adam

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The Bears get Dallas next at home, next Thursday. The Cowboys just got embarrassed at home by the Bills. We are a very similar comp to the Bills. Also, game time temperature is expected to be in the mid-30's at game time. Prescott has one game with temps under 40 this year: 19-33, 212 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 64.2 QB Rtg. So we should have a favorable matchup at home. You can't ask for much more than that. If we win, then we go to Lambeau after a mini-bye, coming off a THU game. There is a chance that Hicks will be back for that game. If he comes back, the Bears will have a real shot at winning that. Then it's KC at home, who is only 7-4 and has alternated wins and losses every week for the last 6. They are not as dominant as they appeared to be earlier in the season. Then we get MIN in the final game, who we already beat. The hope is we are no worse than one game down entering Week 17. If that is the case, Week 17 basically becomes a play-in game. If we are really a playoff team, these all should be wins. Every game here on out is an elimination game. Win or the season is over. It's that simple. MIN is at SEA this week, then the Lions at home, then out to LAC, which is never easy to do, then GB at home. So all we need is for SEA and GB to beat MIN to have a chance. However, if LAC somehow beats MIN, then we have a really good chance at the playoffs. In regards to the game, Fuller made a shoe-string tackle that ultimately prevented a TD. One of the plays of the game. Something that might be missed is Patterson had two long returns, a 57-yarder and a 33-yarder that gave the Bears favorable field position. Penalties have to be cleaned up, we had 10 for 89 yards. Most were avoidable, one or two were pretty ticky tack. Montgomery was 16-75, 4.7 and had some holes. They need to keep going back to the successful runs and stop the RPO handoff that gets plugged every time. They know Trubisky is not running, so they all crash in. This was by far Mitch's best game of the year. He ended with solid numbers and his INT was on a crossing route where Arob had a step on Slay, but Trubisky didn't lead Arob enough, which allowed Slay who was trailing to undercut the throw and make the INT. Slay actually bobbled it, but still caught it. We had several of our defenders drop INTs. Kwit had another solid game and had one of those near picks. I thought he had it, but they called it incomplete on the field. The officiating was horrible. They missed two roughing the passer calls against Trubisky where he was hit in the head or when the defender landed on him with his entire body weight. Both plays, not call. The refs also gave DET some favorable spots that the Bears didn't challenge. So with all that against the team, they still came out with the W. You can feel the confidence growing and I think they are peaking at the right time of the year.

OMG yeah, he was literally the worst player on both teams on the field. If you watch him, his receiver was open all game long.

Trubisky's numbers today: 29-38, 76.3%, 338 yds, 8.9 Y/A, 3 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sack ,118.1 Rating. He had 9 incompletions, with 1 as the INT, and there were a couple of drops. There were a few that were throwaways, so he had about 3-4 incomplete passes that were his fault.

Connor, just reading your posts, I was thinking the same thing the entire game. It was literally a postive play followed by a negative play, or a great play negated by a penalty. If they can somehow clean up some of these mistakes, this team will actually be pretty good. Also, Prince got completely exposed today. He is not a starting CB, and he will not be back next year. Of all the players on both sides of the ball, he is the donkey today. Worst player on the field for both teams.

Seriously, after that first 75 yard TD pass, I was like oh no. However, after the first quarter the Bears outscored the Lions 17-6, it wasn't really that close, we just never broke out with a big lead.

This was the most Jekyll and Hyde game all year. Great plays followed by bad plays. We should've won comfortably by 2 TDs. It should not have come down to the Lions inside the 25 needing a TD to win. Way to close for me. Outside of 2-3 passes, Trubisky looked much better. Arob had a brutal drop. Miller has answered the call. Get him the ball. All around great team win, offense carried the defense today. Roquan was a beast, best player on the field next to Miller today. Game balls to Miller and Smith.

Bears defense is getting absolutely shredded by Blough, embarrassing. 14-7 Lions.

Now Jackson doing the same thing. Wtf this defense looks like garbage.

Defense playing like crap, busted coverages. Fuller literally covering nothing. He ran the opposite way of the receiver.

Bears score on first drive then the defense let's up a 75 yard TD pass to Golladay on a busted coverage, wonderful.

Patterson starts game with huge return after offsetting penalties. Great start, we need to keep the foot to the pedal.

Yes, yes I do. Either we are going to completely dominate or get torched by a UDFA who has never taken a snap before in an regular season game. He is the 3rd QB ever to make his first start on Thanksgiving. The other two: Kent Graham: 12-28, 42.9%, 151 yds, 60.3 QB Rating, 1 sack (1992 vs Dallas) Drew Henson: 4-12, 33.3%, 31 yds, 1 INT (Pick-6), 7.6 QB Rating, 1 sack (2004 vs Bears) So Drew Henson started for Dallas and was so bad, was pulled after the Pick-6 to McQuarters that 60-yr old Vinny Testaverde came in and pulled out the win against the hapless Bears.

