adam

Every year it seems the schedule provides a 1-2 game swing per season. Even with the same team, you can see the fluctuations. The Bears were 8-8 and are going to go 6-11 or 7-10 (a 1.5 to 2.5 game swing from last year) who faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. I see the same thing happening next year back to the positive. The NFC North gets the AFC East and NFC East next year. The Bears also get the extra home game next year. A bad year next year is 9 wins (DET x2, MIN, WFT, MIA, NYG, NYJ, ATL, and HOU) with other winnable games against PHI and MIN. The toughest games are obviously GB x2, BUF, NE, DAL, and SF. However, an improved Bears team should win a few of those as well. Home Detroit Lions - It's the Lions Green Bay Packers - Dependent on officials and what Rodgers and Adams do Minnesota Vikings - In prime time or not, see Cousins? Philadelphia Eagles - I don't know what to make of them. I think they are an ok team in a bad division. Washington Football Team - Fools gold from last year. This team is regressing fast. Buffalo Bills - A lot worse than I expected, home game for Bears makes this a better matchup. Miami Dolphins - Miami is an ok team, turnover-prone with Tua. AFC South (HOU) - Getting HOU here would be great. NFC West (SF) - will depend on the QB, but Lance will basically be a rookie next year. Away Dallas Cowboys - Check record for Dak against winning teams. He beats bad teams but rarely beats good ones. So it will depend on what the Bears look like. Elliott is very overrated, completely O-Line dependent. Detroit Lions - It's the Lions Green Bay Packers - Dependent on officials and what Rodgers and Adams do Minnesota Vikings - In prime time or not, see Cousins? New England Patriots - This is going to be a great game, hopefully not in December or January. Fields vs Jones. New York Giants - I see a repeat from this week. Giants are bad and not getting better. New York Jets - Wilson vs Fields. Jets are like the Lions of the AFC. NFC South (ATL) - I feel like ATL is at the end of an era with Ryan and may be worse next year than this year. I feel like this schedule is made for at least a 10 win season without too much resistance. Besides GB, the worst road game is NE? DAL, DET, MIN, and ATL are all domes, so weather won't be a factor. In comparison, GB will get TB, LAR/ARZ, and TEN next year. GB also went 5-1 in games decided by 3 pts or less. They are 13-3 and could easily be 9-7. The Bears are 6-10 and could easily be 8-8. I know the gap feels much bigger, but it's really not. Thoughts?

Jenkins came in as an extra blocker for the failed Wildcat pass.

Both Godwin and Gallup tore their ACLs in the last few weeks. The WR FA market is going to be crazy thin and overpriced. The Bears are going to need to go mid-tier so they don't break the bank on a mediocre player. Mike Williams is now the healthiest and will probably get the biggest contract.

With 1 week to go, the Bears are in a logjam at 6-10. They now can draft no higher than #7 but can fall as low as #13. Here is a look at #7 - #13 and their remaining schedules: 7 - SEA 6-10, .517 ARZ 8 - CHI 6-10, .521 MIN 9 - WFT 6-10, .531 NYG 10 - ATL 7-9, .461 NO 11 - DEN 7-9, .478 KC 12 - MIN 7-8, .467 GB, CHI 13 - CLE 7-8, .467 PIT, CIN Here are the scenarios for each draft spot: 13th - beat MIN, then have WFT, ATL, DEN lose next week and MIN and CLE both lose their last two. Very low chance that the Bears win AND 6 other losses happen. WFT is playing the Giants and are the only team that would have the better SOS than the Bears. 12th - Everything the same but one of the current 7-win teams or WFT win one game. This is the most likely if PIT beats CLE on MNF. 11th - Everything the same but two teams win out of the current 4x 7-win teams and WFT. This seems the most likely with WFT beating NYG and CLE beating PIT. 10th - beat MIN and 3 teams out of WFT, ATL, DEN, MIN, and CLE win at least one game. 9th - I don't see any scenario where the Bears can finish 9th 8th - loss to MIN, SEA loss to ARZ 7th - loss to MIN, SEA beats ARZ The most likely outcome looks like 8th with a loss or 11th/12th with a win depending on what CLE does tomorrow night.

