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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. The Bears were 1-7 in one score games last year (only beating HOU). If it was even, that would be 4-4, so a 6-win team with that roster. If you start from there, you can see how this can easily be an 8 to 9 win team. Moore alone is 1 win. The improved defense should squeeze out another win, and in general the rest of the roster should squeeze out a third to get to 9 wins. With some luck or good refs for a change, double digits is not out of the question. On the flip side, injuries or bad refs and this is back to a 5 to 6 win team.
  2. adam

    2023 Schedule

    The QBs the Bears will play this year: Love Mayfield Mahomes Wilson Howell Cousins Jimmy G Herbert Carr Young (R) Goff Cousins Goff Watson Ridder Love Mahomes is obviously the toughest, but after him, Herbert, Cousins, Goff and Watson? The Bears have to beat Howell, Ridder, and Young, and should beat Mayfield, Love, Wilson, Jimmy G, and Carr. Those guys are mid (Mayfield) to unproven (Love). None of them scare me. The Bears evade Allen, Hurts, Tua, Burrow, Jackson, Prescott, G. Smith, and D. Jones. The only QB in the top 10 for QBR other than Mahomes was Goff (5th). So 14 games against QBs outside of the top 10. That seems like a favorable schedule to me.
  3. Draft tonight at 730pm Central. Still need keepers from Ary and Mike (new GM) by 6pm.
  4. Here is a listing of the QB, top 2 RB, top 3 WR, and top 2 TEs for the NFC North. The Bears don't have a top end guy like Jefferson, Aaron Jones, or Hockenson, but the Bears floor is higher than any other group. Arguably, Tonyan is the worst Bear in that group, but is better than any other TE2 on the list. Fields, Herbert, Foreman, Moore, Mooney, Claypool, Kmet, Tonyan Goff, Gibbs, Montgomery, St. Brown, Williams, Jones, LaPorta, Wright Love, Jones, Dillon, Watson, Doubs, Reed, Musgrave, Kraft Cousins, Mattison, Chandler, Jefferson, Addison, Osborn, Hockenson, Oliver If you break it down by position, Fields is probably #2 after Cousins if he doesn't improve. Goff is a close 3rd, followed by Love, who is still a huge unknown. For RBs, probably Jones first, then followed by Herbert and Foreman. Gibbs may be up there, but he is an unknown. Mattison never surpassed Cook when he was there and is only RB1 because Cook is gone. For WRs, Jefferson is the only one better than Moore, St. Brown 3rd, followed by Watson. However, after that, Mooney and Claypool are the most established WRs. Marvin Jones? KJ Osborn? Mooney and Claypool are better than them. Then for TEs, after Hockenson, it is Kmet then Tonyan. Rookie TEs normally struggle in their first year, so guys like Musgrave, LaPorta, and Kraft are just names at this point. Thoughts? What roster would you rather have?
  5. Ary - The Bunny is the only other team who has yet to declare keepers.
  6. Hopefully everything is stabilized and healing. Also, I haven't seen Mike on, if he wants any keepers, his eligible players are (current round): 2. (19) Aaron Jones 3. (22) A.J. Brown 5. (42) Allen Robinson II 6. (59) Dalton Schultz 8. (79) Buffalo 9. (82) Evan McPherson 11. (102) Trey Lance 12. (119) James Cook 13. (122) Nyheim Hines 14. (139) Russell Gage 15. (142) Irv Smith Jr. 16. (159) Kansas City 17. (162) Greg Joseph He can also change his team's name in his profile if he wants to.
  7. Draft is tomorrow night. Keepers: Fields of Dreams - Amari Cooper - 9th, Treylon Burks - 11th MotM - Kenneth Walker - 13th Nips&Tips - Jacobs - 5th Nopper - Patrick Mahomes - 3rd, Garrett Wilson - 15th PapaBear - Olave - 12th, Watson - 13th SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! - Amon-Ra St. Brown - 5th, Drake London - 8th The Bunny - NONE The Mad Lithuanians - Kelce - 1st, Aaron Rodgers - 9th Victorious Secret - Tony Pollard - 5th Run Dem Pockets - NONE I will need the Keepers at least an hour before the draft because I will need to finalize it to secure our time tomorrow night. If I don't receive them by then, these will be locked in.
  8. Both Vildor and Gipson end up on Tennessee. Other teams are scooping up our trash.
  9. Jenkins to IR as expected, opening a space for Taylor to come in as the PR/WR. So if there are any other moves, it would more than likely be cutting ESB or Velus for a TE or LB, or upgrading at CB6 (Jaylon Jones). Other than that, the roster is really solid from top to bottom.
  10. It is a good sign that the Bears are cutting players that have looked good. Last year, all those guys were playing, some starting. So if we are having discussions about DE5 and S4 and WR6, the roster is in good shape. Apparently they liked Kareem over Lewis and Gipson (no one claimed Gipson), and Johnson at Safety over AJ Thomas. Once Taylor arrives, they can either put Jenkins on IR, or cut either Velus or ESB. After that, the roster is pretty much a lock outside of other injuries.
  11. I like it, now Velus slides in as Gadget man (like Cohen), however, will they carry 7 WRs. If Taylor is the primary returner, that makes Velus very expendable.
