adam

Oh really?

1 for 1 baby!

I feel like comparing anyone to Mahomes is not fair, especially Fields. I don't think he will ever get to that level. However, I still think he can be a top 10 QB with top 5 upside with a higher floor than most other QBs due to his escapability. I don't think he is going to be a perennial 300yd passer, which will keep the national media narrative going. I don't know what the obsession is with Fields. He was the 4th QB drafted and not even in the top 10. The spotlight should be on Lawrence, Wilson, and Lance. Case 1 - Lamar Jackson has started (and had 10 attempts) in 49 games in his career. In 24 of those games (basically half), he failed to throw for 200 passing yards. Only 2 of his 24 games under 200 were with 30 or more attempts, which is good. He only has 4 games over 280 passing yards. In his starts, he averages 202 passing yards per game. Case 2 - Jalen Hurts has started 20 games in his career. In those games he has failed to throw for 200 yards 10 times (50%). 3 of his 10 games under 200 were with 30 or more attempts. He has thrown for over 280 in 5 games. He averages 215 passing yards per game. Case 3 - Kyler Murray has started 47 games in his career. He has thrown for less than 200 passing yards only 13 times. However, in 8 of his 13 games under 200 were with 30 or more attempts (that's bad). He has 14 games over 280 passing yards. He averages 248 passing yards per game. Fields - 11 starts, 6 games under 200 yards passing, and 2 games over 280. He has only 1 game under 200 passing yds with 30 or more attempts (TB loss 38-3). Fields looks to be a mix between Lamar Jackson and Jalen Hurts. Murray is way more of a pocket passer than any of them, and that is why his bad game percentage is so high. When he is bad, he is terrible. Still a very small sample size for Fields (not even an entire season starting yet). Now in comparison with his rookie class, Lance has zero 280 yard passing games in his career, and 2x 50-yard rushing games (in 3 games started). Wilson has 1 280 yard passing games and 1x 50 yard rushing games. Lawrence, the most game ready QB, has started 18 games and has 3x 280 yd passing games and has never rushed for more than 39 yards in a game. How about Mac Jones, one of the NFL's top 100 players? In 18 starts, he has 4x 280 yard passing games, and his highest rushing game is 33 yds. Fields - 18.2% of games with 280 passing yards, 18.2% of his games with 50 or more rushing yards Lance - 0% of his games with 280 passing yards, 66.6% of his games with 50 or more rushing yards Wilson - 7.7% of games with 280 passing yards, 7.7% of his games with 50 or more rushing yards Lawrence - 16.7% of games with 280 passing yards, 0% of his games with 50 or more rushing yards Jones - 22.2% of games with 280 passing yards, 0% of his games with 50 or more rushing yards Lawrence and Jones both have 18 starts, followed by 13 for Wilson and 11 for Fields, and lastly 2 for Lance. Lawrence and Jones have been the most stable and started every game, so they are already getting close to who they are going to be. I think Wilson, Lance, and Fields all need more games to really show who they are. However, it just feels like Fields has the most consistent upside of the group.

They are running out of ways to rip the Bears. I saw someone post about how Fields had the longest Time to Throw for Week 1, implying that he can't read defenses and is holding onto the ball too long. They don't watch the games. They watch a few highlights look at the stats, and make a snap judgement, especially when it is negative about the Bears.

It depends on which rule they applied. The unsportsmanlike was for bringing a "foreign object" onto the field. There was some other discussion about the 5 yard variety, but that would have been a different call.

Reiff is on the injury report with a shoulder, so that may be why they want someone else like Schofield that can play T or G.

We have a secret weapon or 3. Getsy + Patrick + St. Brown. They know tendencies, strengths and weaknesses from the inside. Getsy knows exactly how to attack his old defense and where they are weak. He also knows the offensive schemes. I know they can easily change these up but the overarching theme is the same. The best part for our offense is that last week's game was so bad with the weather that there is virtually no clean tape on the Bears offense. That is a bonus going into this type of game. We need every tangible and intangible edge we can get. We are underdogs and expected to lose. This one sets up even better than Week 1 does.

Jenkins was one of the highest graded players for Week 1 for the Bears and 8th Guard. Here he is laying out Bosa, then making the block ahead of Fields.

Seemed surprising but just like with the recent waiver acquisitions, I will hold judgement for a bit.

