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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. My bad, yeah, I would like to see what Miller can do. He carries way less drama and baggage. The only unknown I guess is Miller's health.
  2. Miller is 26 and in his 4th year, he is who he is. At best a WR2, but more than likely a WR3. He shows flashes but lacks consistency. He is not a WR1 for sure. ARob is 27, just a year older than Miller, but look at the career production. ARob's best year is better than Miller's entire career.
  3. He would not cost much since he is already getting paid a ton by the Jets. I would assume it would be only a 1 year deal for the remainder of this year.
  4. This is a pretty big game as we are directly competing with Carolina for a potential wild card spot. If the season ended today, we would be WC2 behind LAR. There are 3 teams at 3-2, TB (we have tiebreaker), CAR and ARZ. NO is 3-2 but is a division leader. The Rams are playing SF, Arizona is playing Dallas, and TB is playing GB. So we have a chance to pad our playoff status with a win but a loss could put us outside looking in at 4-2, which would suck. 62% of the bets coming in are taking the Bears +2.5. I know that doesn't mean much, but there is more confidence out there, at least among bettors.
  5. It's amazing how close their career arcs have been: - Both were stuck behind QBs in college who didn't make it to the NFL - Both only had one year as a true starter - Both had big years, though Haskins was waaayyy better, their last year before the draft - Both came out of school early - Both were first round draft picks and 1 of 3 QBs taken in that round - Both ended up starting games their rookie years - Both were benched for vets I don't know, college is such a different game that if you went solely off college stats, guys like Kevin Kolb and Colt McCoy would be All-Pro NFL QBs. To me he has similar traits as Trubisky, athletic but can't read a defense to save his life. That scares me about him, especially after dealing with Trubisky for so many years hoping that this year would be the year he graduates to 201.
  6. adam

    NFC North Update

    Compared to other young Head Coaches: SF 19-18 (Shanahan) PHI 19-17-1 (Pederson) LAR 26-11 (McVay) Only McVay has a better record since 2018.
  7. adam

    NFC North Update

    I agree, the Lions ownership is very loyal and they have given him several passes (Stafford injury, etc). However, I can see him being another HC firing in the next couple of weeks if they don't improve. It's crazy to think the Lions are 2-15 in their last 17 games with their biggest win being 5 pts. They are not far removed from their 0-16 season either.
  8. The Bears started -3, but the line quickly moved to -2.5. I bet there is a lot of money pouring in on the Bears and the line may even be less by gametime. I am pissed I missed -3. The Bears are road dogs against a team without their star player in McCaffrey. Mike Davis has filled in nicely and they have had a balanced attack with him as the RB. Bridgewater looks solid but they are limited to Anderson, Moore, Samuel, and Davis for all their offense. Davis has 21 receptions and 30 targets in 4 games. If the Bears can slow him down and take away some of those dump-offs, the Panthers will be one dimensional and that will favor our defense. The Panthers are 3-0 when they allow 21 or less. The Bears are 4-0 when they score 17 or more. So this is going to be another close game. I am going with Bears 24-16 with the Bears getting a late FG. Our defense has been stingy on TDs, so I only see CAR getting one with a few FGs. Foles will flip the switch and get 3 TDs and 1 FG. The Panthers only have 2 sacks and their D-Line is not elite like we have seen the last few weeks. This favors the Bears. Their best players on defense are Chinn (rookie Safety that we should have), Shaq Thompson (LB) and Donte Jackson (CB). Against ATL, they scored 20 straight pts in basically a quarter of play before the half, then just held ATL to 3 FGs in the 2nd half. Robinson should have a big day as Calvin Ridley had 8-136 and Gurley had 14-121 on the ground. So expect a very strong day from Montgomery. The more I look at this game, I feel like the only way we lose if we have multiple turnovers or a ton of penalties. Will Lamar Miller be activated for this game?
  9. adam

    Dak Prescott

    Prescott is on the franchise tag this year and they have enough cap space to add him for the remainder of the year. For us that would give us guaranteed compensation for him vs losing him as a UFA and getting nothing if we sign other FAs and lose the comp pick. I would take a 4th for him right now if someone called. I don't see us getting more than a 6th in a comp pick for him if we don't sign anyone new next offseason.
  10. Since Matt Nagy took over in 2018, this is the combined regular-season records of the NFC North with the Division record in parentheses: 1. CHI 24-13 (10-3) 2. GB 23-12-1 (9-4-1) 3. MIN 19-16-1 (5-7-1) 4. DET 10-25-1 (2-12) I was actually pretty shocked to see that the Bears had the best record (most wins) and the best record in the division. I was also shocked to see Minnesota near .500 and with a losing record in the division. It just doesn't feel that way.
  11. adam

