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Everything posted by adam
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I am just sick of Trace Armstrong hirings. He is making millions off these transactions knowing the Bears will come back to the well ever 3-4 years with another need.
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At this point, it would be a miracle if the Bears drafted outside of the top 10. With that in mind, I wanted to see what type of players were available in the top 10. According to a collection of big boards here is what I came up with: T. Hunter CB/WR - most likely non-QB to go #1 T. McMillan WR - I feel like the Bears are good at WR with Moore and Odunze and a vet like Allen or someone else can be WR3. M. Graham DT - I would love him on the Bears A. Jeanty RB - Not the ideal position for the Bears, but if he fell to #9, that would be a hard one to pass up. A. Carter ED - Would be amazing across from Sweat W. Johnson CB - Not the biggest need but would be nice across from JJ M. Starks S - Brisker should be back W. Campbell OT - I want him or Graham as my 1a and 1b N. Scourton ED - Another nice option across from Sweat K. Banks OT - I feel like he would be the pick only if Graham, Carter, Campbell, and Scourton were gone. So no QBs listed in the top 10, even though Sanders, Ward, and Milroe are coming out. There is a good chance that teams looking for a QB will have to bite the bullet, because Sanders, Milroe, and Ward are not lasting to the 2nd round. That helps the Bears as if any QBs go before the Bears pick, a star is falling to the Bears. 1. LVR - Needs QB 2. NYG - Needs QB 3. NE - 4. CAR - depends on how they view Young 5. JAX - 6. TEN - depends on how they view Levis 7. NYJ - Needs QB 8. CLE - stuck with Watson for at least 2025 9. CHI - 10. NO - Needs QB The only teams outside of the top 10 that could want a QB are IND, ATL, and possibly even PIT.
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With the CIN win, the Bears are the lone 4-win team, locked in at #9. If the odds play out, the Bears will lose their last 4 games. So at worst, they will have the #9 pick. In order to move up, they would some of the 3-win teams to win 2 out of their last 4. These are the remaining games that have 5-win teams or worse facing off. JAX has the easiest path to 2 wins. TEN also has a shot. CAR has been playing well but losing, and NYJ almost won this week. Then we have Week 18 where WC teams may rest their starters. Week 15 - NYJ@JAX, DAL@CAR, CIN@TEN Week 16 - JAX@LVR, CLE@CIN Week 17 - TEN@JAX, LVR@NO Week 18 - None My prediction is if the Bears lose out and finish 4-13, they will Pick 6th or 7th.
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OLine and better route schemes. I have never seen so many receivers within 10 yards of each at the same point in route tree. Like you have to know that one defender can basically cover all of them, let alone 3 or 4.
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This one should be fun. It will depend on what Chicago team shows up. If the same one that has mailed it in shows up, this is an easy 20 pt win for Minnesota. If the Bears roster plays up to potential, it will be a lot closer like the first game. However, looking at what Shanahan did to Washington on Sunday, I am assuming KOC will know how to use Jefferson, Addison, Hockenson, and Jones the same way. My initial thought on this is 31-13 Vikings.
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What I am saying is, in a vacuum yes, the Bears can improve with a few key positions, but so can every other team in the league, so it cancels itself out. In order to improve, you have to draft better than the next team and sign free agents that are better than the opponents. I don't think Poles has to done that yet. Will the team fire him? Probably not, because he drafted Caleb and he really didn't get to hire "his" HC. So we will see. I am just thinking, if they lose out, and he has the worst record of any team and GM in the NFL in the last 3 years, how could they justify bringing him back?
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His QBR is all sacks. He would be a top 10 QB without the sacks for QBR.
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The Sanborn thing was crazy, when you do allow a guy to catch a pass in the field of play and just stare at him. Why was he not diving at the guy fighting for the ball?
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It is like any other business. You remove the underperformers until you find the right guy. You don't know if the next guy will work out, but you already know the current guy is not working out. What less would Poles have to show to make you believe that he needs to be fired? How many more losses in a 3-year period? How many more losses in a row?
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Do you really think 3 FA or high draft picks is going to change this? It's not like the other teams are not picking any players. So the Bears get 3 players in the first two rounds, while pretty much every other team gets 2. That is a net gain of one potential player, and that is only if the Bears picks pan out. There is no emotion here, they have lost 7 straight and this current roster is a 4-9 team. In the last 6 games, they have as many one-score losses as blowout losses. So teams like the Jets, Browns, Jags, Titans who are very similar to the Bears are close and should also just run it back? These are all terrible teams with terrible rosters that lack star power. Again, if CAR happens to win 2 more games this season and the Bears lose out, the Bears will be tied for the worst team in football over the Poles era. That is not emotion, that is fact.
