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Everything posted by adam
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My biggest issue with Monty is with this juke thing he does when he initially catches a screen or near the LOS on a run. For some reason his first step is almost always a juke even if no one is there. He had a screen pass the other game to the right and there is no one within 5 yards of him. All he has to do is turn around and run. He turns around does his head juke thing to air, the defender just runs right at him and tackles him for a 2 yard gain. I don't mind the juke at full speed with a defender right on you, but it is almost a nervous tick now he does it so much.
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Darnell Mooney, WR1, 4 receptions for 27 yards. Cole Kmet, TE1, breakout year, 2 receptions for 40 yards. The player with the most receptions was hurt and missed most of the last game, Montgomery with 5. Everyone's stats are completely neutered due to SF game and Fields. Everyone should have 3 to 4x their current numbers.
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Great question, I think I can. At this point though, regardless of play call, scheme, defense, etc, it comes down to playing ball. Right now any QB in the NFL, even guys on the practice squads can come in and do what he has done. One more game like this and Fields will have the longest run of futility in the Super Bowl era.
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Fields DVOA got worse, now at 79.3%, historically bad, almost impossible to just get back to average QB. Team improved, now 23rd overall, 28th on offense, 11th on defense.
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This is probably why we don't see many quick slants (if any) for Fields. They don't want LBs and DBs jumping the route.
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157 yards on 20 carries, 2 TD, 2 receptions, 12 yards. There have only been 18 games since 2002 where a player had 150+ yds, on 20 or less carries, at least 2 TDs, 2 receptions, and 10+ receiving yards. 16 players to do it, Tomlinson and Jonathan Taylor are the only 2 to do it twice ( from 2002-2022). The last 5 before Herbert were Taylor x2 (20/21), Aaron Jones (20), McCaffrey (19), Chubb (19), and LeSean McCoy in 2016.
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There have been only 26 games since 2000 where a QB had at least 15 attempts, less than 150 yds passing, 0 TDs, at least 2 INT & 5 sacks. Justin Fields just had one of them. Teams are 2-24 with a QB with those stats, and Fields is the first QB to win a game in regulation with those stats. QBs with 2 games: David Carr, Jay Fiedler, Jon Kitna, and Josh Rosen Only 3 times since the start of 2020, Fields plus: Ian Book on 12/27/2021 NO vs MIA, 20-3 Loss Sam Darnold on 10/25/2020 NYJ vs BUF, 18-10 Loss The Bears have the most games and QBs with 4: (Fields, Hanie, Krenzel, and McNown). Miami is the only other team with 3 or more games (Fiedler x2, Rosen).
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He is literally doing EVERYTHING wrong right now. On both of his INTs, terrible footwork. He is scrambling into sacks instead of stepping up. He is either missing his reads or not reading the coverage. He is still slow to throw the ball. That to me seems like his biggest problem. Either he is waiting to see them open before throwing or he is just slow to execute after he sees it. To me the worst part is he has clearly regressed. Watch the Steelers game from last year. Also, if you take his name off the stats, how many guys are going to get more starts with numbers that bad. I am looking into how bad right now. I even bought a subscription to find out.
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Yeah, I think they were in Nickel? So only 2 LBs? One on each side. Just like the Eddie Jackson INT, they made the right call, the player executed, AND caught the ball. Too many dropped INTs last year.
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Mooney and St. Brown are better than anything they have. Ours looks much worse due to the offense and Fields right now.
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We really need Velus. How long can be out for a soft tissue injury. He has been out 2 months now.
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Seriously, if we can't beat the Giants with this WR Corps, the franchise should be disbanded.
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Who is Jones throwing to without Shepard? Jones was pressured over 20 times and sacked 5 times.
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Giants are playing tonight, so I wanted to start this thread before the game. It will be interesting to see if they win and start the season 3-0. I thought the initial line of Bears -3 was very telling. Vegas thinks this is an even game on a neutral field. They will have the short week. Without the 3rd game for the Giants, the team stats will be a little skewed, but I will update later. Right now for comparison sake: Pts scored - CHI - 20th, NYG - 16th Pts allowed - CHI - 12th, NYG - 8th Total Yards - CHI - 31st, NYG - 22nd Total Yards Against - CHI - 20th, NYG - 13th INTs - CHI - 3, NYG - 0 Sacks - CHI - 6, NYG - 3 So NYG beat TEN and CAR. CAR might be the worst team in the league (like HOU). Mayfield threw for 145 yds against the Giants. Against the Titans, they had 2x 60+ yd plays (1 run, 1 pass) that led to 2 of their TDs. The Giants have yet to get an INT, and only average 1.5 sacks a game. That is very favorable for Fields. Their passing defense looks good in terms of yards allowed, but it is sort of off with who they played. This will be an away game for Fields, maybe he plays better, like he did against PIT last year. He really needs a game like that to get his confidence back. It seems like it is all gone and he is overthinking on every play. My early prediction is Bears 23-20.
