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Everything posted by adam
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Huge takeaway by the defense! Jaylon Johnson with the Peanut Punch, Brisker's hit completes the fumble and recovery! Turnovers +1
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Bears first drive, 3 and out, conditions are crappy. O-Line got burnt on 3rd Down allowing a sack. SF starts out with 2 Jet Sweeps and a QB sneak.
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Kittle out, Ward on IR, 3 inexperienced interior linemen blocking for basically a rookie QB that has played 2 games of football in the last 2 years in Lance. Bears by 11, 27-16 Bears get 5 scoring drives, 2 off turnovers and short fields, 3 TDs and 2 FGs 49ers get 4 scoring drives, 3 FGs, 1 TD
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GAME DAY, LET'S GO! Looks like now Kittle is out. Ward (S) on IR, 3 new interior linemen, Lance starting at QB. This is not the same 49ers team from last year.
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Update: Questionable.
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Curious to see the corresponding move.
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In that game, Muhammad had 1 sack, 2 QB Hits, and a forced fumble. Adams played too. The Bears defense looks very comparable to the Colts defense from last year. We may need to start comparing this defense with that defense instead of the Bears 22 vs Bears 21. Probably Bears 22 vs Colts 21, at least on the defensive side may be a better comparison. The Colts were 1st in TO Margin, 7th in Defensive Scoring, and 18th in yards last year. The Bears were 29th in TO Margin, 24th in pts and 20th in yards on defense. The Colts were +14, the Bears were -13. Even if the team just got to +0, that would be a 12 spot jump and probably equate to one or two wins right there.
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Deebo killed the Bears last year on 2 plays. Kittle didn't even play.
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Did anyone watch the TNF game last night? Allen Robinson, the WR Savior for the Rams looked exactly like he did last year for the Bears. Running half speed on most of his routes, not blocking, and generally looking like he doesn't care. I saw a lot of people blaming Stafford for not targeting him. However, Robinson was getting zero separation. There was one play where Stafford scrambled instead of throwing it to ARob, but that's it. Playing like that ARob would've been cut with Dazz Newsome if he was on the Bears, he was that bad. Ironically, his new number is 1, the total receptions he had last night. Hilarious.
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I am so excited for this season, even more than 2019 after coming off the 12-4 season. I didn't know what the problem was, but felt like Trubisky was never the answer (who knew it was Nagy too at that point). This season is so different. Fields really feels like the guy and we are about to have our first franchise QB (drafted) since Sid Luckman. To think, Fields really didn't have an offseason last year as QB3 and QB play requires a ton of preparation and he got none of that last year. Now he comes in with an entire offseason with Getsy, an actual NFL scheme, and with enough quality around him to succeed. As long as the O-Line is not a jailbreak on every play, he will be fine. There are so many new faces, I am excited to see them all. Can Brisker and Gordon live up to the hype? Can Braxton Jones really be a starting LT? Was Velus the right pick? What will Morrow look like next to Roquan? Can Jones be that guy inside? With the returning guys, can Fields take the next step? Can Kmet become an elite TE? Is Mooney a true WR1? How will Monty look in this scheme? Can Quinn get double-digit sacks again? Can Gipson get better with more reps? Is Jaylon a Pro Bowl Corner? Can Jackson return to his pre-injury days? What does a mad Roquan play like? Can Jenkins and Borom anchor the line? How will Santos kick on Bermuda? I don't even care about the record. I don't expect them to make the playoffs and would be happy with 7 wins. Anything else is just icing on the cake. I just want Fields to cement himself as a top 15 starter with top 10 upside, reduce his turnovers and sacks, and have a very solid Year 2.
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A huge blow for SF if Kittle doesn't play. Tyler Kroft is the backup, talk about a drop-off. Clay Harbor (@clayharbs82) a former TE, who has been following the Bears, Eagles, and Jags has been a great follow.
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Interceptions/takeaways is key. Just like in 2018, no one expected the Bears to win 12 games. The top 7 teams in INTs had a winning record and 14 out of the top 17 did as well. Of the 3 teams that didn't, one was Minnesota at 8-9, Houston who couldn't stop the run and had a bad offense, and the Giants (Daniel Jones). The Bears were 29th last year. This scheme is much more opportunistic and I think will keep the team in more games with huge takeaways that we haven't seen since 2018.
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Just going through our roster, we have Reiff and Gipson as backups who would be starters on other teams as well. I think the Bears have a lower ceiling, but a much higher floor. So the team is going to be a lot more consistent week in and week out. That won't be enough to beat the top tier teams like Buffalo or the Rams, but they probably are going to win a few games the were underdogs in and rarely will lose a game they are favored in.
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Lance was 7th in Captain voting as the newly anointed QB1. Ouch, that is not a good look.
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I don't know, SF media seems concerned. Some were saying 7-10 days at a minimum in order to not aggravate it and make it worse and longer term. They have a home division game in Week 2 against Seattle, then Denver, then Rams. I figure they won't push it for Week 1 with those teams are coming next.
