adam

Braxton and Kmet both out this week.

If you watch the tape, it is not as bad as it was made out to be on the broadcast. There was a lot of immediate pressure, and the Saints actually had one thing working, pressure+coverage. They were daring the Bears to run the ball. I will be more concerned if it is a trend and doesn't improve in the next few weeks.

The crazy part about the previous Bears QB discussion is that I feel Trubisky deserves another shot at starting before Fields.

He is also doing it with a banged up secondary. The Bears are starting CB5/6 with Johnson, Stevenson, Gordon, Smith, and Frazier out.

The Lamar news is huge. Huntley had 68 yards passing in his last start. The Bears have to win this.

Yeah, true. I guess if there was ever a week for Loveland to explode, this is the week.

I couldn't find a missed game, and his lowest total snap count in a single game is 13, which is his only game under 20 total snaps. He only has one other game below 25 snaps. So 90 career games, 88 with 25+ snaps, and until this week, has never missed a game or had fewer than 13 snaps in a game (where he left with an injury).

ffs on these injuries, Gordon out, Stevenson out, Kmet out. Swift, Booker, Santos all questionable. Gordon is soo frustrating, they already paid the guy, he has never played a full season, and now going into Game 7 of his 4th year, has missed 14 games out of 58. That is not good. Basically hurt for 25% of his career. Kmet is interesting with the trading deadline on November 4th looming. Is he being rested as a precaution?

This is the longest stretch in season that Jackson has missed and came back. In the two other seasons where he missed a game and came back, he didn't particularly play very well, at least on the passing side. In 2021, when he missed a week and came back, he passed for 165 yards, 1 TD, and 4 INT against the Browns. The offense scored 16 pts. In 2020, he also missed one game, and came back against DAL and passed for 107 yds, 2 TD, and 1 INT. So this time, including the bye, he will have been out of game action for 3 weeks before this game.

Looking back at the all-22, there were about 50 extra yards left on the field by mainly Swift and Monangai. It is so weird. Swift is following blockers, then out of the blue, says nah I'm good, and runs right into a defender who tackles him. Monangai did it too, where there is blocker straight ahead engaged, and he can go left or right, with no one on one side and defender on the other, he goes right to the defender who tackles him. So as much as the accuracy issues need to be addressed in the passing game, there are still more yards left on the field in the running game.

He was a full participant today but Harbaugh did say this:

Moore will have a $28M cap hit in 2026, but if they want to move on from him, it will have to be via trade. His dead money would be $35M if cut before June 1st. No way that is happening. For cut candidates from the higher priced guys, Edmunds, Kmet, Swift, and Santos are the only ones with low enough dead money if they needed to cut any of them. It seems like Santos is the only one that would fit the bill there. All the others would seem to have some trade value. If Edmunds and Swift keep playing like they do, they could be in line for extensions or restructures. Kmet may be moved at the deadline. Any further lack of involvement in the offense would seem to further lower his value. I don't even know where that is at anymore. A guy like him, with the emergence of so many younger TEs, seems like TE2/3 type of player. Kiran is a no-brainer, but they may see if anyone is willing to trade a late round pick for him as he is still young, just inexperienced.

Byard has been a 1st Team All Pro twice in his career. Thru 6 games, he is on pace to match and/or exceed those numbers this season: This Season 2025P - 88 Tackles, 11 INT, 14 PD, and 6 TFL All-Pro Seasons 2017 - 87 Tackles, 8 INT, 16 PD, and 3 TFL 2021 - 88 Tackles, 5 INT, 13 PD, and 1 TFL Unc is cooking.

The biggest factor is going to be the cap. In order to bring in a big contract, the Bears would have to move a big contract.

and BAL has one of the easiest schedules remaining after the Bears: MIA, MIN, CLE, NYJ, CIN, PIT, CIN, NE, GB, PIT, they could easily rattle off 8-9 wins in this run, and there wouldn't need to be many upsets.

Caleb needs 108 passing yards to hit 5K for his career, and 1 TD pass to hit 30. If he does that on Sunday without throwing an INT, he will be the only QB in NFL history to throw for 5K Passing Yards, 30 Passing TDs, 500 Rushing Yards, and fewer than 10 INTs in their first 24 games to start a career. The only QB close is RG3 who threw 14 INTs. No other QB is under 15 that has the other 3 stat categories. RG3 had 32-14.

