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adam

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  1. adam

    Final 7 games

    Fields had the 5th best QBR game this week with a 73.9. In his last 3 full games, his QBR is 73.8, which would be tied for 2nd in the NFL with Dak Prescott. For the season, Fields is now up to 44.9 (23rd). His sack rate and INT rate are the two things keeping him down, but every week he has been trending up. PFF gave him a 65.9 for the game, which is below his season grade, but higher than average. To show how crazy the PFF grades are though, Jack Sanborn had the lowest grade at 30.2, Sweat the 2nd lowest at 39.8. On offense, Wright had a 49.1 grade, yet he held down Hutchinson the entire game.
  2. adam

    Final 7 games

    Interesting perspective here: In the game against CAR, with the Bears holding a 3pt lead in the 4th quarter, Bagent had a 1st down passing attempt, a 2nd down passing attempt, and 2 3rd down passing attempts when trying to close out the game. 4 pass attempts while the team rushed the ball 6 times for a 40% pass rate. Then against the Lions, in the 4th quarter, the Bears rushed 15 times and Fields had one pass attempt (the incomplete to Scott), 6.25% pass rate in the 4th quarter. So the Bears had more trust in Bagent to allow him to pass the ball 40% of the time than they have in Fields to close out the game. The Bears went 20:14 of game time between passing attempts from the 3rd to 4th quarter. The last time DJ Moore was targeted was 11:54 left in the 3rd quarter. Moore got no targets for the last 27 minutes of play. That is why it is hard for me to blame Fields, even after the strip sack safety. One passing attempt, and it was the deep ball that was thrown perfectly to Scott. Why is Getsy not scheming up plays for Moore and Kmet in crunch time? How about Kmet, he had 4 targets, all in the first 14 mins of the game. Kmet was not targeted again for the last 46 minutes of play.
  3. There are 3 more division games, win those, go 3-3 in the division for the season. Start somewhere. Beat ARZ and ATL to finish 8-9. That would be an 8-5 finish to the season.
  4. btw, has everyone seen enough? Two months later and it is literally the same song and dance. Nothing has changed except the opponent and date. OCT 1st, 31-28 loss to Denver, they had a 28-7 lead with 20 seconds remaining in the 3rd quarter and lost 31-28. The game was tied 28-28, and instead of kicking a FG to take the lead, they go for it on 4th and 1 in that game and don't make it. Logically, you want any lead over a tie in that situation. Then fast forward to yesterday, and with a 9 pt lead, you kick a FG on 4th and 1 to go up by 12, which still makes it a 2 score game. At worst, going for it on 4th down would've left DET at the 28, so field position was a wash. So the better option is to go for it there because if you get it, you can still kick a FG, but get to burn another 2 mins off the clock at a minimum, or force DET to use all their timeouts. Another crazy thing, if you go for it and don't make it, now Detroit is only down by 9, so if they score that first TD, that would change their game plan considerably on the next drive (only needing 3 to win vs a TD). Flus/Getsy literally did the opposite of what you should do in those situations, and both times failed and lost.
  5. Two months later, and we are dealing with the same stuff. I keep flip flopping on Poles, but the more I think about it, do we really want him picking or dealing with 2x top 5 picks? The same guy that drafted Velus Jones, went with Brisker and Gordon instead of building the trenches first. Passed on Jalen Carter for Wright. Traded Mack and Roquan ($49M cap hit in 2024) only to sign Edmunds and Sweat ($47M cap hit in 2024). For $2M more, I would rather have Mack and Roquan. Poles continually stuck with an inferior OLine even though he needed to evaluate Fields (2023 was a waste of time). He drafts a guy like Scott who is a Mooney clone, neither can make a contested catch to save their lives. On the roster, it feels like way too many guys are overrated. On tape, the best player on defense is Jack Sanborn and they don't play him every down. Flus is arguably the worst Head Coach in franchise history (W/L wise he is), and one of the worst coaches to coach deep into a 2nd season ever. Name a single positive thing he has done? Then as a DC, we praise some pressure because the Bears were so historically low that any seems like a lot. All he knows how to do is play soft zones, which eventually stop working (like every game). Getsy can only coach with scripted plays. Once those are done, it's game over. The offense goes away from what works, then says the defense dictated that. How do you go from all that motion and redirects to straight drop back passes leaving the OLine and Fields on islands in known passing downs? He is probably the most predictable play caller in the NFL. Instead of running Herbert into a wall of 10 defenders with 7 blockers, how about play action there buddy?
  6. Of all the losses, this one takes the cake. Historic choke job + missed opportunity to win 2 in a row for first time under Poles/Flus + huge tone setter for remainder of year + Fields would be getting praise for win. On defense, they need more than just some DL help. Eddie Jackson is done. He does nothing but run around in the secondary. Tremaine Edmunds signing was a mistake. The good thing is you can safely cut him after 2024. I would honestly consider cutting Nate Davis and taking a $11M dead money cap hit next season. Otherwise, you can safely cut him after 2024 like Edmunds. Both whiffs by Poles there. It just goes to show you, you can't pour big money into FAs, they rarely work out anymore. Trade and extend (like Sweat) or resign your own guys.
  7. adam

