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Everything posted by adam
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If the Bears put anyone but Vildor on the field, they would have 3 more wins. I have never seen a DB so far off his guy on every play than him. Jets have scored 14 on him, 0 on the Bears other 10 players. Jackson down on on non-contact injury. Holding his foot/ankle, probably achilles, which sucks for him.
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If the Bears pick in the top 3, you have to trade down. If they are out of the top 3, then Anderson or Carter are about as good as you are going to get there at their respective positions. Both guys also play the toughest competition and probably have the toughest practices, but there is still going to be a projection when the talent increases. The bowl games will be telling.
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What is pretty surprising is Siemian's last 6 games (all with Saints). He had at least 1 TD pass in every game and an 11-3 TD-INT ratio with 1 rushing TD. So 12 TDs in less than 6 full games. Not bad for a back up, and it wasn't against crappy teams, it was last year against TB, TEN, PHI, and BUF, then 2x against ATL. Even ATL had 7 wins last year. Not that he is going to do that against the Jets, but he is actually one of the better backups in the NFL.
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Gipson had one monster game, against GB, with 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 3 QB Hits. In the other 9 games, he has been basically a low end rotational guy: 0 sacks, 1 TFL, 5 QB Hits
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Without Mack and Quinn, Gipson does not look near as good. He is definitely not a starter, but more of a rotational guy. Robinson still has room to grow. I agree that I think they draft one and sign one via FA. We need some balance between vets and young guys as they build this roster out.
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OK fair enough, I just thought it was odd if you were going to waive him immediately anyway. Take a WR or CB instead that might stick to the roster.
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Then why even have him as part of the trade then?
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AJ Klein that came over in the Roquan trade is starting for the Bills today, and looks pretty good. Surprised we waived him.
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Sucks for both, hopefully it doesn't impact them for this game, though Gordon's seemed worse.
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I could actually see the Bears doing something like what the Texans did with Osweiler. They basically took on his contract for Denver for a draft pick. So I could see the Bears both doing something like that AND getting multiple picks. The Colts have to be in play for a QB, they tried Rivers then Ryan and it didn't work. With the familiarity of Flus, I think they could be a possible partner. I could also see them doing something like SF did for Lance, 3 firsts and a future 3rd to go from 12 to 3. Atlanta could also be in play with a pick in the 10-12 range. Teams that need a QB are HOU, CAR, WSH, IND, NYJ, NO, DET, and ATL. Other teams may need one soon (LVR, TB, LAR). Getting in front of CAR would be awesome, because that would allow basically any other team on this list to get their QB (if they trade with the Bears).
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Very true, I didn't think about that. We can always add some other picks in to make it work.
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Totally random timing. He was on IR since October. I guess they wanted to see if it would heal without surgery. Sucks that we barely got to see any of him between his thumb and toe injuries. I don't think the Bears can count on him to be the starting Center next year, so I would expect them to either draft or sign a FA. Otherwise, they will end up in the same spot as this year.
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I don't know if DET would do that, but it would be awesome. It might be different if we were #2 and they were #7 and #14, but moving from 6 to 3 would only be worth Pick 31.
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If you can't trade down, I think you have to go with BPA, which would be Anderson correct? Top non-QB in the draft.
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This is what the remaining schedule looks like for the teams in range of the Bears. Based on current records, the Bears would have to win 2-3 more games to get out of the top 9. 1. HOU 1-8-1 @MIA CLE @DAL KC @TEN JAX @IND (1-15-1 to 3-13-1) 2. CAR 3-8 DEN BYE @SEA PIT DET @TB @NO (3-14 to 5-12) 3. CHI 3-8 @NYJ GB BYE PHI BUF @DET MIN (3-14) 4. LVR 3-7 @SEA LAC @LAR NE @PIT SF KC (3-14 to 5-12) 5. DEN 3-7 @CAR @BAL KC ARI @LAR @KC LAC (3-14 to 5-12) 6. LAR 3-7 @KC SEA LV @GB DEN @LAC @SEA (3-14 to 5-12) 7. CLE 3-7 TB @HOU @CIN BAL NO @WSH @PIT (3-14 to 5-12) - If Watson starts playing, they will drop out of the top 10. 8. PIT 3-7 @IND @ATL BAL @CAR LV @BAL CLE (3-14 to 5-12) 9. JAX 3-7 BAL @DET @TEN DAL @NYJ @HOU TEN (3-14 to 4-13) If the season plays out as expected, the top 5 picks will look like this: 1. HOU 2. CHI 3. CAR 4. JAX 5. LVR If the Bears get to #2, some team looking for a QB will want to get in front of CAR who will be taking one. This could get really interesting.
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Fields is no longer in the DVOA cellar. After Sunday's game, he passed Mayfield and moved into sole possession of #31 in DVOA at -32.2%. Fields had -28.4% last year but started so bad that he was working from a huge hole. I know this may not mean anything to anyone, but guys like Josh Allen made significant progress and it showed in their DVOA. Josh Allen went from -35.9% to -11.8% to +25.9% in his first 3 years. So there is precedence. Right now Fields has actually regressed from last year as a passer. On a side note, Kmet is the #4 TE in the NFL in DVOA at 22.2%. Dissly, Goedert, and Kelce are the top 3.
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With Fields injury up in the air, the Bears may have to start Siemian against a top 5 defense in the Jets. The Jets could put a QB off the street and score 20 against the Bears. I doubt the Bears muster more than a FG if Siemian starts, and probably no more than 17 if Fields does. The line is -4.5 right now but that will shoot up if Fields doesn't play. A good bet for Jets + the under. I am saying 30-3 if Siemian starts, 27-17 if Fields starts.