    Dak Prescott

    Did anyone else see that injury? You hate to see injuries at all, and that one did not look good at all. This is why Arob needs a new deal. Cohen down on a fair catch, other players dropping like flies and he is working on the last year of his deal with nothing guaranteed after this year. Also, do you think Dallas would be desperate enough to trade for Trubisky? He would actually fit in that offense and they have a solid running game and some playmakers in Cooper, Lamb, and Gallup. What do you think?
  12. adam

    Jaylon Johnson

    It has been a long time for sure and based on Passer Rating Against, we have the top 2 rated CBs in the league.
  13. adam

    Cole Kmet

    Mongo, I wouldn't say Shaheen is playing well (2 receptions on the year), but he is playing better than he did here. Davis was always a good player when he got reps, he was not getting them as RB3 here. Kwit was very solid for us and I would've liked to have seen him back. However, he has been injured with LV and just got back on the field, and had 2 tackles as a ILB. So he is not necessarily lighting it up just yet. Amos has always been a very solid SS. As long as he has a strong supporting cast around him, he flourishes. I thought they should've resigned him, but they were saving that money for Jackson, who has not been the same player since his injury.
  14. adam

    Cole Kmet

    The team never should've paid Leno, fool's gold. The guy is smart in that he played for a big contract, but then turned back into a lazy turd once he got paid. People forget Leno was a Pro-Bowler the year before he got paid. Then after the big pay day, he got married, had a kid, and got lazy. Just look at some games from that season and now. It's a different player. I remember his wife posting a picture of him studying on a plane after a game where he had multiple penalties and allowed several sacks and pressures. That looks hilarious now. Leno may be the worst starter on offense, and that is scary at LT. I would see what Spriggs can do. Massie is who he is. He is a smart player, huge dude, but doesn't play nasty. I also hate that we have yet to address OT early. We had chances in every draft to get one in the first few rounds. We have so many guys that have not contributed at other positions and draft picks that you would think at least one or two of them would stick if they went OT.
  15. adam

    Cole Kmet

    Chase Claypool, Kmet's ND teammate and someone we were talking about as a hybrid WR/TE selection for the Bears (drafted after Kmet) scored 4 TDs today.
  16. As we know, the national media or even our local media have not been very high on this team. Some preseason predictions had us winning 3-8 games, which we have already exceeded some of those predictions by Week 5. However, there is something else going on. The media pointed to a weak schedule for our record but have not used the same reasoning for teams that are very similar to us through this week. Check out these teams and how much different they are rated than us in power rankings. 1. First we have BUF. They are top 5 in most rankings. On NFL.com they are #4. Here is their breakdown: BUF 4-0 (beat NYJ, MIA, LAR, LV = 6 combined wins), 2 wins by 3 or less, allowed 23 or more in 3 games. 25th SoS. The best team they beat was LAR, who is also on this list, and only beat them by 3. They have the 25th SoS to this point, yet are rated 18 spots higher than the Bears. 2. This one is crazy. Pittsburgh is also rated in the top 8 in most power rankings, and are #5 on NFL.com. Here is their breakdown: PIT 3-0 (beat NYG, DEN, HOU = 1 combined win), allowed 16 or more in every game, 21 or more in 2 games. 32nd SoS. The EASIEST schedule so far, one combined win from their opponents and they have allowed multiple TDs in every game, yet they are 17 slots higher than the Bears? Seriously. 3. Another one very similar to PIT is TEN. They are also in the top 8 in most rankings and #7 on NFL.COM. Their breakdown: TEN 3-0 (beat DEN, JAX, MIN = 3 combined wins), all wins by 3 or less, allowed 30 or more in 2 games. 29th SoS. Who have they beat? A 6 point differential on 3 wins and no losses means they are barely winning. All wins by 3 or less, but they are ranked 15 slots higher than the Bears, half of the league higher, but why? What have they done better than the Bears? 4. This one might be the most legit one with LAR coming in at #9. Their breakdown: LAR 3-1 (beat DAL, PHI, NYG = 2 combined wins), lost to BUF 35-32. 23rd SoS. They still have played a relatively easy schedule and have only beaten teams with a combined 2 wins. Does that garner a top 10 ranking and 12 slots higher than the Bears? 5. The media darling Browns. Everyone loves Mayfield, even though he is still middle to the bottom half of the league (182 yds/g, 6.3 Y/A). The Browns come in at #13 at NFL.com. Their breakdown: CLE 3-1 (beat CIN, WAS, DAL = 3 combined wins), allowed 20 or more in every game, over 30 in 3 games, lost to BAL 38-6. 21st SoS. They have a -2 in points differential at 3-1. Come on man. They barely beat CIN, beat a Chase Young-less Washington team that had Haskins still starting (3 INTs, 3 sacks), and won a shootout in DAL where neither team played defense. DAL actually cut the lead to 41-38 with 4 to play. So that game was a lot closer than the score looked. CLE is ranked 9 slots higher than the Bears. So here are the Bears, in the bottom 12 in most power rankings, and even before the TB game were still comparable to these teams above in terms of performance and record. #22 - CHI 4-1 (beat TB, ATL, NYG, DET = 4 combined wins), lost to IND 19-11. 28th SoS-before TB game. So I can understand rating the Bears that low, but why are other teams not held to the same standard? It is clear that both PIT, TEN, and to an extent CLE are all in the same boat. Then you have to consider BUF and LAR because they really only played each other. One other thing I noticed, none of these teams have played SEA, GB, or KC yet. The best teams faced outside of this group have been BAL, IND, and TB. The Bears have played two of them and are 1-1.
  17. adam

