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Everything posted by adam
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Thru 13 picks, top 30 remaining: Kinlaw, DT Lamb, WR Jeudy, WR Jefferson, WR Queen, LB Swift, RB Murray, LB Blacklock, DT McKinney, S Love, QB Aiyuk, WR Chaisson, Edge Epenesa, Edge Higgins, WR Jackson, OT Johnson, CB Gross-Matos, Edge Terrell, CB Edwards-Helaire, RB Davidson, Edge Baun, LB Taylor, RB Shenault, WR Dobbins, RB Ruiz, C Jones, OT Delpit, S Kmet, TE Gladney, CB Fulton, CB
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They got one from us and swapped a 1st for a 2nd, that's a huge difference. They swapped Mack for Ngakoue and moved from the 43 to 19 (405 pts = mid 2nd round pick value). So it's more like Mack for Ngakoue and a 2nd.
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Just starting this to track discussions as the draft unfolds this evening.
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Good point, both OT's should be on there, however, with the potentially impacted offseason, can a rookie OT come in and do as good (or bad) of a job as Leno or Massie with a new QB and definitely a new RG? We will see. It is definitely going to be an interesting Friday night.
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and Burton signs with the Colts. Amazing how he magically got healed in a few days to pass a physical:
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I just don't see TE that early. I think they go WR/OL with one big and grab a DB whether CB or SS with the other.
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For the 2nd round picks, if you could upgrade two positions to improve the roster from the current player, where would that be? CB2 - Toliver SS - Bush RG - Ifedi TE - Graham WR3 - Wims I believe these are the consensus 5 positions that keep getting mentioned. I have seen Edge, but that doesn't make sense with Quinn on the roster. TE doesn't make sense with Graham and Ifedi has more starting experience then the rest of the other guys combined, so I think RG is out. So it comes down to BPA at CB, SS, and WR3. One wild card is OT. If you can get an upgrade over Leno or Massie, you do it.
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Would NE be interested in Trubisky? They have 13 draft picks (and no 2nd rounders): 1st-23 3rd-87 3rd-98 3rd-100 4th-125 4th- (from Tampa) 5th-172 6th-195 6th-204 6th-212 6th-213 7th-230 or 241
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From April 8th, right before the OJ Howard stuff started:
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I hope so too, but they seem extra motivated to make a SB push like Denver did with Manning.
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I agree, if I am Pace, I am already on the phone with TB. It seems that they wouldn't even want another pick this year (they already had two 4ths), how about a pick in 2021, which would be more useful to them.
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Seems fishy to me, like it was preplanned for a long time. See my edits in the first post. I think it was their plan all along. TB has enough to absorb Gronk's 10M but NE didn't.
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Madness, to me this was all setup. Gronk retires, Brady doesn't return to NE. He has the pick of the league, picks TB, then after NE signs enough players that prevents them from taking on Gronk's contract, he magically unretires which forces NE's hand to make a trade immediately (they cannot go over the cap). To me, this seems way too convenient. Also, TB magically had enough to take on his contract.
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Yeah, that guide is impressive. He put a ton of time and effort into that thing. I am surprised he didn't sell it on Amazon as a real draft guide. With The Athletic being free right now, everyone can get that guide which I highly recommend. Also, the password is case sensitive, so it's actually: Bea$t20! I've attached the guide to this post, no need for password: 2020_NFL_DRAFT.pdf
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That's exactly what I am saying. If you get a trade offer to move down at 43, you have to take it because it might not be there later.
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Top 300 players, ranked by consensus: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSTYaxInC66nU_dSdw8HEMMI-n4Mh4WcaZDxVkEHw_8Mv2326DRo68HcVYuZL3zS7fv2PtZtCKE_7Fd/pubhtml Pretty sweet and updated regularly. It will come in handy on draft day. Interesting guys at 43 and 50: Laviska Shenault and Lloyd Cushenberry.
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Without knowing if you would even have a trade partner at 50, you almost have to take it to give you 4 picks in the top 100.
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Without knowing what can play out at 50, if you get a trade back option that gives you a couple of picks in the top 150 at 43, you have to take it, because the trade option may not be there at 50.
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Floyd, Prince, and Gabriel were all logical moves. Burton's was questionable based on the dead money, but it was clear the team felt it was better without him. Outside of the Burton move, not much else has happened that was unexpected. We will see what happens on draft day, that may be when they move a few other guys one way or another.
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Drew Brees also had 3 full college seasons starting at QB. So technically he was 2 years ahead of Trubisky before entering the league. With that said, I saw something on Twitter awhile back that the probability of a QB turning things around after 3 full seasons in the league was something like 3% (with Brees being one of those QBs). One interesting twist was that almost all the QBs that did turn it around changed teams. So the likelihood of Trubisky improving on the Bears is probably around 1%.
