times in 3 games, so we at least get 3. He has yet to throw an INT, but last year he threw 17, and has 32 over the past two seasons. He has never went 4 games straight without a pick (in the same season). So he is due for at least one. Garrett Wilson gets a 1/3 of the targets. So the Jets should not score more than 20. If they do, the Bears defense has failed. We don't know who is starting, but I am assuming Bagent. He has yet to start a game for Ben Johnson, and his last start was as a rookie in 2023. He is 2-0 as a starter at home though. However, he will have to play much better than he did in 2023. Even if he doesn't have as good of a game as Keenum did, I am hoping for a clean game. I think the Bears win by double digits, 24-13. Bears defense holds Geno to one TD, Bears score 3 and get the W.

The one thing about taking points, a FG is not guaranteed points, Santos had one blocked and a 2nd one almost was. So I am ok going for it in most cases. Johnson is just the extreme.

and PHI was not set for 1-second on the TD, should've been a false start.

The Bears running game is concerning. It feels like PHI always has 2 more defenders where the Bears are running. When Barkley is running, it is the opposite. That needs to be fixed.

I can't believe they are winning at halftime with all the blunders. On the Hurts sneak, why was the defense not ready? Bush was just standing there, not even attempting to stop the sneak. With 1-2 more guys and Hurts doesn't get in. Bush has been terrible. On the Hurts sneak a few plays earlier, Edwards is clearly spying him, but doesn't even react to him escaping the pocket. Just lack of awareness all around.

A lot of teams winning with backups, WAS beat SEA with Mariota, Penix beat GB, Watson beat CAR, Winston beat TEN, and Nix beat LAR.