adam

He just needs to get stronger and be able to take on a bull rush.

Stats vs teams with a winning record: Player G Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Y/A Y/C Drake Maye 1 20 33 60.6 243 3 2 88.3 7.4 12.2 Jayden Daniels 3 63 101 62.4 662 3 1 87.1 6.6 10.5 Caleb Williams 5 108 178 60.7 1132 5 2 83.8 6.4 10.5 Bo Nix 5 106 173 61.3 1038 4 6 71.4 6 9.8

🤔🤔Strength of Victory: DEN SoV .302 CHI SoV .292 NE SoV .292 (w/ Maye starting) WAS SoV .281

Maye has only played one winning team, Daniels only two. Maye 0-1 vs winning teams Daniels 0-3 vs winning teams Nix 0-5 vs winning teams Williams 0-5 vs winning teams

Nix: 11 TD, 0 INT vs LVR, ATL, CAR 6 TD, 8 INT vs everyone else 🤔 No one is talking about this Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more as well? Daniels: WAS is 3-2 when he throws an INT. All other QBs have a losing record when throwing an INT. Last 5 wins: TEN, NYG, CHI, CAR, CLE who have a combined 15-45 record. His other wins: ARZ, CIN, and NYG again lol. Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more? Interesting trend for rookie QBs. Maye: 5 straight games with a TD and INT (1-4, only win vs Bears lol). The Bears game is Maye's only win as a starter (where he finished the game) Just to clarify, no rookie QB has a win against a team that is currently over .500.

Last 3 games, 4 rookie QBs, two are getting ORoY consideration, can you guess who: A. 71-110, 64.5%, 874 Yds, 7 TD, 2 INT, 14 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 888) B. 75-117, 64.1%, 827 Yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 142 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 969) C. 75-106, 70.8%, 742 Yds, 4 TD, 3 INT, 112 Rushing Yards, 2 FL (Total Yards 854) D. 72-100, 72.0%, 672 Yds, 6 TD, 4 INT, 126 Rushing Yards, 2 TD (Total Yards 798) I thought it was pretty wild that all 4 were within 4 completions of each other. The only other thing that stood out was one QB was clean the last 3 games while the other 3 had at least 2 INTs, and one QB had 2 rushing TDs while the other 3 had zero. If you take away the names, I don't know how Williams is not in the discussion with what he is doing lately. It goes to show that wins have more of an impact on the awards than raw stats.

I know these can be taken with a grain of salt, but there are some good stats in there beyond the grades. Some of the grades actually pass the eye test. I find it interesting that the top 3 offensive players in PFF for the Bears are on the OL, Wright, Jones, and Jenkins, and all the OL are higher than Williams, Kmet, Odunze, Allen, and Swift. The only offensive skill players higher than Shelton and Pryor are Moore and Roschon. The good thing is the worst starter, (according to PFF), is Swift at a 62.0, which means every starter is above average (60.0). The worst players with over 100 snaps are: Lewis - 43.3, Everett - 45.3, and Borom - 49.3 which passes the eye test. On defense, the top player with over 100 snaps is Terell Smith (79.1), which makes it even more baffling why they keep running Stevenson out there. The biggest surprise for me is the fall off of Jaylon Johnson; he has fallen off a cliff during this losing streak and is now 8th on defense, falling all the way from 1st. The pleasant surprises are Byard (79.0) who has been a massive upgrade from Jackson, and Dexter (71.4). There are 3 starters on defense below the Mendoza Line, Stevenson - 57.7 (I am surprised he graded that high), Edmunds - 57.2 (feels about right, not enough impact plays), and Taylor - 56.1. Pickens is the only defender below 50 with over 100 snaps at 49.9. Using 60 as the metric, here are the number of snaps, by position, for players with a grade below 60: CB - 642 (Stevenson) LB - 740 (Edmunds) ED - 490 TE - 378 DT - 340 G - 218 T - 218 WR - 157 Taking it down to 50, these would be the critical upgrade areas: TE - 378 (Lewis/Everett) T - 218 (Borom) DT - 130 (Pickens/Williams) G - 76 (Kramer) LB - 5 WR - 5 TE2 has really been a black hole for the Bears this year. For an overall team grade, the Bears are 19th with a 77.3, the best 4-win team and better than WAS, DAL, and MIA, all who have better records than the Bears. They are also only 0.5 lower than GB. Coaching matters.