    Final 7 games

    I am not trying to find excuses. I get the frustration of losing, it absolutely sucks, especially with the game in hand, but when it should've been Fields chance to put the game away, they handed the ball off twice and Scott misjudged a perfect deep ball. What do you think of CJ Stroud's performance today? He threw for 336 yards, 2 TD, and 3 INT, in a 21-16 win. The Texans 2nd half offense drives were FG Miss, 3 and out Punt, Interception, Interception. They literally gave the Cardinals every chance to win the game, yet Stroud "won the game", but didn't close it out for an entire half, and handed the game to the Cards with back to back INTs. Yet the narrative will be the rookie balled out, threw for over 300 yards (again) and won the game. Fields gets strip sacked with 29 seconds left, and he lost the game. Yet Fields got the Bears a 26-14 lead with 4 minutes left and scored on 5 consecutive drives.
  8. The Giants just beat the Commanders. So they should have a win or two left in them.
  9. I am not sold on the defense just yet. 4 TD drives allowed, 3 over 70 yards under 2 mins each. If they don't get those INTs, they probably allow at least 6 TDs.
  10. Historic loss, just as I suspected, no team had ever lost with a +3 turnover ratio and 40 mins of ToP. The Bears are the first team to achieve it and will probably be the only team for the next 90 years to do so. Thanks Flus.
  11. adam

    Final 7 games

    So if DET scores with 0:00 on the clock and Fields never gets the ball back. Did he do enough to win the game? The offense scored 26 pts, and held the ball for 40 minutes. The defense allowed 29 pts in 19:36 of possession time. The offense had 25 first downs and had 71 plays. If the offense didn't hold the ball so long, the defense would've allowed 40+ in a normal game. If not for the 3 INTs, this would've been a blowout loss. They allowed 4 TD drives. The craziest stat of all, the Bears allowed 3 TD drives of 70 yards or longer (73, 75, 75), and the time of possession for the Lions was 1:36, 1:16, and 2:04. So the INTs don't matter if you are allowing a team to score that quickly on other drives. The first one ended the 1st half and the other two were the last two of the game. Those are all game killing drives. For Fields, after the defense allowed that last second TD drive before half, he started the 2nd half down 14-10 and rallied the team to a 26-14 lead with 4 minutes left. In those 4 minutes, he handed the ball off twice to Herbert into a 10-man box, then Scott misjudged a game sealing deep pass.
  12. Next week is the last week where multiple bad teams face off against each other. CAR will hopefully lose to TEN but even if they tied with ARZ, CAR would still have the tiebreaker. So either CAR or TEN loss helps the Bears. The other game is going to help the Bears as NE or NYG will walk away with a win. With NE at 2-8, it would be better for them to get a win to drop the Bears back to #3. Then it is praying Kyler Murray gets hot. If the Bears play like they did today against other teams, they will be ATL, ARZ, and GB and might beat MIN. They also have a shot at beating DET after their bye. CLE will be a tough game but winnable as well. Since the Bears are coached so bad, they probably only win 2, even though they could win out. So 5-12 is probably the number. That would mean the Giants and Titans need 2 more wins and the Pats and Cards need 3. That outcome would give the Bears pick #1 and #2. Assuming at least one of those teams flounders, at worst the Bears should get #1 and #4 (where they are at today). #1 and #3 would almost assuredly mean a QB and MHJ. It could also mean, trade out of #1 and take MHJ at #3.
  13. If that is the case, there is no reason to keep him. Why not evaluate other guys for the position? Ultimately you need a defensive positional coach to move up to be the DC play caller, and then you could have Getsy be the HC and OC. I just think by keeping him, you are accepting the state of the team and not demanding more. Losing is normal.
  14. adam

    Final 7 games

    Fields went 16-23, 69.6%, 169 yards, 7.3 Y/A, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, 1 FL, 18 rushes for 104 yards. Passing numbers still too low for me, but he made up for it with a huge day on the ground. For his first game back in a month, I would say he passed the first of 7 tests. He will need to do this but improve on it every game. Next up MIN.
  15. Tyler Scott has been downgraded for me. He can't fumble from a basic tackle and slowed up enough to miss that deep ball. His blocking has been above average for his size, but everything else has been below average for me. Mooney had one target, he clearly won't be back next year.
  16. If you had to evaluate Fields in a vacuum with this horrible coaching staff, I think he passed his first of 7 tests today. He did enough to win and they took the ball out of his hands when it mattered the most. The safety at the end was meaningless to me.
  17. CAR lost, ARZ lost, CHI lost, NYG won (yay), GB won (yay). 1. CAR 1-9 2. ARZ 2-9 3. NE 2-8 4. CHI 3-8 5. NYG 3-8 6. TEN 3-7 Tommy DeVito has as many wins as Fields. He just went 18-26, 246 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT in a win against WAS.
  18. This is why you can't keep this thing together. It doesn't work. Flus and Getsy are over their heads. They both need to go. How many "tough" losses have they had? They literally cannot win games.
  19. game over, thankfully, what a shit show. This team is so poorly coached it is ridiculous. The entire staff needs to go. 2 score lead and you run the ball into 9 man boxes. Defense plays Cover-2 with wide open receivers on every play.
  20. Remember this is Flus' defense, he called the game that allowed 29 points.
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