adam

Sort of related but how crazy would it be for the Bears and Blackhawks to both get the #1 pick in the same draft year? Bears trade down, Hawks get Bedard.

Also, of note, BAL is going to have the 24th pick (assuming a WC weekend loss) as they have the best record amongst those teams (better SOS than LAC). Since MIA forfeited their 1st round pick, the Bears would get #54 or #55 if the Ravens lose in the WC or #56/#57 if they lose in the divisional round. I am really favoring a trade down because #2 to #54-57 would be a huge gap between picks. So much talent goes before that pick.

Besides seeding, there are 3 playoff spots left going into Week 18. The AFC South Champ, AFC Wildcard #3, and NFC Wildcard #3. TEN @ JAX is basically the AFC South Championship game, the winner is in. Pretty cool scheduling there. NE, MIA, PIT all 8-8, only one gets in. NE@BUF, NYJ@MIA, and CLE@PIT. There is also a weird scenario where JAX loses and NE, MIA, and PIT all lose, JAX gets in with TEN as Division champ. NE is win and in or losses by both MIA and PIT, MIA needs a win and NE to lose. PIT needs a win and for both MIA and NE to lose. GB, DET, SEA all 8-8, only one gets in. DET@GB, LAR@SEA. GB is now win and in vs DET. Another nice scheduling by the NFL. DET needs a win and a SEA loss. SEA needs a win and GB loss. Just based on the early odds, JAX wins the division, MIA gets in as the WC3 (NE loses, PIT wins), and unfortunately GB is favored against DET, while SEA wins but misses playoffs. It looks like JAX, BUF, MIA, PIT, GB, and SEA are all favored to win. I would love to see DET and SEA win to get SEA into the playoffs instead of DET or GB. That would be a comical ending for both Rodgers and DET. Detroit beats GB but still doesn't get in. That is their luck. We know it all too well.

Based on the preseason predictions, these were the most under and over achieving teams this year with 1 week left: 1. DEN 11-6 > 4-12 (-7) 2. LAR 11-6 > 5-11 (-6) 3. IND 9-8 > 4-11-1 (-4.5) 4. TB 12-5 > 8-8 (-4) 5. ARZ 8-9 > 4-12 (-4) 1. PHI 9-8 > 13-3 (+4) 2. NYG 6-11 > 9-6-1 (+3.5) 3T. JAX 5-12 > 8-8 (+3) 3T. MIN 9-8 > 12-4 (+3) 3T. ATL 3-14 > 6-10 (+3) 3T. SEA 5-12 > 8-8 (+3) DEN and LAR are by far the farthest off their projections. IND was a lot worse than expected. PHI and NYG both surprised. Of the positive teams, only PHI and JAX had a decent point differential. NYG was +0, MIN -19, ATL -34, and SEA +3. Those are all lucky teams and probably won games they shouldn't have. However, PHI (+127) and JAX (+50) look pretty strong. Any teams on here that surprised you? The Bears were -3 and could make it into the top 5 next week at -4 if TB or ARZ win.

Going thru several Prospect Big Boards, this is the consensus top 15 non-QBs: Top 5 Anderson, Edge (1 or 2 in every ranking) Carter, DL (2 to 5) -------------------- Top 10 Murphy, Edge (4 to 8 ) Skoronski, OL (5 to 13) Bresee, DL (5 to 14) -------------------- Top 20 Robinson, RB (3 - 15+) Mayer, TE (6 - 15+) Wilson, Edge (6 - 15+) Johnston, WR (7 - 15+) Johnson Jr., OL (9 - 15+) Addison, WR (9 - 15+) Porter JR, CB (9 - 15+) Smith, CB (9 - 15+) Ringo, CB (10- 15+) Simpson, LB (10- 15+) ---------------------- So if the Bears don't trade out of #1 or #2, then Anderson is the pick based on consensus BPA.

I am higher on Anderson than Carter, but to play an entire bowl game without a single stat is somewhat concerning. You want dominant players in the top 3 picks, not guys that disappear from game to game. Poles did not have a first rounder in 2022, so I give him credit for getting as many starters as he did. I am coming around on Gordon and have always liked Brisker. Velus Jones was his reach. I think he learned his lesson and won't do that again.

Yeah for sure. I still understand why Fields doesn't have an easy checkdown on every play like other teams do. There should always be an outlet for 2-3 yards if needed. Fields has had 2 games in his career where he had 20+ attempts and less than 10 completions, this game and the CLE game from last year, that is how bad this game was. That was also the two games where he had as many sacks as completions. I am really trying to figure out what they actually practice during the week. Like what is the game plan?

