adam

Another cool nugget, Kmet played every offensive snap. Every one of them. So there were no keys to whether it was going to be a run or pass unless they were in empty. That has to be a Lazor thing because I never saw that with Nagy calling the plays. Just like you guys said, if you can line up and the defense can't tell whether you are running or passing, you already have an advantage and can play downhill. For most of the season, it looked like defenses were on the offensive and they knew what the play was and just needed to stop it. Now they have no clue and the offense still has room to improve.

It's those quick throws, which are fine with me. I watched the game again and one play stood out to me where I thought it was a bad throw initially and didn't realize what really happened. There was what looked like a bad throw behind Wims, but upon second look, Wims was held and couldn't get to his spot, so Mitch hitched when he saw that and then threw the ball away from the defenders side, but there was no penalty on the play. This dude wanted to make a comment about Mitch's pocket presence, but he didn't watch the play. Run this video a few times and watch Wims (where the pass goes), then watch Mitch again. No call on the play and the defender has a handful of jersey and was preventing Wims from getting to his spot. A few other promising stats, according to ESPN Next Gen Stats, Trubisky is 2nd in the league in Aggressiveness (only behind Tua) AND 4th in Air Yards to the Sticks (AYTS): https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/passing#aggressiveness

I am not disputing the raw math, you are correct. It just depends on how you express it because you can also say that 13 is 56% of 23. I am also not disputing the fact that the odds of selecting a quality player are higher the earlier you pick. What is odd is that based on "Approximate Value" on the chart I posted, there is virtually no difference between picks 10-22. So once you are out of the top 10, then the pick value levels off a little before falling again in the 20s.

Yeah, I agree. Also, with analytics and advanced scouting, I would almost say anything beyond 5 years in terms of drafting comparisons is almost irrelevant now.

It's actually a pretty tough offense to stop because if you commit too many to the box, the boot and flats are easy gains and if the over-under is working, those are easy reads and safe throws for Mitch. People also forget they are doing this without Cohen.

If you are Trubisky, there is no way you are signing a deal now unless you think COVID is going to kill your market. The best option may be a 1-yr deal somewhere.

Picks 1-9 have pretty distinct value, then from pick 10-21, there is almost no discernable difference in value, then a pretty big difference between 22-32. So unless you have a top 9 pick, anything from 10-21 is relatively the same value.

I just wanted to give a shout out to Monty for his performance over the last few weeks. Lazor has emphasized the run and Monty and the O-Line have not disappointed. With such a turbulent season, revolving O-Line, QB swap, and yet Monty is still putting up top-10 RB numbers across the board. Here is where he stands in some major categories: 7th in Rushing Yards (906) 9th in Rushing Yards per game (69.7) 5th in yards after contact (485) T-7th in yards after contact per attempt (2.4) T-2nd broken tackles (24) T-2nd broken tackles per attempt (8.4) 10th in yards from scrimmage (1255) T-7th touches (245) 9th in receptions for RB T-1st with 0 fumbles He has surpassed the likes of Rashaan Salaam, Cedric Benson, and Curtis Enis on the Bears all-time rushing list and should end the season in the Bears top-20 and has an outside shot to pass James Allen and maybe even break 2K for his career. He has back-to-back 100-yard rushing games, and 3 out of the last 4. He had 2 100-yard games last season, and his 146 yards and 32 carries were both career highs. Feed the beast.

Yeah, you can go back to any 3 game stretch of his career and tell something is different. To me he is being more decisive with his throws, but they are all not first read, he is making quicker decisions and not just starring down one receiver. I thought he had two bad passes all game, and for the most part made the right decision with the ball. He also had his highest carries in a game this season with 8 and was only sacked once.

You can absorb an INT if your offense is putting up 30+. Was it a bad throw yes, should he have ran or thrown in away, yes, but his bad throw pct is way down over the last 3 weeks. I don't know if you have watched any other teams, but there are bad INTs thrown each week by some great QBs. To me it was as bad of a throw as it was a play design. 5 receivers all running into the end zone, no outlet, and defenders close enough to contest balls thrown to other receivers. Holtz's defender made the interception in front of ARob. ARob was also interferred with and changed his momentum towards the ball. I didn't like the play calling and didn't like the throw, but it happens to all QBs. The defense is another story. It is clear that Jackson is playing not to get hurt. He is just running around as an 11th player on the field, but is not doing anything. On the two large receptions by the TEs, him and Fuller avoided contact and allowed 10-15 extra yards on the receptions. That has to change. Something is clearly going on there with them. Outside of the mixup on the TD to Thielen, Vildor and Shelley played decent. Look at Thielen's numbers.

