adam

The more this goes on, the only 3 players that may be available at 10 that I think Poles would select are Campbell, Jeanty, and Warren. I think he looks to trade down if all 3 of those guys are gone. This is assuming Carter, Hunter, and Graham are gone too.

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Part 2 2025 RELEASE PFF DRAFT GUIDE (p2).pdf

Here is the PFF Draft Guide, so big, I had to split it in two for those that don't have access to it. 2025 RELEASE PFF DRAFT GUIDE (p1).pdf

I feel like Jeanty is one of the guys that Poles wouldn't trade away if he is sitting there at 10. For me it feels like Graham, Jeanty, Warren and Campbell are the 4 guys that Poles would pick if they were there at 10. My assumption is only one will be available.

I have seen people talking about CLE potentially wanting to move back into the 1st to take Sanders, especially if they take Hunter at #2 and Sanders is still there at #10, after NO at #9. The potential trade would be #10 for #33, #67, and a 2026 1st. Why would CLE do it? They need a QB on a rookie deal, can't pass up on a generational talent like Hunter, and they just signed Garrett to a huge deal. They are essentially getting their 2026 1st rounder a year early, and the premium for that is #33 and #67. Why would CHI do it? They would only od it if a blue-chipper doesn't fall to them at #10. The hope is they won't be in the top 10 anymore anytime soon. They would then have #33, #39, #41, #67, and #72 in the 2025 draft AND 2x 1st rounders in 2026. I would assume they could also trade back into the first if they wanted to OR even trade back from #33 because those first few picks always seems to be traded on Day 2.

After running a bunch of mocks, if Sanders goes in the top 9, these are more than likely the available players at #10. I listed the next 23 players to get to pick 32. Some of these guys will slide into the 2nd, but for me, if one of the top 9 don't drop, I would rather take anything to move back because I don't see much difference from Green to Scourton or Membou to Zabel, etc. Thoughts? Barron - CB Starks - S Campbell - LB Membou - OL Green - ED Johnson - CB Burden - WR Pearce - ED Ezeiruaku - ED Grant - DL Simmons - OL Egbuka - WR Banks - OL Golden - WR Nolen - DL Hampton - RB Loveland - TE Williams - ED Steward - ED Walker - ED Zabel - OL Scourton - ED Harmon - DL

Good depth piece and another STer. The ST unit is going to be a top 10 unit this year.

I have not seen him drafted higher than 13, but right now between 18 and 32 is his range. The weird thing is, he was productive, fits the 3T mold perfectly, has a high PFF grade and measurables. So if you took the school and name off the player, why is he so much worse than Graham? Playing in the SEC, he had 14 TFL and 6.5 sacks as an All-American. Graham had 7 TFL and 3.5 sacks as an All-American playing in the Big Ten. Nolen even put up those numbers after transferring from Texas A&M, which feels noteworthy.

According to NFL.com's Draft Tracker, Nolen is the 5th best prospect and 1 of only 6 players with a grade above 6.50.

Who is your sleeper pick at #10? Who is no one talking about, but could be a selection at #10? I am going to say Walter Nolen, DT, Ole Miss. He is ranked between 13-32 in pretty much every mock but to me, seems a little underrated. Why Nolen? He is the most physically gifted DT, had high production, and graded out as one of the best DTs in 2024. He also fits Dennis Allen's scheme and is an ideal size for a 3T. He could also be a trade-down option if the Bears stay in the teens. What are your thoughts?

It comes down to roster construction. It would be nice to have Jones as a backup, but that's a luxury, especially with Kiran on the roster. I could be wrong but it feels like Poles would want to get max value for Jones if he was planning on not extending him.

I still think if they go LT, they are trading Jones either on draft day or at the deadline. I might be wrong but with how the high draft picks work, they almost always have to be a Day 1 starter in some capacity.

Zaccheaus for PR and Duvernay for both PR/KR?

It is interesting looking at the mock drafts this year as the Bears have no real consensus player pick like in previous years. However, OL is selected in over 50% of the picks. OL, Edge, and RB are the 3 highest position groups. About 56% is OL, 19% Edge, 18% RB, and DT at 7%. Will Campbell - 24.5% Kelvin Banks - 21.5% Ashton Jeanty - 11.3% Others - 42.7% Mykel Williams Omarion Hampton Josh Simmons James Pearce Jr So it seems that at #10, the Bears will more than likely pick an OL, Edge, or RB.

