adam

Hopefully that MNF game (which was epic) quells some of the national media narrative. Mahomes had some big plays to completely wide open receivers, but with the game on the line, he completely choked and threw back to back INT's to end the game when all they needed was a FG. He also threw a Pick-6 earlier and lost a fumble that was returned for a TD. He had 5 turnovers total, tying Nate Peterman for the most turnovers in the last few years.

on that conversion.

It was from the Harrison Smith cheap shot near the end of the game. Hopefully just a precaution.

Somehow Trubisky pulled off a QBR of 85.3 on SNF, and is now 3rd in the NFL behind Brees and Mahomes. http://www.espn.com/nfl/qbr/_/type/player-week

Here we go! Another division game and a chance to go to 8-3 with a few extra days of rest after Thursday's game. Detroit is decimated with injuries and will more than likely be without Kerryon Johnson and Marvin Jones. They already traded Tate, so they will literally have two receiving threats, Golladay and Riddick. No other player has more than 12 receptions or 100 yards receiving. There leading rusher will be Blount (who I believed burned us a few years ago). Payback is a bitch. Sweeping the Lions in the season series on Thanksgiving would be sweet. I heard this is the quickest two-game span in NFL history (from the end of the Sunday night game until kickoff on Thursday morning). If so, that's crazy too.

So Oakland is currently holding the #1 pick in the 2019 draft, and at worst they will end with the #3 pick. The Bears, with their current record will draft around #25. If we project those positions to the 2020 draft, the Bears essentially swapped Mack for a 2019 1st rounder and 10 spots in the 2020 draft. That's pretty crazy. The worst scenario for Oakland in this trade was if they were bad and the Bears became a playoff team. It looks like that is exactly what is going to happen.

Bears win 25-20, damn close to projections. A lot of garbage time yards for Minnesota. Defense is legit, offense still a work in progress. They need some underneath routes.

14-0 Bears, I have been screaming on almost every play. Pounding it with Howard is working, need to keep that up. On the Trubisky INT, shouldn't have thrown it, but also a bad play call against 2 deep safeties. Basically throwing into triple coverage. The defense has been absolutely dominant. I would like to see Burton and Shaheen get more involved in the end half. We get the ball to start the half, need points on that drive, preferably a TD and make it a 3 TD game.

Bears force a 3 and out on Vikings first drive.

Sims has had two concussions this year, no need to risk a third. Great news on Shaheen.

I am really hoping for a blow out victory where we can rest some starters in the 4th quarter.

My last one, under Zimmer, the Vikes are 2-2 coming out of the bye, but 1-2 on the road after a bye. Also, they outscore their opponent 23-7 in the first quarter and get outscored 30-16 in the 4th in those 4 games. So it is going to be crucial that the Bears get an early lead and neutralize this advantage.

Some additional numbers: DVOA: Offense/Defense/Special Teams CHI 7.9/-20.1/-5.1 MIN -2.8/-8.4/-2.5 Looking at DVOA, we have a more efficient offense and an absolute dominant defense compared to Minnesota. They have a slight edge on Special Teams (shocker). Looking at Minnesota's games, they had a terrible outing against the Rams, allowing over 550 total yards and 38 points. To ensure that was not an outlier, I removed that game and their best game, and did the same for the Bears to see how the numbers compared: CHI 371 Total Yards (OFF) 29.3 pts/g 304 Total Yards (DEF) 18.3 pts/g MIN 372 Total Yards (OFF) 25.6 pts/g 305 Total Yards (DEF) 22.4 pts/g So the offenses and defenses are literally within a yard of each other. Pretty crazy, but the Bears average about 4 pts more on offense and allow 4 less on defense for an 8 pt differential. If you play our offensive average vs their defensive average, you get 26 pts for us and 22 for them. So a score of: CHI 26 MIN 22 on a neutral field. If you give us +3 for home field or (+2 for us and -1 for them), you get Bears 28-21. So we will see how this goes, I had 27-21 in my first look, so it was interesting to see the numbers come up so close.

By this time next week, we could be 8-3, Vikes 5-4-1, Packers 4-5-1, and Lions 3-8. Crazy.

Trubisky now 4th in the NFL in QBR at 75.1, only behind Brees, Mahomes, and Rivers (75.4).

