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How Minnesota has scored 24 pts: Carter muffs punt - 7pts 69 yard reception - 3 pts FG Blocked + 35yd DPI - 7pts 45 yard reception - 7pts 100% coaching

Flus can take Hightower with him. Back to back blocked FGs in the last two weeks, now a muffed punt by Carter. Normally subpar coverage units. What does the Bears ST do well like they have a good coach?

So how bad is Matt Eberflus? He challenged another play call that was not overturned, now over a year since he got one correct. Then when faced with a 4th and 4, he runs the FG unit out to run them off, that only gave Caleb 15 seconds to get everyone set, pass is incomplete. Turnover on downs. It is like he finds a new way to lose every week, every half, every quarter, every drive.

About what we would expect for a first half. Bears losing 14-10. Flus with terrible time management at the end of the half. He refuses to blitz which gives Darnold all day long to throw, which has led to 3 huge plays for Minnesota. If not for a strip forced fumble by Owens, the Vikings would be up 21-10. Outside of 1 bad throw, Williams has looked solid. 2 drops so far, otherwise, Williams' stats would be better. Even against one of the best defenses in the NFL, Williams has some impressive halftime stats. Compare his to some of the other rookie QBs at half: Williams 16-22, 72.7%, 176 yds, 8.0 Y/A Daniels 9-16, 56.3%, 57 yds, 3.6 Y/A, 1 INT Maye 6-11, 54.5%, 49 yds, 4.5 Y/A

So now we have to sift thru the noise and figure out if Poles is actually good or not because we know the answer on Flus, it has never been more obvious that he is just a boob. For Poles, here are his 1-4th round draft picks, you have to hit on most of these and the 1st rounders have to become close to Pro Bowl level players: 2022 - Gordon - should've been OL Brisker - On IR Jones Jr - released 2023 - Wright - when not hurt, he is not playing like a top 10 pick, could've had Jalen Carter here Dexter - has improved from his rookie year, but still just a rotational guy Stevenson - showed some flashes in his rookie year, but now is the worst CB in the NFL Pickens - waste of a pick, should've been OL Johnson - decent backup RB Scott - healthy scratch all season in year 2 2024 - Williams - no-brainer pick, but Daniels and Nix have outperformed him so far, something to watch Odunze - I love Odunze, but Poles could've traded down and gotten Thomas Jr AND another pick that could've been used on an Edge, DT, or OL Amegadjie - Head scratcher with his known injury while other OL went after him are playing at elite levels. Could've had Goncalves, Zinter, Puni, Bortolini, or Limmer (6th round). If you take a step back, that is terrible roster construction, especially when the big money when to your MLB in FA. Edmunds and Allen take up $45M in cap space. Walker makes close to $9M. None of those guys are playing up to their contracts.

The top 3 have to be in the trenches, any OLman, DT, or Edge.

For this week, we have TB vs NYG, and NE vs MIA that will have draft consequences. Ideally, we would want NE and NYG to win this week, though unlikely. If TB and MIA win like expected, the Bears would drop to #12.

Sanders or Ward will both go in the top 10. Sanders will go 1 or 2. Travis Hunter may go #1 as well. Will Cambell is the beast OL out of LSU who will go in the top 10, so will Kelvin Banks out of Texas. I did a better deep dive, in reality, a lot would have to go right for every other team to get to 5 wins to allow the Bears to pick #1. At best they will probably draft between #5-7.

Looking at future games, the Bears are underdogs in every game. So there is a scenario where the Bears can get the #1 pick 3 years in a row, but super unlikely. Due to the crazy SoS, they will lose the tiebreaker to every team. The Bears currently draft 14th. Assuming they lose out and go 4-13. What would be the most likely pick range. It will obviously come down to the other teams below the Bears at the moment. 14. CHI 4-6, plays 0 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 4-13. 13. TB 4-6, plays 6 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 8-9. 12. MIA 4-6, plays 4 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 7-10. 11. CIN 4-7, plays 3 of 6 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 6-11. 10. NO 4-7, plays 3 of 6 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 6-11. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9. DAL 3-7, plays 4 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 5-12. 8. CAR 3-7, plays 3 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 5-12. 7. NYJ 3-8, plays 3 of 6 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 5-12. 6. NE 3-8, plays 1 of 6 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 4-13. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5. LVR 2-8, plays 3 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 4-13. 4. NYG 2-8, plays 3 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 4-13. 3. CLE 2-8, plays 2 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 3-14. 2. TEN 2-8, plays 3 of 7 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 4-13. 1. JAX 2-9, plays 4 of 6 against teams at 4-7 or worse. Projection 4-13. So if the Bears lose out, they would more than likely pick #7, with a possibility to move to #5. Due to bad teams playing each other, it is virtually impossible for more than 7 teams to finish at 4-13 or worse. 1. CLE 3-14 2. NE 4-13 3. JAX 4-13 4. TEN 4-13 5. NYG 4-13 6. LVR 4-13 7. CHI 4-13 ------------- 8. CAR 5-12 9. NYJ 5-12 10. DAL 5-12 If the Bears win 1 game, and finish 5-12, they would draft 10th. They could draft as high as 9th or as low as 12th. 1. CLE 3-14 2. NE 4-13 3. JAX 4-13 4. TEN 4-13 5. NYG 4-13 6. LVR 4-13 ------------- 7. CAR 5-12 8. NYJ 5-12 9. DAL 5-12 10. CHI 5-12 If the Bears win 2 games, and finish 6-11, they would draft 12th with a chance to draft 11th or 13th.

