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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. Yep, and Mahomes had some terrible passes. All the INTs today were brutal. Trubisky's was on a toe tap and drag and he was ripped by the media for that throw. Look at Mahomes and Watson's interceptions, worse. The point is all QB's make good and bad throws, Trubisky has come under such scrutiny where he can't make one bad pass. The offensive struggles were not all his fault and now that is coming out. He is owed a ton of apologies and respect for fighting through that adversity.
  2. Here are the last 5 weeks of the season to give a good sample size on the 2017 QBs most recent play (which is the most relevant). This is now more than a quarter of a season of play in the part of the season where every game matters: Trubisky 117-176, 66.5%, 1223 yds, 6.95 Y/A, 11 TD, 5 INT, 2 Rush TD, 11 Sacks, 0 Fumbles lost (13 total TDs, 5 total Turnovers) Watson 105-162, 64.8%, 1194 yds, 7.37 Y/A, 8 TD, 4 INT, 2 Rush TD, 14 Sacks, 1 Fumble lost (10 total TDs, 5 total Turnovers) Mahomes 106-162, 65.4%, 1162 yds, 7.17 Y/A, 7 TD, 2 INT, 1 Rush TD, 5 Sacks, 0 Fumbles lost (8 total TDs, 2 total Turnovers) Regardless of opponents, Mahomes has 11 TD passes in his last 8 games, Trubisky has 11 in his last 5. It's hard to go this long and not see that things have changed. Trubisky may truly have turned the corner.
  3. Our winning streak (3) and the Raiders losing streak has obviously changed the draft order for 2020. We would now be giving up pick #18 for pick #49 and our 2nd round pick is currently pick #50. If the Eagles win to go to 6-7, the Raiders 2nd round pick jumps to #45 (due to the tie rotation on picks). Every Raiders loss helps us a lot since we are losing our 1st and 3rd anyway, so our 2nd is the only relevant pick based on our draft position. The Raiders 2nd rounder now looks like it will be our first pick now. They end the season with JAX, LAC, and DEN. All those teams are eliminated from playoff contention but could figure into the draft order. My assumption is the Raiders will win between 1-2 of those games and finish at best 8-8. That should give us a pick between 46-49. If we somehow find a way to make the playoffs, we would be trading them a pick in the 20's (or 30's) for a pick in the mid to late 40's. Either way, it is shaping up that we will have at least one pick in the 40's (from OAK) and our pick, which I wouldn't mind seeing it in the 50's or 60's since that would mean a playoff run occurred this year.
  4. Not much help from the listless Lions against the Vikings, and Washington is at least keeping it close into the 4th quarter down 17-9 against Green Bay. It doesn't look like we will make any ground against either of those teams. Hopefully, Seattle can beat the LA Sunday night. Rodgers numbers through 3 1/2 quarters? 13-23, 56.5%, 148 yards, 6.4 Y/A, 1 TD, 1 fumble lost and 4 sacks. Watson? 19-33, 57.6%, 216 yds, 6.5 Y/A, 1 TD, 2 sacks, and 1 nice rushing TD. MVP Jackson? 14-22, 63.6%, 134 yds, 6.1 Y/A, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack. How about Josh Allen, someone the media has had more confidence in than Trubisky even though they have similar numbers: 11-27, 40.7%, 89 yds, 3.3 Y/A, 5 sacks, 1 fumble lost. Just think if Trubisky had a game like this?
  5. Very cool, and great to see. Kudos to Mack.
  6. Thankfully nothing more than a sprain, which should give him a chance to play on the long rest.
  7. You also have to consider the screwball scheduling, back to back Thursday games? Also, the Thanksgiving one was the early morning game, which made it an incredibly short turn around. Division opponents are always tough to play.
  8. Prince was out all game, so Hicks, Trevathan and Prince were out all game, and Roquan was out after the first scoring drive (when the defense actually played better).
  9. I wouldn't even call it a terrible INT, the defender had to make a great catch, then get a toe tap and drag just inside the line to make the play. Also, early reports are Miller gave up on the route too early and faded into the end zone. When Mitch released the ball, Miller was in position to continue to run to the sideline to make the play, he peeled off and literally stopped running.
  10. Right now, the early line has the Packers favored by 7.5. I assume it will fall to 6 as the money pours in on the Bears. Based on something like DVOA, technically DAL is a tougher opponent than GB will be. For DVOA, DAL had the 2nd best offense and 20th defense, GB comes in at 7th and 22nd respectively. Also, Rodgers has been struggling of late: last 4 games passing yards: 243, 104, 233, 161 last 4 games comp%: 63.6%, 60.6%, 58.6%, 65.7% The difference for the Packers is their offense. That unit determines the outcome of the game. So it's going to be up to our defense to stop the Packers like some of the other teams have done in recent weeks. For their defense, they have held 2 opponents to less than 300 yards total offense, 299 to the Lions, and 254 to the Bears in Week 1. So with our offense clicking a little better now, we should be able to put some points up on the board. Weather is going to be a factor next weekend, which makes it a crapshoot. Right now it looks like high 20's to low 30's with winds between 5-10mph, and 1-3 inches of snow expected.
  11. Connor, that's sorted by points. If you take away kicks inside 30, which are shorter than an XP, and those longer than 50 because those have a success rate lower than other kicks, and only look at kicks between 30-49, which is where NFL kickers attempt the bulk of their kicks, Pineiro is at or near the bottom. There might be a few below him, but some of those guys are no longer on their teams. Eddie has missed 7 kicks between 30-49 yards. That puts him in Vinatieri, Maher, and Rosas territory. The team is content on giving Eddie a chance, but I would just hate to lose a game because of our kicking situation. The sad part is Nagy is avoiding kicking beyond 40 yards. So if the Bears have the ball between the opponents' 25 and 37 (normal FG range), he is electing to go for it on 4th down. If you haven't noticed, Eddie has not attempted a kick longer than 36 yards in the last 3 games. He missed an XP in the NYG game. The game before that, he missed 2x kicks in the 40's (we lost by 10). Remember, he missed 2x FGs against the Chargers, we lost by a point. After that game, Nagy went two games without attempting a FG. Here is the bottom line, it doesn't really matter how he relates to other kickers. The last kick he has made over 40 yards was a 46 yarder against the Saints. That is the only kick beyond 40 made since Week 2. Think about that for a second. He has made one kick longer than 40 yards since Week 2, we just played in Week 14.
  12. adam

