Everything posted by adam
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Playoffs!!!
Here are the projected paths: #2 Seed - at least 2 home games, one vs GB, and the DIV round vs PHI or Week 18 loser of SEA/SF. Possibly a 3rd home game for NFCC vs LAR (LAR beats #1 Seed). #3 Seed - at least 1 home game, on road in PHI for DIV round or at home vs LAR in DIV Round (if GB beat PHI). The #1 Seeds make the SB 50% of the time, so there is a high chance that one of the two #1 seeds will make the SB. However, in the last 5 years, only one #1 Seed has won it (KC). If you take KC out of the equation, non-KC teams are 6-7 in the playoffs as #1 Seeds with only 2 SB visits (both losses).
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Kyle Monangai
Needs 82 scrimmage yards to hit 1K. He has 769 Rushing Yards, and 149 Receiving Yards. He has hit 82+ yards 4 times this season, all within the last 11 games. Crazy production from RB2 7th Rounder.
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Year 2 QB QBR Tracker
Caleb is 8th in Passing Yards, T-7th in Passing TDs, T-4th in INTs with a 90.3 QB Rating. Ultimately no need to keep track of his progress, he has arrived. This will be his worst season under Johnson statistically from here on out.
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Colston Loveland
Now has 48 receptions for 622 yards and 5 TDs on the season. That is the most for a Bears TE since Kmet's 719 in 2023 (on 73 receptions). In the Super Bowl era, Dikta, Dewveal, Bennett, and Kmet are the only TEs in Bears history to have 650+ receiving yards in a season. Desmond Clark had 626. Loveland is having the 2nd best season in Bears history for a rookie TE, only to Dikta's 1,076 yards and 12 TDs in 1961 (in 14 games which is insane). Loveland also has a +43.2 REC EPA, 3rd to only McBride and Kittle. McBride has 161 targets, Loveland has 69.
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Playoffs!!!
So is it better to play GB in CHI on short rest (with GB coming off a bye) or SEA/SF with equal rest?
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Playoffs!!!
Next will be interesting to see what Ben Johnson does. He does not seem like the type of coach that will rest people and concede anything, especially against DET. A win in Week 18, the Bears would be locked into the #2 Seed with a game against GB. A loss is basically a game against the loser of SEA@SF. So instead of GB coming back to CHI, you get either SF or SEA. SF is 7-2 on the road, SEA is 7-1 (would be 7-2 with loss to SF) while GB is 4-3-1 on the road. So do you rest players all but guaranteeing a game against SEA or SF, or do you play everyone and go into a game with no rest while your opponent got a week off resting their players in Week 18 (GB resting players against MIN because they can't change their seeding)?
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Out of the entire game, I thought Johnson handled the timeouts pretty well, but I thought he was too worried about leaving too much time on the clock at the end, leaving very little room for error. Having to spike the ball wasted a play when you had over 2 mins and 3 timeouts to start with. A learning point for him, but tough to watch it play out.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Yeah, it was bad. Burden got facemasked coming across the middle, no call. Jarrett has his face mask pushed up, no call, then the next play Dexter does the same thing (both penalties), but that one was called.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
It was the difference in the game. It would've been tied and Santos would've been kicking the GW FG from 29 yards out.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Yeah both him and Monangai did that, cut back inside right towards defender.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Not that is matters, but Caleb threw for 330, now 270 from 4K and only 109 to break Kramer's team record.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
SF had the officials advantage all game, that was the difference. One play away.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Damn what a game.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Walk off TD, can't tie now.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Play before Dexter's hands to the face call, Jarrett had the OLine do it to him but not called. Ffs these rest man.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Damn would've like to have seen some more runs there. The 3rd down play 4 routes all in the end zone, nothing open.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
If you listen to the broadcast, apparently SF is up by 30.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Zone coverage and no holding calls, SF may score 60.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Defense needs to take away McCaffrey make them beat you with someone else.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Great opening drive to start the 2nd half.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
49ers holding a lot. They refuse to call it.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Special Teams not doing the team any favors. Lost over 30 yards of field position on kickoffs already.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Freaking refs, wtf was that bs call. Took an INT off the board, the fix is in.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
First to 50 wins I guess.
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Week 17 Official Game Thread - CHI @ SF, 7:20pm, SNF, 12/28, NBC, CHI +3, O/U 50.5
Holy shit offense woke up.