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Kittle dealing with a groin issue, not practicing. Not that you want people to be injured, but if he is not 100%, that would be huge for the Bears. Groin injuries are rarely heal in less than a week. Some reports say he hurt it on Monday, others say it was earlier and he was testing it on Monday.
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I disagree on DL and LBs. Bears starting DL sacks last year: 31.0, Bears also have Gipson with 7 and Watts with 5 as backups. 49ers starting DL sacks last year: 26.0, SF has Ridgeway with 2 sacks, no other SF backup had a sack. That is 43-28 in just sacks, pressures/hurries are very similar. The SF line is not the same from last year, lost Key and Ford. For LBs, technically Smith is superior to Warner in every statistical category but somehow Warner is better. Warner 79 solo, 137 total tackles, 0.5 sacks, 7 TFL, 0 INT Smith 95 solo, 163 total tackles, 3.0 sacks, 12 TFL, 1 INT, 1 TD For WRs, Deebo is clearly the best of the bunch, Mooney next, then Aiyuk, so I will agree that they have the edge 2-1 for WRs. Edge to SF there. For OL, SF wins the edges, but the Bears have a better interior. Analysts are saying that OLine is one of the 49ers weaknesses, so a push seems reasonable. We have not even seen the Bears new line with Patrick.
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Bears vs 49ers Positional Comparison: QB - Fields vs Lance, edge Bears (I feel like Lance is a huge boom or bust candidate) RB - Monty/Herbert vs Mitchell/Wilson, push (Mitchell and Monty are fairly even) TE - Kmet vs Kittle, edge 49ers (Kittle has the experience edge and has produced some huge seasons) WR - Mooney/Pringle/St. Brown/Jones vs Samuel/Aiyuk/Jennings/McCloud, push (Samuel is the best WR in the group, but after that, the Bears have the edge) OL - Jones, Whitehair, Patrick, Jenkins, Borom vs Williams, McGlinchey, Banks, Brendel, Burford, push (SF has the edge on the outside, Bears on the inside) To me the offenses as groups are pretty darn even. SF has the highest end players in Kittle and Samuel, but the Bears have the next 3 in Fields, Mooney, and Kmet. DL - Bosa, Armstead, Kinlaw, Ebukam vs Muhammad, Blackson, Jones, Quinn, push (when you consider the Bears have Gipson and Watts as rotational guys, they might have a slight edge) LB - Warner, Greenlaw, Al-Shaair vs Smith, Morrow, Adams, edge Bears (Warner and Smith are pushes, Bears depth with Sanborn and Weatherford trump Oren Burks and Flannigan-Fowles for SF) CB - Ward, Moseley, Lenoir vs Johnson, Gordon, Vildor, edge Bears (Bears top 2 CBs are a better duo than SFs) S - Ward, Hufanga vs Jackson, Brisker, edge Bears (this position group may be the biggest advantage of all position groups) The Bears defense by position group look better than the 49ers. ST - Gould, Wishnowsky vs Santos, Gill, push (Kickers are a wash, Wish has bigger leg, Gill has better inside the 20 skill) Using last year's stats, SF had a better offense and a slightly better defense than the Bears. The Bears had a better ST. Coming into this year, we can expect the Bears offense to improve considerably (+10), and the defense should be slightly better (+5). SF might start out slightly worse on offense (-5) (with Lance), and the defense is basically unchanged from last year (+0). Where am I going wrong?
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Someone would file a missing person report on me in that amount of time lol.
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6 days to root? Good luck with that. Bermuda is all over down here in Alabama. It is actually a weed and stays really short. It should be like a putting green and fast.
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So no live radio in car, no social media, technology black out. That's impressive.
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Nice, are you going to look at game updates live, or wait to watch the game later without knowing the outcome?
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49ers draft picks: 2nd (61) Drake Jackson, Edge, 3rd (93) Tyrion Davis-Price, RB, 3rd (105) Danny Gray, WR Jackson is a rotational Edge guy, Davis-Price is 3rd on the depth chart, and Gray is WR6 Spencer Burford, is a rookie 4th rounder starting at RG. On defense, their OLBs are Greenlaw and Al-Shaair? Emmanuel Moseley is a starting CB, Strong Safety is Talanoa Hufanga? So right there it seems like they are going to be weaker against the pass with a suspect OLB group and secondary. Their 4 starting secondary had a total of 5 INTs last year.
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LET'S GO! The Bears had the lead against the 49ers last year before the defense shit the bed. The Bears offense was completely broken last year and Fields still had a great game with some insane runs. The Bears lost 33-22 (Santos missed a PAT). With the new scheme and players, it is hard not to be optimistic because Nagy was that bad. I feel like the Bears offense will score more than 22, and the defense won't allow over 30 again. For my prediction, I am going with Bears 27 - 20. Fields, 65% comp, 285 yds passing, 60 rushing, 2 TDs passes, 0 INT, 0 fumbles, 2 sacks. Kmet and Blasingame with TD receptions Monty with rushing TD Bears win turnover battle 1-0, Brisker with INT.