adam

Warning Long Post Incoming I am starting to think Poles is just a very average GM that got lucky. Just think if the Bears didn't have the #1 pick in 2023? He picked Eberflus over a bunch of better options. There were all kinds of problems with other staff members and in less than 3 years, they are already on their 2nd OC, DC, RB Coach and a whole bunch of other coaching positions. He got rid of players like Montgomery who signed for less than the Bears paid Swift for and Monty is clearly the better RB. He let other players walk like Daniels only to pay someone like Davis. He replaced Mooney with Tyler Scott. He drafted Gill, to cut him and draft Taylor in the 4th round for Taylor to be worse than Gill thru 3 weeks. It goes on and on. Just take an honest look at his draft picks with Approximate Values, they are not good. Only a few players are exceeding their draft slots, but most are below. 1st - 4th Round Picks: Gordon - Slot Corner (AV - 7) -5 AV from Draft Slot Brisker - Safety (AV - 9) -2 AV from Draft Slot Jones Jr - KR/WR (AV - 3) -5 AV from Draft Slot (how many games did he lose for the Bears?) Wright - RT (AV - 8 ) - 0 AV from Draft Slot Dexter - DT (AV - 2) -2 AV from Draft Slot Stevenson - CB (AV - 6) +2 AV from Draft Slot Pickens - DT (AV - 1) -2 AV from Draft Slot (feels like a waste of a pick at this point) Johnson - RB (AV - 4) +2 AV from Draft Slot Scott - WR (AV - 2) - 0 AV from Draft Slot (it feels like he has dropped more passes than he has targets) -------------- Poles is -12AV for drafted players from 2022-23 from rounds 1-4. That is equivalent to the #3 pick in 2023 or Pick#38 from the 2022 draft playing for 2 years. Braxton Jones is the only player who has completely exceeded his draft slot out of 21 draft picks from 22-23. You need more players to exceed their draft position in order to improve more than the next team (see MIN for example). Poles has used 13% of his draft capital on Punters. In 2024 his 4 picks in rounds 1-4: Williams - QB (no-brainer selection unless you traded down for draft haul and kept Fields) Odunze - WR (no-brainer when ATL picked Penix) Amegadjie - OT (1 of 12 players in the top 75 that have yet to appear in a game for their team) Taylor - P (Currently a bottom 5 punter with a lower Punt Average than Gill had last season) His 2024 FAs: Swift - Waste of money, Everett - lol, Bates, Byard, Pryor, Owens, Ogbongbemiga, Shelton, Pettis, Martin, Cowart, Curhan. Outside of Byard, is any other player even worth the roster spot at this point? That seems like a lot of misses. Maybe Owens? He traded for Keenan Allen, and he has missed 85% of the season after 3 weeks. How about 2023? Nathan Peterman, Dylan Cole, Donta Foreman, Robert Tonyan, Andrew Billings, PJ Walker, Travis Homer, DeMarcus Walker, Tremaine Edmunds, Nate Davis, and TJ Edwards. Billings, Edmunds, and Edwards, and to an extent Walker have worked out as they are still here and productive, but guys like Tonyan and Davis actually lost games for the Bears in 2023 because of how bad they played. He got fleeced on the Claypool trade and won the Sweat trade. So that seems like a break even, which is not good all things considered. So here we are after 3 years of the reset. In free agency, Poles has acquired Billings and Edwards who seem to be the only two players that have exceeded their contract values. Edmunds cap hit is $22M. For this year's cap, Keenan Allen has a $23M cap hit (2nd on team) and has barely played. Nate Davis has the 6th biggest cap hit and is arguably the worst player on the 53-man roster. DeMarcus Walker is 7th and is a rotational DL at best. Swift is 12th and is a waste of cap space and a roster spot. Everett is 13th and is the same. That is $54M of the cap, 24% of the cap for Allen, Davis, Walker, Swift, and Everett. Plus they gave up a 4th for Allen (4 receptions) and a 4th for Bates (38 snaps). Between the coaching choices and lack of draft successes, is it really a surprise that this regime has the record that they currently have going into Year 3?

Look at the top teams: PIT 3-0, Fields and Daniels leading the way SEA 3-0, Waldron leaves SEA and they get better MIN 3-0, Sam Darnold is QB1 and they are undefeated BUF 2-0, Trubisky as Scout QB leading the way PHI 2-1, got Barkley over Bears and fooled Bears into taking Swift. Jalen Carter over Darnell Wright. HOU 2-1, Bears could've drafted Stroud last year LAC 2-1, Harbaugh is their HC, winning without Allen NYJ 2-1, Rodgers still winning NO 2-1 - Lucas Patrick highest graded OL in NFL DET and GB 2-1 still beating the Bears

On the last TD drive, Roschon got 3 touches for 6, 9, and 6 yards. He needs to be the starter.

Coming into this game, Swift had 24 rushing attempts (48 yards), Roschon had 0 and Herbert had 4. That was criminal. Then after all that ineptness, you still give Swift 13 carries (20 yards) and 4 targets (2 receptions), while Roschon gets 8 rushing attempts and 4 receptions and Herbert gets 4 carries. So Swift still had over 50% of the RB carries and half the targets while being the least efficient RB in the NFL.

