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Everything posted by adam
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I wish Justin the best and hope he improves in Pittsburgh, but everything that plagued him in CHI is there in PIT. In his first two starts he has 273 yards passing, in Year 4. Williams has 267. I just thought that was kind of funny that we go from Fields to Williams and it is a 6 yard difference after two games.
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To give him credit, there seems to be halftime adjustments ever since Alan Williams left. It could just be a coincidence, but there has been a distinct change in the 2nd half, especially if the other team was having any sustained success on offense.
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Mongo, I was just hoping for 3-3 in the Division, even splitting with every team. Winning the division would probably require 11-12 wins, probably 1-2 wins out of reach this season. Next 3 opponents. If Waldron can't unlock the running game in the next 3 weeks, we might as well go 5 wide and pass on every down.
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That was an incredibly sloppy game for a coach that preaches discipline. Unfortunately Flus is a better DC than HC.
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The Bears really need to get right against the Colts:
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The 2nd half timeout on the Gordon INT attempt was terrible. The first one was ok if you were just doing the challenge in place of a timeout. However, in the 2nd half, in a tight game where timeouts are super valuable, you can't waste them.
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It's going to come down to the division. 3-3 should be the worst they do. Flus is still 11-25 as a HC. 9 wins is the floor for me with him. Anything less and he needs to go.
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The Bears have 4 more games before their Week 7 early season bye. 3 home games and the only road game is 3 hours away in Indy. There may not be an easier stretch of games all year. The combined record of the 4 teams is 0-8. @ IND 0-2 (Richardson is boom or bust, plays into Bears strengths on defense, weakest defense faced so far potentially missing Buckner) vs LAR 0-2 (decimated with injuries, no Kupp or Puka, -37 Pts Diff) vs CAR 0-2 (just benched Young, have been outscored by 60 pts in 2 games) vs JAX 0-2 (might be 0-5 or 1-4 by the time the Bears play them with HOU, BUF, and IND up next) The Bears really need to go into their bye 5-1, at worst 4-2.
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Week 1 - 28.3 Week 2 - 21.6 After 2 weeks, at 24.2, he is 2nd to last in the NFL, only ahead of Bryce Young. Bo Nix is at 35.7 and Daniels is at 46.8 Williams needs to step it up as QBR is a huge predictor of future success. Comparatively, Fields ended his rookie year at 31.4, Zach Wilson at 33.4, and Lawrence at 39.1. Williams PFF Grade is a 44.3, the lowest of any Bears offensive players and 2nd lowest of any player. Only Booker is lower at 42.9.
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I have no idea why he was kept on the staff, but when every Offensive Lineman that leaves improves, there is only one common denominator. I wish this was satire, but somehow guys like Lucas Patrick (who was the worst OL player in the NFL last year magically becomes the best OG in the NFL in one offseason?). Cody Whitehair, who was relegated to the bench in Chicago, is a starting caliber player in LVR. James Daniels was expendable in Chicago and has been one of the cornerstone players on the Pittsburgh O-Line since he left. Cornelius Lucas who was a castoff on the Bears roster has been starting for several years in Washington and is a top 15 OT right now. Look at the current line. Teven Jenkins has regressed. Darnell Wright is not improving. Shelton, who was a serviceable starting Center can't block a 3rd Grader, Nate Davis can't block a stationary tackling dummy, and Braxton Jones is now playing to his draft status.
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Herbert scored on the next play. However, there were 2 other plays where Odunze was not on the same sheet of music than Caleb (one was an INT) and the other was the last offensive play of the game. After seeing what Harrison Jr and Nabers did, and what Brian Thomas is doing, Odunze really needs to step up his game. Right now, he is the worst of the 1st Round WRs and it's not really that close: Nabers 15-193-1 Thomas 6-141-1 Harrison 5-134-2 Odunze 3-44-0
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Even in his record breaking season, CJ Stroud still had some issues: Stroud lost his first 2 career games (Williams started 1-1) +1 Williams Stroud sacked 11 times in first 2 games (Williams only sacked 9 times) +1 Williams Stroud had a 3 INT game (Williams' max is 2) +1 Williams Stroud lost to Bryce Young and CAR 15-13, with only 140 yards Passing (Williams can't lose to Young who got benched) +1 Williams Stroud lost to the lowly Jets 30-6, where he was 10-23, 43.5%, 91 yards Passing (Williams worst game was 93 passing yards on 48.3% in a win) +1 Williams Williams +5 after 2 games
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What kinda makes me sick is Williams signed for 1 yr/ $4M, it was not like he broke the bank. Everett signed for 2/12.
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That is the crazy part, the pressure rate was worse last night than the Cleveland game (but similar). The main difference was the QB.
