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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. Caleb trolling Lions fans with gifts to his O-Linemen, this man is on another level right now. So some dude posted a picture about cracking open a bottle when Ben Johnson gets fired from the Bears (because so many fans were so butthurt when he left), and Caleb bought his protectors the same bottle lol.
  2. This is SF's biggest net rest difference this season, -2 days. They have to somehow figure out how to handle Xmas too, so it will be interesting to see how they look. The Bears went right to work a day early but like a normal week so they could give the players Xmas off, then normal travel to SF. So they get Christmas off and an extra day of rest to prepare. If SF also takes Xmas off, half of their practices will be walkthroughs this week as they just got back from IND this morning. The Bears need to take advantage of this early and often on SNF.
  3. adam

    Pro Bowl Voting

    Dalman, Thuney, and Byard make the cut, they are the Bears 2026 Pro Bowlers. I feel like Nahshon Wright is probably the biggest snub for the team.
  4. Possibly, but Cousins signed a 4-yr deal a month before they drafted Penix. Darnold also signed a one-year deal with Minnesota before they drafted McCarthy. The timing just seemed off on both of those deals. Then Minnesota doubled down on bad after McCarthy got hurt, Darnold led them to a 14-3 season, with 35 TD to 12 INT, over 4,300 yards, and instead of righting the wrong, they let him walk and roll with McCarthy. Darnold repeated his play with SEA, now 12-3 while MIN is 7-8 in last place and McCarthy is injured for the 4th time.
  5. Early on there were a lot of concerns about the Bears picking Loveland over Warren (or a DT, Edge, or OT). Warren came out of the gate on fire and was really looking like one of the best TEs in the league while Loveland was still recovering from surgery and getting limited playing time. Right now Warren's raw stats look better, but those are essentially padded by playing time. Warren has 200 more offensive snaps than Loveland and 41 more targets. However, since November, Loveland has been one of the best TEs in the league. In that span, he beats Warren in every category. Warren has been pretty bad the last few weeks, with only 8 catches on 21 targets, for a total of 64 yards. Loveland had 4-63 against CLE alone. This has actually turned out to be one of the better TE classes with Warren, Loveland, Fannin, and Gadsden all with over 500 yards receiving as rookies.
  6. SF jumped up with that win. Now it is #5 CHI vs #8 SF. A Bears win and they would move into the top 3, an SF win, and they would move into the top 5. Huge game.
  7. To be fair, 22 of Purdy's 34 attempts were to McCaffrey, Kittle, and Jennings. Of the 62 offensive plays that weren't kneel downs, McCaffrey was targeted or carried the ball 29 times, almost 50% of the offense. Purdy had 2 carries for 11 yards, so it was not like he was scrambling either. The Bears need to do whatever it takes to take McCaffrey out of the game. Force someone else to beat you.
  8. If you need any more evidence about Caleb Williams, check out Jahdae Walker's presser from yesterday. Walker stated Caleb called him after a home game earlier this season and asked him to meet him at the indoor facility, where they proceeded to practice and run routes for 3-4 hours, after a game, Caleb is calling up a UDFA rookie to get him extra reps and work on whatever he needed to work on. How crazy is that? Then in Week 16, this dude is called upon to make a game-tying TD on 4th Down. Impressive.
  9. Have to contain McCaffrey. Kittle didn't finish the game, left with an ankle injury.
  10. I didn't like the fake ranking systems that just used "feels" to figure out how good teams are, so I made my own. On the left I have a raw score, then on the far right, a weighted ranking. The Bears are 10th raw and 5th weighted which takes into account turnover differential. I am adding Explosive Differential next to make it even more refined. However, without knowing the outcome beforehand, Rams being #1 and Jaguars being #2 (after beating DEN) feels pretty good. Does any team look out of place? Just based on tiers, LAR is in their own tier, then JAX, SEA, HOU, and CHI are probably in Tier 2, followed by BUF, DEN, and NE.
  11. If SF loses to IND, the Bears should be favored the last two weeks. SEA has to play in CAR, and then in SF to close out the season. They just have to lose one of those for the Bears to have a shot at the #1 Seed. LAR should easily win out against ATL and ARZ to finish 13-4 and 8-4. So depending on what SEA does, they could end up as a 13-win 5-seed playing an away playoff game in CAR or TB. GB @ CHI (3rd meeting in 6 weeks) SF @ PHI SEA/LAR @ CAR/TB (CAR beat LAR, TB beat SEA) The Divisional Round could then look like: PHI/SF @ CHI (Week 13 or 17 Rematch) LAR @ SEA (3rd meeting in 10 weeks) NFCC: CHI @ SEA or LAR @ CHI (This would be crazy, because the 5th seed would have to travel to the East Coast for the Wild Card, then to SEA/LAR for the Divisional round, then potentially to CHI for the NFCC. No matter the outcome, the #1 seed is more than likely playing the #5 Seed in the Divisional Round, which should be SEA or LAR, unless the 6 or 7 seed wins in the Wild Card round. You only want to have to play the #1 seed or the #5 seed, not both because they could be the top 2 teams in the conference.
  12. adam