I know they picked the Bears last year because of Caleb's rookie year, but this year would've been so much better to see Johnson at work with his new staff and the revamped roster.

One thing I noticed with these mock draft simulators, there is a huge difference depending on how many QBs go in the top 10, with some having Dart go in the top 10 (Kiper has him going to NO at #9). So the draft looks completely different if 3 QBs go in the top 10.

Ok, elite is the wrong word, more like "true starters". Moore was 9th amongst WR's last season in receptions in one of the worst offenses in the NFL. People refer to George Pickens as a WR1, yet he only had 5 more receptions and the same amount of TDs than Odunze, who was WR3 on one of the worst offenses in the NFL. So unless you think you need to upgrade over Moore or Odunze, then you probably shouldn't look to go WR anytime in the first couple of rounds.

This is honestly the big question. The biggest weakness today is still Edge I think. There is no one after Kmet. RB is under average with Swift. I think Zaccheaus is enough at WR. Rarely do you see a team with 3 elite WRs. I think you have to get an Edge, DT, RB, and TE in the draft.

Very true, I am just saying at #10, it would be a luxury to pick a LT if you were going to keep Jones AND think Kiran could be his replacement. Kiran becomes a wasted 3rd rounder if he doesn't start at some point. Poles already whiffed on Velus and Pickens, Kiran might be another one.

I still think drafting Kiran that early was to replace Jones, knowing he would sit a year. So unless you can get the top OT and he is a surefire upgrade at LT, then you almost have to address another position at 10. That is why I think TE (Warren only), WR, RB (Jeanty only), DT, and Edge are all on the table at 10. For whatever reason, I don't think Poles will use 10 on the OL after committing so many resources to it with Thuney, Dalman, and Jackson. If he trades down, sure, but at 10, he is going to want to get a Day 1 starter. The other crazy option I was thinking about was trading Braxton during the draft, or at the trading deadline (Poles seems to do that instead of the comp picks). If that is the plan for Jones, then I can see #10 as the best LT. That may be the only way I can see it right now.

So the Bears have 6 2025 starters that are in the last year of their contracts. Additionally, I believe there are two players under contract for 2026 that will be likely cap casualties. That makes 8 holes for 2026. You can't fix everything in FA, and in one draft, so knowing Poles, he is looking at this now. First are the cut candidates, I think Swift and Edmunds will be gone, that would save $22.5M against the cap for 2026 with limited dead cap. RB - Swift - cut candidate, $7.5M cap savings, $1.3M Dead LB - Edmunds - cut candidate, $15M cap savings, $2.4M Dead The other 6 are listed here: DB - Gordon? DT - Billings? LB - Edwards? OT - Jones? S - Brisker? S- Byard? What stands out to me is that out of the 8 players, 6 are on defense with 5 of the potential back 7 being new players in 2026. I feel like Gordon has the highest probability of an extension. Billings seems like another one depending on his health in 2025. Either way, right now those are holes. Considering it is really hard to get starters after the 3rd round, the Bears almost have to address 3 of these positions with the first 4 picks. Ultimately, the Bears may take a Safety or ILB in the top 4 picks, which is normally not ideal, but to keep the roster balanced, it seems like Poles has to at least consider the 2026 roster in the 2025 draft. Thoughts?

I know trades are hard, but if THE guy is not there at 10, it feels like a trade is a real possibility. With 2x 2nds, I could also see a trade back to the later half of the 2nd with a team wanting to move up early on Day 2. The hauls for moving back from 10 AND moving down from 39 is crazy. I keep getting SEA 18 and 50 to move back from 10. Then to move back from 39, I got HOU 58 and 79. So the updated picks look like: 1 - 18 2 - 41, 50, 58 3 - 72, 79 5 - 148 7 - 233, 240 4 picks in the first two rounds would be amazing, and 6 in the top 80?

5 sacks in 719 snaps, and 2 in 724 in 2023. So a 2-yr total of 7 sacks in 1443 snaps, about double the rate of our new IOL guys. However, OTs tend it give up more sacks because they are facing off against the elite pass rushers. The best OTs allows 0-2 sacks in 1K snaps. The average guys about 3-5, so Jones is at the backhalf of that range.

I like it, DLine would be insane.