  12. Bears also picked up Trent Taylor PR/WR, and Quindell Johnson, S. So my assumption is, Jenkins to IR, and AJ Thomas waived for hopeful move to PS. Grabbed an Edge, PR/WR, and S, after trading for Feeney (OL). Those and LB/CB were the main places that could be upgraded. Curious to see what they do with the WR room with 7 now in there. Very limited utility for a WR6 that doesn't play special teams.
  13. That was quick: Khalid Kareem, Edge from the Colts. Is he better than Lewis or Gipson?
  14. Lewis waived, they can have the pick of the litter. Let see what Poles is cooking up. More than likely a PR, OL, CB, or even a TE (Getsy like 12 personnel).
  15. How confident are you in the Bears roster going into the season, today? Knowing that Poles has overhauled almost the entire roster in 2 years has me feeling pretty good. I think he needs one more offseason to hit the sweet spot, but we are going to be a pesky team this year. Knowing how last season turned out, how many close games the Bears lost, the fact that 30% of the players on the 53-man from last year can't make an NFL roster this year, and that Poles has also upgraded half of the key contributors has me drinking a little of the Koolaid. On offense, compared to opening day 2022, the Bears have an upgrade at WR1, WR2, TE2, C, and RT. On defense, you can say the same thing for DE1, DE2, DT2, LB2, and CB2. 10 key contributors upgraded. I am not even counting rotational guys or the depth at LB or RB, which are two of the strongest rooms. Then if Fields is becomes marginally better as a passer, it is hard to imagine a losing season 6-8 wins. 9-11 still feels about right unless the injury bug really hits the team hard.
  16. Wording matters, I believe he was asked a question and replied that he prefers a 3-4 defense. That was then stretched to he prefers another team, and that he would like to be traded. In reality, getting cut provides him with the most options.
  17. I think Poles has a few moves left. Flus said the only one who was week to week was Jenkins though, but IR is 4 games. It would seem like they don't want him on IR, thus that is why they kept an extra OL. If Jenkins was going to IR, they would just add someone after putting him on there. Green has not looked good at all, I would not be surprised if he is DE5 behind Lewis and DRob.
  18. Thoughts on Packers 53-man? QB - Love, Clifford RB - Jones, Dillon, Wilson WR - Watson, Doubs, Reed, Toure, Wicks, Heath TE - Mugrave, Kraft, Deguara OL - Bakhtiari, Jenkins, Myers, Runyan, Tom, Nijman, Walker, Newman, Rhyan, Jones DL - Clark, Slaton, Wyatt, Ford, Wooden, Brooks OLB - Gary, Smith, Enagbare, Hollins, Van Ness, Cox ILB - Campbell, Walker, McDuffie, Wilson, Carpenter CB - Alexander, Douglas, Nixon, Valentine S - Savage, Ford, Owens, Leavitt, Johnson They are basically one or two injuries away from 5 or less wins. Only 4 CBs? 3 RBs? Depth looks weak. Guys that wouldn't make the Bears at their current position: Clifford, Wilson, Toure, Wicks, Heath, Deguara, Newman, Rhyan, Jones, Ford, Wooden, Brooks, Enagbare, Hollins, Cox, McDuffie, Wilson, Carpenter, Nixon, Valentine, Owens, Leavitt, Johnson.
  19. How much have the Bears improved their roster from last year? By at least 30%. Check this out: 18x players from last year's initial 53-man roster are no longer on ANY NFL roster: O - (7) Siemian, Ebner, Tonges, Griffin, Pettis, Mustipher, Leatherwood D - (11) Quinn, Gipson, Muhammad, Blackson, Pennel, Morrow, Weatherford, Vildor, Jackson, DHC, Cruikshank Obviously that will change with Gipson, and probably Vildor too, but that still leaves 30% of last year's roster was not good enough to even make a roster this year. That is pretty remarkable.
  20. Unfortunately those guys are vested vets and were released (contracts terminated) not waived. They are FAs and exempt from the waiver wire. They can sign with whoever they want. Was Sheldon Rankins cut/released? I didn't see that.
  21. This held serve pretty much, they went with Lewis over Bell and Walker. Thomas, Jones, ESB, Velus all made it. Patrick, Carter, and Kramer too.
  22. I like him too, he seemed to be miscast in previous teams.
  23. All the good teams operate that way, and also get rid of players before they decline, sometimes earlier than expected. Bears waive Bell, so it seems that last front 7 spot is up to Lewis (DE5) or Walker (LB6) or a waiver acquisition.
  24. I feel like there are 4-5 fluid positions left. 1. DE5/DT5/LB6 - Lewis/Bell/Walker (keep 1), the Bears will only have 15 in the front 7, so that will either be 5 DE, 5 DT, or 6 LB. Special Teams will probably play a role, which means Walker at LB may have the edge over the other two. 2. S4 - AJ Thomas - I feel like this position is interchangeable as long as the guy is a core STer. 3. CB6 - Jaylon Jones - Another one of those main ST slots 4. WR6 - Velus/ESB - the Bears may go with a more proven punt returner like Trent Taylor (89 punt returns, 0 fumbles), which would replace Velus, or if there is an actual upgrade at WR, may replace ESB. 5. OL9 - Patrick/Carter/Feeney/Kramer (depending on injuries and other veteran acquisitions, they could keep all 4 if Jenkins goes on IR), but the bottom of this group could be switched out on the waiver wire.
  25. Ebner and Collins waived. Ebner was expected with the acquisition of Homer.
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