Everything posted by adam
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Caleb Williams
Miller Moss? USC backup throws for 6 TDs in a bowl game against a ranked opponent, throwing to backups? Unless Louisville didn't have a bunch of players play, this looks really bad for Caleb Williams. If a backup can do that in his first game, in a bowl game no less, and put up 372 passing yards and 6 TDs, how much of your success was the offense? That is what the scouts have to decipher, but that does not look good for Caleb Williams fans.
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Cole Kmet Appreciation Thread
He is tied with Bennett right now with 208. Next up Desmond Clark with 242, then Ditka with 315. At his current pace he would have an outside shot at passing Ditka in 2024, but would definitely in 2025, that would also put him in 6th all-time for Bears in receptions regardless of position. If he plays for the Bears for 10 years, he would pass Payton as the all-time leader in receptions.
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Cole Kmet Appreciation Thread
I agree, stop throwing to Mooney at this point. He is worthless.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread ATL @ CHI, SUN 12/31, 12PM, CBS, CHI -3 O/U 38
Absolutely, it would be nice to close out the last home game with a win and momentum going into the GB game.
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Flus is coming back, change my mind
In a macro view, he probably stays as he went from a 3-win to at least a 6-win team. On a micro level, I could see them moving on. So it will depend on if Poles views Flus as a success or a failure.
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Caleb Williams
The TTT stat doesn't take into account scrambles with passes. So if Fields/Williams elude rushers, rollout, then throw it, that makes the time go up considerably. Russell Wilson used to have a super high TTT when he was doing the houdini act in the backfield, but since he would still throw it after 8 seconds, it would make like his TTT was really high, but in reality his normal drop backs were in the normal range. What the holding the ball looks like is the patting of the ball or the hitch then throw making the throw late in the progression or window. Fields does that a lot. Williams does it some but not at the same rate as Fields does.
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Cole Kmet Appreciation Thread
More love: Kmet was the highest graded TE in Week 16 (PFF) and only played a half. Kmet is the 7th highest graded TE for the year (behind only Kittle, Kelce, Hockenson, McBride, Andrews, LaPorta). Kmet is tied for 7th in First Downs with 35. Kmet is tied for the lead with only 1 drop and 0 fumbles lost on the season.
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Fields-O-Meter
I've seen an interesting thought, highly unlikely, but just say the Chargers make Justin Herbert available in a trade for the #1 pick. If you are the Bears, are you better with Herbert, Williams + Cap Space, or Fields + Pick 1 in 2024 (MHJ)?
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Caleb Williams
The one thing that is notable about Williams is he is pretty decisive and has a quick drop back. That makes the timing routes look so much smoother. Then he still has the ridiculous passes like these: One concern of mine is him holding the ball with one hand when he is in the pocket, that has led to some fumbles and will need to be cleaned up.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread ATL @ CHI, SUN 12/31, 12PM, CBS, CHI -3 O/U 38
ATL is 25th overall in DVOA, 24th on offense, 19th on defense. This is a game the Bears should win.
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Bears Defense
The Bears defense now up to 16th in DVOA. The team overall is 23rd with the offense 22nd. So the entire team has trended away from the bottom 5 all year.
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Flus is coming back, change my mind
Yep, you started with 8 wins, then dropped to 7. Looks like one of those two will be right.
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2023 Schedule
5-8 heading into the CLE game, so they exceeded your prediction by 5 games, Flus is CotY!
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2023 Schedule
Records a little off, but PHI, SF, DET, DAL all locked in, NO, SEA, and CHI still in the hunt, lol.
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Caleb Williams
The attitude stuff does worry me. How will vets handle that persona in an NFL locker room, especially if they lost their beloved QB for him. Time will tell how that all works out. Mahomes is literally Kermit, and that worked out. Mayfield was kind of a punk and he looks good on his 3rd team. Mitch Trubisky drove a Camry.
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Week 16 Official Game Thread - Cards at Bears (Tankathon Bowl), DEC 24th, 3:25pm, FOX, CHI -4.5, O/U 44.5
He literally pulled an A-Rod. I guess he got all butt hurt with them bringing DJ Moore in. He had such a good connection with Fields, the drop off in production is wild.
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Fields-O-Meter
For Flus, what kind of OC is going to sign up for a job with a HC that would be on the Hot Seat all season? If they retain Flus, it is playoffs or bust next season. If they keep Flus, Getsy is more than likely coming back too then. For Fields, there are even more variables to consider but if you go back to the start of the season, this was his clean slate eval season with a WR1 and improved O-Line. Regardless of the team's record, I think they expected more out of him than they got.