Week 18 games that matter for draft position: HOU @ IND MIN @ CHI LAC @ DEN ARZ @ SF Draft scenarios: #1 Pick - Bears loss, HOU win #2 Pick - Bears loss, HOU loss OR Bears win, DEN and ARZ win #3 Pick - Bears win, DEN or ARZ loss #4 Pick - Bears win, DEN and ARZ lose Based on game odds, most likely scenario is all 4 teams lose and no positions change. Game times and flexes may make some game irrelevant which might change some things. The biggest game of the week next week for the Bears is HOU @ IND, lol. Only Bears fans will be keeping track of that game. IND actually has a great reason to lose. That would allow the Bears to pass HOU for the #1 pick which then can be traded to them at #5. They can also draft as high as #3 if both DEN and ARZ won. Dream scenario would be IND wins, DEN wins, Bears get #1 pick, Colts get #4. Bears trade pick, then trade down again from #4 to another QB needy team looking to move up like ATL, LVR, CAR, or WAS.

A very disappointing passing day for Fields, 7-21 for 75 yards was his 2nd start with less than 100 yds passing this season. This game felt like a few steps backwards. For running, he had another insane day with 132 yds and now has 1,143 yds on the season. He needs 64 yards to break Lamar's record next week. I feel like he is going to get it, mainly due to the ravaged OLine.

I am sure MIN will be scoreboard watching as they will need help to get anything other than the 3 seed.

I am hoping for a trade back at this point. Too many holes to fill. Need more darts.

It's all good. I still think we have our guy, my confidence level is just a little lower. It is really hard to evaluate anything. How do we even know someone like Getsy is a good OC? What have we seen him do that has been outstanding? Ultimately we seem to have more questions than answers in Week 17 than we did in Week 4. So as much as we have seen some nice individual performances, this season has been an utter train wreck collectively. Everyone seems to get a free pass but that won't be the case next year. There is a lot to turn around. Poles and company have a lot of work to do. They just had their 9th straight loss which is the longest in franchise history. I have seen some bad Bears football in my life but this may be the worst. If they lose next week they will finish with the 2nd worst record in franchise history with one of the worst passing offenses in the Super Bowl era. Earlier in the year I felt like the Bears were a few players away. Now, it's more like 15. It is a huge hole to dig yourself out of.

There have been losses when the team was competitive but lost. This was different. The entire team looks checked out. On offense, it honestly looked like the receivers were just nonchalantly running their routes. On the INT in the first half, watch Kmet, it looks like he was just jogging and not expecting the ball. Claypool had 1 target and dropped it. Harry had 1 target and 1 reception. How are you supposed to assess these guys if they aren't getting opportunities? This was ugly. If they are going to play Fields next week, they need a better game plan, because this ain't it.

OMG this defense is soooo bad. The Bears are going to need 7 new starters, the entire line needs to go, 2 new LBs, and another CB. Down 41-10, at least the defense forced a FG even though they knew DET was running on every play.

HOU losing big, they will be 2-13-1, Bears will be 3-13. DEN losing, they will be 4-12. ARZ up by 2 against ATL, a win there would be huge for Bears. IND getting blown out by NYG will be 4-11-1.

132 rushing yards today, 1143 on season, 63 to tie, 64 to break record.

Two holds on same play as Fields gets sacked. Unbelievable.

Sometimes you have to protect a player from themselves. Our lines are so bad. Their D-Line gets tackles on our RBs, and their RBs get to our LBs untouched. Huge difference in the trenches, we need at least 3 new on offense and 4 on defense.

Fields is 4-12 with 47 yards passing against one of the worst passing defenses in the league. This may be the worst game they have played all season. If this is how they are going to play, you almost have to play Peterman next week.

Another sack against Fields, then Herbert runs for no gain.

Holy Baby Jesus, the Bears defense forces a 3 and out.

O-Line blocked for 1 second, Fields has to scamble, gets 2 more yards. 118 rushing yards today, 1129 on season, 77 to tie, 78 to break record.

116 rushing yards, 1127 on season, 79 to tie, 80 to break record. That seems like all they are playing for at this point. Might be another fumble.

Down 38-10, Fields still running inside and getting tackled, what the hell. I don't have a good feeling about this.

So when the Lions inevitably score another TD to go up 38-10, do you still send Fields out there?