adam

Bears are gonna lose this game if refs keep calling the game like they are. Clear DPI now against MIN, no call. Bears getting no calls.

That or in concussion protocol. He is missing some running lanes and seems to be running right into defenders. It has been really odd lately.

#58 literally elbows Fields in the head blatantly and no call? WTF again. Bears settle for FG, tie game.

Man, Fields is getting hit on every play. Borom is a turnstile. They need to go max protect and get the ball to DJ. All this fancy slow stuff is not working. Unfortunately, it looks like the last two weeks were the anomaly so far in this game.

Velus almost with a blunder on the kickoff, decides to let it bounce, then tries to run it out and gets smothered at the 10. Luckily it hit the end zone and was already a touchback. You had one job.

The Bears defense allows a few easy plays (bends), but forces a FG (but not break). Minnesota is using max protect on almost every passing play and only have 2-3 players running routes against 6 defenders, there is no reason players should be open but they are. Jaylon with a nice PBU to force the FG. Sanborn had a nice tackle at the LOS.

Terrible start for the offense. Fields sacked an under duress every play. Borom is playing bad. Fields had to run for a few plays, nothing going in the passing game. Bears get one first down, but are forced to punt after going backwards. The defense better step up or it's going be a long game.

Tonyan too?

I thought so too, he felt like a highlight reel. However, if you just look at his stats, you would not think that at all. Here are some wild numbers from Vick: 1. Most passing yards in a season: 3303 1a. 3K yard passing seasons: 2 (out of 13) 1b. 300 yd passing games: 13 (of 115 starts) 2. Most TD passes in a season: 21 2a. 20+ Passing TD seasons: 2 (out of 13) 3. Highest QB Rating in a season: 100.2 (only season over 95.0) 4. Most total TDs in a season: 30 5. Most games started in one season for PHI: 13 6a. Playoff games started in PHI: 1 7. MVPs: 0 8. Record with PHI: 20-20 9. # of 1K rushing seasons: 1 9a. Most rushing yards in a season: 1039 9b. # of 100 yd rushing games: 10 (out of 115 starts) 10. Fumbles: 98 (in 143 games) 11. #1 Pick was traded by SD to ATL. SD selected some guy named LaDainian Tomlinson at #5. 11a. LT made the AP Team 6 times and was MVP in 2006. Vick finished 2nd in MVP voting in 2004. Let me know what you think of some of those. I was surprised at how low most of them were.

^^^^^^^^^^^ This x1000000 ^^^^^^^^^ and if Fields starts developing a quick game, it's really over for the league. He would turn into Lamar's MVP Year Clone for the rest of the year scoring 3-4 TDs a game, every game.

So that is challenging if you are blitzing and sending 5. If they bracket DJ, that's 7, now you only have 4 defenders to cover Mooney, Kmet, Scott, and Foreman out of the backfield. That will create a lot of space and make for some easier throws over the middle for Fields. One missed tackle, and it's a home run.

Interestingly enough, since Vick played sparingly in his first 3 seasons, and Fields has 30 starts and counting. Fields still has some work to do on his yards per game, but comp%, TD%, Y/A are really solid. 1. Fields (30 GS) 445-740, 60.1%, 5255 yds, 35 TD, 26 INT, 7.1 Y/A, 82.9 Rating, 271-1754 yds, 11 TD (Total: 7009 yds, 46 TD) 2. Vick (21 GS) 303-634, 52.2%, 4306 yds, 22 TD, 14 INT, 6.8 Y/A, 76.3 Rating, 184-1321 yds, 10 TD (Total: 5627 yds, 32 TD) 3. Cunningham (21 GS) 368-696, 52.9%, 4725 yds, 32 TD, 27 INT, 6.8 Y/A, 73.6 Rating, 171-1250 yds, 8 TD (Total: 5975 yds, 40 TD) Kinda wild how close Vick and Cunningham were, both with 21 starts thru 3 seasons.

Let me look him up.

I used https://stathead.com/ it is an extension of Pro Football Reference. It is by subscription for some of the data. It's $60 a year for full access or $8 a month. Some may only want to use it during the season, so pay for 4-5 months for $32-$40 instead of the $60.

QBs in their first 3 seasons, over 5K passing yards, 35 TDs, less than 30 INTs, rating over 80, closest comps to Fields: Brady (30 GS) 638-1017, 62.7%, 6613 yds, 46 TD, 26 INT, 6.5 Y/A, 85.9 Rating, 78-153 yds, 1 TD (Total: 6768 yds, 47 TD) Fields (30 GS) 445-740, 60.1%, 5255 yds, 35 TD, 26 INT, 7.1 Y/A, 82.9 Rating, 271-1754 yds, 11 TD (Total: 7009 yds, 46 TD) McNabb (32 GS) 447-1062, 57.9%, 6598 yds, 46 TD, 25 INT, 6.2 Y/A, 80.9 Rating, 168-1111 yds, 8 TD (Total: 7708 tds, 54 TD) The Brady passing comp is crazy, but it is there, Fields just has rushing attempts vs passing attempts. Now he just needs the volume and sample size to grow. If I up the rushing yards to 1K it's McNabb then the next two: Jalen Hurts (34 GS) 392-1040, 62.3%, 7906 yds, 44 TD, 19 INT, 7.6 Y/A, 92.2 Rating, 367-1898 yds, 26 TD (9804 yds, 70 TD) Lamar Jackson (37 GS) 606-947, 64.0%, 7085 yds, 68 TD, 18 INT, 7.5 Y/A, 102.6 Rating, 482-2906 yds, 19 TD (9991 yds, 87 TD) Obviously a few thing stand out. Jackson's passing TDs are insane, Hurts rushing TDs are crazy, and Jackson's rushing yards. However, even with all the crappy games under Nagy, and last year, if Fields has a solid 7 games, he has a chance to have the same amount of passing yards as Jackson after 37 starts and would be very close to Hurts' passing TDs and rushing yards. This would almost seem unimaginable before the season started.

