adam

The Bears are 28th in DVOA, and that was before the WAS game. WAS was 30th. I am sure Bears will drop. HOU is 29th. DET (24th) is the only team left on the schedule with a DVOA even close to the Bears, and they only have 1 win. That is about the only games they have a chance in (only game they are still favorites in, by 1.5). All others, they will come in as underdogs. DVOA does a good job of grouping teams. The Bears are basically IND, CAR, WAS, and HOU. Those are the teams that they could beat, but also lose to. All other teams, it is going to be an actual upset to beat them, even the Jets and Falcons. I figure they split with DET, and beat either ATL or NYJ. That is 4-13. Oh and I don't know if anyone noticed, but that easy schedule we were supposed to have sure changed quickly. The Bears now have the 2nd hardest SoS in the league behind only WAS for the full year's schedule.

Fields and Allen is definitely an interesting comparison. BUF's top 2 WRs were John Brown and Cole Beasley. No other WR/TE/RB had over 30 receptions. The RBs were Singletary and Gore. For O-Lines, BUF was 23rd in Pass Pro, the Bears are currently 32nd. However, that BUF team went 10-6. It is a much different development environment when you are losing.

The injury thing is such a high possibility with that O-Line and him holding onto the ball too long. He already got hit low at the knees a few times. I don't know how many more of those he can take. It just looks like he is in a no-win situation.

One overarching concern is, can you actually fix the offense with a defensive head coach (nowadays)? Every game it seems to show that most of the capital was put into the defense (top 2 picks), top 4 of 5 cap hits on defense, etc, etc. Fields is the top paid offensive player, and he is on his rookie deal. Santos, a kicker, makes more than any other offensive player. Montgomery is next, on his rookie deal. Then the next offensive player is Riley Reiff who has barely played, if at all yet. You need someone, anyone, on offense. Every player is replaceable on offense. I understand Poles was in a tough spot with little cap or draft picks, but it just seems like he could've put a little more emphasis on offense to help Fields out. Since that was what this season was all about, his development. So it is easy to be critical because Poles basically did nothing to address the O-Line or WR Corps. I am still skeptical this is going to work as we have been thru this before many times. There were red flags with basically every hire since Lovie and Angelo. Pace got 2 HCs, but even with him, he kept trading up and wasting picks (Trubisky, Miller, etc). Emery was just terrible from the beginning. Trestman started out 3-0, then lost 3 of the next 4 and never played over .500 ball again. Fox started 2-3, then to 4-5, then won only 9 of his next 39 games. For some reason, he got a 3rd year. Every since the double doink, Nagy played sub .500 ball. It just feels very similar, we always have high hopes, but things are pointed out early, and unfortunately, a lot of them are playing out right now. One theory is that Poles/Flus/Getsy are not in on Fields, and they will go firesale at the deadline (Monty, Quinn, Smith Jackson, and Whitehair). Then they will move on from Fields this offseason, which would be bold, but they did move Mack, which was pretty bold at the time.

Fair enough, I will give them this year as a freebie, but man, this feels eerily similar to the Emery/Trestman era.

thanks, i will take a look.

2-15 is a real possibility. Underdogs in every remaining game. Then what? Would that change your outlook on Poles, Flus, Getsy, Fields? For me it would. I know they are not all equal, but man, 2 wins and what could be 14 straight losses to end the season? I doubt that happens, they will probably luck into a win or two and go 3-14 or 4-13, but 5 wins is really a success now, which is disappointing given the start. The craziest part is this team is literally 3-4 plays away from 5-1. Then if you go the other way, they could also easily be 0-6. So I have mixed feelings. I just have a feeling (after 6 games) that Poles is not it. Velus pick was bad and looks worse now. Gordon has shown nothing in 6 games while WRs are flashing (Pierce, Pickens). Jones is great for a 5th rounder, but he should not be your starter. What free agent is doing anything, Morrow? Jones? Maybe. Muhammad has been subpar. The top guys on defense are from Pace: Smith, Johnson, Jackson, and Gipson. The top guys on offense: Fields, Herbert, Monty, and Whitehair are from Pace. To put this season in perspective, the two worst seasons in franchise history were a 1-13 1969 (yeah baby), and a 3-13 2016. A 3-14 season becomes the 2nd worst in franchise history. 4-13 slightly edges 2016 and would be the 3rd worst. So unless there is a miracle turnaround, this season is projected to be either the 2nd or 3rd worst ever.

