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Everything posted by adam
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Yeah, if he was traded before the next game, it would be around $8.2M for the remainder of the season and dropping 750K per game. There is $4.2M in dead money that the Bears would eat. I believe they can elect to take on more of his remaining salary, but there are only a few teams with CLE, PHI, CAR, LVR, ATL, DEN, DAL, PIT, and IND with over $7M.
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A pretty crazy weekend. Giants too? That would've turned out to be a big win for the Bears. Interesting that for how bad they have played, it has basically been unforced errors costing them games. Velus -2, ESM -1 (you can't just let a defender rip the ball out of your hands while you are running).
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Wilson threw for 110 yds and ran for 1 yd with 0 TDs and a total of 10 completions. This is the media headlines: "Zach Wilson and the Jets soar to victory over the Packers" - FOX Sports "Zach Wilson won in Lambeau against his idol, Aaron Rodgers" - Yahoo Sports 'Student' Zach Wilson Shows 'Teacher' Aaron Rodgers a Few Tricks in Jets' Win - from team website - hilarious!
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Very true, are the part of the new "core". If not, just keep bringing in vets on prove it deals.
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Funny how other QBs, especially young ones can have a low volume game, but it is only a big deal with Fields does it: Zach Wilson 1st Half: 6-12, 28 yds passing, 2 sacks Trevor Lawrence 1st Half: 7-8, 45 yds passing, 4 sacks Kenny Pickett 1st Half: 11-16, 68 yds, 1 TD, 1 sack
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This mini bye may allow them to make some necessary changes that they were unable to do the first 6 weeks. Hopefully Patrick can slide to C and Mustipher can get off the field. Leatherwood at LG will be interesting. I am excited to see Harry on the field. Watching his college videos, he reminds me of Alshon and looks like he has a higher pedigree than any other Bears WR. One weird thing I keep seeing. Fields can't throw inside the tackles within 10 yds of the LOS. Either he doesn't when someone is open, or he gets it batted down, or throws it right at a helmet. Smaller guys like Russell and Brees didn't have that issue and were smaller than Fields. Is he shorter than advertised, because that doesnt make sense. Also, that may be why we don't see any quick slants or in routes. However, when you look at next gen stats, that is one of the spots where he excels?
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After the TNF clown show, the Bears are currently picking 6th. Due to the SoS, pretty much any 2-3 team will hop in front of the Bears with a loss this weekend (10 teams), and no 1-4 team that wins will drop past the Bears. With 3 games that have 2-3 teams playing against each other, this week's current draft pick slot range will be 9th-13th with the potential to have as many as 9 teams tied at 2-4. Interestingly enough, the 14 teams with a winning record are the 14 current playoff teams, and the best non-WC team is IND at 2-2-1. So it seems that the league playoff picture is taking shape pretty early this year. If I am Poles, not only am I shopping pretty much everyone, I would be looking for some WRs, OL, and DT help from teams looking to sell. CAR, HOU, and surprisingly PIT and LVR are in that boat right now. - EDIT FOR WEEK 15 - Bears currently drafting 2nd at 3-11.
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The Bears are 28th in DVOA, and that was before the WAS game. WAS was 30th. I am sure Bears will drop. HOU is 29th. DET (24th) is the only team left on the schedule with a DVOA even close to the Bears, and they only have 1 win. That is about the only games they have a chance in (only game they are still favorites in, by 1.5). All others, they will come in as underdogs. DVOA does a good job of grouping teams. The Bears are basically IND, CAR, WAS, and HOU. Those are the teams that they could beat, but also lose to. All other teams, it is going to be an actual upset to beat them, even the Jets and Falcons. I figure they split with DET, and beat either ATL or NYJ. That is 4-13. Oh and I don't know if anyone noticed, but that easy schedule we were supposed to have sure changed quickly. The Bears now have the 2nd hardest SoS in the league behind only WAS for the full year's schedule.
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Fields and Allen is definitely an interesting comparison. BUF's top 2 WRs were John Brown and Cole Beasley. No other WR/TE/RB had over 30 receptions. The RBs were Singletary and Gore. For O-Lines, BUF was 23rd in Pass Pro, the Bears are currently 32nd. However, that BUF team went 10-6. It is a much different development environment when you are losing.
