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Is this the list so far? 1. Johnson 2. Vrabel 3. Monken 4. Flores 5. McCarthy 6. Petzing 7. Glenn 8. Shaw 9. Smith 10. Weaver 11. Brown 12. Kafka

It was 5-7 games wins depending on how you counted them. Just say it is the low end of 5, they are a 10-win team and 4-2 in the Division with very little difference outside of not having Flus as the bone-headed HC. Lost to SEA 6-3 Lost to DET 23-20 Lost to MIN 30-27(OT) Lost to GB 20-19 Lost to WAS 18-15 Should not have lost to NE, IND and this follows a season where they had 3 games like that and should've been a 10-win the previous season. So there are at least 8 wins in the last two years that were more than winnable, they were almost guaranteed and they still lost.

Two QBs in NFL history have thrown over 400 passing attempts while trailing with +10 TDs and fewer 5 INTs in a season. Tom Brady (2022) and Caleb Williams (2024). Caleb had the 2nd most plays while trailing for a QB in NFL history at 531, only trailing Lawrence (2021).

Depends, if you are always playing from behind, you are in more predictable situations (more passing). That is why Caleb ended up with the most passing attempts amongst rookies. If you look at most QB splits, they are worse when playing from behind. So if you are playing behind more, your numbers should be lower. Caleb was within 30 passing yards of Daniels on the season. So with an even playing field, Caleb will clear all the other rookies.

CAR has the 8th pick in the 1st (NYJ has the 7th pick). In the 2nd round, the teams with the same records rotate. First goes to last, every other team moves up one slot. So CAR picks 7th in the 2nd round, which is Pick 39. The Bears have the 10th pick in the first, and move up to the 9th pick in the 2nd, which is Pick 41. Before the Jets win, CAR was still picking 8th but were the lowest 5 win team, so in the 2nd, they would've fell to the last 5-win team slot at 42. So the Bears have 10-39-41-72.

Playing with a lead is so much different than playing from behind. Out of the 3 top rookie QBs, check out the disparity in passing attempts based on the score: Williams Attempts while leading: 98 Attempts while trailing: 410 Daniels Attempts while leading: 304 Attempts while trailing: 189 Nix Attempts while leading: 226 Attempts while trailing: 224 So he had OVER 200 fewer passing attempts than Daniels with the lead. That's like 5 games or 20 quarters of play. He also had twice as many attempts while trailing than either of them.

Based on the lack of a 4th rounder (used for Booker), the Bears have to nail their first 4 picks with 75+ picks between picks after pick #72. #10 #39 (CAR) #41 #72 -Following Picks will change, but currently: #147 #197 (PIT) #218 or #246 (CLE) #233 (CIN) Depending on the board, they may want to move back with one of their 2nds or the 3rd to pickup another pick. Examples: Moving from#41 to #48 would net a mid-4th Moving from #41 to #55 would net a late 3rd. Moving from #73 to #85 would net a mid-4th.

Yeah, finally. We not only beat them but hurt them in the playoffs. Going from playing TB vs PHI is a huge difference.

The Bears and Packers finished with the same DIV Record at 1-5. They were 10-1 out of the Division. That is crazy. They may be the biggest disparity between in and out of division games I can remember. So they were a blocked FG from finishing 0-6 in the Division, that is wild.

Final Stats: 351-562, 62.5%, 3541 Yds, 6.3 Y/A, 20 TD, 6 INT, 68 Sacks, 87.8 QB Rating, 46.5 QBR, Rushing: 81-489 Yds, 4030 Total Yards.

Bears pick 10th, Panthers will pick 7th, but as the worst 5-12 team, since they rotate picks, the Bears 2nd rounder will be one better than the Panthers. So #10, #41, and #42 (CAR)

3,541 Passing Yards, 20 TD, 489 rushing yards. So Caleb ended up with 4,030 total yards on the season. Not bad. The 20 TD to 6 INT was nice.

That's wild. The Bears played GB surprisingly well this year all things considered. They lost by a blocked FG, and if not for the Moore fumble, they would not have needed the GW Kick by Santos. However, I think that was a better way to go out as a walk off, stick it to GB, now they have to go to PHI in the WC Round, they could've had TB.