    Pro Bowl Voting

    There is a WAS fan who did it last year for Commanders players. It seems like someone did it for the Bears this year. Only the top/top guys will get in since the fan vote is only worth 1/3 of the actual voting.
  13. After the Zach Miller TD, you have to make sure there is no doubt, especially when the ground is involved and the defender is contacting you. DJ's play was too close for comfort in my opinion especially considering how many calls have went against the Bears this year.
  14. DJ kind of worried me when he let the ball hit the ground when he laid out like he was dead. Hold onto the ball for a few more seconds so there is no way they can say he didn't "complete the catch". I felt like he let it go pretty quick.
  15. adam

    Pro Bowl Voting

    That's the issue with them lumping all the players into a single tweet, then everyone retweeting the hell out of that one. Somewhat odd that Moore, Kmet, and Santos were missed though.
  16. adam

    Pro Bowl Voting

    Clearly someone scripted something that included McCloud and Booker. No Santos, Moore, or Kmet lol.
  17. adam

    Pro Bowl Voting

    Hilarious: 10 Bears players were the #1 vote getters in the @NFL: Dalman, Thuney, D. Wright, Swift, Brisker, N. Wright, Byard, Edmunds, Duvernay, and Taylor 7 others were top 3 vote getters: Blackwell 2nd (1st in NFC) Jackson 2nd (2nd only to Thuney) Daly 2nd (2nd in NFC) Dexter 2nd (2nd in NFC) Sweat 3rd (2nd in NFC) Williams 3rd (1st in NFC) Loveland 3rd (2nd in NFC) 9 Others: made the top 10: Stevenson 4th (3rd NFC) Jarrett 4th (4th in NFC) Odunze 6th (5th in NFC) Benedt 6th (5th in NFC) - lol Burden 7th (6th in NFC) Edwards 7th (3rd in NFC) Billings 7th (6th in NFC) McCloud 8th (5th in NFC) - lol x2 Booker 8th (4th in NFC) Kicker and Fullback were the only two position groups the Bears didn't have a player in. Cairo snub.
  18. As far as I can tell, DJ Moore has the 2nd most games played without a playoff appearance at 129. The only player I have found with more is Justin Simmons (Safety) now with Atlanta at 134 games.
  19. The Bears/Packers game was not typical. The Bears had the 2nd lowest score of any winning team this week. I hope it is not that close. I would like a 2 score lead late in the game.
  20. There are two guys that stand out for me when you consider their draft status and or contract vs performance this year. So far on offense, that is Monangai who has 731 Rush Yards, only 97 fewer rushing yards than Jeanty, but with 69 fewer carries. He also has 140 receiving yards on 14 receptions. With 871 Yards from Scrimmage, he only needs 129 total yards to hit 1K with 2 games left. For a 7th Rounder, that is some crazy production. The Bears are 7-1 when Mongagai gets at least 12 touches, and 4-3 when he doesn't. Feed him! On defense, it is Nahshon Wright. 5 INTs and 2 FF, 1 TD, and 11 PD. The Bears are 6-1 when he forces a turnover, and the only loss was the Week 1 debacle vs MIN. I don't know if there is another player who has made impact plays that have directly contributed to wins like he has this year. Then you consider that he was doing this because everyone else was injured and played a bunch of time as CB1 makes it even more amazing. Other notable guys, are Swift, Wright, Thuney, Dalman, and Jackson on offense. Swift has really changed his running style and I love it. The O-Line vets were expected to be good, but Wright, Thuney, and Dalman are playing near All-Pro levels, and Jackson started off slow, but has really turned into a top 10 RG. The emergence of Loveland and Burden lately has been exciting as well, but somewhat expected for higher draft picks. On defense, Byard leads the NFL in INTs and has held down the secondary thru all the injuries. Edmunds was off to a strong start before the injury, hopefully he can get back to that level. The same with Edwards. On the flip