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The injury thing is such a high possibility with that O-Line and him holding onto the ball too long. He already got hit low at the knees a few times. I don't know how many more of those he can take. It just looks like he is in a no-win situation.
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One overarching concern is, can you actually fix the offense with a defensive head coach (nowadays)? Every game it seems to show that most of the capital was put into the defense (top 2 picks), top 4 of 5 cap hits on defense, etc, etc. Fields is the top paid offensive player, and he is on his rookie deal. Santos, a kicker, makes more than any other offensive player. Montgomery is next, on his rookie deal. Then the next offensive player is Riley Reiff who has barely played, if at all yet. You need someone, anyone, on offense. Every player is replaceable on offense. I understand Poles was in a tough spot with little cap or draft picks, but it just seems like he could've put a little more emphasis on offense to help Fields out. Since that was what this season was all about, his development. So it is easy to be critical because Poles basically did nothing to address the O-Line or WR Corps. I am still skeptical this is going to work as we have been thru this before many times. There were red flags with basically every hire since Lovie and Angelo. Pace got 2 HCs, but even with him, he kept trading up and wasting picks (Trubisky, Miller, etc). Emery was just terrible from the beginning. Trestman started out 3-0, then lost 3 of the next 4 and never played over .500 ball again. Fox started 2-3, then to 4-5, then won only 9 of his next 39 games. For some reason, he got a 3rd year. Every since the double doink, Nagy played sub .500 ball. It just feels very similar, we always have high hopes, but things are pointed out early, and unfortunately, a lot of them are playing out right now. One theory is that Poles/Flus/Getsy are not in on Fields, and they will go firesale at the deadline (Monty, Quinn, Smith Jackson, and Whitehair). Then they will move on from Fields this offseason, which would be bold, but they did move Mack, which was pretty bold at the time.
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Fair enough, I will give them this year as a freebie, but man, this feels eerily similar to the Emery/Trestman era.
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thanks, i will take a look.
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2-15 is a real possibility. Underdogs in every remaining game. Then what? Would that change your outlook on Poles, Flus, Getsy, Fields? For me it would. I know they are not all equal, but man, 2 wins and what could be 14 straight losses to end the season? I doubt that happens, they will probably luck into a win or two and go 3-14 or 4-13, but 5 wins is really a success now, which is disappointing given the start. The craziest part is this team is literally 3-4 plays away from 5-1. Then if you go the other way, they could also easily be 0-6. So I have mixed feelings. I just have a feeling (after 6 games) that Poles is not it. Velus pick was bad and looks worse now. Gordon has shown nothing in 6 games while WRs are flashing (Pierce, Pickens). Jones is great for a 5th rounder, but he should not be your starter. What free agent is doing anything, Morrow? Jones? Maybe. Muhammad has been subpar. The top guys on defense are from Pace: Smith, Johnson, Jackson, and Gipson. The top guys on offense: Fields, Herbert, Monty, and Whitehair are from Pace. To put this season in perspective, the two worst seasons in franchise history were a 1-13 1969 (yeah baby), and a 3-13 2016. A 3-14 season becomes the 2nd worst in franchise history. 4-13 slightly edges 2016 and would be the 3rd worst. So unless there is a miracle turnaround, this season is projected to be either the 2nd or 3rd worst ever.
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3 losses and 6 upcoming losses before the loss to the Packers. What a great way to go into the buy, with a lot of momentum (down).
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How many consecutive losses will it take for someone to get fired? 5? 10? 14? Currently at 3, not favored in another game all year. Team getting worse week after week. Fields won't make it two more weeks taking the hits he is taking. 7 more games to the bye. That would be 10 straight. At that point you have to start firing people, right? WR Coach, OL Coach? Those units are horrible and worse than last year. Getsy is not it. Always a risk when you hire a coach from an offense with a HoFer at QB. Look at Denver, Hackett won't last a year. Do we really want Poles drafting next year? Gordon over Pierce, Velus over Raimann. Brisker is literally the only acquisition that is still playing above average. His free agent class may be the worst in the league. All his guys are literally losing the games, Gordon/Velus/Smith-Marsette. I am ok with Flus, but some of his assistants need to go. My thoughts are if this team only wins 3-4 games, you have to fire Poles and half of the assistants. At this point they need to win at least 5-6 games, and even then you have to consider firing some assistants who underperformed. However, for how bad they have looked for all by 3 halves of football out of 12, I can't see them beating anyone else on their schedule. Cut Mustipher and ISM today.