I am wondering if Johnson has told Caleb to throw the ball at all costs instead of scrambling, even when he has space to run? Why do I say this: The last two games, 4 rushes, -2 yards per game, with kneel downs accounting for 3 rushes for -4 yards total. So he has only rushed 5 times for 0 yards in the last two games in total. Going back since the start of the 4-game winning streak? 21 rushing yards in total. In the first two (both losses), he averaged 43 yards per game rushing. So he has dropped 38 yards per game on the rushing side between the 2-game losing streak and 4-game winning streak. That just seems like too much of a coincidence to not be purposeful. He has never had a streak of 4 games like this rushing the ball.

I do find it interesting that the Bears have the 9th highest rated team in PFF while the Ravens are 29th. Their D-Line is no longer elite, so they rely on Kyle Hamilton to make plays all over the field.

4-2 8 @ Baltimore Ravens - TOSS UP (Allowing a league high 32.3 ppg) 9 @ Cincinnati Bengals - WIN (Only scoring 19.4 ppg AND allowing 30.6 ppg) 10 New York Giants - WIN (scoring 21.9 ppg AND allowing 25.3 ppg) 11 @ Minnesota Vikings - TOSS UP 12 Pittsburgh Steelers - TOSS UP 13 @ Philadelphia Eagles - LOSS 14 @ Green Bay Packers - TOSS UP 15 Cleveland Browns - WIN (Only scoring 16.1 ppg) 16 Green Bay Packers - TOSS UP 17 @ San Francisco 49ers - TOSS UP (Only scoring 20.7 ppg) 18 Detroit Lions - LOSS 7-4 with 6 toss-up games, split those for a 10-7 record.

I would love for the running game to hang another 150-200 on the Ravens. That would more than likely equate to a win.

PFF Grades are always amusing. For this game, only two players on the entire team had a below average grade (below 50.0). Benedet had a 43.2 and Turner had a 29.7 on 10 snaps. The top 5 on offense were: Swift - 83.6 Dalman - 74.8 (kind of funny considering the snap issues) Monangai - 73.8 Thuney - 72.7 Jackson - 72.1 (he is slowly getting better and better, you don't hear his name called much) Top 5 on defense: Edwards - 86.8 Wright - 85.9 Jackson - 83.9 (only 14 snaps, but he seems to always be around the ball) Dexter - 76.6 Gordon - 74.1 Funny Grades: Edmunds - 53.6 (he was all over the place making plays, this is a ridiculous grade) Williams - 62.4 (for the first time ever, I think they gave Williams a higher grade than he deserved, accuracy alone puts him under 50.0, so I don't know what they are looking at.

I know it is asking a lot, but I want to see it for at least one more game. Why? Because Swift never had 3 great games in a row. It is really baffling. Here are his games before and after 100 yard rushing games in his career: 2020 - 22, 116, 27 2021 - 27, 130, 136, 0 2022 - 144*, 56 *-Week 1 2023 - 3, 175, 130, 56 2024 - 91, 129, 51 2025 - 38, 108, 124, ? His highest total in any of the 3 games that follows a 100-yd game is 71. The most likely yardage for him following a 2nd 100-yd game is 53. He has never had 3 straight games with 75+ rushing yards in his career.

Yeah good find. Offense up 7.4% and defense down 7.1% (which is better). Interesting nugget when looking at those. The Bears have the 2nd lowest penalized defense with 30 penalties for 209 yards. That is hard to believe considering how many bogus calls they have received. The offense is the 8th most penalized unit with 53-454 yards. So as a team, the Bears are a net -245 in penalty yards. That is almost an entire game's worth of yardage over 6 weeks, or 41 yards per game. That is way too high. The Bears lead the league in Turnover Differential at +11, which is the total of the 4th and 5th best teams combined at +6 and +5.

Lamar has not practiced yet, so this is something to watch. If he is out, this becomes much easier.

Since the Hail Mary game, Daniels has now went 14 games without passing for 280 yards and has went 8 straight without a Comp% over 75. I still think it is wild that a QB can be getting so much hype for passing for 222 yards against TEN.