    6-6 thru 12 games

    So SEA and CHI took care of business. We are in much better shape at 7-6 on a mini-bye waiting for GB. I know a lot of people are talking about how hard it is to win 6 in a row in the NFL, but looking at all the good teams in the league, that's exactly what they do. Here are all the largest win streaks by all the teams with at least 7 wins coming into today: BAL 8 (current) SF 8 NE 8 NO 6 SEA 5 (current) GB 4 MIN 4 PIT 4 KC 4 BUF 3 (current) TEN 3 (current) CHI 3 (current) LAR 3 HOU 2 (current) We can win out and only get to 6. If SEA beats LAR, they then they hit 6, making them the 5th team to reach 6 straight wins this season. I know the competition matters, but if you look at some of the other streaks, they also beat good teams (besides NE and SF who had creampuff schedules). Baltimore's streak has been the most impressive, in their 8-game streak, they have beaten (PIT, SEA, NE, HOU, LAR, and SF), wow. So ultimately, it's very possible for us to beat GB, KC, and MIN to end the season.
  13. adam

    Is Nagy Improving?

    It wouldn't have been a loss but I don't know if it was going to the house. I would rather have Patterson on the move presnap as very few people are keeping up with him from a stand still.
  14. adam

    Is Nagy Improving?

    Stinger, I believe he has. The question that comes up is why did he wait so long? Everyone could see in the first few games that his plays were not fooling anyone other than his own team. He still tries to get a gadget play in from time to time, and it still doesn't work, but at least those are few and far between now. The Wildcat formation with Patterson at QB where Leno misses the block and Patterson takes a 4 yard loss is a prime example. Just take that crap out of the playbook. Also, stop being cute when you need a yard. Put a jumbo package in there and push for 3 feet. I do think he has slowly adapted the playbook to highlight Mitch's strengths and I also think it's due to the personnel. We have had no TE production, and with Gabriel out, he had to highlight Miller more and look to get the new TE's into the action. Magically all that worked. Now if you are GB, you have no clue what to do defend against. I assume they will make Mitch beat them over the top, so our receivers will have to win someone on one matchups, which they have shown they can.
  15. Last two games: Trubisky 52-69, 75.4%, 582 yds, 291 YPG, 8.4 Y/A, 6 TD, 2 INT, Rushing: 14-67 yds, 1 Rushing TD, 3 sacks
  16. Last 5 games (4-1): Trubisky 117-176, 66.5%, 1223 yds, 244.6 YPG, 6.9 Y/A, 11 TD, 5 INT, 2 Rushing TD, 11 sacks
  17. A few more drops by the receivers, Miller with one that would've sealed the game. Roquan left with an injury early and was getting burnt on the field before the apparent injury. For how well he was playing coming in, it was really odd that he was getting burned left and right on the Cowboys first drive where they scored a TD. Interestingly the Cowboys didn't score again until the 3rd quarter with Roquan off the field. Trubisky hit a bunch of different receivers and used his legs for several first downs and a great TD run. Now teams will have to account for his running.
  18. Huge win for the Bears, Trubisky looked great and if the defender doesn't make a toe drag INT, he would've had an almost perfect game. The one negative outside of the horrendous officiating was the defense taking the 4th quarter off again. 10 late pts given up and needing to stop an onside kick to seal the game. A win is a win but we can't let teams hang around like that.
  19. He has some bad luck with the throwback uniforms. If it's a tear, he will be out for 6 months, then 3 months for rehab. If he has surgery immediately, he could be back in time for Week 1.
  20. Bears have a 2.2% chance to go undefeated and a 6.5% to go 3-1. Odds that Vikings and Rams both go 1-3 AND Bears go 3-1 = 0.2% chance. The odds are actually better for Bears to go 4-0 and MIN/LAR to go 2-2.
  21. Eddie leading the league in touchbacks? Where did you hear that? In raw TB's, he is 30th with 16 (out of 32 for 50%). O'Donnell has 10 out of 15 TBs (66%), so technically Pineiro is 2nd on our team in TB% and he is the only Kicker. I don't understand how he can kick 80+ yards on YouTube, but can't kick it 68+ yards consistently off a tee during a game? Most NFL kickers should be able to kick a ball off a tee 75 yards consistently. Pineiro does lead the league in one kicking category, Kicks Out of Bounds with 3. The problem with those? The other team gets the ball at the 40. My issue is Kicker is a problem and the team just flat out will not address it. Pineiro is the fix and that's it. Have we not seen enough? He is a nice kid, but clearly doesn't have it in him to make clutch kicks. The team has zero faith in him, passing up mid-40 yard kicks for weeks now. So the team can IR Shaheen and Burton "with injuries", which was their way to address the TE position. You see Massie and Gabriel going the same way, but you do absolutely nothing with the kicker position and it has literally cost the team at least one whole game this year. Can you imagine this team trying to win their next 4 to make the playoffs and lose any of these games with a missed kick? Pace should be fired on the spot.
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