adam

Patterson starts game with huge return after offsetting penalties. Great start, we need to keep the foot to the pedal.

Yes, yes I do. Either we are going to completely dominate or get torched by a UDFA who has never taken a snap before in an regular season game. He is the 3rd QB ever to make his first start on Thanksgiving. The other two: Kent Graham: 12-28, 42.9%, 151 yds, 60.3 QB Rating, 1 sack (1992 vs Dallas) Drew Henson: 4-12, 33.3%, 31 yds, 1 INT (Pick-6), 7.6 QB Rating, 1 sack (2004 vs Bears) So Drew Henson started for Dallas and was so bad, was pulled after the Pick-6 to McQuarters that 60-yr old Vinny Testaverde came in and pulled out the win against the hapless Bears.

They literally need to fire the entire organization before the post-game press conference tomorrow if they lose to this guy. Seriously, how bad would it get if a UDFA cast off from Cleveland, as a 3rd Stringer on a short week comes into start and outplays your franchise QB and torches your top 10 defense on national TV? Oh man, we need to completely shred this team tomorrow.

His Preseason stats: 25-43, 58.1%, 271 yds, 6.3 Y/A, 72.9 QB Rating, 2 TD, 2 INT, 3 sacks Those are comparable to the likes of David Fales, Drew Lock, Josh Dobbs, and Tyree Jackson.

He was 15-29 as the Purdue QB where he led them to a bowl game against Auburn his senior year. In that game: 22-37, 59.5%, 184 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 1 Rushing TD. They lost 63-14. His rushing stats in college were funny, 264 rushes for 262 yards. Now the one thing that stands out is he had a game against Missouri where he threw for 572 yards and 3 TDs last year. So he has some potential, but who knows which QB will show up. The guy that threw for over 550 yards or the guy with a 61.0% Comp Pct, and averaged 6.8 Y/A in college with 69 TDs and 43 INT? He is also 6' and looks shorter than Drew Brees:

Oh man, if we lose tomorrow, someone has to be fired. The Lions will be starting their 3rd String QB (David Blough) on a short week:

The biggest takeaway was the receiving stats. I just thought it was interesting that not only did he have less receiving stats, but his rushing stats will also be career lows. For the receiving stats, there were several articles and interviews where the Eagles said he would be more involved in the passing game, and even Howard was interviewed and excited for his "expanded" role. It's interesting that it never happened and in some way, he has regressed from when he was with us. Don't get me wrong, I liked Howard and he was the only offense we had when we had no one, which was impressive, but in regards to the trade, I don't think it worked out too bad in the end. He will be a free agent after the year, so it will be interesting to see where he ends up next year. On another note, what about Jeffery? He also has not played since the Bears game. He is on pace for career lows outside of his rookie year for receptions and yards. He has 34 receptions and 353 yards, with 3 TDs and has missed 4 games. With the Eagles, he has never had more than 65 receptions and 843 yards (both highs last year). His best game of the season was 10 receptions for 76 yards and 1 TD. His only game with more than 7 receptions and 70 yards. That's crazy. Also, his contract makes him unmovable for the next two years: 2020 Cap hit: $15.7M, Dead Money: $26.1M (Age 30) 2021 Cap hit: $18.5M, Dead Money: $10.6M (Age 31)

It was interesting to see that Jordan Howard has not played since the Bears game several weeks ago. Also, looking at his stats, he is actually on pace for less yards per game on the ground, less targets, receptions, and receiving yards than he had with the Bears. I was actually surprised to see this. Remember, one of the big storylines for him this offseason was how he was going to be more involved in the passing game in Philly, which just hasn't happened. He will more than likely end the season with career lows in rushing attempts, yards, Y/G, targets, receptions, and receiving yards. I am assuming with this lower production that there is no way the comp pick will go from a 6th to a 5th rounder. Which makes it seem like the Bears made the right decision. Can you imagine how many negative plays he would have behind this Bears O-Line (29th)? On a side note, he only has two plays more than 20 yards, a 20 yard run and a 20 yard reception. He only has 69 receiving yards on the year and 20 came on 1 catch.

Bears now 16th in the draft order, Raiders 19th. That makes the trade our 16th for the Raiders 51st. We also have our 2nd, which is now 47th (15th in 2nd for tie-breaker rotation with 4 teams). The Raiders performance has more of an impact on our picks than the Bears so, so I would rather see the Bears win and go at least 8-8 or 9-7 (if they don't make the playoffs) and see the Raiders fall off and end no better than 8-8 (currently 5-6). That would give us two picks in the late 40s. The draft value of pick #48 is 420 pts. That would equal a later 2nd round pick #61 and a late 3rd round pick #93. I like #47 + #61 + #93 better than #47 + #48. Just because we already have a 2nd rounder, I would even consider flipping the #61 and moving back another 15 slots into the middle of the 3rd to pick up another 4th rounder. So we could pick 47th (2nd), 76th (3rd), 93rd (3rd), 108th (4th), 4th Round Comp, 5th Round. So 5 picks in the first 4 rounds, and 6 in the first 5 rounds. Not bad considering we didn't have a 1st, 3rd or 4th rounder.