1. JAX 2-10 2. LVR 2-10 3. NYG 2-10 ------------ 4. NE 3-10 BYE > 3-10 5. CAR 3-9 PHI > 3-10 6. NYJ 3-9 MIA > 3-10 7. TEN 3-9 JAX > 4-9 8 CLE 3-9 PIT > 3-10 ----------- 9. CIN 4-8 DAL > 5-8 10. NO 4-8 NYG > 5-8 11. CHI 4-8 SF > ? The Bears currently have the 11th pick, 40th pick (CAR), and the 43rd pick. There is a good chance both of the other 4-8 teams get a win this weekend, and TEN as well to move to 4-9. If the Bears win, they could drop to 13th. If they lose, there is a good chance they could slide to #9. Based on the remaining schedule, it is very unlikely that more than 2x of the 3-win teams win 2 games, so the Bears losing out would probably only get them to #7. Finishing 5-12, probably #9 or 10. 6-11? Probably #12.

What do you guys think about Mike McDaniels? He was all the hype and all of a sudden, after a 5-7 start, there are whispers that he is soft and the team is playing soft. This was also something mentioned late in the season last year and during the playoffs where they were 1 and done. Do teams take on the persona of their HC over time?

I thought he looked and sounded confident. He did that all off the cuff and none of it was the bs generic jargon we have heard from Flus for the last 3 years. Also, 3 weeks ago he was the Passing Game Coordinator, and now he is sitting in front of the media as the HC after the OC and HC have been fired. That's a huge leap. He did not seemed overwhelmed by the moment.

This game is actually going to be exciting because SF needs a win just as bad as the Bears. They are reeling too. They still have Kittle and Deebo, and Jennings, so the offense will be fine. It will be interesting to see if Bosa plays because if not, that DL is suspect.

In the last 3 seasons, the Bears have signed or traded for at least 37 players, I am sure I missed a few. Of all the trades and free agent signings, I have 5 players that have exceeded expectations based on contract or trade value. Who did I miss? I know you can't hit on all of them, but it feels like there are way too many at the bottom. Super long post, but let me know if you think this looks accurate? This group exceeded expectations: 1. Moore - has been as close of WR1 as they have had since Alshon and Marshall 2. Edwards - great LB signing 3. Billings - underrated DT 4. Byard - huge upgrade from Jackson 5. Taylor - for a 6th round pick? A pleasant surprise at Edge --------------------------------------------------------- For me this group has performed as expected or close enough based on their contract: Sweat - 6th highest contract, 58th in sacks with 4.5 Swift - signed a top 10 contract, currently 19th in rushing yards Walker - $7M AAV for rotational DL Owens - fairly solid ST player and backup S Shelton - has steadily improved at C, was super shaky for first 6 weeks though Jones - played solid DT for the Bears, but they didn't resign him Carter - solid returner, filled in as WR admirably ---------------------------------------------------------- This group played decent but did not live up to contract: Allen - huge contract, 4th round pick given up, finally played to his potential on Thanksgiving. Need to see that for 5 more games. Edmunds - Massive overpay for a very average MLB, 3rd highest LB contract in the NFL Ngakoue - Was supposed to be that Edge2 the Bears needed, never lived up to it --------------------------------------------------------- This group of lesser players that were average at best: Bates - Poles lovefest Pryor - meh Homer - meh Obongbemiga - meh St. Brown - meh Morrow - meh, but then goes to the Raiders and leads NFL in tackles? Blasingame - meh ------------------------------------------------------- This group underperformed or were underutilized: Everett - has looked terrible, like super bad, we gave up some young UDFA TEs to keep him Cole - ST player Foreman - spent half the year inactive Patrick - was horrible, leaves the team and magically becomes a Pro Bowler Lewis - I have never seen a player come in for one play, get penalized for a false start, then leave the game as much as Lewis. ------------------------------------------------------- This group was a hot pile of garbage: Feeney - Poles traded for him Cruikshank - terrible Siemian - why Pringle - omg this guy sucked Muhammad - a tackling dummy would apply more pressure than he did Dozier - Poles thought signing arguably the worst G in the league would be a good idea? Peterman - really? Tonyan - This guy was supposed to be TE2 and had brick hands. He should be playing volleyball at San Jose St. Davis - This guy is still getting paid by the Bears Claypool - worst trade in the last decade, never trade a pick before you know the slot 5 names? That's it. Again, please tell me what Poles has excelled at and done better than the Vikings, Packers, and Lions front offices? It feels like the Bears are getting lapped, yet they had the pick of the litter over the last 3 years. Draft picks up next.

