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Everything posted by adam
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I am keeping Goedert, TE, for a 15th (drafted in 16th).
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Williams is good for a 10th, however, you didn't draft Brown in the 15th, so he is ineligible to keep.
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Mongo, you have a keeper conflict: Taylor 2nd > -1 round > 1st Kupp 3rd > -2 rounds > 1st Both players would lose a first. So you will either have to keep Taylor and lose a first, then the next player, you lose two rounds OR keep Kupp and lost a second, and then a second player loses two rounds. Those are your options, or you can just keep one or the other.
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What stood out to me was Gipson with 5 FF, Morrow with 9 PD as an LB, Blackson with some nice QB hits, and Quinn is off the charts. Also, there were 43 sacks last year from these 7 players last year: Quinn, Gipson, Jones, Blackson, Muhammad, Smith, and Morrow. That would've been tied for 9th in the NFL last year for an entire team. The entire Bears team had 49 and finished 4th last year. Assuming Quinn comes down to earth, all the other guys stay relatively the same, then add in some other sacks from DBs (Brisker? Nickel?), other LBs (Adams/Thomas/Sanborn), and other DLs (Edwards/Tonga/Robinson), I could see the team hitting 50 sacks this year. Adding just Edwards and Young bumps the total to 47.
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What is weird is you can make a case that 12 defenders could be starters on other teams: Jones - starter in LAC, 3 sacks, 5 TFL, 5 QB Hits, 1 PD in 11 games last year Blackson - starter in HOU/ARZ/CHI, 2.5 sacks, 3 TFL, 9 QB hits, 2 PD Quinn - All-Pro/PB, 18.5 sacks, 17 TFL, 22 QB Hits, 4 FF Muhammad - started in IND, 6 sacks, 7 TFL, 13 QB Hits, 1 FF Gipson - production is starter level, 7 sacks, 7 TFL, 7 QB Hits, 5 FF, 2 PD in 16 games. Smith - All-Pro/PB, 163 tackles, 3 sacks, 12 TFL, 4 QB Hits, 3 PD, 1INT Morrow - starter in LVR, 78 tackles, 3 sacks, 8 TFL, 6 QB Hits, 9 PD, 1 INT in 14 games Jackson - starter, 2 PD, 76 tackles, 4 TFL, 1 FF Brisker - 2nd Rounder = starter Johnson - starter, 9 PD, 1 INT, 46 tackles, 1 TFL, 1 FF Gordon - 2nd Rounder = starter Young - starter in BAL, 3 PD, 1 INT, 2 sacks, 4 TFL, 3 QB Hits Others (not starting on other teams): Edwards - former starter, rotational guy Tonga - potential starter DHC - Super Sub Safety Vildor - former starter Thomas - previous starter in GB and DAL Adams - Super Sub LB Graham - potential Starter Cruikshank - solid depth DB Sanborn - potential future starter Robinson - potential future starter Hicks - potential contributor
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I went back and watched all of Jenkins snaps for both games. It seems like he starts slow (like he is not ready for the speed), then he kicks it into another gear and plays really well. Outside of 2-3 plays total, he is an above-average RG. With such limited time at the position, he can easily grow into a top 10 RG in the league. I think he is already better than Daniels at run blocking and probably slightly behind in pass pro, but that was Daniels at his peak and Jenkins after 2 limited preseason game snaps.
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I think they came to an agreement of "show me what you can do in this defense". If he balls out, he will get paid top money, if he doesn't then he won't. Simple as that.
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We have several weeks before Week 1. If anyone is even slightly beat up, they need to rest them until prep week.
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Jenkins recovers well, which is an exceptional trait to have as a Guard. Since the inside pressure gets there faster, any recovery gives Fields enough time to escape the pocket. He just needs to learn how to move in the pocket better, which includes stepping up.
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Borom seems to be the only one really struggling, so I can see Reiff taking RT to make it Jones, Whitehair, Patrick, Jenkins, Reiff with Borom, Schofield, and Mustipher as the backups.
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Last night they alluded to the fact that Poles said the Bears were "closer" to signing Smith. I am hoping he does before the next preseason game so he can play a drive and get ready for the opener. If Adams is injured the Bears are super thin at LB.