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2-pt conversions don't count for stats, even if he caught it, he would have zero receptions.
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Thru 13 games it is clear that the roster is too weak to compete. At a minimum, they need a new LT, C, and RG. My assumption is they will keep Jenkins and Wright. I don't think Allen comes back, so they will need a new WR3, which is a need, but more like tier 2. TE2 is also in this group. On defense, they need a true Edge2, DT, CB2, and probably S. That is 9 starters or key contributors. For upgrades, they need to look at RB, LB, and rotational DT. That is 12 new bodies and we would be going into Year 4 of a rebuild. That is unacceptable in my opinion.
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Cole Kmet did not have a target yesterday. That is only the 2nd game in his career where he did not receive a single target.
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Thru 13 games: 1. Moore - 712, needs 72 per game for 1K 2. Odunze - 585, needs 104 per game for 1K 3. Allen - 471, needs 132 per game for 1K 4. Scott - 0, needs 250 per game for 1K
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I have never seen a zone where the LBs are within 5 yards of the LOS but the Safeties are 25 yards downfield leaving a huge hole in the middle of the field. I was surprised Purdy even had an incompletion.
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That was one of Caleb's worst games of the season. QBR of 32.5, 3rd lowest of all QBs, only O'Connell and Levis were lower. He is up to 2,746 Passing Yards, 16 TD, and 5 INT thru 13 games. Nix 2,842, 17 TD, 8 INT Daniels 2,819, 15 TD, 6 INT Williams 2,746, 16 TD, 5 INT So all 3 rookies are within 96 passing yards, 2 TDs, and 3 INT. The most alarming thing is his sacks, now up to 56 thru 13 games, a franchise record with 4 games left. The next closest QB in the NFL has 41 sacks (Stroud). So Caleb is on pace for over 70 sacks, which is insane. I would say at least a 1/3 of them are on him at this point.
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The team needs to purge itself of whatever has infested the organization. Whether it is weakness, passiveness, being too nice, whatever it is, they need to clean house and start fresh while Caleb is still on his rookie deal. I would fire Poles, the entire coaching staff, and other staffers that have bred this losing culture over the past 3 years. For the roster, I am saving some cap space by cutting or trading Edmunds, Everett, and Bates to free up about $15M. Some dead cap for Edmunds but it would be worth it. I would be open to trading just about anyone on the roster for draft capital. Poles has now built a team that has had 2 losing streaks 7 games or longer. There are teams that have not lost 7 games in that same time frame, but people are defending Poles. This is the 2nd worst team in the NFL over the past 3 years and there is a good chance CAR passes the Bears with 2 more wins in the last 4 weeks to put the Bears at the bottom.
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The roster is too weak. If SF could do that to the Bears with 10+ starters injured, then the 3-4 guys the Bears were missing shouldn't have mattered. Their 5th string RB scored a TD on the Bears defense. At the end of Year 3 and the team still needs a DT, Edge, CB, probably another S, and an upgrade at LB. That's 5 on defense. On offense, they need at least 3 on the O-Line at a minimum and a real threat to catch the ball at TE. That is another 5 players without counting depth pieces. There is no way this roster should be that weak after 3 full offseasons.
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The way the defense looked, one other thing is apparent. Washington as a coordinator sucks too. Too many guys way out of position.
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The Bears won't end up at #9 with 4 more losses. Probably #6 or #7 at this point.
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The Bears have the #9 pick, #35 (CAR), and the #41 pick. Assuming they lose out, which looks very probable, they will have 3 picks in the top 40 and 4 in the top 70.
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This will probably be the most active thread from here on out. The Bears currently have the 9th pick at 4-9, but CIN has not played yet this week at 4-8. If CIN wins, the Bears stay at 9, if CIN loses the Bears drop to 10th. This next week, JAX 3-10 vs NYJ 3-10, guarantees another 4-win team. 3-win CAR also plays 5-win DAL, and 3-10 TEN plays 4-win CIN. In order for the Bears to get a better pick, we need several of the current 3-win teams to win at least 2 more games. Realistically though, even with the Bears losing out, I don't think they get a pick better than #6, which still requires 3x 3-win teams to win 2 out of the next 4. This is a terrible year to be bad. The Bears could finish with 4 wins, with 11 straight losses and not get a top 5 pick.
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His 2nd punter he drafted in 3 years. Great use of draft capital. Auto draft using a big board with BPA picks would've yielded a better team after 3 years.
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Poles has to go. The Bears need a clean slate to start fresh with Williams. Someone needs to come in and build inside out, all trenches until they are top 10 units.