They literally need to fire the entire organization before the post-game press conference tomorrow if they lose to this guy. Seriously, how bad would it get if a UDFA cast off from Cleveland, as a 3rd Stringer on a short week comes into start and outplays your franchise QB and torches your top 10 defense on national TV? Oh man, we need to completely shred this team tomorrow.

His Preseason stats: 25-43, 58.1%, 271 yds, 6.3 Y/A, 72.9 QB Rating, 2 TD, 2 INT, 3 sacks Those are comparable to the likes of David Fales, Drew Lock, Josh Dobbs, and Tyree Jackson.

He was 15-29 as the Purdue QB where he led them to a bowl game against Auburn his senior year. In that game: 22-37, 59.5%, 184 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 1 Rushing TD. They lost 63-14. His rushing stats in college were funny, 264 rushes for 262 yards. Now the one thing that stands out is he had a game against Missouri where he threw for 572 yards and 3 TDs last year. So he has some potential, but who knows which QB will show up. The guy that threw for over 550 yards or the guy with a 61.0% Comp Pct, and averaged 6.8 Y/A in college with 69 TDs and 43 INT? He is also 6' and looks shorter than Drew Brees:

Oh man, if we lose tomorrow, someone has to be fired. The Lions will be starting their 3rd String QB (David Blough) on a short week:

The biggest takeaway was the receiving stats. I just thought it was interesting that not only did he have less receiving stats, but his rushing stats will also be career lows. For the receiving stats, there were several articles and interviews where the Eagles said he would be more involved in the passing game, and even Howard was interviewed and excited for his "expanded" role. It's interesting that it never happened and in some way, he has regressed from when he was with us. Don't get me wrong, I liked Howard and he was the only offense we had when we had no one, which was impressive, but in regards to the trade, I don't think it worked out too bad in the end. He will be a free agent after the year, so it will be interesting to see where he ends up next year. On another note, what about Jeffery? He also has not played since the Bears game. He is on pace for career lows outside of his rookie year for receptions and yards. He has 34 receptions and 353 yards, with 3 TDs and has missed 4 games. With the Eagles, he has never had more than 65 receptions and 843 yards (both highs last year). His best game of the season was 10 receptions for 76 yards and 1 TD. His only game with more than 7 receptions and 70 yards. That's crazy. Also, his contract makes him unmovable for the next two years: 2020 Cap hit: $15.7M, Dead Money: $26.1M (Age 30) 2021 Cap hit: $18.5M, Dead Money: $10.6M (Age 31)

It was interesting to see that Jordan Howard has not played since the Bears game several weeks ago. Also, looking at his stats, he is actually on pace for less yards per game on the ground, less targets, receptions, and receiving yards than he had with the Bears. I was actually surprised to see this. Remember, one of the big storylines for him this offseason was how he was going to be more involved in the passing game in Philly, which just hasn't happened. He will more than likely end the season with career lows in rushing attempts, yards, Y/G, targets, receptions, and receiving yards. I am assuming with this lower production that there is no way the comp pick will go from a 6th to a 5th rounder. Which makes it seem like the Bears made the right decision. Can you imagine how many negative plays he would have behind this Bears O-Line (29th)? On a side note, he only has two plays more than 20 yards, a 20 yard run and a 20 yard reception. He only has 69 receiving yards on the year and 20 came on 1 catch.

Bears now 16th in the draft order, Raiders 19th. That makes the trade our 16th for the Raiders 51st. We also have our 2nd, which is now 47th (15th in 2nd for tie-breaker rotation with 4 teams). The Raiders performance has more of an impact on our picks than the Bears so, so I would rather see the Bears win and go at least 8-8 or 9-7 (if they don't make the playoffs) and see the Raiders fall off and end no better than 8-8 (currently 5-6). That would give us two picks in the late 40s. The draft value of pick #48 is 420 pts. That would equal a later 2nd round pick #61 and a late 3rd round pick #93. I like #47 + #61 + #93 better than #47 + #48. Just because we already have a 2nd rounder, I would even consider flipping the #61 and moving back another 15 slots into the middle of the 3rd to pick up another 4th rounder. So we could pick 47th (2nd), 76th (3rd), 93rd (3rd), 108th (4th), 4th Round Comp, 5th Round. So 5 picks in the first 4 rounds, and 6 in the first 5 rounds. Not bad considering we didn't have a 1st, 3rd or 4th rounder.

