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Everything posted by adam
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Hell, lets put in Mustipher, Bars, and Kmet and roll with an ND party against the Saints.
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And anyone concerned about Mustipher should watch this, I am surprised at how good he looked. I also watched/listened to his Zoom call, the kid is super smart and just gets it. I came away from that interview very impressed, then saw this: He may surprise some people, and we may have found our new Center. Then let Whitehair come back and play LG when he is healthy.
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With their weak passing defense, especially against WRs, ARob is going to have opportunities. Now the weather needs to play nice enough to have some mid-range shots as any longer will probably be out of the question.
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Yeah, everyone knows exactly why he did it. He is trying to right a wrong before he dies and feels like this is the last chance. Instead of putting out the best team possible to win at least one more, he does this. Talk about a culture shock. No player on the team was even alive the last time LaRussa coached the team. As a long time White Sox fan, I am extremely pissed off. There is so much promise with this team and Jerry does this. We have waited 15 years to get back to this point and this is what he does?
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It is definitely situational but the numbers don't lie. Of equal draft trade value, more picks have a higher chance of success than a single pick. According to trade values, the 15th pick is worth 1050, which would be the equivalent to picks 31 and 45. Again unless there is some ridiculous talent sitting at 15, you would easily pass it up for picks 31 and 45. For the Bears, they have been on the giving end of too many trade ups, which has had the opposite effect on the team's roster. Now the team has cap issues and talent issues. Can't address one without the other. Trade ups: Floyd (4th), Kwiatkoski (6th rounder to move up 1 slot) Trubisky (2x 3rds and a 4th), Jackson (6th), Miller (4th), Montgomery (4th). There are a few other minor ones, but since Pace took over, he has traded away 2x 3rds, 4x 4ths, and 2x 6ths which is almost a year's worth of draft capital. He has Jackson and Montgomery to show for it.
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It really is a shame because I think Mitch could've been right up there between them two if he was able to read defenses. Maybe he can find a fit somewhere and redeem himself, but odds are against him. Tannehill was a little different due to injury. In 2020, the QB with the highest AYTS (Air Yards to Sticks) is still Trubisky at 2.0, meaning he was throwing the ball 2 yards past the first down markers on average. Watson? 0. Mahomes? -1.2. Brees, the 2nd lowest in the NFL at -2.8. Trubisky's 2.0 is the highest of any QB in the last 5 seasons. All that means is Mahomes, like Brees has the skill position players to throw short of the sticks and let them do the work.
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I agree that you have to win in the trenches. Future drafts in the first 3 rounds should be focus on O-Line and D-Line but that will be with a new GM. I don't have faith in Pace to do that. What I would like to see, regardless of where the team is at is to go into the draft with the mindset that unless there is some ridiculous talent at your pick, you look to trade down. If you watch the Patriots, that is what they do. Seattle does it too. You don't even need to do that every pick, but a couple of moves down in a draft, and magically, you have 2-3 more picks. Then you have the flexibility to move back up if someone drops. Like if the Bears end up drafting in the 20's, I would rather trade out of the 1st, pick up an early 2nd plus extra picks. You do lose the 5th year option, but for me the extra picks are worth it and there is rarely much difference between a player at 25 vs 35 nowadays. Trading up has really killed the Bears. They are going to have almost no choice but to blow everything up, maybe even as early as this offseason (with the lowered cap).
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Graham, Hicks, and Edwards revenge game. Bear weather, Kmet used to playing in these conditions. Get him the rock.
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Mack, Jackson, Patterson all questionable, but all expected to play. ARob doubtful sucks as the NO secondary is their weakness. Will need big games from Miller, Monty, and Mooney. The Killer M's?
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So for the Saints, no Thomas, no Sanders (led WRs on team in receptions, yards, TDs). No Callaway (rookie WR w/ 13 receptions). That makes their WR1 Tre'Quan Smith and their WR2 Deonte Harris. This game is going to be all about Kamara.
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Trubisky was terrible in that game. He has something like 100 yards passing and the longest drive was a 39 yard FG drive before those last two garbage time drives. This was also the notorious Nagy No-Rushing game where the Bears rushed 7 times all game (5 by RBs). 7 rushes and 2 3rd Down conversions for the entire game. Talk about a bad game. I think if the Bears lose again and the offense looks bad, Nagy will give up play calling. That's the hope at least.
