adam

I was comparing where Fields was at in his career compared to other QBs, he is a perfect match for Blaine Gabbert even statistically, but then I saw the records happen to be the same right now and they were tied for the worst and if Fields loses again, he will own the crown.

Yeah, it just shows how bad this team really is, historically bad. The numbers don't lie. Allen was close to Fields up until his 3rd year, that's when he broke out. Fields has not (yet). Hopefully he will soon.

My original projection was 52-3, but if Fields does play looser, I can see them putting up a few scores. So I will adjust my projection to 45-17 Chiefs.

Pat McAfee said that he has a source that said the FBI did raid Alan Williams house. That is why some of the tweets that came out only mentioned Halas Hall not being raided. Ian said Peanut is not involved "in THIS matter". What matter? I thought there was no matter?

On Sunday, Fields will make his 28th career start. No QB in NFL history would have more starts and fewer wins than him. Right now he is tied with Blaine Gabbert for the worst start at 5-22-0 (.185), a loss on Sunday would put Fields at the bottom 5-23-0 (.179), no QB in NFL history would be worse. Interestingly, Davis Mills was 5-20-1 at 26 starts, but is no longer starting. If Fields gets a win, he would then move into a group with one other QB: Mike Glennon 6-25 in 31 starts (.193) There is only one QB with 7 wins with so few starts: Randy Wright 7-25 in 32 starts (.219) One QB with 8 wins: Dennis Shaw 8-27-2 in 37 starts (.243) Two QBs with 9 wins: Joe Pisarcik 9-21 in 30 starts (.300) Steve Pelluer 9-20-1 in 30 starts (.317) and one QB with 10 wins: JP Losman 10-23 in 33 starts (.303) - Fields would have to win his next 5 games just to tie Losman as the 6th worst QB Winning% of all time.

If they move Wright, they are reaching and trying to save their jobs. I agree that Wright just needs to stay put. Sucks that 2/5 of the line is on IR and they are still dealing with Davis. Poles has to be held accountable for this. Jenkins was always an injury risk, you always have to expect injuries (Jones), and why take the risk of someone like Davis when there were other more stable options out there?

They also need to stretch the defense out. Against TB, I saw 8 to 9 players in the box, sometimes 10, but some of that was due to the Bears formations. Spread them out, go 4-wide even if it is with a RB or TE that goes in motion to the outside. Leave the remaining RB or TE in to chip then become a check down. This gives Fields more room to run if needed and forces the defense into a predictable defensive formation. This would also help the run game with some draws or wide zone. I haven't seen any of this. After watching a bunch of other games, the Bears rarely throw any short quick passes (stick, dig, curl, etc) where the receiver runs 5-7 yards then just faces and the QB shielding the ball from the defender. If they sell a deep route and the defender starts turning their hips, this is an easy pitch and catch scenario that I see 10+ times a game in every other offense but the Bears.

The whole circumstance is very odd, and the process should be called into question more than what is going on with Williams himself. Where is the team's statement? Just stating that Williams resigned is not a statement. Why all the conflicting info? Ian Rappaport says he resigned in the morning, yet the Bears website says afternoon. Biggs says the media was told throughout the week that it was NOT health or family related. Then the statement comes out and says exactly that it was health and family related. Then a lawyer representing Williams comes out and makes a statement refuting some of the rumors going around. Why does Williams need a lawyer to do that? Why not just do it yourself? If the team allowed Williams to take off for personal reasons, why not just give him more time off, a month, etc? Just state that the team is allowing Williams to step away for awhile to take care of personal issues, but Williams will still be employed by the Bears. My suspicion is that the Bears told Williams he was going to be fired (probably Flus tipped him off), so he could resign or be fired. So he probably spent a week getting legal advice and reviewing his options before ultimately deciding to resign. So there may be a lawsuit against the Bears coming from Williams for breach of contract or something along those lines.

A lot of conflicting info. I think the raid tweet is fake. However, Biggs did say: What an absolute crazy situation.

Just let him go with left foot back. The biggest change that Fields simply cannot deal with is which foot start in back. He has been using his left foot back for his entire life and they recently made him swap. Why? Because as a right handed QB, once he receives the ball, he can immediately throw with the right foot back. He can't do that without one step the other way. Brady introduced this during the Edelman years on those instant bubble screens. Rodgers has been doing it for years, and now they want Fields to, when it's clearly not natural for him. That one change alone would help a ton. Check out this video from CHGO with Tim Jenkins (QB Guru) who outlines this in more detail. This is a great listen for those interested in the detailed nuances of QB play.