Quick turn around for both teams, never fun. Bears Offense vs Lions Defense 31st rated Passing Offense vs 30th rated Passing Defense 29th rated Rushing Offense vs 24th rated Rushing Defense Lions Offense vs Bears Defense 5th rated Passing Offense (w/ Stafford) vs 9th rated Passing Defense 18th rated Rushing Offense vs 7th rated Rushing Defense One interesting advanced stat is DVOA that has the Lions at 17th (16th - O, 24th - D) and Bears at 20th (27th - O, 6th - D). That's how inefficient we have been on offense. Only Pittsburgh (28/3) and NYJ (30/5) have been as lopsided between O and D. The Lions have lost their last 4 and 7 out of their last 8. Talk about the wheels falling off. They just lost to the Redskins where Driskel threw 3 INTs and was sacked 6 times. There is no reason we shouldn't dominate this team. We just played them 18 days ago where Trubisky threw 3 TDs and had a very efficient game. The Bears won 20-13, but they were up 20-6 until a late TD made it closer than it needed to be on the 47 yard TD catch by Golladay. I can't see the Bears losing this game, and if they do, Nagy should be fired on the spot. Stafford is still out and Driskel is on the injury report, along with Flowers, Hand, Harrison, and Hockenson. The Bears are much healthier and the better team. Bears 27-13

Brad and Andrew are both 6-6 and are separated by less than 0.4 pts! That's 4 yards. They face off next week to determine who gets into the playoffs. They both can get in but would need Kam to lose and the losing team between them would need to beat him by 30 pts.

Andrew says not so fast! A huge MNF showing gives The Mad Lithuanians the win setting up for a "win and in" scenario for next week. David now needs a win against Ary to clinch 1st or for me to lose against Sully. All games have playoff implications next week. Let the fun begin.

Here is what we are up against. Besides having to win out (highly unlikely, but crazier things have happened), we still need help to make the playoffs. It's not out of the realm of possible after seeing GB stink up the joint on SNF. There is a key matchup between MIN and GB in Week 16. Then MIN plays us Week 17, which might determine who gets into the playoffs. MIN has 3 prime time games (SEA, LAC, and GB). I could see them losing all of them for how bad Cousins plays in prime time. If they do that, Week 17 could be a play in game for WC2. GB just got destroyed, and now has to travel across the country (West coast to East coast after a Sunday Night game) to play a noon game on Sunday. I could see them losing to the Giants, then beating the Redskins at home before our huge game against them in Week 15. Ultimately, we have 5 straight playoff games and two games against teams we are trying to catch. They also play each other, which will give us a chance to make up a game on one of those teams and two on the other. The other game could be made up this week. If we can beat DET, MIN loses in SEA and GB loses in NY, we are now only 2 games back (with a head to head against each and the common game where one of them will lose). That's not that far back, especially if we can cut it to two games with 4 to play. Here are the scenarios: If MIN beats GB: DIV. Bears beat DET, beat DAL, beat GB, beat KC, beat MIN, finish 10-6, 5-1 DIV, 8-4 CONF (winning out is the only option, any loss and the season is over) WC2. Vikings lose to Seattle, beat Lions, lose to Chargers, beat Packers, lose to Bears, finish 10-6, 3-3 DIV, 8-4 CONF OUT. Packers lose to NYG, beat Redskins, lose to Bears, lose to Vikings, beat Lions, finish 10-6, 4-2 DIV, 7-5 CONF If GB beats MIN: DIV. Packers lose to NYG, beat Redskins, lose to Bears, beat Vikings, beat Lions, finish 11-5, 5-1 DIV, 8-4 CONF WC2. Bears beat DET, beat DAL, beat GB, beat KC, beat MIN, finish 10-6, 5-1 DIV, 8-4 CONF (there is an outside shot to get in at 9-7, but MIN would have to lose to SEA, LAC, GB, and CHI and we would win the head-to-head tiebreaker 2-0) OUT. Vikings lose to Seattle, beat Lions, beat Chargers, lose Packers, lose to Bears, finish 10-6, 2-4 DIV, 7-5 CONF Thanksgiving is going to be huge. If we can somehow carve out a win, we are really going to put pressure on the other two teams. We then get a mini-bye before playing DAL at home. DAL also gets a mini-bye, but they have a much tougher opponent in the Bills.

GB got smoked on National TV, and Rodgers ends the game with 104 passing yards. Check out his last 3 games vs Trubisky's last 3 games: Rodgers - 60-97, 61.9%, 498 YDS, 5.1 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 10 sacks, 1 FL Trubisky - 65-107, 60.7%, 641 YDS, 6.0 Y/A, 5 TD, 3 INT, 8 sacks, 1 Rush TD I can't believe another QB has a worse Y/A than Trubisky has, that is hilarious. GB just got exposed and something is clearly wrong with Rodgers. They go to NY to play the Giants, then at home against the Redskins. If they could somehow split those games, they would then have to play us and MIN. If somehow we won and they lost to MIN, we could be tied going into Week 17, both at 9-6. Obviously we still have to win out to have a chance, but it's still possible.