Everything posted by adam
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Caleb Williams QBR Tracker
As rookies, in their first 5 games to start their careers, there have only been 4 QBs to have over 1K passing yards, 100 rushing yards, 5+ Passing TDs, less than 5 INTs, with a 60% Comp%. Caleb became the 4th yesterday, to join Herbert, Minshew, and Watson. Even with Caleb's first few games, he is still on historic pace. With his season averages, Williams is on pace for 3,709 passing yards, 17 TD, and 13 INT. He is averaging 274 yds and 1.7 TDs per game over the last 3 games. Here is what he has to do to challenge some of the team records for passing in the remaining games: Average 229 yds per game for the remaining 12 to surpass Erik Kramer's team record of 3,838 passing yds in a season. Average 242 yds per game for the remaining 12 to hit 4K. Average 249 yds per game for the remaining 12 to equal Kramer's yards per game average. Average 2.1 TDs per game to hit 30 Also, on a side note, Stroud ended up with 4,108 passing yds and 23 TDs last year. Williams would have to average 251 yds per game to hit that number, and only 1.5 passing TDs a game to hit 23. I think the crazy thing is none of those seem outrageous or unrealistic.
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51% of snaps
Fields needs basically 3 1/2 more starts to get the Bears a 4th rounder. It seems like Steelers fans are quickly getting accustomed to what we have experienced over the last few years. Their defense allowed 20 pts and lost. In the last two weeks they had the ball last with a chance to win or tie and lost. Fields has been super efficient, but 131 yards passing against a ravaged Dallas defense is almost impossible to do. Previously his rushing saved him, but he only added 27 yards on the ground. They have some easy games coming up, so I hope they go with Fields for the next 3 until the bye, that would be LVR, NYJ, and NYG.
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Caleb Williams QBR Tracker
EPA/DB - Williams ended with +0.47, which is the 9th highest this season overall and 4th highest with 25+ attempts. Crazy to think it would've been higher if Moore doesn't drop that super easy catch too. Of the 4 with 25+ attempts (Allen, Mayfield, Burrow), Williams had the highest pressure rate, 5% higher than Mayfield. EPA/DB gets tougher with more attempts and yards, because an incomplete and lack of yards on a pass will drop it. Williams and Burrow are the only players with a top 10 EPA/DB game AND over 300 yards passing.
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Week 6 Official Game Thread - JAX @ CHI, Sun, Oct 13, 0830AM CDT, NFLN, CHI -1
Pulling the starters, even for a few plays helps. The defensive starters did not play in the last drive, 9 plays.
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Week 6 Official Game Thread - JAX @ CHI, Sun, Oct 13, 0830AM CDT, NFLN, CHI -1
Yeah it will more than likely be an ugly game. Penalties and turnovers will probably decide it.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
yeah 10 games is not a Fluske
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Caleb Williams QBR Tracker
Thru 5 games: 107-170, 62.9%, 1,091, 6.4 Y/A, 5 TD, 4 INT, 81.3 QB Rating, 36.6 QBR. With his 2nd 300-yd game, he would need 4 more in the next 12 games to join this exclusive group: 300-yd games as a rookie: Herbert - 8 Luck - 6 Stroud - 6
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Caleb Williams QBR Tracker
Williams with a QBR of 84.0 this week, currently leads the NFL thru the THU and early SUN games. Wow, super impressive. Since Week 2, Williams has improved every week. That should put his overall QBR close to 40 which would be on par with Love and Herbert. 21.3 > 35.1 > 38.6 > 84.0
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Jordan Love throws into triple coverage, and somehow Reed catches it. Then he throws a terrible pick-6 trying to avoid a safety. He is not a good QB, he just gets incredibly lucky. Outside of that ridiculous bomb, he is 4-10 with 19 yards, 1 INT (Pick-6).
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Week 6 Official Game Thread - JAX @ CHI, Sun, Oct 13, 0830AM CDT, NFLN, CHI -1
Early Line has Bears favored by 1 or a PK, depending on the sportsbook. JAX is 1-4, defense allowed 34, 24, and 47 their last 3 games. They barely beat a Flacco led Colts without Taylor. The Jags offense got going with 37 pts. This is going to be a close game, but I am going with 24-20 Bears going into the bye at 4-2. The Bears defense is the best unit amongst both teams.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Bears now 5th in points differential.
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So if the season ended today
Bears are now WC2, the 6th Seed, at 3-2. If the season ended today, they would be playing the 3-seed, Seattle.
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Next 4 games
2-1 in the last 3, need a win against JAX in London. JAX just won so they won't be as desperate as if they were coming in winless. JAX's offense came alive, Lawrence with a 300-yd game, Bigsby with a 100 yard rushing game, Thomas with a 100 yard receiving game. Their defense allowed 34 to a Flacco led Colts team without Taylor.
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Caleb Williams QBR Tracker
Williams - QB Rating the last 4: 51.0 > 80.8 > 106.6 > 126.2 3 TD, 0 INT in his last 2 games, 5-2 in the last 3. Only 1 sack, had 7 in Week 2, then 4, then 3, and now 1. Offensive Line improving.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Defense - 10 pts allowed, 1 INT (should've been 2), 4 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, 6 PD, 292 yards allowed. Offense last 7 quarters - 60 pts, 8 TDs
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
BEARS WIN! Very solid game all around minus a few plays (drops, penalties, and the one play they over pursued on defense). Another win, not allowing 20 pts. Another home win. Williams now has 2x 300 yard passing games in his last 3 games.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
They need the practice, low risk if they don't get it.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Shelton is also not playing terrible. 5 TDs is nice. The defense needs to shut this thing down and not let any garbage time TDs. I hate those.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Damn Moore, that would've put Williams over 300 yards passing. Way too many drops today.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Not bad! First Half Today: Williams 11-15, 73.3%, 200 yds, 13.3 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 154.9 Rating
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Tremble led with this helmet, should be a penalty too. Great turnover, Brisker laying wood. Dexter is everywhere.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
That was bad. Just go heavy with Doug Kramer as a lead blocker. Not rocket science.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
If you are running up the middle on 4th Down, why not have a lead blocker? Seriously.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
I love the addition of Byard, Jackson was such a liability the last few years. Byard is so sound, love it.
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Week 5 Official Game Thread - CAR at CHI, Sun, Oct 6, 12pm CDT, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 43.5
Yeah, too many playmakers not to score a lot.