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The Pro Football Docs speculated it as a possible high ankle or MCL sprain or both. They have been pretty spot on with injury assessments from watching how the injury occurred. They could be totally wrong, but like I said, they have been surprisingly accurate. A high ankle would be 4-6 weeks. Flus said he was optimistic and that Monty was day to day, so we will see. Crazy ironic that Monty wore a Cohen shirt to the game that he got hurt in:
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This is what the Bears will be facing between now and the next GB game. QBR Rating: Week 4 - Jones - 27th - Jones is terrible Week 5 - Cousins - 20th - it depends on what Cousins shows up Week 6 - Wentz (TNF) - 24th - Wentz was sacked 9 times by JAX Week 7 - Jones/Hoyer - 25th - Jones hurt, Hoyer may start Week 8 - Rush - 3rd - It seems like he has peaked and will only come down once there is tape on him. Week 9 - Tua - 1st - I don't think he is this good or will be able to keep this up all season. Week 10 - Goff - 8th - Goff is way too high for who he is, he will come down too. Week 11 - Mariota - 12th - Surprisingly high for what looked like a career backup after TEN Week 12 - Wilson/Flacco - 28th - bad young or bad old At least 5 favorable QB matchups in the next 9 weeks and that does not count Goff, Rush, or Mariota. Possibly 8 of 9 with Tua being the toughest. The good thing is we get Tua and Goff at home.
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Still the last Wild Card team. If DAL wins, it would be a tiebreaker. Still pretty funny. Game balls for Roquan and Herbert. Hopefully Patrick can start at center next weekend, so Jenkins can also play the entire game at RG. Need to get Johnson back and Velus needs to play at some point. Barely played in the preseason and has yet to play in the regular season after 3 weeks. Not a good look so far. Right now Brisker and Jones look like great picks. Gordon needs to improve quickly, getting burned a lot. Velus has yet to play one snap. Gill has looked good too. So a mixed draft so far unless Gordon improves and Velus plays and looks decent. Ebner has been ok, but he needs to take a knee on some KO returns.
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It seems like the rust is finally off. What a game he had. In 3 games, Smith leads the NFL in total tackles (T-36), has 0.5 sacks, 2 TFLs, 1 INT, and 2 Passes Defended. If he can keep up this pace and get a couple of FF's he will be looking at a big contract. He is on pace for over 200 total tackles.
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Looks like a possible high ankle and MCL sprain. That would be 4-6 weeks, if any tears, it might be longer. Tough blow in a contract year, but on the flip side, Herbert looked really good.
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These 3 games have been statistically one of the worst 3-game stretches for a QB going back at least the last 20 years. He has 23 completions and 297 yards in 3 starts. That is an average of 7 completions and 99 passing yards per game. It is almost beyond comical at this point. Since Week 1 he has literally regressed in every imaginable way. Holding the ball too long, instead of stepping up into the pocket, sidesteps right into sacks, inaccurate passes, going thru his progressions too slow, bad mechanics. 30 QB started games so far this week. Fields had 64 fewer yards than the 29th QB (Mayfield), had 4 less completions than Mayfield, and one less attempt than Tua, yet was 2nd in INTs with 2. Before the game, HOU had one of the worst passing defenses and is now ranked 11th (Pass Def Yards). It is not going to get easier for Fields as the Giants have the 8th best Pass Def in terms iof yards, but luckily for him, they have 0 INTs and only 3 sacks (in 2 games).
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There are a few cases where players turned it around after a string of bad starts, but Fields right now is off the charts (in the wrong direction). When the other QBs were bad, they were bad, but they weren't this bad. Fields would have to improve just to get to their rookie levels (Big Ben, Lamar, Allen). If Fields was a 3rd Round pick (like Mond), he is probably going back to the bench to learn some more. At this point, it is hard to tell if this experience he is getting is even helping. It is much easier to shoot a rifle when you aren't being shot at. I am thinking, if he has another game like this AND the Bears lose, you have to at least consider going with someone like Siemian and let Fields speed up his process in practice. Is Siemian a long term answer? No, but he is at least a semi competent QB, who has a career 81.2 Passer Rating, more TDs than INTs (41-27) in 29 starts. In the other thread, I like to use INTs+Sacks/Attempts as a better determiner for how the QB is playing. Siemian's has been sacked 75 times and has 27 INTs in 1029 attempts. That is 9.9%. Fields has been sacked 46 times and has 14 INTs in 315 attempts (19.0%). Fields is on pace to have 2x the number of sacks and INTs with Siemian's attempts which would literally be the worst QB ever to start more than 20 games. Fields has 13 starts, he has 7 more before it is officially official. I am giving him to the bye to show that he can be a competent starting QB.
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Continuing this trend. Today Fields had 2 INTs and 5 sacks on 17 pass attempts. So his INT+Sack to Attempt ratio was 41.2% and they somehow won the game. Today Mac Jones had 321 Passing yards, 0 TD, 3 INT, and 3 sacks. 6 negative plays with 32 passing attempts, 18.75% is one of his worst games and still lower than Fields Lawrence had 262 and 3 TD (and beat the Chargers).
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Currently the last wild card team, lol, unless SF wins tonight.