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Everything posted by adam
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One interesting thing to watch, Diggs has basically been absent from this offense. Once the deep passing game was taken out for Cook rushes, Diggs lost the most. He is the worst receiver from last year's top 10 thru 3 weeks with 6-101, 1 TD. For how bad our offense has been he would be tied for 4th in receptions with Burton and Davis, and would be our 3rd WR after Arob and Turbo in terms of receptions and yards. Some interesting stats, we have scored 5 TDs and allowed 4 (all passing). We have 11 sacks and have allowed 8. Our 3rd Downs have been 14/39 while we have allowed only 8 for 35. However, we have allowed 5 of 6 4th Downs, which brings the number of conversions back up. We really need to fix the 4th down conversion problem on defense. People are making an issue out of us only beating teams that are 0-3, yet when NE does it in 3 games and it's no big deal. You can't help who you play.
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Remember he got hurt on a run by that dirty hit my Smith, so hopefully he gets down and slides when he does run. From listening to all the local beat writers podcasts, a few things seem to be coming out. One is that Nagy is basically using a different game plan every game and has yet to run the same play twice. With Gabriel out, I think Miller will have a big game. If Burton is a full go, he will also be involved a lot. The Vikings Safeties will be baiting Trubisky into throwing ill-advised passes, so we will see who wins that chess match.
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He is better than Eli (which is not saying much), and will have to play some games without Barkley.
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Minnesota has not been a very good road team with Cousins. Since the start of 2018, MIN is 3-5-1 on the road with scoring 200-205. However, two of those games were blowout wins against lowly DET and NYJ teams (64-26 vs NYJ/DET). Against the rest of the league they are 1-5-1 on the road allowing almost 26 pts per game (136-179). In that same stretch we are 7-2 at home with pts of 225-150 (Our two losses were against NE 38-31 and GB 10-3 in Week 1). If you take out DET and NYJ out of our wins, to make it even, we are 5-2 (167-118), basically 24-17. Using our pts for and against vs non DET/NYJ games from last year and doing the same with MIN's, we get a Bears win of 24-17 based solely on the averages. We beat them last year at home 25-20 and 24-10 on the road. Those average out to 24.5-15, very close to the other projections oddly enough.
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Lions also play KC, which should be a loss. That would put them at 2-1-1 behind us. We then go to London to play the Raiders while GB goes to DAL. So we have a great chance to be in first going into our bye at 4-1 (GB at 3-2). Philly looked very beatable and I am a little more confident about a win there in Week 9 than I was at the start of the season. Their defense looks like a shell over what they used to be. Also, GB looks like they got exposed. Just cover Adams and run on them and you will win by 20. The problem was Philly couldn't cover Adams, but they were able to run the ball. GB also plays DET in Week 6, so one of those teams will have an additional loss that week. MIN plays at NYG, then plays Philly in Week 6. If we beat them this week, they would be no better than 4-2 coming out of Week 6 but more than likely 3-3. I am hoping for CHI 4-1, GB 4-2, MIN 3-3, DET 2-2-1 going into Week 7.
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If you saw the gapping holes Howard was running thru, you would see what I was talking about. It also could be another indictment on our O-Line playing terrible. Wentz didn't have to do much. They rushed more than they passed, and in this league, that is a lot of running. Rodgers passed for over 400 yards but had a fumble and a RZ INT to end the game (which was awesome). He should've had 2 more INTs that were dropped, but everyone will drool over his one or two great passes.
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Rodgers throws an Red Zone Interception (very similar to the Seattle one vs NE in the SB) to lose the game. He also threw a pass a few drives earlier right to a defender who dropped it. What sucks is we should've beat GB, all we had to do is run the damn ball. Philly gashed them all night with Howard and Sanders. Howard barely had to do anything, he had huge holes to run in because of how aggressive the pass rush was. That Week 1 loss is on Nagy for sure now.
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Strength vs Strength. Minnesota Running Attack vs Chicago Run Defense. If Dalvin Cook goes over 100, we lose. If we can shutdown the run game, we have a great chance at creating turnovers. This is going to be an ugly game. I think it is going to be close and come down to a turnover or big special teams play. Bears 17-13.
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So through 3 games, Trubisky now has a 32.0 QBR, which is lower than he had for his entire rookie year at 32.4. Last year he had a QBR of 71.0. To match that QBR for this season, he would have to average a QBR of 80.0 for the next 13 games. Of the 96 games this season by a QB, there have only been 18 games with a QBR of 80 or above. So the chance of Trubisky matching his QBR from last year is basically impossible unless he has some great games (90+) with no bad games for the remainder of the season (highly unlikely). He had 6 of those games last year so there is a glimmer of hope. To put into perspective, this is what Goff's QBRs look like: 2016 - 18.3 2017 - 55.7 2018 - 63.6 2019 - 38.1 Mariota 2015 - 48.4 2016 - 59.1 2017 - 58.6 2018 - 53.2 2019 - 39.2
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The Offensive Line has been the worst unit on the team, which has impacted all the skill position players on offense. Between penalties, missed assignments, or just bad blocking. They are in the bottom 10 of the league and 32nd in short-yardage situations. If you haven't noticed, players are getting blown up behind the LOS on almost every run. Montgomery is working his magic just to gain 2-3 yards. Leno hasn't been bad, but has had some penalties. Daniels has been terrible. Long has been brutal, and Lucas was probably the best one of the bunch last night, which is saying a lot. Helfrich should be getting a lot more flak for how bad they are playing. This is the same starting 5 from last season, no excuse not to be in sync. If the problem is Daniels, put him back at Guard. Forget about Trubisky, the team is only going to go as far as the O-Line takes them. It all starts up from. Just look at the Trubisky to Gabriel TD pass, Trubisky had less than 2 seconds before he had to avoid pressure. There is no way we can make any long passes because Trubisky doesn't get the time to let those plays develop. He is still missing some throws and the INT was a brutal pass, but otherwise he ended the game with 25 completions and only 6 incompletions, with 2 drops for sure. On a side note, we really have to work on our special teams. We got gashed on a long kickoff return, and our returners (mainly Patterson) are continually taking the ball out of the end zone only to be tackled inside the 25. We can't keep backing our offense up like that.
