adam

If I had to lump games into wins, 50/50, and losses today: Wins: 7 - 2 - CIN, 4 - DET, 5 - at LVR, 8 - SF, 13 - ARZ, 15 - MIN (MNF), 17 - NYG 50/50: 6 - 3 - at CLE, 6 - GB, 12 - at DET (THU - Thanksgiving), 11 - BAL, 16 - at SEA, 18 - at MIN Losses: 4 - 1 - at LAR (SNF), 7 - at TB, 9 - at PIT (MNF), 14 - at GB (SNF) To me, the win range is 7-13, so 10 seems about right with the team splitting the 50/50 games. The only reason I have the Thanksgiving game as a 50/50 is it's on a short week after a game against Baltimore. BAL is a 50/50 because the Bears will be coming off a bye. So those can swing both ways pretty easily. LAR is hard on the road, week one. TB, PIT, and GB on the road will be tough. Seattle and Cleveland are beatable teams, but a little harder on the road. I have at MIN in Week 18 as 50/50 because it will depend on playoff status at that point. My prediction 10-7, last wild card team (Seed #7).

The consensus is that Fields looked good, pretty much high marks on everything observable. https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears/bears-rookie-minicamp-justin-fields-passes-test-first-practice Trubisky also saw praise after his rookie minicamp, but very few reporters identified what those things were. They just said he looked the part. However, he was fumbling snaps, throwing interceptions, etc in that camp. Fields completed every pass but one which was a drop. Mitch was still trying to go from 101 to 102 after several years in the league. Fields may do it this offseason.

Mitch's look was confusion.

I think Fields has the lowest bust chance of any QB in Bears history after Sid Luckman. For every other QB, there was a higher risk of them not living up to potential. It seems like, at worst, Fields will be a dependable long-term starter, and at best, a perennial All-Pro QB. For Bears fans, that just does not compute.

That is insane.

5 Prime Time games, 4 away. Bye Week 10 (after a MNF, which is nice) Alternating away/home, no two weeks in a row at home or on the road

1 - at LAR (SNF) 2 - CIN 3 - at CLE 4 - DET 5 - at LVR 6 - GB 7 - at TB 8 - SF 9 - at PIT (MNF) 10 - BYE 11 - BAL 12 - at DET (THU - Thanksgiving) 13 - ARZ 14 - at GB (SNF) 15 - MIN (MNF) 16 - at SEA 17 - NYG 18 - at MIN

In comparison, Massie signed for $4M.

Leno signs a one year $5M deal with WFT.

I remember the Trubisky draft, everyone was excited/perplexed by the trade up from #3 to #2, assuming the Bears were drafting Watson, only to hear Trubisky's name called. There was a collective groan throughout Bears Fandom. He got booed at the Bulls game and had a deer in the headlights look all the time. Good kid, but not a starting NFL QB. Fields is literally the polar opposite. With all the crazy stuff going on with Watson, maybe this worked out about as good as it could have as the team was never taking Mahomes.

From 2011-2020, there are only 2 NFL teams that are in the top 5 in the league in the following schedule categories: 1. Games with less rest than opponents (NYG - 2nd (39), CHI - 5th (31)) 2. # of short week road games (NYG - T/1st (16), CHI - T/4th (14)) 3. # of games off road SNF or MNF (NYG - 2nd (20), CHI - T/4th (17)) Overall with all the other factors, the Bears had the 27th worst scheduling variables over the past decade and one of the biggest disparities between division opponents (27th > GB 13th, Vikings 12th, Lions 4th). Seattle (30th) to LAR (14th) was the biggest. https://www.nbcsports.com/edge/article/offseason-research/teams-most-impacted-scheduling-inequalities I always had a feeling the Bears had it bad, but this really depicts it pretty well. For how bad the team was for a good portion of the decade, you would think some of these numbers wouldn't be so high. I remember the 3 games in 11 days thing a few years ago, and I believe this analysis doesn't take into account return from international travel (which a team loses a day on two on). Thoughts?

Tragic news. Why would anyone climb over a fence at a substation, then onto transformers? You can hear the electricity in the air around those.

He has that mentality towards everything he does, he is not just a gym rat.

and he has some intense workouts, haven't seen very many QBs working out like that.

Another thing, Mack comes off the left side a lot (against RT). You really need bookend tackles, so if Jenkins locks down the right side of the line for the next 10+ years, I will still be good with the pick.

Justin Fields is 6'3" 227lbs, Pat Mahomes is 6'2", 225lbs. They carry their weight much differently lol.

It is also nice to be able to wipe the Trubisky off and move on from that. Up until the Fields pick, it was a hard pill to swallow, but if Trubisky was even a little better, they may have picked up his 5th year option and we wouldn't have picked Fields. So this ended up working out great for us. Pace hadn't used an early round pick on a OT ever, so to take one swing at it and get a 1st round graded talent at 39 is awesome. If Mustipher sticks, the team will have a good ratio of players on rookie contracts on the O-Line for a long time. Daniels is next for a contract extension. If we can solidify the other tackle spot, this line may become a top-10 unit.

Yeah, I was thinking blocking TE, but outside of that, we would have to start cutting dudes to add any more. We also have some interesting UDFAs (Snowden).

This is an awesome video and breakdown, I love the title. I have no doubt that this guy will be able to anchor the left side of the line.

There have only been 2x college QBs with back-to-back years with a QBR over 90, Fields and Mayfield. If you think of how their games translate to the NFL, it's hard to imagine someone would say Mayfield was more NFL-ready than Fields coming out. In Mayfield's rookie year, he played in 14 games, had 3725 yds, 27 TDs, 15 INTs, and 131 rushing yds, so I imagine Fields' floor is somewhere around Mayfield's rookie year with more rushing yards.

AG, Yeah, I think you are right, he is basically Lanbisky. Nothing about Love's game stands out to me. Lance at least has some high end traits, but it's funny because Fields has all of them.

A really good unbiased review from Matt Bowen: I feel like Fields is going to be as good as Herbert, who was the only rookie to throw for 4K yards and 25 TDs. Folbisky threw for 3900 yds and 26 TDs, so I think Fields can do at least that good in an offense that is technically better on paper. #1 Burrow (0/1) #5 Tua (0/1) #6 Herbert (1/1, rookie) #1 Murray (0/2) #6 Jones (0/2) #1 Mayfield (0/3) #7 Allen (1/3, 3rd year) #10 Rosen (0/3)

IIRC, he was probably a little better in coverage than Trevathan. So hopefully we will see less of him in coverage this year.