3 losses and 6 upcoming losses before the loss to the Packers. What a great way to go into the buy, with a lot of momentum (down).

How many consecutive losses will it take for someone to get fired? 5? 10? 14? Currently at 3, not favored in another game all year. Team getting worse week after week. Fields won't make it two more weeks taking the hits he is taking. 7 more games to the bye. That would be 10 straight. At that point you have to start firing people, right? WR Coach, OL Coach? Those units are horrible and worse than last year. Getsy is not it. Always a risk when you hire a coach from an offense with a HoFer at QB. Look at Denver, Hackett won't last a year. Do we really want Poles drafting next year? Gordon over Pierce, Velus over Raimann. Brisker is literally the only acquisition that is still playing above average. His free agent class may be the worst in the league. All his guys are literally losing the games, Gordon/Velus/Smith-Marsette. I am ok with Flus, but some of his assistants need to go. My thoughts are if this team only wins 3-4 games, you have to fire Poles and half of the assistants. At this point they need to win at least 5-6 games, and even then you have to consider firing some assistants who underperformed. However, for how bad they have looked for all by 3 halves of football out of 12, I can't see them beating anyone else on their schedule. Cut Mustipher and ISM today.

It's Fields, he ain't it. How much more do we have to see? Any other QB would be replaced at this point. He is not learning as a starter. He needs more time in the oven and time to practice fundamentals.

Any lineup without Mustipher is better as long as Patrick is at C. So C or D.

That's true but they aren't even doing that. They just let the OT take care of him. He is literally running into the OT on every play. I am not seeing his speed and bend.

Yeah we need to move Quinn now. Mack is tearing it up in LA like 2018 and Quinn looks like 2020 Quinn. He is so weird, he has one big year followed by a lower year, followed by a higher year, rinse repeat. Check out his sack numbers, it looks like 2 different players: Odd year sack total (13-21): 62.5 (69 games) Even year sack total (12-20): 33.5 (72 games) This is an even year where he averages less than half a sack a game, max 8 sacks, and on pace for 4.5. Note - Quinn has more sacks in 2013+2021 (38) than in his 5 even season years (33.5) and maybe even this year if he only gets 4.5. Schoefield or Reiff are better than Mustipher. I have no idea what they are doing. Mustipher has enough tape as a bad starter, serviceable backup.

No worries, I have been super busy with work this week. Cousins has not been as good as he was in previous years thru 4 games. Probably due to the offensive changes. 6 TD to 4 INT is very unlike him. In the last 3 seasons, his TD to INT is 94-26. His Y/A is a yard lower but they are throwing more. Justin Jefferson vs Vildor or Gordon? He may break the single game record for receptions, yds, and TDs in this one. This team is so weird. You have Cousins, Cook, Jefferson, Theilen, Osborn, Smith, and Mattison as your top skill guys, yet you are middle of the road on offense? Then on defense, they give up a lot of yards. Even though they are 2-1 in their last 3, their score differential in those game is -10. They scored a last minute TD to beat the Lions and needed a missed FG to beat the Saints. So they are probably not that good, but still a lot better than the Bears. I always felt the Bears would split with MIN and DET, home and away. So this one is still should be a loss. I hope our offense can generate some TDs, the defense can play better against the run and tackle some people. I fear that there will be so much attention on Jefferson that Cook and Thielen will have big games. The odds are the game will be Viqueens 28-20, however, I will go Bears 27-24 with a Santos game winner after a Cousins INT late to Gordon. My goals for the Bears by units: 1. Fields over 25 passing attempts, 225 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 or less sacks, doesn't get hit while sliding (put your head down dude). 2. Kmet and Mooney both at least have 3 catches each, one has over 5. 3. Blasingame gets targeted in the passing game at least twice (wheel route?) - anytime TD? 4. Jenkins plays the entire game and pancakes at least 3 Vikes (Harrison Smith plz). 1. Cook doesn't go over 100 yards rushing, the defense tackles better and has better gap integrity and contain. 2. Jefferson doesn't go over 150 yards, and the Safeties prevent any 50+ yard plays. 3. Gordon "looks" better and is not always trailing his guy by 2-3 yds, gets 2 PBUs. 4. The Edge guys get some sacks, Quinn, Muhammad (who has looked terrible), Gipson, and Robinson. 1. Gill has less than 6 punts, but still averages 45+ net and several inside the 20. 2. Velus doesn't muff a punt/kick. 3. KRs don't return the ball out from the end zone if they are going to get tackled at the 18. 1. Getsy calls a more aggressive game with more quicker developing plays to get Fields and the passing game going. 2. Williams/Flus attack the LOS against the run and pass to stop Cook and pressure Cousins. Don't coach not to lose > see Giants game. 3. Start the game fast, go uptempo without substitutions. Need a TD on that first drive.