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Crazy to think Cornelius Lucas was the best Offensive Lineman on the Bears tonight. Long looks slow and Daniels seems lost. We really need to fix this O-Line.
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That is so weird, how do you get a pinched nerve in your knee? Now he can get 6 days of rest before Minnesota.
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Crazy to win 31-15 and feel dissatisfied lol. Tale of two halves. A dominating first half 28-3, then got outscored 12-3 with the Redskins missing some 2-pt conversions in the 2nd half. Lead didn't feel safe until we kicked the late FG. Positives - Defense had 4 sacks, 2 Fumbles, and 3 Interceptions. Montgomery is legit, they need to give him the ball in more space or at least attempt to block for him. Gabriel had himself a game, and that TD catch was amazing. HHCD showed up big time with 2 huge picks. Negatives - Offensive Line is still a huge problem. Is Helfrich the problem? I don't know what is going on. Penalties, missed assignments, no running holes is getting old. Trubisky looked great for about 85% of the game, but I have no clue what the hell happened on that Red Zone INT. It came after a timeout on a 2nd and 3. Why not run the ball there, where is the draw play? Come on Nagy! Our CBs are a weakness on the defense and would be exposed without a pass rush. Fuller looks like crap, Prince is a penalty machine, and Skrine can't cover anyone. They had an ugly game. I don't understand them playing 10 yards off on a 3rd and 5. We will get torched by Minnesota if we do that. Game Balls: HHCD (9 tackles, 2 INT, 1 TD), Gabriel (6-75yds, 3 TD), Montgomery (13-67yds, 3-14yds), Trevathan (7 tackles, 1 Forced Fumble, 1 PD), and Mack (2 sacks, 1 Forced Fumble).
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The entire team looks way better than last week. The only thing they need to clean up is the penalties. Probably would be 42-0 if not for the penalties that either kill a drive or keep Washington's alive. On defense, you could tell they smell blood, everyone wants a chance at a sack. On offense, looks way more efficient and that throw from Trubisky to Gabriel might be his best pass of his career, that was a dime. Still funny to hear the announcers discounting his performance. He has 3 incompletions and 2 were drops. Offensive Line still looks like a problem. I say it is time to put Whitehair back at Center. Still too many missed assignments. However, 28-3 far exceeds what expected for the game and it's only the half. Gotta get the running game going, still no holes to run in. 5 rushes from RBs.
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Massie out and the revolving door also known as Cornelius Washington in at RT, could be a long night for Mitch. They need to call some bootlegs and rollouts to the left to keep him away from Kerrigan who is probably licking his chops. Also, Sowell was waived, so that experiment is over:
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Game Day! After the NFCN tore up the league yesterday and now at 3-0, 2-0-1, and 2-1, this becomes a must-win. Trubisky has struggled in the spotlight games, so I am cautiously optimistic. Not many teams running the RPO, seems like we are going to it too much. Let's stop the trickery that is fooling no one, line up, and just beat people. If we have the better team, we should be able to do that.
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This is the game, no more excuses. Washington's defense is bad. He should be able to slice and dice them up. This is the perfect get right game if there ever was one. There is one other factor not talked about much. We have the 30th best starting field position after two weeks (LOS at the 21). Of our 22 drives, 10 have started at the 15 or less. That is terrible. We have had 3 start beyond the 25 (1x was at the 35 near the end of the half, 1x at the 43 was the first drive against GB), and from the GB 36 where we ran 4 straight times and settled for a FG). Those last two were in the first quarter of the GB game. That means we have not had a meaningful drive in the last 7 quarters start from beyond the 25 yard line. 22 Drives 10x 1-15 (2x FGs) 2x 16-24 (1x TD) ------------------- 7x 25 (1x FG) ------------------- 1x 26-40 1x 41-50 1x Drive in opponent's territory (1x FG)
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Hurt in the weight room? I wonder what he could've been doing? Hopefully a couple of days of rest will be enough. Otherwise we are going to have to clear a roster spot for another kicker.
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SAMED loosely translates to losers if you translate from Thai to Turkish to Spanish to English. Interesting. The place probably smells like cheese and has Favre dick pics on the wall. Avoid at all costs! Damn, sucks about the return flight. At least you will be coming back home to a bigly win.
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He looks legit. Seems pretty confident, and is doing it without a great supporting cast. With Foles coming back later this year, he may be an option for some teams (Bears *cough* *cough*) next season.
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I am not arguing that Mahomes is not an elite QB. However, this just shows that he is making less attempts into tight coverage than any other QB by a wide margin, but also is gaining more yards on those throws than anyone else. What this tells me is Mahomes doesn't even have to make tough throws, there is almost always someone open.