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Fields-O-Meter
This is surely interesting: He alluded to the fact that he would be part of that process and no decision has been made. If Fields was going to be the guy, it would be stated and known. The fact that he is non-committal about a QB entering his 4th year is telling.
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Fields-O-Meter
41-80, 463 yds, 51.3%, 5.8 Y/A, 3 TD, 6 INT, 50.2 Passer Rating So worse than his career averages.
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Fields-O-Meter
So the more this is peeled apart, the more things are stacking up against Fields staying. He hits on a lot of intangibles, which makes him so enticing, but with the game on the line, he actually plays the worst. I don't think two good games at the end of another lost season is going to move the needle that much. I also think Fields knows it too. On that long run down the sideline, he could've easily scored with Scott in front of him making a block, but he decided to slide instead. So for all the Fields fans, Sunday is probably his last game in a Bears uniform at Soldier Field.
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Fields-O-Meter
Yeah for sure, and the timing of plays matter too. There is no comparison between Lamar and Justin in the 4th Quarter. Lamar Jackson has a 94.0 Passer Rating with 25 TD, 12 INT in the 4Q for his career, 20th all-time. Justin Fields? 204th out of 214 qualifying QBs with a 60.6, 10 TD, 16 INT. Rex Grossman came in at #205 at 60.4. Trubisky? 126th with a 77.2. Cutler? 66th with a 83.8. It is hard to even quantify how bad that is. There are very few QBs near him that were even long term starters. Trent Dilfer, Gus Frerotte, and Kordell Stewart were the only 3 other QBs under 70.0 who played in 100 games in their career.
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Fields-O-Meter
One way to look at this is from other team's perspectives. The Bears need Fields to be top 12, otherwise, any other ranking makes him just average or below average, and you don't pay those guys. Based on performance from this season, here are QBs/teams that would not make Fields their starter if they got him for free (Bears cut him): Josh Allen/BUF Dak Prescott/DAL Tua Tagovailoa/MIA Lamar Jackson/BAL Justin Herbert/LAC Jalen Hurts/PHI Patrick Mahomes/KC Jared Goff/DET CJ Stroud/HOU Trevor Lawrence/JAX Joe Burrow/CIN Baker Mayfield/TB Brock Purdy/SF Then there are others that would depend on other factors, but I don't think these teams would switch to Fields if it was just based on current performance: Geno Smith/SEA Matt Stafford/LAR Kirk Cousins/MIN Russell Wilson/DEN Kyler Murray/ARZ That is 18 QBs and I did not include Jordan Love or guys like Watson/Flacco who even CLE would have a hard decision on who they would want today. The fact that you can get thru that many names is concerning. From our perspective, we may not want Goff or Mayfield, but they have played so much better than Fields that it would be hard for me to see those teams starting Fields over those guys.
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Fields-O-Meter
Sam Darnold was traded for a 2nd, 4th, and 6th. Trey Lance trade got a 4th rounder. So I would assume they would get nothing less than a 3rd rounder and another pick.
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Flus is coming back, change my mind
I think the 3 collapses are hard to overcome. Last year we said they didn't feel like a 3-win team. This year, we feel like they are better than a 6-win team. That seems to point to inferior coaching. Like I said in another thread, they literally drew up a defensive scheme that made Justin Jones drop into coverage, which got them burnt and ultimately led to a loss. Then they get asked about it, and said "we have to be better" and then do it again for another opponent TD in the next game. Flus literally made that play 11v10. Jones is useless not rushing the passer taking up a blocker, so him dropping back 5 yards does absolutely nothing and it's not like he is going to catch anyone. Then you have the offense an Getsy. Flus is still approving the plays. He knows the play designs, they have to practice these where Tonyan is asked to block out of motion (whiffed completely). They are always cute on 3rd or 4th and short. Always. If it changed, then I would tip my cap to Flus and Getsy, but they have been doing this crap since Week 1.
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Fields-O-Meter
The biggest concern is the running makes him very high risk, and you can't live and die by the amazing highlight reel scrambles. It's almost like a guy who can do 360 slam dunks, but then can't hit a shot to save his life. You keep seeing the dunks on ESPN, but his box score shows 12 pts on 5-20 shooting.