Technically this would be the easiest defense they have faced since Brown took over. Allen has looked much better/healthier, and most of the players should be well rested after the mini bye. While SF comes back frozen from Buffalo. That extreme weather change is tough.

SF at 5-7 is favored by 3.5 pts at home. They are playing after a SUN Night game in the snow in BUF, while the Bears are coming off their mini bye at Thanksgiving. SF has lost 3 straight and have been outscored 73-20 in their last two games. McCaffrey looks to be out for the year, so it will be interesting to see how they respond. With the Bears, it will all come down to how the team responds to Brown as the HC. The talent is there as they have been in every game this year outside of the ARZ game. Otherwise, they had a chance to win any one of the other 7 losses. They could've easily beat 3 of the top 10 teams in the league over the past 3 weeks. EPA/PLAY: CHI OFF is 23rd, DEF is 10th (OFF has been top 10 since Brown took over as OC) SF OFF is 10th, DEF is 15th If the Bears offense plays like a top 10 unit, and the defense can play in the top 15, the Bears should have the edge in this game. The recent odds also suggest that the Bears as slight favorites. I am going with Bears 27-20

Maybe it was some lingering injury issues, but the old (good) Keenan Allen showed up on Thanksgiving. He looked light years better than he has all year long.

The Warren/Poles press conference was brutal. I have never seen Poles look like a kid who just got yelled at in the other room before family photos. At least Brown was on point. I really like this guy. I can't believe he was not highlighted more in Hard Knocks. He is a complete 180 compared to Waldron and Flus. The players still need to execute on the field, but I would not be surprised if they win 3-4 games out of the last 5.

Caleb's QBR in his last 6 games: Last 3 with Brown: 84.3, 77.4, 66.1 Last 3 with Waldron: 35.2, 19.9, 13.1

Caleb had a 66.1 QBR against DET and now is over the magically 50.0 boundary at 50.5. The highest QB output since Cutler was Trubisky in 2018 with 3,223 yards and 24 TDs. Williams should surpass the yards and has an outside shot at the TDs.

Washington or Hightower I would assume, so Brown can stay in the booth to call plays, but I would not be opposed to any of those 3.

If Poles wants to keep his job, he has to fire Flus this weekend. Otherwise, he has tethered himself to this abortion of a 3-year stint.

I honestly would not be surprised if the win out after he is gone. He is that bad of a HC.

Once Caleb saw the time, he changed the play to go for the win because there would not be enough time for another play. He also said it's not his place to call a timeout in that situation.

Thru 12 games: 1. Moore - 663, needs 67 per game for 1K 2. Odunze - 543, needs 91 per game for 1K 3. Kmet - 448 4. Allen - 441, needs 112 per game for 1K 5. Scott - 0, needs 167 per game for 1K Now it looks like Moore is the only one with a shot at 1K. He should also finish with around 90 receptions.

Caleb needs to average 245 yards in his last 5 games to break Erik Kramer's team record of 3,838 passing yards. He now has 14 Passing TDs and is on pace for 20 TDs. He has averaged 276 passing yards a game with 5 TD and 0 INT over the last 3 games where Brown was the OC. He has faced GB, MIN, and DET, all top 10 defenses. If he averages this same amount for the last 5 games, he would have 3,990. So 4K is still in play. He needs one big game and he should hit it.

Trestman was passive, but he never made this many blunders. Eberflus is the laughingstock of the NFL.