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Weather is going to be a factor on Sunday. 38 degrees with 24 mph winds at kickoff.
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I have been watching since the late 70s (the earliest season I can remember is 78) so I understand your frustration. Unfortunately, it has always come down to the QB. Without one, you can only be so good on offense. There were so many times the Bears missed on QBs, it kills me. How about Aaron Rodgers? The Bears drafted Grossman 23rd in 2003, but started Hutchinson, Krenzel, and Quinn in 2004, which ultimately gave the Bears the #4 pick. Instead of going with who some thought was the best QB in the draft, went with Benson. Rodgers went 24th, and GB didn't even want him, but couldn't pass up on the value. Jason Campbell went one pick later to Washington. If GB doesn't pick Rodgers, he would've been a Redskin. For now, it is an indictment on Pace. He drafted Trubisky with Watson available. That to me to this day is still inexcusable. It would've been different if Trubisky was the only 1st Round QB picked or the Bears didn't trade up to get him. That to me was a double down. It didn't work, the Bears need to move on and find a GM that can find a QB. Compare that pick to what Washington did in 2019. They picked Haskins, it hasn't worked, but he was the 3rd QB picked. Not the first, and they didn't trade up to get him. Then you look at his year, Burrow, Tua, and Herbert. They all may turn out to be good. The 4th QB taken in the first round? Jordan Love to the Packers. Who knows if that will work out. Also, Pace traded up for Monty, traded into a year prior draft for Miller when guys like McLaurin and Metcalf could've been picked the next year with the original pick. Pace is one of those guys that thinks he is the smartest guy in the room, then looks like a complete ass when his ideas end up like the jump to conclusions mat. These jobs are not that hard. With today's analytics, it is much easier to project what players will do over the course of a season and career than ever before. Even with play calling and play design. Since the offense is the only one who knows what the play is, there should be someone open on every play. If the defense adjusts to take that away, you audible into something else.
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Foles knows the play is going to fail because there is not enough time for it to develop. That answers a lot about some of his bad throws.
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Watson is playing against a lot of prevent defenses which are padding his stats big time.
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Yeah, it was a slightly rhetorical question, but you answered it. That is spot on.
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Also, some teams are built for the regular season. ATL reminded me of that for the last few years. Almost always getting 9-11 wins and a playoff berth only to choke it away in the post season. GB feels very much like that.
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Nothing for Floyd since we did not pick up 5th year option. I think Kwit's was negated by picking up Quinn. So we only get a 6th for Shaheen (which is better than nothing).
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Wow, so he gets that type of deal as the #3 TE that doesn't play special teams. Very interesting. That seems like a lot of money for that type of role, especially with all the COVID cap numbers hitting next year. Seems odd to me.
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So with Trubisky done as a starter, it is interesting to see how the other guys are doing. Mahomes now has 4 games with less than 250 yards passing, yet the Chiefs keep winning. The more I watch his games, the more I think he would not be as effective on another team. He would still be very good, but not this good. Someone is always wide open. I don't know why our guys can't get open like that. Watson on the other hand has 4x straight 300 yard games with multiple TD passes, yet they are 1-6. He is now 11-11 as a starter since 2019. Trubisky is 11-7 in that same period. Watson is getting a lot of garbage time stats which makes him look a lot better. He is having a great season even without Hopkins, which is a little surprising to me.
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It's funny because when the Packers lose bad, it's a fluke, but when the Bears lose bad, it's who they are. Everyone should know by now that every week is almost a new season. Between player injuries, travel, rest, etc, very little carries over from game to game. Look at KC, they win 43-16, so you would expect a big game from Mahomes, nope, he had 200 yards passing and 1 TD.
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A good percentage of those were bogus or questionable calls at best. The league is not being consistent with the calls, especially holding, which is directly affecting the Bears a lot.
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Home Dogs for this one. There is a good chance Michael Thomas misses this game. If that happens, the Saints leading WR is Sanders. The only real threat is Kamara who has 75 rushes and 46 receptions. He has to be contained. The Saints defense has allowed 23, 34, 37, 29, 27, and 24 to start the season. They have needed 27 or more to win a game which favors the Bears. After a demoralizing loss, I think the Bears come in pissed off and grind out a tough win. Bears 27-23