After how bad this season has been, the Bears could have the same record as the Vikings with a win next week, and possibly the same record as the Browns and Saints, and only 1 less win than the Chargers and Ravens depending on how next week goes. That to me is crazy. The Bears basically got robbed of 2 wins by the officials too.

Jenkins didn't start, but he played.

Jones had a rebound game against JAX, but only had 227 yards. Lawrence had another 3 INTs who now has 17 on the season. Wilson had a very average game, didn't do much either way, which is a good game for him. Lance had a bad INT and should've had a second (went right thru defenders' hands), and basically half his yards were on two plays. Lance looked ok, his arm seems weaker than I expected, but he was efficient. It helps having Deebo Samuel. Rookies this week: Jones 22-30, 73.3%, 227 yds, 7.6 Y/A, 3 TD, 0 INT, 128.1 QB Rating Lance 16-23, 69.6%, 249 yds, 10.8 Y/A, 2 TD, 1 INT, 116.0 QB Rating Mills 21-32, 73.3%, 163 yds, 5.1 Y/A, 1 TD, 1 INT, 75.4 QB Rating Wilson 19-33, 57.6%, 234 yds, 7.1 Y/A, 1 TD, 0 INT, 89.7 QB Rating Lawrence 17-27, 63.0%, 193 yds, 7.1 Y/A, 1 TD, 3 INT, 57.1 QB Rating Mond - only played a few snaps as the Vikings brought in veteran journeyman Mannion off the street to start ahead of Mond. Mond did have 3 attempts, 2 completions for 5 yards - golf clap.

Bears won 29-3, held Glennon to 4 completions for 24 yards with a net passing of -10, LOL. Why would the Giants not start Fromm? Quinn got the sack record in the 16th game, so no asterisk. Gipson had two strip sacks. Blackson had his best game, a safety, 2 TFL and a sack. Huge game for him. Gipson and Bush had INTs (not Jackson again lol). I guess Graham had a good game, the Giants WRs only had 1 reception for 12 yards. The offense was pretty mediocre for playing a bad team. Mooney had 7 receptions for 69 yards and needs 71 to hit 1K on the year in Game 17. Dalton was bad, I would've rather had Foles in there. Dalton missed throws, most were short, and he should've had multiple INTs but ended up with only 1. He had a 63.1 Passer Rating and averaged 4.9 yards an attempt on 35 attempts. If he was Monty had 81 total yards and now has 1071 yards from scrimmage on the season, but also threw a Red Zone INT on a Wildcat play. It should've been a TD to Kmet (which would be his first lol). The defense has actually had a decent year, especially without Mack. Too bad it was a wasted year.

2nd drive, PD by Burns, INT by Gipson. Bears inside the 25 again. Dalton's first pass attempt, sack, 2nd bubble screen. On 3rd Down, of course, a throw short of the sticks. Monty makes a great play and they push him for a first down. Next set of downs, check down Charlie. Then on 3rd, short of the sticks AGAIN. Mooney has to learn how to get both feet down better. He didn't on a sideline play and barely did on the TD. Bears up 14-0 on two turnovers by Mike Glennon.

btw Joe Judge went empty on that first play, lol.

Monty walks in easily behind Tonga, Bears up 7-0.

Lol first play, Gipson strip sack. Bears ball inside the 5.

With Glennon starting, under over on Quinn getting his first sack, play 9?

That would be crazy.

Nick Foles must really be in the doghouse. You would think it would be better to just stick with the same QB or go back to Fields. How does Nagy think a rusty Dalton is better than a fresh Foles? That is crazy. I am wondering if they are just protecting Fields from any further injuries? It will be curious to see what the O-Line looks like, are Borom or Jenkins going to play, or is Nagy going back to Peters and Ifedi?

Woo Hoo Congrats!