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It's Fields, he ain't it. How much more do we have to see? Any other QB would be replaced at this point. He is not learning as a starter. He needs more time in the oven and time to practice fundamentals.
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Any lineup without Mustipher is better as long as Patrick is at C. So C or D.
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That's true but they aren't even doing that. They just let the OT take care of him. He is literally running into the OT on every play. I am not seeing his speed and bend.
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Yeah we need to move Quinn now. Mack is tearing it up in LA like 2018 and Quinn looks like 2020 Quinn. He is so weird, he has one big year followed by a lower year, followed by a higher year, rinse repeat. Check out his sack numbers, it looks like 2 different players: Odd year sack total (13-21): 62.5 (69 games) Even year sack total (12-20): 33.5 (72 games) This is an even year where he averages less than half a sack a game, max 8 sacks, and on pace for 4.5. Note - Quinn has more sacks in 2013+2021 (38) than in his 5 even season years (33.5) and maybe even this year if he only gets 4.5. Schoefield or Reiff are better than Mustipher. I have no idea what they are doing. Mustipher has enough tape as a bad starter, serviceable backup.
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No worries, I have been super busy with work this week. Cousins has not been as good as he was in previous years thru 4 games. Probably due to the offensive changes. 6 TD to 4 INT is very unlike him. In the last 3 seasons, his TD to INT is 94-26. His Y/A is a yard lower but they are throwing more. Justin Jefferson vs Vildor or Gordon? He may break the single game record for receptions, yds, and TDs in this one. This team is so weird. You have Cousins, Cook, Jefferson, Theilen, Osborn, Smith, and Mattison as your top skill guys, yet you are middle of the road on offense? Then on defense, they give up a lot of yards. Even though they are 2-1 in their last 3, their score differential in those game is -10. They scored a last minute TD to beat the Lions and needed a missed FG to beat the Saints. So they are probably not that good, but still a lot better than the Bears. I always felt the Bears would split with MIN and DET, home and away. So this one is still should be a loss. I hope our offense can generate some TDs, the defense can play better against the run and tackle some people. I fear that there will be so much attention on Jefferson that Cook and Thielen will have big games. The odds are the game will be Viqueens 28-20, however, I will go Bears 27-24 with a Santos game winner after a Cousins INT late to Gordon. My goals for the Bears by units: 1. Fields over 25 passing attempts, 225 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 or less sacks, doesn't get hit while sliding (put your head down dude). 2. Kmet and Mooney both at least have 3 catches each, one has over 5. 3. Blasingame gets targeted in the passing game at least twice (wheel route?) - anytime TD? 4. Jenkins plays the entire game and pancakes at least 3 Vikes (Harrison Smith plz). 1. Cook doesn't go over 100 yards rushing, the defense tackles better and has better gap integrity and contain. 2. Jefferson doesn't go over 150 yards, and the Safeties prevent any 50+ yard plays. 3. Gordon "looks" better and is not always trailing his guy by 2-3 yds, gets 2 PBUs. 4. The Edge guys get some sacks, Quinn, Muhammad (who has looked terrible), Gipson, and Robinson. 1. Gill has less than 6 punts, but still averages 45+ net and several inside the 20. 2. Velus doesn't muff a punt/kick. 3. KRs don't return the ball out from the end zone if they are going to get tackled at the 18. 1. Getsy calls a more aggressive game with more quicker developing plays to get Fields and the passing game going. 2. Williams/Flus attack the LOS against the run and pass to stop Cook and pressure Cousins. Don't coach not to lose > see Giants game. 3. Start the game fast, go uptempo without substitutions. Need a TD on that first drive.
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Golladay is not the same guy after the injury, but I would definitely look into the trade market. There may be even some options before the trading deadline this year. The Bears can take on some big salaries for teams that are tight. Definitely need a pure pass catching TE, Kmet is still serviceable, but doesn't seem like he is a TE1. Going OL/DL/WR in any order for the first 3 picks would be nice. If there are huge values in other positions, you have to consider them but it would be nice to get 3 top picks in those areas.
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Great news, hopefully he can get up to speed in a week or two and get out there with a few routes. He may be our WR wildcard.
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Surprised we didn't put him on our PS.