Somewhat similar in terms of Week 1 outcome, but in this offseason he lost DaVante Adams and MVS, and replaced them with Sammy Watkins and a rookie. Those 2 WRs accounted for close to 50% of the receptions, 50% of the receiving yards, and 14 of 39 TDs. Adams had 169 targets and MVS had 50. Rodgers QB Rating throwing to Adams has been insane. In 2020, it was the highest ever at 136.9. That is basically irreplaceable. Losing someone of that caliber is going to cut Rodgers production by at least 10-15%, so all his stats, including Comp%, TD, INTs, should be worse this year. People keep forgetting that it is a completely new offensive staff Rodgers is dealing with.

and their original O-Line was already suspect. They had the 2nd worst DVOA on defense last week too, only Arizona was worse. The Bears were 7th. This matchup is actually better for the Bears than the 49ers were. Definitely no Bakhtiari yet so the Bears will be able to get Edge pressure. They really miss Davante Adams. That loss looks bigger than any other offseason move. The Chiefs didn't miss a beat without Hill, the Seahawks beat Wilson (who had a huge game). The one big change was Adams having a huge game and GB missing him a lot. This really feels like THE season for Rodgers where he is just going to lose it and retire (or ask for a trade). People forget that they lost Getsy and Hackett as well as a bunch of assistants. Also, if we are comparing previous seasons, this is more like Colts 2021 vs Packers 2022.

Looking at Rodgers' stats against the blitz, it is better not to anyway. He knows where the hole is when you do that. However, I think the Bears will have a different approach against him than Lance. His O-Line is not as good as it was last year. Our offense has to step it up with a few sustained TD drives and score 21+ to win.

Starting out the gates +10 seems a little high after a 9 pts win and GB's double digit loss. Oddsmakers still have no faith in this team. Can you imagine if the Bears win and head into an easier part of their schedule, 2-0 while GB sits at 0-2? That would be wild. If I go off Week 1s results, I would probably say the Bears win, but going off historical data, it looks like GB should win by a TD. So I am going to say Bears by 3, 27-24!

That SF defense was legit. That Safety was all over the place like Brisker. I have to give them credit, their secondary played better than I expected. Now go look at the Bears Week 2 opponent at halftime, Vikings 17 - Packer 0. Packers defense allowed 262 total yards to the Vikings in the 1st HALF! LOL! Rodgers 8-15, 52%, 76 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 47.4 QB Rating for the first half. First drive of the 2nd half, strip sack fumble. This is pure comedy. The Packers should be a much easier opponent next week. Stop Dillon and Jones (leading rushing and receiving).

Week 1 for 2nd Year QBs: Fields 1-0, 2 TD, 1 INT, 85.7 Rating Lawrence 0-1, 1 TD, 1 INT, 75.0 Rating Lance 0-1, 0 TD, 1 INT, 50.3 Rating Jones 0-1, 1 TD, 1 INT, 87.2 Rating

It was the weather, SF didn't have Kittle, SF beat themselves with penalties. Watch.

Wow the rookies showed up, Gordon, Brisker, and Robinson. How about the offseason acquisitions every thought were nothing? Pettis, St. Brown had TDs, Watts and Jones had a lot of pressure up the middle. Muhammad was all over. Morrow looked solid. Roquan played mad, Jackson finally got an INT!

Yep, the rain (like the Bears didn't play in it), penalties. All were legit. Outside of 1 pass to a wide open receiver, Lance didn't do anything.

BOOM! 1-0, what a 2nd half, 19-3 domination! 3 TD drives. No way this team only wins 5 more games.

SF turnover on downs after almost another forced fumble by the defense. 19-10, 3:38 left to got. SF with 2 timeouts.

19-3 in the 2nd half, wild. Still a lot of time left, but this is promising. Capitalizing on other team's mistakes.

Herbert looks better than Monty. At least we got a TD on that drive. Santos needs to get his act together, we better not lose by 1. 19-10 Bears!

Holy shit Eddie Jackson is back!!! Huge INT!!!!!

It may not have been on purpose, but it is almost like they ran a completely different playbook in the first half, and SF made no adjustments (no need to). If that was on purpose, they are playing chess to SF's checkers. Now the conditioning kicks in. Close this out.

Holy shit, Fields to St. Brown on play action for the TD.