PFF is wild but in this case, I think they actually use the raw stat for drops. From other sites, it looks like Allen and Odunze each have 3 drops, Moore has zero apparently. I have no clue what a drop is anymore. I swear there have been passes that have hit Moore in the hands and he flat out dropped it.

Hell, they probably could've traded down and drafted Thomas, got a 2nd round pick and another pick in 2025.

Honestly, he is one of the worst HCs in the entire NFL over the last decade. At first they blamed the rebuild, then it was Fields, now what is the excuse?

Looking at unit EPA comparisons: CHI 24th OFF, 27th Pass, 12th Rush, TTT 2.86, QBP 38.1 MIN 1st DEF, 7th Pass, 1st Rush, TTT 2.78, QBP 37.2 On offense, Caleb won't really feel too much difference as his TTT and QBP are almost the same as what MIN has done. The biggest factor looks to be the rush defense. MIN 14th OFF, 13th Pass, 21st Rush, TTT 3.06, QBP 36.3 CHI 8th DEF, 3rd Pass, 20th Rush, TTT 2.93, QBP 34.4 On defense, MIN is actually a middle of the road offense. Outside of JJ, it is even less. The Bears will be forcing Darnold to throw faster than he is used to which may cause his pressure rate to go up.

If you zoom out a little around Caleb's stats, considering the last few games, he really is doing amazing. So he has 2,016 passing yards in 10 games which is good for 21st in the league. Kyler Murray in 10 games? 2,058 (42 more). Justin Herbert, 2,186. Jalen Hurts, 2,197. Then 11 games, Nix with 2,275, and Daniels with 2,338. So his production is right there, one more "good/great" game and he is in the middle of all the listed QBs for passing yardage. All the while he is the only QB in those names in the top 10 in Pressure Rate and sacks. Caleb started the season with a bunch of INTs, but since then has been stellar taking care of the ball. He is tied for 6th for Turnover Worthy Passes now down to 2.1%, even though is ADOT is 10th at 8.3. Somehow PFF only has receivers listed with 8 drops on the season. That is hard to believe as it feels like there have been at least 1-2 a game. Caleb is also 6th in Rushing for a QB with only 10 fewer yards than Josh Allen in one fewer start. He is tied for the 2nd most 10+ yard runs for QBs trailing only Lamar Jackson.

Bowers has had the luxury of a ton of targets. Same with a few other TEs compared to Kmet. If Kmet had their number of targets, in most cases his stats would look even better than theirs, in some cases by a lot. Kmet leads all TEs in Catch% at 86.5 and is 3rd in EPA/Rec for TEs. Bowers: Targets - 89, Receptions - 70, 702 yds, 3 TD If Kmet had 2x the volume: Kmet: Targets - 74, Receptions - 64, 716 yds, 6 TD and if you compare Kmet's projected volume numbers with the next few TEs, you can see his numbers exceed theirs as well. Kelce: Targets - 80, Receptions - 62, 507 yds, 2 TD Otton: Targets - 70, Receptions - 49, 456 yds, 4 TD McBride: Targets - 65, Receptions - 49, 552 yds, 0 TD Waldron really messed up this offense. Hopefully we can see a solid stretch of 7 games with increased volume for Kmet.

At Swift's current pace, it would only take him 15 more years to hit that mark, when he is 40 years old.

With 10 games down, here are the updated franchise rankings: Caleb Williams, who is on pace for 3,427 passing yards would easily be the Bears single-season rookie record, but also the 5th best passing season for a Bears QB ever. That same total would put him 23rd on the Bears all-time list for career passing yards. He would then only need 3,248 to pass Justin Fields for 10th on the all-time list next season. To become the franchise passing leader, he will need a 2nd contract, and would probably hit it in his 6th or 7th season. Cutler did it in 7.25 seasons. Swift is currently 72nd on the Bears all-time rushing yards list. At his current pace, he would break into the top 45 by the end of the year. At his current pace, he can actually crack the top 25 best rushing seasons in franchise history. Swift can crack the top 20 for the Bears career rushing list late next season. DJ Moore is now 44th in receiving yards and receptions on the Bears all-time list. He has a chance to move up past Tom Waddle for 33rd on the list for receptions and 36th for receiving yards by the end of the season. It looks like DJ will need 2 more seasons to get into the Bears top 10 Receiving Yards list. At his current pace, he would need 3.5 yrs after this season to be the Bears all-time leading receiver (DJ would be 31 at that time). Kmet is now 13th for receptions and 27th for receiving yards, but is now 2nd in franchise history in receptions by a TE (Ditka) and 4th in receiving yards (Ditka, Moorehead, Clark). It looks like Kmet will need two more full seasons to pass Dikta in receptions, and probably closer to 3.5 yrs to pass Dikta in yardage. So Kmet could do it when he is 29. Santos is still 4th in FGs, and only needs 2 more to be in 3rd all-time (Gould, Butler). He is now 7th in XPs and has a shot at 6th by the end of the year. Taylor extended his franchise lead for Gross Punt Average, now up to 47.6. His net of 39.7 and is % inside 20 (40.4%) are also franchise bests. Needless to say, even after a few terrible punts, he is still the best punter in franchise history, as a rookie. Carter is now 69th, yeah baybee, for kickoff return yards. His 31.3 yards per return is 2nd only to Sweetness (31.7) for KR Average.

