adam

EPA/DB - Williams ended with +0.47, which is the 9th highest this season overall and 4th highest with 25+ attempts. Crazy to think it would've been higher if Moore doesn't drop that super easy catch too. Of the 4 with 25+ attempts (Allen, Mayfield, Burrow), Williams had the highest pressure rate, 5% higher than Mayfield. EPA/DB gets tougher with more attempts and yards, because an incomplete and lack of yards on a pass will drop it. Williams and Burrow are the only players with a top 10 EPA/DB game AND over 300 yards passing.

Pulling the starters, even for a few plays helps. The defensive starters did not play in the last drive, 9 plays.

Yeah it will more than likely be an ugly game. Penalties and turnovers will probably decide it.

yeah 10 games is not a Fluske

Thru 5 games: 107-170, 62.9%, 1,091, 6.4 Y/A, 5 TD, 4 INT, 81.3 QB Rating, 36.6 QBR. With his 2nd 300-yd game, he would need 4 more in the next 12 games to join this exclusive group: 300-yd games as a rookie: Herbert - 8 Luck - 6 Stroud - 6

Williams with a QBR of 84.0 this week, currently leads the NFL thru the THU and early SUN games. Wow, super impressive. Since Week 2, Williams has improved every week. That should put his overall QBR close to 40 which would be on par with Love and Herbert. 21.3 > 35.1 > 38.6 > 84.0

Jordan Love throws into triple coverage, and somehow Reed catches it. Then he throws a terrible pick-6 trying to avoid a safety. He is not a good QB, he just gets incredibly lucky. Outside of that ridiculous bomb, he is 4-10 with 19 yards, 1 INT (Pick-6).

Early Line has Bears favored by 1 or a PK, depending on the sportsbook. JAX is 1-4, defense allowed 34, 24, and 47 their last 3 games. They barely beat a Flacco led Colts without Taylor. The Jags offense got going with 37 pts. This is going to be a close game, but I am going with 24-20 Bears going into the bye at 4-2. The Bears defense is the best unit amongst both teams.

Bears now 5th in points differential.

Bears are now WC2, the 6th Seed, at 3-2. If the season ended today, they would be playing the 3-seed, Seattle.

2-1 in the last 3, need a win against JAX in London. JAX just won so they won't be as desperate as if they were coming in winless. JAX's offense came alive, Lawrence with a 300-yd game, Bigsby with a 100 yard rushing game, Thomas with a 100 yard receiving game. Their defense allowed 34 to a Flacco led Colts team without Taylor.

Williams - QB Rating the last 4: 51.0 > 80.8 > 106.6 > 126.2 3 TD, 0 INT in his last 2 games, 5-2 in the last 3. Only 1 sack, had 7 in Week 2, then 4, then 3, and now 1. Offensive Line improving.

Defense - 10 pts allowed, 1 INT (should've been 2), 4 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, 6 PD, 292 yards allowed. Offense last 7 quarters - 60 pts, 8 TDs

BEARS WIN! Very solid game all around minus a few plays (drops, penalties, and the one play they over pursued on defense). Another win, not allowing 20 pts. Another home win. Williams now has 2x 300 yard passing games in his last 3 games.

They need the practice, low risk if they don't get it.

Shelton is also not playing terrible. 5 TDs is nice. The defense needs to shut this thing down and not let any garbage time TDs. I hate those.

Damn Moore, that would've put Williams over 300 yards passing. Way too many drops today.

Not bad! First Half Today: Williams 11-15, 73.3%, 200 yds, 13.3 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 154.9 Rating

Tremble led with this helmet, should be a penalty too. Great turnover, Brisker laying wood. Dexter is everywhere.

That was bad. Just go heavy with Doug Kramer as a lead blocker. Not rocket science.

If you are running up the middle on 4th Down, why not have a lead blocker? Seriously.

I love the addition of Byard, Jackson was such a liability the last few years. Byard is so sound, love it.

Yeah, too many playmakers not to score a lot.

and he still is improving

I know they say they can't do uptempo all the time, but I can't think of a drive they went uptempo on and didn't score. It feels like every time they do, they score.