If you get a chance to rewatch the last two games. The offense looks like crap when Swift gets touches. He literally is a drive killer. Half the 3 and outs start with a Swift 1 yard rush. I thought at first the O-Line was the problem, but he is missing holes, not cutting back, has no vision, and has dropped several catchable screen passes. He is so bad that if you just played with 10 players instead of Swift on the field, it would automatically be a better play than with him on the field.

I know the O-Line has issues and Caleb is a rookie QB, but Swift has been the least effective RB in the first 3 games of a season since 2009. The Bears are lucky to be 1-2 with his ineptitude. It is historically bad. The Bears needs to stick with Roschon and Herbert as the primary backs, then sprinkle in Swift on 3rd and longs. He is literally a drive killer. If you watch the drives that died, most of the time it was a terrible run by Swift that leaves the Bears in a bad down and distance, a dropped pass, etc. He has singlehandedly killed the Bears offensive rhythm. It is astounding really. If you look back at the previous games, it is the same thing. They would be 3-0 if Roschon had all of Swift's touches.

It's early in LA, but the Rams are already down 14-0 and SF has the ball. Kyren Williams is their only offensive threat and their defense can't stop 2nd and 3rd string skill position players. SF doesn't have McCaffrey, Deebo, or Kittle and they are still scoring at will.

If the Bears remove the negative players, this offense will get going. Swift is historically bad and replacing him with a tackling dummy would be a positive at this point. The below are promising trends, now Williams just needs to cut down on the INTs and they will be cooking: Williams Yards 93 > 174 > 363 Comp% 48.3% > 62.2% > 63.5% Y/A 3.2 > 4.7 > 7.0 TD 0 > 0 > 2 INT 0 > 2 > 2 Sacks 2 > 7 > 4 Odunze Yards 11 > 33 > 112 Rec 1 > 2 > 6 TD 0 > 0 > 1 Kmet Yards 4 > 27 > 97 Rec 1 > 4 > 10 TD 0 > 0 > 1

I still think it is personnel. Roschon is clearly a better fit for whatever this offense is. Swift just doesn't see the cutback lanes and has dropped a few passes. Roschon moves the pile and runs vertically. He is also good at pass pro. There is no reason it shouldn't be Roschon and Herbert as the top two rushers. I do not care about contract status. The best players need to get the snaps. Right now I see too much Swift and Everett. Swift 37-68 rushing, 1.84 yards per carry Everett 3 receptions - 0 yards Roschon 8-30, 4-32 receiving I am looking up some numbers now, but I believe Swift is close to the record for lowest total yards with over 35 carries ever, outside of QBs taking a knee at the end of game.

After the one drop, Odunze played much better. This was a coaching loss, just like Houston's game. Terrible time management, time out usage, challenges, etc. Eberflus is literally a turd as an HC, and Waldron is a hot pile of dung as an OC.

Puka on IR, Kupp going to be limited at best if he doesn't miss the game. Rams playing in the late slot on Sunday, then having to travel from LA to CHI. So Bears are going to have a rest edge. Rams are one of the worst teams in the NFL, especially with the injuries. The Bears lost against the Colts, but the Colts didn't win the game. At 1-2, this becomes an early must win as falling to 1-3 starts makes a huge hole to dig out of so early in the season. I feel like the Bears will rebound and play much better with home cooking. Bears 27-13.

A much better week for Williams. He has his first 300-yd game in his 3rd career game. Fields has one in his entire career at 335 yds. Trubisky's high was 355, so Williams eclipsed the last two highly drafted QBs for the Bears.

Me too, have a good one!

lol

Odd week, Denver crushed TB in TB. NYG beat CLE. MIN destroyed HOU.

In a perfect scenario, the Bears can get the ball back with about 35-40 seconds left needing a TD. How about the hail mary stopped at the 1?

Williams has the highest passing game for yardage in the NFL this season with 363 yards. Tua had the most at 338 in Week 1.

Missed FG and 2 pt conversion, and down by 5. This is a coaching loss.

Swift has to be relegated to the 3rd Down back, I could care less what he signed for. Roschon and Herbert are much better and Roschon is looking like a complete back.

Unbelievable Stats when you are losing 21-9: First Downs: Bears 24 - 14 Third Downs: Bears 9-21, Colts 3-11 Total Yards: Bears 389-293 Time of Possession: Bears 34:33, Colts 22:58 Colts only completed 10 passes

How is that not a defenseless receiver?

+1

Wiliiams 30-47, 335 yds, 1 TD, and 2 INT Odunze 6-120-1 Kmet 9-91 Moore-8-78 and Roschon is 8-30 rushing and 3-26 receiving. He is clearly better than Swift and it is not even close.

Now down to 1 Timeout and they need 2 TDs in 5 minutes. They would have to score with at least 2:40 left to get the ball back with over a minute left and no timeouts.

It is literally counter to every traditional coaching method. You cannot put a secondary blocker on an Edge defender on play action because they can't hold a block that long. You can chip with them, but they have to be blocked by OTs.