That's the goal right? Make more of these games winnable, but right now, this is a 5-6 win team. The entire O-Line needs to be overhauled and they need at least another DT and Edge before that can happen.

Absolutely. Remember it was Polian helping with hires and or always hiring from within. Guys like Trace Armstrong have way too much pull in the organization for not being part of it. Armstrong was Nagy's agent, Flus' agent, Poles' agent, and Waldron's agent, maybe more. That is a huge problem if you ask me.

Most Bears fans are numb this by now. So I can understand every range of emotion and don't blame people who want to cheer for a win or a loss at this point. It won't change the outcome on the field. In recent years, we have just 1 winning season in last 12, 8 double digit loss seasons, and only 1 double digit win season (2018). So if you are 20 yrs old or younger, that is all you probably know in your fandom, which is quite sad. I at least remember 85 and 2006, but we are about to be 18 yrs since the last time the Bears were in the SB. We deserve better.

I appreciate it, just trying to do the right thing and keep the league going.

Yeah, I was trying to give them the benefit of the doubt because I didn't know if they were going thru some financial hardship or something that would prevent them from paying at the time, then it went a month beyond the deadline, then two. The odd thing is I have emailed, messaged, sent notifications, and posted on here without a response, but they have changed their lineups every week. So either they are completely oblivious to any of those notifications (unlikely), or are just ignoring them. Either way, tomorrow is the deadline. Like what was noted in the leaguesafe chat, I will just remove the GM and set their lineup for the rest of the year, and adjust the winnings accordingly. With a 10% reduction the new winnings would be: 1. $395 2. $180 3. $75 4. $25 I had to make a few minor tweaks to ensure the 3rd place team still got their money back.

Since this season is already over other than for watching the progress of Caleb, I took a look at the 2025 opponents based on the current records and seeding. On paper, it will be one of the toughest schedules in the league again with only 5-6 "winnable" games. The strong division makes the entire schedule that much tougher. 11 games against teams at .500 or better, 6 games vs sub .500 teams. Home Detroit Lions 9-1 Green Bay Packers 7-3 Minnesota Vikings 8-2 Dallas Cowboys 3-7 (Dak will be back) New York Giants 2-8 (should be ez win) Cleveland Browns 2-8 (should be ez win) Pittsburgh Steelers 8-2 Carolina Panthers 3-7 (currently 4th in NFC S) (should be ez win) Away Baltimore Ravens 7-4 Cincinnati Bengals 4-7 (Bengals a lot better than a 4-7 team) Detroit Lions 9-1 Green Bay Packers 7-3 Minnesota Vikings 8-2 Philadelphia Eagles 8-2 Washington Commanders 7-4 LAR/SEA/SF 5-5 (tied for 4th in NFC W) 17th game - LVR or JAX (should be ez win) That is a full season gauntlet with a current record of 92-74 .554. The Bears current SOS is .560 with all 17 games for 2024 with current records. So next season's schedule looks to be comparable. As an expected 5-win team this year, the Bears would be only favored in 4-5 games next season and they may be road dogs for all of them.

No coach in the NFL has lost more one score games over the last 3 years than Eberflus (2-6 this year). The best winning pct in those games? O'Connell. One coach coaches to win, the other tucks his junk.

Thru 10 games: 1. Odunze - 479, needs 74 y/g to hit 1K 2. Moore - 460, needs 77 y/g to hit 1K 3. Kmet - 358, needs 92 y/g to hit 1K 4. Allen - 282, needs 103 y/g to hit 1K 5. Swift - 243, needs 108 y/g to hit 1K 6. Everett - 22, needs 140 y/g to hit 1K 7. Scott - 0, needs 143 y/g to hit 1K Unless one of the receivers has a couple of huge games, more than likely, the leading receiver will end up in the 800s. Both Odunze and Moore are the most likely. Kmet should end up close to 600, Allen in the 500s, Swift in the 400s, Everett near 100, and Scott with 0.