Quick turn around for both teams, never fun. Bears Offense vs Lions Defense 31st rated Passing Offense vs 30th rated Passing Defense 29th rated Rushing Offense vs 24th rated Rushing Defense Lions Offense vs Bears Defense 5th rated Passing Offense (w/ Stafford) vs 9th rated Passing Defense 18th rated Rushing Offense vs 7th rated Rushing Defense One interesting advanced stat is DVOA that has the Lions at 17th (16th - O, 24th - D) and Bears at 20th (27th - O, 6th - D). That's how inefficient we have been on offense. Only Pittsburgh (28/3) and NYJ (30/5) have been as lopsided between O and D. The Lions have lost their last 4 and 7 out of their last 8. Talk about the wheels falling off. They just lost to the Redskins where Driskel threw 3 INTs and was sacked 6 times. There is no reason we shouldn't dominate this team. We just played them 18 days ago where Trubisky threw 3 TDs and had a very efficient game. The Bears won 20-13, but they were up 20-6 until a late TD made it closer than it needed to be on the 47 yard TD catch by Golladay. I can't see the Bears losing this game, and if they do, Nagy should be fired on the spot. Stafford is still out and Driskel is on the injury report, along with Flowers, Hand, Harrison, and Hockenson. The Bears are much healthier and the better team. Bears 27-13

Brad and Andrew are both 6-6 and are separated by less than 0.4 pts! That's 4 yards. They face off next week to determine who gets into the playoffs. They both can get in but would need Kam to lose and the losing team between them would need to beat him by 30 pts.

Andrew says not so fast! A huge MNF showing gives The Mad Lithuanians the win setting up for a "win and in" scenario for next week. David now needs a win against Ary to clinch 1st or for me to lose against Sully. All games have playoff implications next week. Let the fun begin.

Here is what we are up against. Besides having to win out (highly unlikely, but crazier things have happened), we still need help to make the playoffs. It's not out of the realm of possible after seeing GB stink up the joint on SNF. There is a key matchup between MIN and GB in Week 16. Then MIN plays us Week 17, which might determine who gets into the playoffs. MIN has 3 prime time games (SEA, LAC, and GB). I could see them losing all of them for how bad Cousins plays in prime time. If they do that, Week 17 could be a play in game for WC2. GB just got destroyed, and now has to travel across the country (West coast to East coast after a Sunday Night game) to play a noon game on Sunday. I could see them losing to the Giants, then beating the Redskins at home before our huge game against them in Week 15. Ultimately, we have 5 straight playoff games and two games against teams we are trying to catch. They also play each other, which will give us a chance to make up a game on one of those teams and two on the other. The other game could be made up this week. If we can beat DET, MIN loses in SEA and GB loses in NY, we are now only 2 games back (with a head to head against each and the common game where one of them will lose). That's not that far back, especially if we can cut it to two games with 4 to play. Here are the scenarios: If MIN beats GB: DIV. Bears beat DET, beat DAL, beat GB, beat KC, beat MIN, finish 10-6, 5-1 DIV, 8-4 CONF (winning out is the only option, any loss and the season is over) WC2. Vikings lose to Seattle, beat Lions, lose to Chargers, beat Packers, lose to Bears, finish 10-6, 3-3 DIV, 8-4 CONF OUT. Packers lose to NYG, beat Redskins, lose to Bears, lose to Vikings, beat Lions, finish 10-6, 4-2 DIV, 7-5 CONF If GB beats MIN: DIV. Packers lose to NYG, beat Redskins, lose to Bears, beat Vikings, beat Lions, finish 11-5, 5-1 DIV, 8-4 CONF WC2. Bears beat DET, beat DAL, beat GB, beat KC, beat MIN, finish 10-6, 5-1 DIV, 8-4 CONF (there is an outside shot to get in at 9-7, but MIN would have to lose to SEA, LAC, GB, and CHI and we would win the head-to-head tiebreaker 2-0) OUT. Vikings lose to Seattle, beat Lions, beat Chargers, lose Packers, lose to Bears, finish 10-6, 2-4 DIV, 7-5 CONF Thanksgiving is going to be huge. If we can somehow carve out a win, we are really going to put pressure on the other two teams. We then get a mini-bye before playing DAL at home. DAL also gets a mini-bye, but they have a much tougher opponent in the Bills.

GB got smoked on National TV, and Rodgers ends the game with 104 passing yards. Check out his last 3 games vs Trubisky's last 3 games: Rodgers - 60-97, 61.9%, 498 YDS, 5.1 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 10 sacks, 1 FL Trubisky - 65-107, 60.7%, 641 YDS, 6.0 Y/A, 5 TD, 3 INT, 8 sacks, 1 Rush TD I can't believe another QB has a worse Y/A than Trubisky has, that is hilarious. GB just got exposed and something is clearly wrong with Rodgers. They go to NY to play the Giants, then at home against the Redskins. If they could somehow split those games, they would then have to play us and MIN. If somehow we won and they lost to MIN, we could be tied going into Week 17, both at 9-6. Obviously we still have to win out to have a chance, but it's still possible.