40% of starting O-Line on IR (Jenkins, Jones) and 40% of the starting secondary injured or on IR (Gordon, Jackson). Mooney dinged up, Claypool all over the place, Tonyan basically non-existent to this point. Teams get injuries, but now the Bears are up to 3x starters on IR (14%). Not good. LT is now Borom or they may slide Wright over there and put Borom in at RT. Either way, not ideal.

Mitch wasn't terrible, was actually pretty average. He probably should be a starter in the league, but maybe a bottom 10 QB. The way Pickett is playing, I am surprised they haven't went to Mitch yet.

Lance got a 4th round pick, I would think Fields has shown more and would get a 3rd. I doubt anyone gives up any more than that because of the cap hit and expiration of his rookie contract. Another interesting thing will be to see what they do about Fields 5th year option. They have to make that decision after this season.

Yeah, he bought into it after he was just initially brought in to promote it. PFF was started by a Brit (which is another reason it received so much flak) in the middle 2000s. Then team's bought in on the data, and Collinsworth eventually bought a majority stake in the company in the middle 2010s, a decade after it started. However, he was promoting it on telecasts long before he bought into it.

Very slick business model. Come out of nowhere and just start publishing player grades where everyone makes fun of you. Then bring on a reputable celeb, Cris Collinsworth, who then starts quoting your grades on broadcasts, then eventually the league basically recognizes your grading system and teams actually pay big bucks to view the data. Early on they were an absolute joke. Anyone who referenced PFF was like referencing Wikipedia as your source. So many of their grades are hilarious. Right now Adam Thielen has a better receiving grade than DJ Moore, JaMarr Chase, Calvin Ridley, George Pickens, Tee Higgins, Christian Kirk, Michael Pittman, and Terry McLaurin. I don't know if you watched the CAR game yesterday, but Thielen created negative separation with his routes. He literally ran into DBs and closed the gap before the pass. It was comical, it looked like he was running in quick sand.

DVOA for next few opponents: OVR/Off/Def KC 13/12/19 DEN 21/7/30 WAS 11/11/10 The Bears played the 7th best DVOA defense (TB) and 11th (GB), next up KC (19th), and DEN (30th). So we may see a slightly better performance from Fields and Co. the next few weeks. However, all 3 of the next 3 opponents are top 12 in offense, which is not a good sign for the defense. 8 of the 15 remaining games are against a DEF 20th or worse. WAS is the only current defense the Bears will face in the current top 10 for DVOA. So if we don't see an improvement on offense, especially in the next two weeks, we never will.

Yeah, the eye test is undefeated. Players can have comparable stats, but if you watch the games, you can actually see how they achieved them.

Good point, there are cases where coaches have started out terrible and righted the ship, but it is rare. Campbell was on the hot seat. If not for that turnaround at the end of the season, he is canned. If they would've lost one or two more games, he was gone. Can Flus do the same thing? Detroit had a top 5 offense but their defense was terrible. At some point the defense improved enough to win some games. There defense allowed 24 or more in every game in that 1-6 stretch, then in the remaining games allowed less than 24 in 7 out of 10 games (all wins). The Bears have the 22nd ranked scoring offense and 31st defense. They don't even have a top 20 unit that they can lean on. With injuries to Gordon and Jackson on defense, that secondary is now a weakness. The team has 1 sack, lol. There are 33 players with 1.5 sacks or more. There is nothing they do well. Detroit had an elite passing game and Williams was unstoppable inside the 5. It does take 3 years for a complete rebuild and we are 2 weeks into year 2. However, at some point, the corner of the turnaround should be visible. Right now the team is trending in the wrong direction. They were 1-7 in one score games last year. They have yet to even play in one in the first two weeks. Again, small sample size, but we already know how Sunday will turn out, so we can assume it's 3 weeks and 0-3, and 3-17. Now that I think about it, the WAS game on TNF will be the breaking point. If they can't beat Denver at home (OCT 1st), it would be 0-4, 3-18, and then another loss 4 nights later would put them at 0-5, 3-19 with a mini-bye and the trading deadline approaching. Someone is getting fired. To even get to your projected win total of 7.5 games, they would have to go 7-5 or 8-4 in the last 12 games.

Just going off the odds lol. So after two weeks there are 9 winless teams, so the Bears have 2 picks in the top 9. Week 3 games: CHI @ KC (CHI loss) DEN @ MIA (DEN loss) LAC @ MIN (one team will have their first win) HOU @ JAX (HOU loss) NE @ NYJ DAL @ ARZ (ARZ loss) CAR @ SEA (CAR loss) LAR @ CIN So it looks like 6 teams will start 0-3 with CIN and NE with potential to, however, NE is playing Wilson, so they may win that one. LAR is tough, but it is hard to see CIN starting 0-3. I am going to assume both NE and CIN win, which would give CHI and ARZ both 2 picks in the top 6!