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RD1 RD2 RD3 RD4 RD5 RD6 RD7 PK/TM PK/TM PK/TM PK/TM PK/TM PK/TM PK/TM 1 CIN 3000 33 CIN 580 65 CIN 265 107 CIN 80 147 CIN 31.4 180 CIN 18.2 215 CIN 4.2 2 WAS 2600 34 IND 560 66 WAS 260 108 WAS 78 148 CAR 31 181 DEN 17.8 216 WAS 3.8 3 DET 2200 35 DET 550 67 DET 255 109 DET 76 149 DET 30.6 182 DET 17.4 217 SF 3.4 4 NYG 1800 36 NYG 540 68 NYJ 250 110 NYG 74 150 NYG 30.2 183 NYG 17 218 NYG 3 5 MIA 1700 37 LAC 530 69 CAR 245 111 HOU 72 151 LAC 29.8 184 CAR 16.6 219 MIN 2.6 6 LAC 1600 38 CAR 520 70 MIA 240 112 LAC 70 152 CAR 29.4 185 MIA 16.2 220 LAC 2.3 7 CAR 1500 39 MIA 510 71 LAC 235 113 CAR 68 153 MIA 29 186 LAC 15.8 221 CAR 2 8 ARI 1400 40 HOU 500 72 ARI 230 114 ARI 66 154 MIA 28.6 187 CLE 15.4 222 ARI 1.7 9 JAX 1350 41 CLE 490 73 JAX 225 115 CLE 64 155 MIN 28.2 188 BUF 15 223 JAX 1.4 10 CLE 1300 42 JAX 480 74 CLE 220 116 JAX 62 156 SF 27.8 189 JAX 14.6 224 TEN 1.1 11 NYJ 1250 43 CHI 470 75 IND 215 117 TB 60 157 JAX 27.4 190 PHI 14.2 225 BAL 1 12 LV 1200 44 IND 460 76 TB 210 118 DEN 58 158 NYJ 27 191 NYJ 13.8 226 CHI 1 13 SF 1150 45 TB 450 77 DEN 205 119 ATL 56 159 LV 26.6 192 GB 13.4 227 MIA 1 14 TB 1100 46 DEN 440 78 ATL 200 120 NYJ 54 160 IND 26.2 193 IND 13 228 ATL 1 15 DEN 1050 47 ATL 430 79 NYJ 195 121 LV 52 161 TB 25.8 194 TB 12.6 229 WAS 1 16 ATL 1000 48 NYJ 420 80 LV 190 122 IND 50 162 WAS 25.4 195 NE 12.2 230 NE 1 17 DAL 950 49 PIT 410 81 LV 185 123 DAL 49 163 CHI 25 196 CHI 11.8 231 DAL 1 18 MIA 900 50 CHI 400 82 DAL 180 124 PIT 48 164 DAL 24.6 197 IND 11.4 232 PIT 1 19 LV 875 51 DAL 390 83 DEN 175 125 NE 47 165 JAX 24.2 198 PIT 11 233 CHI 1 20 JAX 850 52 LAR 380 84 LAR 170 126 LAR 46 166 DET 23.8 199 LAR 10.6 234 LAR 1 21 PHI 800 53 PHI 370 85 DET 165 127 PHI 45 167 BUF 23.4 200 CHI 10.2 235 DET 1 22 MIN 780 54 BUF 360 86 BUF 160 128 BUF 44 168 PHI 23 201 MIN 9.8 236 GB 1 23 NE 760 55 BAL 350 87 NE 155 129 BAL 43 169 NO 22.6 202 ARI 9.4 237 TEN 1 24 NO 740 56 MIA 340 88 NO 150 130 NO 42 170 BAL 22.2 203 NO 9 238 NYG 1 25 MIN 720 57 LAR 330 89 MIN 145 131 ARI 41 171 HOU 21.8 204 NE 8.6 239 BUF 1 26 MIA 700 58 MIN 320 90 HOU 140 132 MIN 40 172 NE 21.4 205 MIN 8.2 240 HOU 1 27 SEA 680 59 SEA 310 91 LV 136 133 SEA 39.5 173 MIA 21 206 JAX 7.8 241 NE 1 28 BAL 660 60 BAL 300 92 BAL 132 134 BAL 39 174 TEN 20.6 207 BUF 7.4 242 GB 1 29 TEN 640 61 TEN 292 93 TEN 128 135 PIT 38.5 175 GB 20.2 208 GB 7 243 TEN 1 30 GB 620 62 GB 284 94 GB 124 136 GB 38 176 SF 19.8 209 GB 6.6 244 CLE 1 31 SF 600 63 KC 276 95 DEN 120 137 JAX 37.5 177 KC 19.4 210 SF 6.2 245 SF 1 32 KC 590 64 SEA 270 96 KC 116 138 KC 37 178 DEN 19 211 NYJ 5.8 246 MIA 1 97 CLE 112 139 TB 36.5 179 DAL 18.6 212 NE 5.4 247 NYG 1 98 NE 108 140 JAX 36 213 NE 5 248 HOU 1 99 NYG 104 141 MIA 35.5 214 SEA 4.6 249 MIN 1 100 NE 100 142 WAS 35 250 HOU 1 101 SEA 96 143 ATL 34.5 251 MIA 1 102 PIT 92 144 SEA 34 252 DEN 1 103 PHI 88 145 PHI 33.5 253 MIN 1 104 LAR 86 146 PHI 33 254 DEN 1 105 MIN 84 255 NYG 1 106 BAL 82
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I think the team will be fine with a mix of Graham, Harris, Horsted, and Holtz. They all have their own strengths which Nagy can leverage in the game plan. So with the class being so weak, I think the team doesn't even sniff a TE unless someone drops. I don't see them using any picks in the first 5 rounds on one.
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Spriggs has only started a couple of games as he was stuck behind Bulaga and Bakhtiari for his entire career in GB. I bet he competes with Leno and Massie for a starting gig. They were that bad.
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There was no way to pay Amos and pay EJack, so I believe they chose one and not the other. Howard is now on his 3rd team in 3 years, so most of the time that is a telling situation for a RB. Overall though, I wanted Floyd, Burton, and Leno gone. 2 out of 3 ain't bad for an offseason. Quinn is a huge upgrade over Floyd, Graham is an upgrade over the entire TE group, so all we have left is Leno/Massie to deal with.
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The Bears also re-signed Holtz and Coward, and signed a kicker.