There is actually a realistic chance that all 4 of these teams could win, which would be wild. That would drop the Bears to the 5th pick. Tua is out, MIA is going to be miserable on the road in the cold with nothing to play for. Indy got lit up by Drew Lock and the Giants. LAC should resting starters, and CAR has looked solid over the last month. I would take any better pick, but 7 or better gives a very high chance at getting Graham, Carter, or Campbell.

I think we all expected a different season as a whole. I think he has improved, but that is really hard to see considering the chaos around him. The way the schedule played out also makes it challenging to compare early vs late. However, go back and just watch the Week 1 game against TEN and then any recent game. You can clearly tell he has improved. For the other QBs, I am not so sure any growth is visible. Daniels still has 1x 300-yd game (against Bears), and his signature win is a game against PHI where Kenny Pickett was at QB. Daniels only had 2 INTs in his first 10 starts and has 7 INTs in his last his last 6 games. Maye has been consistently mediocre all year. Outside of his scrambling, that is the only thing keeping him viable. Otherwise he is good for an INT per game. Nix? How about 6 INTs in his last 4 games. It is much easier when you are bum punching. People are too wrapped up with W-Ls. Nix won a game where he threw for 130 yards and 3 INTs. Daniels gets credit for a win where he had 2 passing attempts and 6 yards. Penix? Every stat is worse than the QB he replaced. Yards per game down, TDs down, INTs up, Rating down. He got to sit most of the year to average 212 passing yards, 0.5 TD and 1 INT a game. If you watched the last game, he did not look good at all. Daniels has received all the praise, even when he was doing nothing more than Williams or Nix, except that the Commanders were winning. It is so bad that he made the Pro Bowl over other QBs and was one of the highest vote getters, while Mayfield had over 700+ passing yards and 14+ Passing TDs. You would think that Daniels would be dominating, yet he has averaged only 8 yards per game passing more than Williams, and 6 of those came this last week when he had over 100 yards passing more than Williams. Daniels will easily win the ROY, but if you swapped records with Williams, he would be no more in the discussion than Williams is right now. It is record first, everything else second. Williams last 7 games have been an absolute gauntlet: SEA, DET, MIN, SF, DET, MIN, GB. No team has played a tougher schedule over this period, and it is not even close. I would love to see what Daniels and the Commanders would've done against that schedule.

It was a very competitive league, 8 teams had a chance to make the playoffs going into the last week of the regular season. I was very lucky this year. It almost always comes down to injuries and the waiver wire. I lost both of my QBs Prescott and Tua but was lucky enough to pick up Mayfield who ended up as a top 5 QB. That saved my season. Not having players on super late byes helps too. I only had 1 player with a bye after week 12. That helped a lot too.

Pelissero said if he had to guess, it would be Johnson to the Bears. He said Johnson is intrigued with Caleb and the skill position players. When he took over Detroit was 25th in scoring, the next year they were 5th and only added Jamo who had 1 reception his rookie year. So it wasn't personnel. He did that with the same group. The next year he got Monty, Gibbs, and LaPorta while trading Hockenson.

That's a wrap on the 15th Season of the Talkbears Fantasy Football Keeper League. Thanks to all those who participated this year. For anyone looking to join a long-standing Keeper League, it looks like we will have 2 openings for new GMs for the 2025 season. So if you are interested, let me know. Final Standings 1. Win in Rome 2. Nopper 3. SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! 4. Hock Tua on my Chubby 5. PapaBear 6. Nips&Tips 7. Victorious Secret 8. My Team Sucks 9. On IR 10. The Bunny

It is kinda exhausting, because in a way, Poles was the same way. The whole Trubisky thing where Poles made it seem like drafting him was some otherworldly achievement. Adam Shaheen in the 2nd round? Kevin White with the following players on the board: Todd Gurley, Andrus Peat, Erik Armstead, Marcus Peters, and DJ Humphries? Honestly, coaching has been an issue, but missing on 1st and 2nd rounders have killed the Bears over the last 20+ years. It is like the curse of Urlacher's hairline. Look at the 1st and 2nd rounders since him, warning, this may be sensitive to some viewers: D. Terrell, A. Thomas, M. Colombo, M. Haynes, R. Grossman, C. Tillman (yay), T. Harris (nice), T. Johnson, C. Benson, M. Bradley, D. Manning, D. Hester (woohoo), G. Olsen (traded-lol), D. Bazuin (wtf), C. Williams, M. Forte (cool), No 1st or 2nd rounders for 2 yrs, G. Carimi, S. Paea, S. McClellin, A. Jeffery (traded), K. Long (hurt), J. Bostic, K. Fuller, E. Ferguson, K. White, E. Goldman (lazy), L. Floyd (not resigned), C. Whitehair (ok), M. Trubisky (ugh), A. Shaheen, R. Smith (traded), J. Daniels (no resigned), A. Miller, C. Kmet, J. Johnson (boom), J. Fields (traded), T. Jenkins (hurt). Tillman, Harris, Hester, Forte, Long, and Fuller are the only players with multiple Pro Bowl appearances (for the Bears). Fuller was drafted a decade ago in 2014. So I will at least give Poles props that he has not completely shit the bed on these picks: Gordon, Brisker, Wright, Dexter, Stevenson, Williams, and Odunze.