I think if the Bears drop to 0-4 and lose a second one at home, Flus is gone. That would put him at 3-18 as a Head Coach. No one has ever survived that long being that bad.

To put how bad Flus has been as a HC, here are all the coaches worse than him in the Super Bowl era with 20+ games coached: 1. Jim Ringo - BUF 3-20, .130, 23 games (BUF, 76-77) 2. Matt Eberflus - CHI 3-17, .150, 20 games (CHI, 22-23) 3. Marty Mornhinweg - DET - 5-27, .156, 32 games (DET, 01-02) 4. Chris Palmer CLE - 5-27, .156, 32 games (CLE, 99-00) -------------------------------------------------------- 5. Matt Eberflus - CHI 3-16, .158, 19 games (CHI, 22-23) So after a loss against KC, Flus will have the 2nd lowest winning percentage in NFL history for a coach with 20+ games coached. Seriously people. If he was to lose 3 more after KC and start 0-6, he would be tied for the worst coach EVER with 20+ games coached. EVER.

Last season, there were 3 in season firings: CAR fired Rhule after Week 5 (starting 1-4). He finished with a 11-27 record (.289 winning%). Flus has a .157 winning% Reich was fired in IND after a 3-5-1 start in his 6th season. He left IND with a 40-33-1 record. Denver fired Hackett in his first season after going 4-11. All of those coaches had more wins in their first 3 weeks of that season than Flus does in his last 12 games. Just to get back to .500 as a HC, Flus would need the Bears to finish the season 8-7 in the last 15, then go 10-7 for the next 5 seasons, just to get to .500. LOL.

The more I look at their advanced numbers, the more I think they are made up. They basically grade without context, so if an OL gets beat on a sack, even if the guy who beat him was not his responsibility, he still is knocked for the play. Ngakoue is a great example of context, he couldn't bring Mayfield down on a few potential sacks, but still blew the play up. He was graded negatively for those pressures. So PFF would rather have the DL not get pressure than get pressure and miss the sack. The odds that something bad happens for the offense is much greater with the QB under duress, so even if the play didn't result in a negative for the offense, Ngakoue shouldn't be penalized. It's wild when the grades are so off in the same game for the same positions. Christian Kirk - 11 receptions, 110 yards, 45 yard long. Rashee Rice - 2 receptions, 20 yards, 15 yard long. Kirk 66.6 - Rice 70.1. So without any context, you would assume Rice had a better game, but it was not even close. Like to me there needs to be a minimum for each position group, otherwise the grade should be N/A. They also don't care about the defense. So if you are playing against an All-Pro or a rookie the output is graded the same. So if one player gets a creampuff schedule, he looks like the second coming of Randy Moss instead of Javon Wims. They would've been better off if they just made composite grades from existing stats, so the grades would be objective and based off actual stats.

3 of the 4 QBs are 2-0 and haven't needed to throw very much. Lawrence is 1-1 and lost to KC. Burrow is playing hurt and it shows. At this time, there are no numbers that support Fields being good, or even average. Every metric, including the eye test, says he is playing like a bottom 5 QB. The only hope is that due to offseason rules, that these first two weeks are the last two weeks of preseason, and now with 2 games under their belts that we can see improvement across the board. However, that applies to all teams, so if the Bears can improve, so can every other team in the league. My theory into why Fields is struggling this season: teams have adjusted with a full season of tape and offseason to prepare. So they will not give him man coverage or the same look pre and post snap. They bring more pressure, and they have worked on contain. So even if Fields has improved, the Bears added Moore, the result is net zero because defenses have improved on how they defend Fields. If he can't adapt from here, he will never be a starter in this league. He just can't beat zone.

PFF grades: Herbert 84.0 Kmet 77.3 Moore 76.9 Lewis 73.1 Claypool 66.4 Jaylon Jones 79.2 Edmunds 76.9 Billings 76.7 Robinson 74.4 Edwards 74.3 The most consistent offensive players is Lewis and Billings on defense. I know these grades are off when they give Braxton Jones a solid grade of 63.4 and say he was better than Wright at 58.2. Carter got 48.5. Ngaokoue had the lowest starter grade with a 35.1, which is odd because he did have a lot of pressures, but couldn't finish.