Doing Jordan Love comps is hilarious: Under 10 starts thru Year 4 w/ 200 attempts, 10 TDs, and less than 10 INTs, he best comps to the following QBs: Jeff Driskel 202-345, 58.6%, 2120 yds, 13 TD, 8 INT, 6.1 Y/A, 79.4 Rating Jordan Love 140-245, 57.1%, 1689 yds, 11 TD, 9 INT, 6.9 Y/A, 78.1 Rating Brandon Allen 149-263, 56.7%, 1611 yds, 10 TD, 6 INT, 6.1 Y/A, 78.0 Rating Love has played almost identical to Brandon Allen into his 4th year in the NFL. The biggest difference is Allen had 1/3 fewer INTs. Here are the QBs just above and below that group: Mason Rudolph Brock Osweiler ------------ Driskel, Love, Allen ------------ Matt McGloin Zach Mettenberger So if Love improves, he can move into Osweiler and Rudolph territory. If he gets worse, he would drop into McGloin/Mettenberger range. GB has to know this, right?

Foreman is a good pass blocker. They can always use Blasingame for that and Lewis is a 6th OL when he is in there. I think Foreman will have a nice game, he always seems to when he comes in for these types of situations. That first Bears offensive drive will be huge. If they can score a TD, it will put MIN on their heels.

Thanks, that's how I was looking at it in my brain. Easier to see in a table. Things get really interesting on the extremes. Within the picks variable, there are 2 other variables, Bears and Panthers. #1 and #2 doesn't seem realistic anymore. However, something like #1 and #11 do, or #2 and #8. I guess I will have to break down each draft pick combo with CAR getting 1-3, and Bears getting 6-12 and figure out the likelihood of each. I will do that after this weekend as the Bears outcome will sway things due to them playing MIN. CAR are 13.5 underdogs to MIA and it probably should be more. They should be 0-6 in 2 days.

True true. Good points. I didn't know he has fallen off that much. However, DRob has been brutal this season, like below a replacement level player. I would almost rather see Sanborn or Sewell brought in as situational pass rushers, they have the speed and strength to do it on a very part-time basis. Something needs to be done to get the pass rush going as DRob and Green have really struggled.

I honestly thought Wilson was doing terrible based on the last few weeks, however, he has 12 TDs and 4 INTs, a 99.0 QB Rating, and a 65.9 Comp% on the season. All values better than Fields (though he has played 1 more game so TDs are not really a fair comp). Nonetheless, if you only watched Wilson the last two weeks, you would think he is a bottom 5 QB, but due to a few good games earlier in the season, he is still up there for TDs, QB Rating, INTs, and Comp% somehow. It also feels like he has taken a billion sacks, yet only has 19 thru 6 games, and Fields has 20 thru 5, so go figure.

Thru 5 weeks, there is one QB in the NFL with 1,000+ yards passing, 10+ Passing TDs, 150+ yards rushing, and 1+ Rushing TD.

Denver released Frank Clark. Make it happen Poles!

and I had him as a waiver claim and didn't change my waiver order, so i ended up with the ARZ backup and not him. I am off my game this year.

Now only 7 teams with 1 win or less. The only game with 2 of these teams against each other in the next 4 weeks is this week, MIN at CHI. Week 12 and 16 will be big weeks as 2 teams each of those weeks will come away with another win. The Bears play in both of those weeks. The Bears have 4 games out of their next 12 against the bottom 7 teams. MIN has 3, 2 against the Bears. The Bears also have 3 of these games at home. Carolina has a brutal schedule, the only relief is CHI in Week 10 but on the road. They have a great chance to go 0-17. They may be able to squeak one out against HOU or IND at home after the bye, but that's it. Maybe ATL in Week 15? 0-17 or 1-16 max. #1 pick most likely. Denver looks terrible, all signs point to a huge fire sale before the deadline. They may not win another game. Maybe NE in Week 16 to go 2-15. Most likely pick #1 or #2. The Bears are gonna win some games. Will probably end up with 6-7 wins just based on SoS alone. If Fields continues to play well and the secondary gets healthy, they may squeeze out 1 or 2 more wins and end up drafting in the teens. 6-11 to 8-9 likely. Minnesota will probably win 3-4 more, but if they lose to the Bears on Sunday, they will more than likely be 1-6 heading into GB in Week 8. Likely 4-13. Pick 3-5. NE looks as bad as Denver, the worst two losses in Belichick era the last two weeks. At most I see them winning 4 games (4-13). Pick 3-5. The Giants are in the DEN / NE category without Barkley. However, if they get him back, they can probably eek out 2-3 more wins, but 3-5 wins seems like their window. Likely 5-12. Pick 4-7. Arizona may not win another game, or if they do, it will be in the next few weeks as their last month is SF, at CHI, at PHI, and SEA. They look like a 2-3 win team max and will probably be in the top 3 in the draft. Pick #1-#3. Just the way the teams are playing right now, I believe the draft order would be CAR, DEN, ARI (due to Sos), NE, MIN, NYG with the Bears out of the top 10. I think the Bears will surpass the Raiders, Texans, Commanders, Jets, and be mixed in with the Packers, Titans and Browns.

For a team with a defensive coach, playing the Cover-2, the Bears are allowing the 7th most explosive plays (33) and the 2nd most explosive passing plays (21). This may be due to injury or lack of pass rush, or both, but ultimately they are allowing over 6 explosive plays per game. That is almost one per drive. That number needs to be cut in half.