Yes, A-ARON with 94 yards passing, 58% and 3.0 Y/A. What's crazy is if you look at the last 3 games for Trubisky and Rodgers, you would not know Rodgers is the otherworldly elite QB. The numbers are very close.

We are seriously two or three plays away from being 7-4, and MIN should be 7-4 after that ridiculous win against DEN, down by 20 at half, and DEN completely folded.

Had 43 yards rushing today on 6 carries. Montgomery had 22 yards on 13 carries. I can't believe we lost him for nothing because we didn't bring him up and put Trevathan on IR.

I think they all are going to get another year based on last year's production, unfortunately. However, I think they are going to clean house with some of the coaches, Special Teams (Tabor), gone, Heistand, gone. Furrey, gone, Ragone, gone. They have to clean up the positional coaches as they have the biggest impact on the individual performances of the units. Special Teams is atrocious, our WRs are undisciplined outside of Arob, and our QB has not progressed, so Ragone has to go. Then for the roster, you release or trade Floyd, you resign Kwit, with Trevathan leaving. The only way you bring Trevathan or Prince back is if they take some huge salary cuts. You try to move Burton and Massie for anything, and cut Shaheen. I would try to resign HHCD with a longer deal so the cap hit isn't big next year. He has played way more consistent than Jackson this year and would be a nice security blanket. The only good thing about Jackson's play is the Bears should be able to sign him to a much lower contract than he would've received. I would bring in Bridgewater, Tannehill, Keenum, Mariota or a younger guy like Mullens, McCarron or Cooper Rush to compete with Trubisky.

Yes, GB tonight, LAR on MNF. Hoping for those two teams to lose.

It looks like David and "Run dem Pockets" is going to lock up the 1st seed and a Week 14 bye with a win this week. Congrats! A big win by Kam and "PapaBear" against Brad and "SuperBearsSuperBowl" sets up for what becomes a play-in playoff game in Week 13 between Brad and Andrew. Travis and Adam will be vying for the 2nd seed and a Week 14 bye, while Sully and Kam look to jockey for better seeding. Pending any madness, the standings will look like the following going into the last week of the fantasy regular season: 1. Run dem pockets 9-3* (vs The Bunny - needs win to clinch 1st Seed or Domination Inc loss) 2. Domination Inc 9-3* (vs Cali Bears - needs a win or a loss with 18 more pts than Pepe for 2nd Seed, or a win and Run Dem Pockets loss for 1st seed. 3. Pepe 8-4* (vs El Dragon - needs a win and a Domination Inc loss with 18 more pts than Dom for 2nd Seed) 4. Cali Bears 7-5* (vs Domination Inc - needs a win for 4th seed, loss could drop Cali to 6th based on points for, and a win and loss by Pepe with 36 more pts could give them the 3rd seed) 5. PapaBear 6-6 (vs Nopper - needs a win to clinch a playoff berth, or loss with no less than 30 pts than the loser of SBSB/MadLith game. 6. SuperBearsSuperBowl 6-6 (vs The Mad Lithuanians - needs a win to clinch a playoff berth) 7. The Mad Lithuanians 6-6 (vs SuperBearsSuperBowl - needs a win to clinch playoff berth) * - Clinched Playoff Berth ^ - pts estimate

This week, the Bears need GB, LAR, PHI, and CAR to lose. So far, PHI (5-6) and CAR (5-6) both lost. GB plays SF tonight and LAR plays BAL tomorrow night. If they all lose, the NFC will look like this: NFCN 1. GB 8-3 (@ NYG) 2. MIN 8-3 (@ SEA) 3. CHI 5-6 (@ DET) WC2 1. MIN 8-3 (@ SEA) 2. LAR 6-5 (@ ARZ) 3. CHI 5-6 (@ DET) 4. PHI 5-6 (@ MIA) 5. CAR 5-6 (vs WAS) Our only hope is if MIN loses to SEA, LAR loses to ARZ, and the Bears beat DET next week. That would make it only a 2-game lead for MIN with 4 to play (1 game head to head).

Trubisky ends the game with 25-41, 61%, 278 yards, 6.8 Y/A, 1 TD, 2 INT, 69.0 QB Rating, 1TD Rush. The INT's were awful, but he did have more success down the field. On the 2nd INT, Nagy drew up 4 deep routes with no outlet. Nothing underneath, so Trubisky forced it deep. He still doesn't understand how to throw it out of bounds. The offense had 335 yards of total offense, but only scored 19 pts. The defense allowed another late TD drive that totaled 102 yards. The defense has to clean that up. They also dropped several INTs. Special Teams, outside of one great play by Patterson, has been awful.

You know they are. It's fine. I don't like it, but it is what it is. Wins are hard to come by in the NFL. If they win on Thursday against DET, they will be 6-6 with 4 games to play. I would say 8-8 would be a success, anything less at that point would be a failure IMO.

And the lovely soft defense returns. They have dominated this team all game and have just let the Giants march down the field easily into the Red Zone in the 4th quarter. Can we just close out one game?

The running game is just God awful. RB's are hit behind the LOS every run.