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I agree, I just don't know if they are going to risk injury. Rarely do starters play in the final preseason game. The Bears held out like 20 players in Seattle. So we have yet to see the true first team at any point. That is promising and alarming at the same time. Promising that the actual team is much better but alarming that there are that many injuries.
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On offense, Kmet looked great. Fields seems to be getting more confident. No fumbles or INTs, which is a positive. Evans looked good. I thought Jenkins played well. Dazz Newsome seems like an easy cut. He continues to drop easy passes and even though it wasn't his fault, muffed another punt. Isaiah Coulter made a couple of nice catches and he may slip onto the final roster. On defense, Blackson looked good in his short time in, Muhammad got a sack and ran 30+ yds downfield to make a tackle (which was impressive). Coley had another sack, I think he makes the team. Sanborn again tied for the team-high in tackles. As a whole, the unit did what it needed to do. Outside of the TD after the muffed punt, they only allowed a FG and two chunk plays (long run and screen pass). The biggest note was how bad Seattle looked a week after playing the Steelers even. The commentators were trash. They blamed Seattle's poor showing on a short week, like the Bears didn't have the same thing lol. The Bears don't play again for 8 days, but I doubt we see any starters in that game.
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Run dem pockets 2. (13) Saquon Barkley 4. (33) Mike Evans 5. (48) D'Andre Swift 6. (53) Adam Thielen 7. (68) JuJu Smith-Schuster 8. (73) Mike Gesicki 10. (93) Kenyan Drake 11. (108) Los Angeles 12. (113) Jaylen Waddle 13. (128) Cole Beasley 14. (133) Mark Ingram II 15. (148) T.Y. Hilton 16. (153) Justin Tucker 17. (168) Kadarius Toney You kept Josh Allen and AJ Brown last season, so I removed them. You will lose one round on the first keeper, two on the second.
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With Patrick already hurt and Kramer done for the year, they will probably pull projected starters when Fields get pulled. Guys like Borom, Jenkins, and Mustipher may get some extended looks, but I doubt we see Jones, Whitehair, Schoefield and Reiff beyond the first team reps. I agree they need the work to build the cohesion.
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I always thought it was hard to evaluate skill position players from smaller schools who are just bigger or faster than their competition. Watson is one of them. 6'5" from a small school where you can just dominate the competition with size. Shaheen did the same thing as a TE.
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Yeah, the late signings of Reiff and Schofield helped, but also the emergence of Jones and move of Jenkins.
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Lazard is their #1 and he had 40 receptions for 513 yards last year. Without Adams, Rodgers per game passing yards is 160 yards and a 1/3 of his TDs went to Adams. Sammy Watkins is now their #2 but he has only had 1x 1000 yd season in his entire career (2015) and has had one season with 50 or more receptions in his last his last 6. He is more like a WR#3. Cobb is their #3 and hasn't been relevant since 2015. It is pretty comical how far this unit has fallen.
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With the shortened week, this is more about seeing what a few guys can do. Gordon and Velus Jones in their first action, Jenkins at RG and Borom at RT, Robinson and Ebner. Can Sanborn and Coley have another standout performance? With only 6-10 plays for the starters, which will probably equate to 4-7 passes for Fields. Seems like a small sample size but it will be nice to see if the updated O-Line with Jenkins at RG will hold up a little better for Fields.
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Shocking that the WR Corps would drop off when you lose the one player who was receiving 40% of the targets.
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Damn, he might not even make it to Week 1:
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Seattle did just lose Bobby Wagner. They still have Jordyn Brooks, but adding Roquan would be a huge upgrade over Cody Barton. Seattle is also one of the teams with the most cap space this year ($15M) AND next year ($40M) but outside of Metcalf and Lockett, they really don't have many appealing players. Their #3 WR is Freddy Swain and Marquise Goodwin is there. Artie Burns is one of their starting CBs. So do the Bears just take draft picks? Smith for Barton + picks? I don't want to lose Smith just for one or two good years of Lockett as he is already 30 and signed to an expensive deal thru 2025, but he would be better than nothing. Smith for Lockett + 3rd Round pick?
