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Everything posted by adam
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A long throw down field, first read, Trubisky overthrows Wims by 6 feet and behind him. Hilariously bad at this point. His accuracy past 5 yards is absolutely atrocious. I hope this is Trubisky's last game as a Bear. He just doesn't have it. It sucks because we get to watch Mahomes and Watson tear it up for the next 15-20 years. We need to cut sling now and move on from this huge mistake.
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Yeah, very few QBs would be successful with this garbage O-Line. However, if we can get one of the QBs that have played above-average in DVOA, they would be an upgrade over Trubisky immediately. Then you add an improved O-Line and the offense magically becomes a top-15 unit.
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Vikings 3rd String RB fumbles hand-off, Bears get the ball. Offense drives down the field, then like the ole days, can't get a TD, so they settle for a short RZ FG. Bears 3-0. On Vikings next drive, RB doesn't catch short pass and the bounce pops right into KPL's hands for the INT. One silver lining is I think we found our new starting ILB in KPL. He is all over the field, makes hard hits, and can rush the passer.
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Some additional milestones: - Horsted needs 2 receptions to reach double digits and surpass Shaheen - Pineiro needs to make at least 2 FG's without a miss to raise his PCT over 80% on the season, which takes him out of the worst kicker in the league talks. - Amukamara needs 1 INT to get above 0 on the season. The same for Skrine. - Nichols needs 1 sack to get to 1 on the season. - Floyd needs 1 sack to reach 4, the total he had last season. That would give him 12.5 sacks in the last 3 years. Chandler Jones, the league leader, has 19.0 this year. I guess they are not doubling him. - Nick Williams has as many sacks as Floyd, Hicks, Nichols, HHCD, Fuller, KPL, Skrine, Amukamara, Goldman, Urban, and Trevathan combined. That's great for Williams, sad for the others.
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If you are watching, it looks like we will see some Alex Bars on the O-Line. Hopefully some of the other younger guys get some reps. I would like to see more of Ridley too. Some other things to watch: 1. Montgomery needs 39 all-purpose yards to hit 1,000 yards from scrimmage and 24 rushing yards for 800 on the season. 2. Robinson needs 34 receiving yards for 1,100 and 11 receptions to get to 100. 3. Miller needs 49 yards to break 700 yards receiving. 4. Mack needs 1.5 sacks to hit 10 on the season. 5. Trubisky needs 69 yards to hit 3,000 and 3 TDs to hit 20 on the season. If he gets 293, he will have a career-high of 3,224 yards. He also needs 8 rushing yards to break 200 yards for his 3rd straight year over 200 yds.
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One thing to point out, Watson is not a top 10 QB in DVOA.
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So I was looking into the free-agent QBs going into 2020. There are a lot of options with potential huge differences in salary cap hits. Take a look at the list below sorted by DVOA. The guys with asterisks are free agents and the guys with a carrot are potential cap casualties. To me, there is no point to add a guy who would essentially have the same production as Trubisky. Looking at the guys in his group, those are all the same type of performers, all underwhelming. So I would target no one worse than Keenum out of the available pool of (Keenum, Brissett, Rivers, Bridgewater, Moore, Carr, and Tannehill). If you reduced the candidate pool by age first, that would remove Rivers and Moore, and you would be left with Keenum, Brissett, Bridgewater, Carr, and Tannehill. Carr and Brissett are only available if they are cut. I am assuming Tannehill goes back to TEN, so that leaves only Keenum and Bridgewater. I would actually be ok with either as Keenum always seemed to have the Bears number. Both would be instant upgrades over Trubisky. If we decided the window is closing sooner than later, then maybe we look at someone like Rivers or Moore for a 2-3 year deal and see what happens. DVOA +30% (All-Pro) Schaub, Brees*, Jackson, Mahomes DVOA 20-30% (Pro-Bowl) Stafford, Prescott*, Tannehill* DVOA 10-20% (Franchise QB) Carr^, Moore*, Bridgewater*, Cousins, Rodgers, Lock DVOA 0-10% (Reliable Starter) Watson, Garoppolo, Ryan, Rivers*, Brissett^, Brady*, Goff DVOA -10-0% (Average Starter) Wentz, Keenum*, Fitzpatrick^, Murray, Minshew, Mayfield, Newton^, Winston* DVOA -20-10% (Inconsistent Starter) J. Allen, Dalton^, Trubisky, Hodges, Manning*, Mariota*, Blough, Flacco^, Jones DVOA -30-20% (Backup QB) Darnold, Foles^, Rudolph, Driskell, K. Allen DVOA -40-30% (Practice Squad QB) NONE DVOA -50-40% (QB as a holder) Haskins DVOA -60-50% (Holder on windy kickoffs) NONE DVOA -70-60% (it would be more efficient to only have 10 on offense than to use this player) Rosen I would avoid anyone in Trubisky's group and below, and would be cautious of Newton and Winston as they are not much better than Trubisky but will command a huge salary. Carr would be interesting if the Raiders let him go. It would be nice to get a QB of that caliber. Lastly, Dalton, Manning, Mariota, and Flacco all got benched for their performances and Trubisky gets reamed (rightfully so), but guys like Jones, Darnold, Allen, and Haskins get a free pass? Most of those guys are worse than Trubisky.
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It's some ugly tape. If he gets engaged by an Offensive Lineman, the play is basically over for him. He was also getting manhandled by TEs consistently. No excuse, he had every opportunity to dominate across from Mack and couldn't do anything.
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Right now we draft #49 and #50 (Oak) due to the tie breaker rotation. Oakland is currently the worst 7-8 team with the weakest SOS, they would draft first in the 1st and drop to the last 7-8 team in the 2nd. We are the best 7-8 team, so we would move up one slot from 50 to 49. Either way, it would be really helpful if both the Bears and Raiders lost, especially the Raiders who could still make the playoffs at 8-8. That would be icing on the cake for the season. The Raiders make the playoffs and give us an even worse draft pick. Just based on how this season turned out, the Mack trade has gotten considerably worse for the Bears.