adam

But based off of this comment, the play in the 2nd quarter seems more likely:

Yeah it happened in the 2nd quarter, you can see it here:

Here is Daniels PFF Scorecard for the season, basically 3 straight games blocking at a Pro Bowl level, especially his Pass Blocking in the last two weeks, elite level against some tough competition.

I was searching for something else and found that nugget. Pretty cool and to think he really didn't play much the first few weeks.

Roquan is tied for 9th in solo tackles thru 11 games and 7 total tackles from 10th with 5 games remaining. You may have under-estimated him.

The good thing is we don't have too many top end players in each draft. Whitehair in 2020, then Floyd (5th yr)/Jackson/Cohen in 2021, then Trubisky (5th yr), Daniels, Miller in 2022.

I see the same thing. I can't tell you how many times he went down to the ground after running into to the back of an O-Lineman with minimal contact from a defender.

Oh yeah for sure, Massie is $6M cap hit this year (14th highest paid RT), so even if we gave him $1M more than this year, that would be the only difference coming out of that $25M. Callahan is $1.9, and I could see that going up to $4-5M a year. Even at $5M, that's only $3M more than this year. So we would still have $21M left after re-signing them.

Yeah, to think our oldest player is Chase Daniel at 32, McManis and Scales at 30 and a bunch of dead money comes off the books next year (Glennon $4.5M, Cooper $2M, Demps $1.3M, McPhee $1M, Houston 990K, Young 990K, etc totaling $15M. The only dead money for next year is $325K. Sims can be cut and save another $6M. That's over $20M in cap space without a single starter gone, which immediately goes to $25M with the current available cap space. We are in great shape to make a long sustained run starting now.

Outside of Special Teams, the 2018 Bears look to be equivalent or better across the board than the 2006 team based on positions. QB Grossman vs Trubisky - Not even a competition RB Jones/Benson vs Howard/Cohen - Fairly even production-wise but Cohen the X-Factor. WR Berrian/Muhammad/Davis vs Robinson/Gabriel/Miller - Fairly even top-2, but Miller takes the cake as the #3. TE/FB Clark/Gilmore/McKie vs Burton/Shaheen/Sims - Actually fairly even here with Clark and Burton with similar production. OL Tait/Brown*/Kreutz*^/Garza/Miller vs Leno/Daniels/Whitehair/Witzmann/Massie - Edge goes to 2006 team which only allowed Grossman to be sacked 21 times. DL Brown/Ogunleye/Harris*/Anderson/Johnson vs Hicks/Goldman/Bullard/Robertson-Harris/Nichols - Both have one high end guy Harris/Hicks with some very good supporting cast LB Urlacher*^/Briggs*/Hillenmeyer vs Mack/Floyd/Trevathan/Smith - Even though it's 4-3 vs 3-4, still a pretty cool talent comparison, Urlacher/Mack Briggs/Smith, current team with slight edge comparing Trevathan to Hillenmeyer. DB Tillman/Vasher/Manning/Harris/Manning/Brown vs Fuller/Amukamara/Callahan/Jackson/Amos - Both great groups, but current team might have the edge due to how good Jackson is playing and the emergence of Callahan in the slot. Defense: 2006: 9 players with at least 1 sack / 2018: 15 players with at least 1 sack (11 games) 2006: 8 players with at least 1 INT / 2018: 10 players with at least 1 INT (11 games) ST Gould*^/Maynard/Mannelly/Hester*^ vs Parkey/ODonnell/Scales/Cunningham/Cohen - Easily the 2006 team in a landslide. 2x All-Pro's and Maynard and Mannelly. *Pro Bowl / ^All-Pro DVOA: 2006: 5th (23.9%)/ Offense 29th (-5%)/ Defense 2nd (-20.1%)/ST 1st (8.7%) 2018: 4th (22.4%)/Offense 12th (5.7%)/Defense 1st (-20.9%)/ST 29th (-4.2%) Besides for having the same exact opponents as 2006, there is an outside chance we would have the same playoff opponents, SEA in Wild Card weekend and NO either in the Divisional or NFCC Game.

The link was coming in messed up so I fixed it in your post. I like the mentality, especially with all the social media and stuff.

Actually, it looks like things are looking better. Also, I don't think they make a call until Wednesday once they start practicing for the Giants game. So we still have a couple of more days of treatment. Today is the 8th day since the injury, so you would hope by Day 10 that he would be near 100%.

If we finish 4-1, we would finish 12-4. What's crazy is we already matched our last two seasons cumulative win total in 11 games (8 wins), and have a shot to match the best regular season record since 2006.

Bears 8-3 at Giants 3-8 Based on DVOA, the Bears are 12th on offense and 1st on defense. The Giants have the 18th ranked offense and 28th ranked defense. The Giants got off to an awful 1-7 start but have played much better after their bye going 2-1. They just lost to the Eagles 25-22, after winning two straight against TB and SF. 10 of their games have been decided by a TD or less. The key is going to be stopping Barkley, who makes up most of their offense. He commonly is the leading rusher and receiver on the team. Manning is prone to sacks and INT's though, and I have a feeling that a fresh Bears defense is going to dominate. The big question for us is going to be which QB starts, Mitch or Chase? I think if Mitch plays we win 31-10 and if Chase plays we win 24-10.