It is nice to see people that are well off helping out. It speaks volumes about their character. There are a lot of players making more than him this year, and you don't see their names on the list. Hats off to all that donated. It's kind of funny when you hear about some players giving big tips at restaurants (which is always a nice gesture), but anything under $100 is Monopoly money to those guys. Just for an example, $5K for someone making $10M is the equivalent to $50 for someone making $100K. So when these players are tipping $100, it's like a $1 for us normal folks. It is hard to fathom the amount of money they have sometimes.

Losing both parents is crazy at that age. My thoughts and prayers go out to the family and friends.

Damn you are correct, he was at Georgia in 2018. I totally forgot about the transfer. So this makes it a lot better.

I still can't believe ARob. He had me fooled as this true professional athlete, but it was all a facade. He was all pissy about playing on the tag and his play makes sense. He was playing not to get hurt. I saw a Twitter post asking if we should resign him. I am like not no, but hell no. How can that guy be trusted acting like that as a supposed veteran WR.

It is Fields unless his ankle is still injured. Otherwise, I think it will be Foles again. It must be hard on the offense to keep switching QBs. Hard to get into a rhythm with cadence and drop back speed, etc.

The Urban Meyer thing is baffling to me as well. If Urban thought so highly of Justin, who beat Clemson and Lawrence, why didn't he choose him? How about SF, NYJ, DEN, CAR, they all passed on Fields. I still love the pick, and even though we gave up Kadarius Toney and a top 10 pick in 2022 for him, I think it is worth it. I was preparing myself for the Bears to select Jones. Based on where the team was at, aging defense, I thought he was the most NFL ready, but had the lowest ceiling of all the QBs. So when we got Fields, I was shocked, especially at #11. When I ask some friends who are not Bears fans, most say they like Fields, but they don't think he is anything special. Most figure he will be a bottom-half QB with some extra mobility. I hope they are wrong and he ends up a top 10 QB.

What are your thoughts about Justin Fields? Is he the real deal, or is he another Ohio State QB? DVOA has him 30th with -29.3%, QBR has him dead last (31st) with 25.2. His QB Rating is 73.2. Those all are historically low and rarely do QBs improve significantly in any of these metrics. They do improve, but even with normal improvement, he would only get to fringe starter, which is somewhat alarming. So is he capable of improving his DVOA from -29.3% to something like +10%? That would be a 40% increase, which rarely happens. DVOA rarely fluctuates more than 20-25% season to season. So 40% would be massive for one season. In the same offense, with a smaller sample size, Foles has a 98.5 QB Rating, and Dalton has a 79.9 this season. I am just wondering what your confidence level is that Fields will turn this around? I was much higher on him earlier in the season, but with 10+ games under his belt, he hasn't taken that next step while other rookies like Davis Mills have looked very solid. I think this will take more than a year. My belief is he will improve next year, but it won't be a breakout year. That will come in year 3 (2023) and that will be the best year cap-wise the Bears have had in a long time.

1 - Savage vs 2 - MotM We are down to two teams. Brad vs Steve. Good luck gents! Payouts will go out to the top 3 teams within a few days after the final game. It usually takes a day or two to process via LeagueSafe. My assumption is we will have the same 10 GMs returning next year. If for some reason you don't want to play next year, please let me know so we can find a replacement. For next year, I will have the league set up as early as possible. Please review your team for your keepers, up to 2 per team, can't be the same as last year, the first keeper loses one round and the second keeper loses two rounds. Keepers had to be drafted by you and on your final roster. If there are any league change requests, like a higher fee and pot, more places receive money, or any other league changes (scoring, playoff format, etc), please let me know so we can discuss. Thanks, Adam

Bears look to go 2-0 in their last two weeks. This will likely be Nagy's last home game. I am assuming the Giants will be sending out our friend Mike Glennon. If that is the case, Quinn will have team record for sacks within the first two drives. If you thought the Bears team was bad, the Giants are worse. They only have 1 win on the road and have lost their last 4 and 5 out of the last 6. They have failed to score 14 pts in 5 of their last 6. I have a feeling this will be the Bears biggest win of the season, 31-13.