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or the perceived demotion at OT. Either way, it would be a pleasant surprise to have him plugging the gap as the RG. A line of Jones-Whitehair-Patrick-Jenkins-Reiff/Borom should be very solid and seems like it would only get better with time. The loser of Reiff/Borom becomes the Swing Tackle, and Schoefield becomes the swing OG per se. Mustipher can be the backup C, and 2nd OG.
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Right now I am thinking it will look something like this: QB - Fields, Siemian (upgrade from last year) RB - Montgomery, Herbert, Ebner, Blasingame, Evans (upgrade from last year) WR - Mooney, Pringle, Jones, Sharpe, St. Brown, Newsome/Pettis/Webster/Coulter, (Harry - IR) (downgrade from last year) TE - Kmet, Griffin, O'Shaughnessy (push) OL - Reiff, Whitehair, Patrick, Schofield, Jenkins, Borom, Jones, Mustipher, Carter/Eiselen/Coleman (upgrade from last year) So the only position group to get worse is the WRs. Now if Pringle and Jones look solid, that may change very quickly. Without ARob there is a drop off at the top, but I think the floor for the WRs is higher. The other groups are either equal to or better than last year, so the offense as a whole should be improved from last year. DL - Blackson, Jones, Tonga, Edwards, Coley/Pennel (downgrade from last year) Edge - Quinn, Gipson, Muhammad, Robinson/Snowden (downgrade from last year) LB - Smith, Morrow, Adams, Sanborn, Thomas, Johnson (upgrade from last year) CB - Johnson, Gordon, Young, Vildor, Jackson/Shelley, (Graham - IR) (upgrade from last year) S - Jackson, Brisker, DHC, Cruikshank, Hicks (upgrade from last year) You can't lose Hicks and Mack and not have downgrades in those position groups. However, the LB Corps, CBs, and S's look better. So the defense should be very similar to last year's, if not slightly better. K - Santos (push) P - Gill (upgrade from last year) LS - Scales (push) On ST, we have a better punter, and the return game should at least be a push. My assumption is if they go with Blasingame, they reduce the TE position by 1. Roquan's situation will also impact the 53-man. If he is out, they would obviously carry a different LB in lieu of him. It looks like there are about 3 spots on offense undecided, WR6, RB/FB5/TE4, and OL9. On defense, every position group's last spot seems to be up for grabs, DL5, Edge4, LB6, CB5, S5 That is 8 spots on the 53-man, which may include new players from other teams as they cut down the roster sizes. If you take those undecided spots away, the team's 45-man roster would look like this: QB - Fields, Siemian RB - Montgomery, Herbert, Ebner, Blasingame, Evans WR - Mooney, Pringle, Jones, Sharpe, St. Brown, Newsome/Pettis, (Harry - IR) TE - Kmet, Griffin, O'Shaughnessy OL - Reiff, Whitehair, Patrick, Schofield, Jenkins, Borom, Jones, Mustipher, Carter/Kramer DL - Blackson, Jones, Tonga, Edwards, Coley/Pennel Edge - Quinn, Gipson, Muhammad, Robinson/Snowden LB - Smith, Morrow, Adams, Sanborn, Thomas, Johnson CB - Johnson, Gordon, Young, Vildor, Jackson/Shelley, (Graham - IR) S - Jackson, Brisker, DHC, Cruikshank, Hicks K - Santos P - Gill LS - Scales From the remaining names, the worst players on the roster are Mustipher and probably Vildor. What do you think? Both of those guys were starting last year and now are on the bottom of the 45-man. On Special Teams, you need 9 players from Offense and Defense to fill out the 11. If you assume 7 of those names are not named yet, you only need 3-4 names from the 45 guys to fill out the special teams like Sanborn, Thomas, Cruikshank, and DHC. Then whoever ends up as RB5, WR6, DL5, Edge4, LB6, CB5, and S5 fill out your special teams.
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Robinson got bumped up to the 2nd team in yesterday's practice and has been getting reps across from Quinn. If they go with 4x Edge, it would be Quinn, Gipson, Muhammad, and Robinson. So there is a chance he is in the rotation.