Then the only hope is Cunningham and the new Coaching staff have more influence on personnel.

Receivers dropping passes, miscommunication, running the wrong route is good for 10%.

LVR and JAX both won. So there are 4 games with draft implications that could help the Bears draft position: MIA @ NYJ - (MIA is terrible in the cold), MIA favored by 1. JAX @ IND - IND just lost to the Giants, so JAX can beat them. IND favored by 5.5 (at home). LAC @ LVR - Is LAC resting starters for WC Weekend. LAC favored by 5.5. CAR @ ATL - CAR has looked good but keeps losing, with ATL basically eliminated who knows. ATL favored by 7.5 (at home).

We are finally put out of our misery for this season at around 3pm on Sunday. The Bears played GB tough the last time, but have not been the same team in weeks. Just like the 2nd game against DET and MIN, I don't see this one going too well. Game time temps are supposed to be in the low-20s to high teens with wind chills as low as 10 degrees. I can't see Santos making a kick longer than 40 yards. I expect them to dink and dunk, try to run the ball (won't be successful because of the OLine and Swift) and just survive the game without any major injuries. GB is playing for WC positioning, and it is a pretty big deal. It will be the difference between a game at TB/LAR or PHI. Besides weather, TB or LAR are much better matchups than PHI for most of the WC Teams. Washington plays at the same time and GB ends up as the last WC team and plays PHI with a WAS win or a win against CHI and a WAS loss. So if WAS is up big after halftime, GB may pull their starters to rest and prevent injury. I would. For the Bears, the only thing to watch for is Caleb's numbers. Can he get 207 passing yards to hit 3,600, 1 TD Pass to hit 20, and 21 rushing yards to hit 500. Those would all be huge milestones, especially if he can stay clean in the INT department. In the bad department, Caleb is 3 sacks away from 70, and 8 away from tying David Carr for the most in NFL history. Caleb is already 4th all-time lol, and only needs 2 to pass David Carr's other season of 68. It would be fitting for Caleb to get sacked twice and finish with 69 and 3rd all-time behind Carr (76) and Cunningham (72). Here is hoping he can keep it at 2 or under and not hit 70. Other potential milestones, Swift needs 106 rushing yards to hit 1K (unlikely). Moore needs 120 yards to hit 1K (possible). Allen needs 81 to hit 800, and Odunze needs 84 to hit 800, Kmet needs 29 to hit 500, and Scott needs 995 to hit 1K. One of the more funny ones, Taylor needs 343 punt yards to hit 4K, LMAO. The defense literally has no one near any sort of milestone. Back to the game, with GB having everything to play for, at home, in the cold, and CHI having virtually nothing to play for, I see GB winning handily 31-13.

I can't believe the Bears are gonna draft at #9 with a 4-13 record. I think some teams will want to move up, so unless an absolute blue chipper is there, I would trade down and try to gain some draft capital. Another pick in the top 75 or an extra pick next year would be great.

I know hindsight is always 20/20, but I keep getting "smartest guy in the room" vibes from Poles. He could've grabbed a Center or a Guard instead of Kiran, Taylor, or even Booker knowing how weak the line was. Kiran was a tackle, who was injured. That is a luxury pick, so was Taylor. That's great when your roster is stacked, but there were players to be had at those picks that would've contributed. Scott instead of Puka. Velus Jones, your 3rd pick ever, is a projected returner who is 3 years older than his competition. How embarrassing. Passing up on Carter, trading up for Stevenson, and drafting Pickens altogether. What is he thinking?