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This is definitely a much better opponent for the Bears this early in the season. Indy is 0-2 and is the worst rush defense in the league by a pretty wide margin. They will also more than likely be without Buckner at DT. Richardson has connected on a few bombs but if the Bears take that away, he is prone to mistakes with 4 INTs on 53 attempts and only a 49% Comp%. If the Bears defense can stop Taylor and prevent anything to get behind them, this is a much more advantageous matchup than against HOU. I think this will be the best offensive output of the season for the Bears (so far), and the defense will play similarly than they have the last two weeks. Bears 24-13.
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Some thoughts: I chalk this one up like the Cleveland game for Fields. The O-Line and entire team never had another game THAT bad. This was a projected loss against a potential Super Bowl-level contender, on the road, in prime time. This was not a Division or Conference loss If the Bears do anything at the trading deadline, you have to believe it is going to be O-Line The next game is against the 0-2 Colts Colts Defense is allowing 237 Rushing yards per game (not a typo) Richardson is boom or bust, 3 TD, 4 INT, 49% Comp%. Taylor or Pierce or only real threats DeForest Buckner is doubtful
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On a macro level, losing by 6 to HOU with a chance to win the game on the last drive is probably a little ahead of schedule considering how bad the offense has looked. On a micro level, it all starts up front. Very hard to gauge Waldron and Williams when there is not even league average protection. From some of the numbers, Williams was pressured at one of the highest rates in the last few years.
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Also, it depends on the opponent. This week was not the week to try and have Kmet come across the line to block one of the best Edge players in the game. You are right though, everything needs to be dumbed down. The crowd noise caused a lot of issues too with timing.
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This reminds me of previous years, is it the Offensive Coordinator, the O-Line, or QB? Caleb is at least a rookie and he doesn't look like he has much time to do anything because of the O-Line, but at the same time, where are the quick slants, dump off options, hot routes?
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That is the hope. I read somewhere they said it was going to only be 3 games. I hope he continues to do enough to keep the job.
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O-Line is hot garbage, it's gonna be a long year if this doesn't get fixed. I don't know how it got worse compared to last year, but here we are. Even the Tackles are playing like crap. I don't know what type of game Waldron is calling, but he is giving Getsy a run for his money. Where are the quick slants? Hot routes over the middle to beat the blitz? They brought the blitz more than in any other game in the last few years and Waldron did nothing to counter it. The defense is playing like a top 3 unit. They have been borderline dominating. If not for the lack of calls on the Texans O-Line, the Bears defense might have kept the Texans under 10. The Bears got one call their way, while the Texans got 5-6 their way, not even at all. Pitre head to head tackle on Swift, no call, next play, INT. Flus or whoever is challenging the plays needs to be fired. They lost two timeouts on boneheaded challenges. Especially the 2nd one where it was clear that Gordon did not catch it. That timeout would've came in handy on that last drive. Caleb's INTs came on scrambles and under a lot pressure, I would be more worried about those if they were missed reads. He is still a rookie and has a lot to learn, but I still feel a lot better about him than I did Fields and Trubisky their rookie years. Go watch how much time Daniels has to throw. Rarely pressured, and if he was, nothing like Williams was under. This was expected to be a loss before the season started and the Bears lost by only 6 on the road in prime time. One or two plays were the difference. No penalty on kickoff, might have been only down 3 on this last drive. One or two calls go the other way and the Bears could've stolen one.
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Velus inactive basically equals a win. He is a multiplier for the other team. Without that negative on the field, the Texans won't be getting a free short field. Allen was expected. Hopefully a full 12+ days off will have him ready for next week.
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6.5 games left or approximately 390 snaps for a 4th round pick. I really hope they keep running Fields out there and let Wilson rest until at least Week 8 or 9. I am glad Fields is winning, but because the Steelers defense is playing so good (16 pts allowed in 2 games), no one really knows how Fields is actually playing. Does this look familiar to anyone? 23 Offensive Drives 1 TD 8 FGs 11 Punts 1 ToD 2 EoH This is Fields 2nd half today: Punt Punt FG Punt Punt Punt Punt I am happy for Fields, but the Steelers have to see this right?
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HOU defense allowed the 2nd highest Air Yards and highest Avg Depth of Target, and only had 2 hurries. So the deep passing game should have some room to operate.
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These early games have been crazy. TB beats DET in DET (DET did not look good at all, bad Goff is back) MIN beats SF (MIN now 2-0) GB beats IND with Willis at QB, ugh. WAS kicks 7 FGs to win by 3. NO crushes DAL by 25. LVR beats BAL (BAL now 0-2). LAC beats CAR 26-3, Pick #33 locked in (CAR has already been outscored by 60 pts in 2 weeks)