Mustipher has been amazing for an undrafted rookie. I would not be opposed to bringing Ifedi back and drafting some tackles early. The interior line with Whitehair, Mustipher, and Bars has been very good, and that is not even counting Daniels who was arguably the best of the group before he got hurt. It is crazy how long they went with Coward though. I am glad they made the switch but man, how long did they have to watch him completely whiffing on guys to make the switch.

The Jets just won and in doing so gave the Jaguars Trevor Lawrence. SD and DAL had 3 wins two weeks ago and top 5 picks, and now both have 5 wins and are drafting 8th and 9th.

I know we have had what feels like a revolving door at QB, but it really has been Cutler-Trubisky for the last 12 years. Cutler missed games due to injury and Trubisky missed some and was benched, but they were the starters on opening day in the last 12 regular seasons.

Well even the Jets are playing hard and about to gift Trevor Lawrence to the Jaguars by beating the Rams.

Our consensus mock draft we used to do would've been more successful than Pace over the same period of time. Everyone gives him credit for Jackson and Cohen, and now to an extent Mooney, but those guys don't matter when you whiff on White, Floyd, Trubisky, Shaheen, Miller, Bullard, and Grasu. Those were all top 75 picks where teams find most of their stars and perennial starters.

Right now the team is pretty much locked into a pick between 15-20. If the QB you want is not there, and there is not an OT there, you trade back and gain back some draft capital. It would be nice to trade back into the late 1st and pick up an extra 2nd round pick. You still get the 5th year option and an extra 2nd rounder. The order of the wins and losses change so much of the narrative. If the Bears were 3-3 thru 6 (instead of 5-1), then went 4-4 in the next 8 to be 7-7 thru this week, I don't think anyone would be wanting them to lose. If they make the playoffs, they are guaranteed to play the #2 seed, which looks like it will be NO or SEA. TB also has a chance to slide up into that slot. The Bears beat TB, almost beat NO, and SEA's defense is terrible. The Bears would be underdogs in any of those games, but those are all winnable games.

That was definitely the most costly loss, but it was almost payback for Week 1 when the roles were reversed. They have to play SF and at LAR. They just lost to LAR at home by 10 and it looks like LAR will still be fighting for the Division title and home playoff game in Week 17. So we will see.

Don't we all.

What a crazy roller-coaster season and game for that matter, perfect for 2020. It has come down to a 2-game season. The Bears need to win both and hope ARZ loses one of their remaining 3 games (winning right now).

If NO loses, I doubt GB risks injury, but you never know. A cold Chicago in early January. It is nice to be playing meaningful football this late in the season. Another note, the Bears just unofficially eliminated the Vikings with that win.

Man that was close. Crazy that the games end on only a 35 yard hail mary. Fuller holding in end zone, DHC and Gipson watching and only Jackson going for the ball. That was way too close for me. I don't understand this defense. Pagano is terrible. This scheme does not work. 27 pts and a chance for more on that last drive. The offense scored in every quarter (even the 3rd). I love that they fed Montgomery. However, once they started sending extra defenders to clog those lanes, the Bears kept running into them. They have to go to some play action on those, but beggers can't be choosers. 33 pts and another win. This time against a legit team on the road. Bears now 7-7 with Jacksonville next then GB at Soldier Field in Week 17. We need one ARZ loss and there is a legit shot at the playoffs.

Holy crap, what a play by Urban, who single-handedly made the 4th stop.

He is a free agent, and if he plays well, he is going to get a big contract. A team like Indy would make a lot of sense, they have a ton of cap space. Even if the Bears want him, I think he is gone. On queue, Trubisky throws a pick in the end zone. We needed pts, and now a FG ties the game.

Bears settle for a FG, Vikings sending an extra guy inside to stop the run. Bears need some play action and take advantage of the open space.

Bears need a score here to make it a 2 score game.