side, the only really disappointing player on offense with a lot of playing time has been Oz. He has dropped a few easy uncontested passes that would've been massive gains and his targets took away from Loveland and Burden's early on. On defense, there are a few guys, but Odeyingbo takes the cake for me. Even before injury, he was not living up to his contract size as Edge2. Billings and Brisker have underperformed quite a bit, Gordon's lack of availability and performance when he did play has hurt, and guys like Sewell and McCloud who have played a lot of snaps have severely underperformed, even as backups. QBs have a 140.7 QB Rating when targeting McCloud, a 140.0 when targeting Gordon, a 128.3 when targeting Sewell, and 125.4 when targeting Brisker. Sewell also has a 13.4% missed tackle rate and leads the team in missed tackles. For the most part it seems like every other player has played within their band of expectations, at least on paper. Did I miss anyone?
  21. Swift now with 993 Rushing Yards with 2 weeks to go. Monangai with 731, which is wild to me.
  22. There has never been a QB to pass for 7K Passing Yards, 45 Pass TDs, with 15 or fewer INTs in their first two seasons. Williams needs 59 Pass Yds and 2 TDs without throwing 4 picks in the last 2 weeks to hit that mark. To break this down, there have only been 18 QBs to hit 7K, of those only 13 with 45 Pass TDs, and none with fewer than 17 INTs. If you include Rushing Yards (800) and remove the INTs, the only QB left is Kyler Murray who had 7,693 Pass Yds, 46 TD, 24 INT, and 1,363 Rush Yards. Williams has half the INTs with 2 games to go. A 50% difference in any raw stat is massive. Kind of funny, but Williams comps to Murray and Luck, while Nix comps to Bortles and Carr, for the first two years of their careers.
  23. 2024 QB Class Totals: 1. Nix - 7,383 Pass Yds, 53 TD, 22 INT, 41 Sacks, 659 Rush Yds, 8 Rush TD, 8 4QC 2. Williams - 6,941 Pass Yds, 43 TD, 12 INT, 91 Sacks, 858 Rush Yds, 3 Rush TD, 1 Rec TD, 8 4QC 3. Maye - 6,223 Pass Yds, 40 TD, 18 INT, 80 Sacks, 808 Rush Yds, 6 Rush TD, 1 4QC ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. Daniels - 4,830 Pass Yds, 33 TD, 12 INT, 65 Sacks, 1169 Rush Yds, 8 Rush TD, 4 4QC ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. Rattler - 2,930 Pass Yds, 12 TD, 10 INT, 40 Sacks, 313 Rush Yds, 0 Rush TD, 0 4QC 6. Penix - 2,757 Pass Yds, 12 TD, 6 INT, 17 Sacks, 81 Rush Yds, 2 Rush TD, 0 4QC 9. McCarthy - 1,450 Pass Yds, 11 TD, 12 INT, 27 Sacks, 174 Rush Tds, 4 Rush TD, 1 4QC Two interesting nuggets not in the stats, but in the splits. Williams has the highest Play-Action rate, 29%, compared to Maye at 19%, and Nix at 15% (almost double Nix). The splits are similar to Shotgun vs Under Center, where Williams has the most time Under Center at 37%, Maye at 30%, and Nix at 25%. Thru 32 potential games, Williams is 2nd in Pass Yds, 2nd in Pass TDs, 1st in INT%, 3rd in Sack%, 2nd in Rush Yds, and T-1st in 4QCs. The top tier is clearly Nix, Williams, and Maye, and all for different reasons. Daniels would be in there, but durability and injuries were always the risk. I don't know what Atlanta or Minnesota were thinking moving off Cousins and Darnold for Penix and McCarthy were always head scratchers, and after Year 2, they look worse. Darnold is a top 5 QB and Cousins is at least serviceable.
  24. EPA/Play: CHI OFF: T-9th CHI DEF: T-11th SF OFF: T-9th SF DEF: T-23rd Offenses are identical in efficiency, but the 49ers defense is one of the worst on a play-by-play basis.
  25. Moore has 129 regular season games without a playoff appearance, Billings is at 107g, Jaylon Johnson at 75g (he missed the one in 2020), Daly is at 74g, and Dalman is at 72g. Jaylon is the longest tenured Bear without a playoff appearance. This is feeling more and more sustainable every week.
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