    BEARS WIN!! 4-1!!

    RZ was also our biggest weakness next year, so his presence and play have been a huge bright spot.
  18. Here is another one, when is the last time you have seen Trubisky talking to Nagy like this? Never. Foles is telling him what he is seeing and why he was frustrated that they stopped the no-huddle which has the offense moving. After the huddle that Nagy called, they lost a bunch of yards and settled for a long FG. That was a TD drive.
  19. adam

    Jaylon Johnson

    Yeah, they will have to do something with a few of those contracts. I can see both Leno and Massie being moved before Fuller though. They can always restructure his to make the cap hit a little better. I like having bookend shutdown corners. The more they can trust these guys, the more chances they can take with blitzes and such.
  20. This is a great example of the difference between Foles and Trubisky. Foles does this all game long. Trubisky has to get the call from the sidelines, then just executes it to the first read regardless of coverage. So he does make some amazing throws like the ones to Miller but then also throws into triple coverage to ARob. Foles adjusted this play, the receiver, the rub, and the protections all while the defense shifted. Very cool to see a play broken down to this level. So now Foles needs to work on the timing of routes with his receivers. Nagy mentioned that not all routes are being run to the exact spot they are supposed to and he wants that level of detail on every route. He also wants the timing throws to be there as well. Right now some of that is off, but the good news is we are 4-1 (4-0 in the NFC) on a mini bye and can only improve from here.
  21. adam

    BEARS WIN!! 4-1!!

    We are halfway to our bye week and 4-1 with 5 to play having just played the #1 and #2 DVOA Defenses in the league in the last 4 days. Our next 5 are against the following with their Defensive DVOA in paratheses: CAR (28), LAR (15), NO (8), TEN (18), and MIN (13). We beat DET ranked 29th, ATL 25th and NYG who is surprisingly 11th. So out biggest upcoming challenge is going to be NO, who we get at home in two weeks. We actually have a pretty favorable schedule to the bye with 3 games with extra rest (CAR, LAR, MIN) and only one game with less than a week of rest (NO). CAR, LAR, MIN, and TEN are all ranked #20 or worse against the run. That should really help out our run game and allow Bars to get more comfortable at LG into the bye. For pass defense, TEN and CAR are the bottom two teams, and MIN is 21st, so we should be able to have some success passing against those teams. That makes the CAR, TEN, and MIN games all very favorable for our offense. The LAR and NO games are going to be the two challenges. Even if we win 3 and lose 2, we can go into the bye at 7-3 with 6 to play. That would be a great position to be in with DET, HOU, MIN, and JAX games after the bye (all very winnable). Our biggest challenge after the bye? The bookend games against GB, one out of the bye and one in Week 17, which could setup as a Division Championship Game, NFC Seeding, and potentially 1st Round bye potential.
  22. adam

    Cole Kmet

    To me this is one of the most baffling things going on with the team. How can this polished pro-ready TE only have one catch on the season, when lesser players have more production? This feels worse than Shaheen because everyone knew he was going to be a project.
  23. Somehow, someway this team is 4-1. I will take it. Now the team gets a mini-bye before heading to CAR.
  24. So the 3rd Quarter Bears show up again and score 0 AGAIN. The Bucs obviously get a FG to take the lead. We get a FG ourselves after an uptempo drive. However, Foles wanted to keep it going, but Nagy called a huddle and the team went backwards and they almost didn't score. Luckily Santos hit a season high 47 yarder. Then TB drives back down and hit their own FG to take the lead. After basically exchanging 3 and outs, Foles is able to drive the team into FG position, and amazingly Santos hit the GW FG. The defense shuts the door and Tom Brady wanted 5 downs apparently. Regardless, it's another win, and now versus a legitimate team, in conference. Bears are 4-1.
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