Golladay is not the same guy after the injury, but I would definitely look into the trade market. There may be even some options before the trading deadline this year. The Bears can take on some big salaries for teams that are tight. Definitely need a pure pass catching TE, Kmet is still serviceable, but doesn't seem like he is a TE1. Going OL/DL/WR in any order for the first 3 picks would be nice. If there are huge values in other positions, you have to consider them but it would be nice to get 3 top picks in those areas.

Great news, hopefully he can get up to speed in a week or two and get out there with a few routes. He may be our WR wildcard.

Surprised we didn't put him on our PS.

So Allen Robinson is who we thought he was. Has anyone else watch the Rams games? He is literally jogging routes out there and barely blocks the refs. In 4 games, he has 9 receptions and 95 yards and is on pace for 38 receptions and 400 yds receiving. I am sure it will go up but not that much. He will probably end up with a season similar to last season's loaf-a-thon. The sad part is he would lead the Bears in receptions! That is how bad the passing attack has been. Somewhere Dowell Loggains is smiling.

Yep, with only 2 wins now, 5 wins seems like the max with the schedule on how the team looked against the Giants. The WR FA market is terrible next offseason, so they are going to have to draft a WR early. DT and OL have a lot more options in free agency. I would even consider a TE in free agency like Gesicki, Schultz, Engram, or Hooper. We need a pass catching TE and Kmet is clearly not one of them. This is pretty crazy, here are the FA WRs with the most snaps: Mack Hollins, Noah Brown, Eq St. Brown, Marvin Jones, Parris Campbell, David Sills, Greg Dortch, Allen Lazard, Juju, and Agholor. So maybe they go after Lazard or Juju. Those would be the top 2 names under 30.

Goff looks much better in this system as he has cut down on his INTs, which is huge for him. He has already thrown for 4600 yds twice, and 3 of his seasons would be Bears franchise records. So it is not like Goff was some terrible QB before going to DET. His TD to INT in DET is 30-11. His career passer rating is 91.9. He has always been an above average QB that would throw a bad INT every now and then. Looking at his career stats, nothing relates to Fields in any way if you are trying to make that comparison.

Every other outlet has him dead last. If you watch the tape, there is no way he has a 100% win rate. There are a ton of these examples:

I am figuring #5-#12 range. My assumption is you have to go OT/DT/WR in that spot. The other option is to trade down (for someone looking to grab a QB) and add some picks while still getting a mid to late round first.

They really need to take another look at Schofield or Reiff with Patrick at OC. It can't be worse than Mustipher at OC. Mustipher has been part of the problem since last year, yet two regimes keep running him out there as the OC. You need a competent Center for a young QB, and he ain't one of them.

Fields IMPROVED! Now only at -65.2%, still last behind Mayfield by -22.4%, and Mayfield is -16.1% behind Daniel Jones. Team now 27th, offense 29th, defense dropped to 18th.

Did you see that SF defense last night? If the Bears played SF last night, our offense would've scored -2pts. Also, I was never really that high on Stafford. He was a stat padder in Detroit, then lucked into a perfect scenario in LA for one year. I doubt they do much else while he is the QB. It is not hard throwing to the best WR in the league. Just look at Rodgers, no Davante, and not a single game over 255 yds passing since. That is becoming my only sliver of hope with Fields. He really doesn't have the weapons.