Jackson is literally a more athletic version of Mike Brown, and if he can improve on his tackling, he would be getting consideration for DPOY, he is playing that good. Mack thinks the same thing: Here is his PFF scorecard, which has him as the highest rated Safety. PFF is very subjective (had Amos as one of the best Safeties last year), but sometimes they get it right. His 93.2 is second only to Aaron Donald's 95.1.

I think it will depend on how he feels. If there is any pain, then there is no point to risk it.

I am getting these for his averages: 17.25 - 2017 14.73 - 2018 He had a monster carry game in 2017 against Baltimore (36) that really skewed his averages. If you don't count that game, he averaged 16 carries a game for the other 15. So he is down 1.25 for the year, and was at 15.5 per game before his season-low 7 carries. So this is more about production than it is usage.

Right now NO has played MIN and TB as common opponents. In those games, they are 1-1, and we are 2-0. I agree they are the favorites in the NFC, but with our defense, I am not counting us out. The Rams are right there too. Whoever comes out of the NFC should be the favorite to win the SB, especially after the Rams beat KC. If our offense gets better, and our defense stays where it is at, we are going to be a hard team to beat. NO, KC, and LAR have to score 30+ to win. We don't. Either way, it is exciting to be relevant again, especially at the expense of Green Bay.

It is pretty remarkable at how comparable the seasons are in terms of opponents and outcomes. I think this team overall is better than the 2006 team, the offense is better and growing, and the defense right now is playing about as good as you can play.

Holy crap was I wrong, I had us at 6-5 after this game, what a difference a few weeks make. I didn't see us beating Minnesota coming off a bye or DET on a short week, and we did both. That's pretty crazy and shows we are more than just a fluke team. Any team would be hard-pressed to win that many division games in 11 days, and 2 in 85 hours. Week 13 - Giants (win - 9-3, Giants playing better but coming off an emotional game against Philly, trap game for us after extended break and Rams looming) Week 14 - Rams (win - 10-3, Rams in Chicago without Kupp, if we can limit Gurley, I think we win) Week 15 vs GB (win - 11-3, GB still hanging on to a WC chance and we kill their playoff bid with a win at home, Bears get payback for Week 1) Week 16 at SF (win - 12-3, SF playing for draft position at this point) Week 17 at MIN (win 13-3, this one will be tough, especially considering they will be vying for a WC bid and would more than likely face us as the 6th seed (assuming CAR gets 5th vs NFC East). So this game will come down to who we want to face if we are locked in at the #3 seed. My hope is that we beat the Rams and they somehow lose another game allowing us to tie them at 13-3 and get the 2nd seed based on tie breakers. GO BEARS!

Exhibit B, Pat Mahomes. Compare Trubisky's Miami game (71%/316yds/10.2/3/1 for a grade of 56.9) which is still 6 pts worse than any Mahomes games this year. Week 5 vs JAX, he threw for 313 yds, 57.9% Comp, 8.2 YA, 0 TD, and 2 INT, yet his score was a 69.0 (12 pts higher than Trubisky's MIA game). Come on man, this is complete BS. Take a look at some of the KC games, or Mahomes highlights, at least half of his big plays, his receivers are wide open.

Why PFF is so inconsistent? Using pretty much any normal or advanced metric or grading system, and even the eye-ball test, it is clear that Mitch is playing much better this year. However, PFF has him playing worse than last year with a passing grade 17 pts lower. Come on. This is complete BS. Just look at some of the PFF grades vs the NFL QB Rating. They have the Miami game graded lower than the Minnesota game, yet in the Miami game, he had over 300 yds passing, 10.2 YPA, 3 TDs to 1 INT. This is where their grading system fails IMO. They have no idea what the play call was or if there was a mistake, if it was on the QB or receiver. On the flip side they had Adrian Amos as one of the top safeties last year, but no one on here really saw that or felt that way based on his stats or what we saw during the season.

What are the odds of that? Same opponents and thru 11 games, you have beat the same 8 teams and lost to the same 3 teams?

I didn't know this, but we have the exact same opponents as we did in 2006 (our last trip to the SB) and so far we have lost to the same exact 3 teams. Check out the similarities: -- 2006 / 2018 -- 1. DET 34-7 / 34-22 2. MIN 19-16 / 25-20 3. SEA 37-6 / 24-17 4. BUF 40-7 / 41-9 5. ARZ 24-23 / 16-14 6. NYJ 10-0 / 24-10 7. TB 34-31 / 48-10 8. DET 26-21 / 23-16 9. NYG 38-20 / 10. STL 42-27 / 11. GB 26-7 / 12. SF 41-10 / 13. MIN 23-13 / Losses 1. MIA 31-13 / 31-28 2. NE 17-13 / 38-31 3. GB 26-0 / 24-23

I am wondering if Nagy is just saving him for later in the season, reducing the number of carries now so he has them in the tank in crunch time. It would be nice to have some fresh legs in December.