So much for Trubisky not being able to throw to his left. /Narrative

We are still either -2.5 or -3.0, which means we are favored. We are not underdogs anywhere that I can see. https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/odds

3 prime time games in 4 weeks, the league must be noticing something. 2 out of 3 at Soldier Field. If KC beats LAR, we could be playing for a first round bye at that point.

If you had to rank the skill positions individually, WR would probably go Hopkins, Hill, Robinson; RB would go Hunt, Howard/Cohen, Miller; TE: Kelce, Burton. So lowest top end talent, but probably the best group as a whole. Also, consider what Trubisky had to throw to last year (Wright, Bellamy, and Inman were his leading WRs).

Alaska, I was being a little tongue in cheek with the actual rankings understanding that Trubisky clearly had more games so would have more raw stats. However, how many top 10 WR's, TE's, and RB's does these QB's throw to? Watson has Hopkins, who is a top 5 receiver, and Mahomes has Hill, Kelce, and Hunt all in the top 5 at their positions. So technically, Trubisky has the worst supporting cast for his career.

No, that would suck. Let's get a blow-out win and put the rest of the league on notice.

Playoff Odds: LAR 100% vs KC NO 99.2% vs PHI CHI 86.8% vs MIN WAS 75.0% vs HOU CAR 76.5% @DET MIN 43.9% @CHI GB 42.1% @SEA KC 100% vs LAR NE 93.9% BYE PIT 92.5% @JAX HOU 79.9% @WAS LAC 92.4% vs DEN TEN 41.9% @IND BAL 32.8% vs CIN

Career Passing Numbers for First Round QB's in the 2017 Draft (w/ analytical ranking system similar to PFF): Passing Yards 1. Trubisky - 4497 2. Watson - 4088 3. Mahomes - 3434 Rushing Yards 1. Trubisky - 568 2. Watson - 537 3. Mahomes - 168 Wins 1. Trubisky - 10 1. Mahomes - 10 3. Watson - 9 Passing TD 1. Watson - 36 2. Mahomes - 31 3. Trubisky - 26 Rushing TD 1. Trubisky - 5 2. Watson - 3 3. Mahomes - 2 Comp 1. Trubisky - 386 2. Watson - 311 3. Mahomes - 253 Att 1. Trubisky - 620 2. Watson - 489 3. Mahomes - 380 Comp% 1. Mahomes 66.6% 2. Watson - 63.6% 3. Trubisky - 62.3% Sacks 1. Mahomes - 19 2. Trubisky - 49 2. Watson - 49 INTs 1. Mahomes - 8 2. Trubisky - 14 3. Watson - 15 Ranking Pts (3 pts for 1st, 2 pts for 2nd, 1 pt for last): 1. Trubisky - 24 2. Watson - 19 2. Mahomes - 19 * Note - Over 20 is a franchise QB, under 20 is a QB with a great supporting cast of skill positions players that boost up his stats.

Yeah, I agree. What a waste of a pick. I can't believe they didn't try to move him already, they were probably waiting to see how Robinson looked coming off the injury. I think they know now.

By the way, Trubisky now is 190/290, 65.5%, 2304 yards, 19 TD, 7 INT, and a QBR of 75.2 (4th in NFL) only behind Brees, Mahomes, and Rivers. In regards to QBR, Trubisky has the 3rd best game this year (TB), and 3 total games in the top 25, with the 19th (DET), and 23rd (NYJ). Compared to other young QBs, Mahomes has one game in top 25, Watson has one game, and Mayfield has two. Brees has 3 in the top 25. Trubisky's game against TB was the 47th best QBR game since 2006 (out of 6323 games). Trubisky's 16-game projection now at: 338/516, 4096 yards, 34 TDs, 12 INTs Kramer most yards: 3838 (1995), 258 yards ahead of pace for record Kramer most TDs: 29 (1995), 5 TD's ahead of pace for record Cutler most completions: 370 (2014) Cutler most attempts: 561 (2014) For fun: Trubisky is now 19th for Passing Yards in franchise history with 4497, next up, Bobby Douglass with 4932. If Trubisky stays near his projection, he will surpass Grossman, Evans, Tomczak, Bukich, and Lujack to land in the top 10 by season's end. That's crazy. Mitch is also 19th with 10 wins (next up Zeke Bratkowski with 11) and 20th with 26 TD's (next up Douglass and Orton with 30). Rushing QBs, Trubisky now 9th all-time in team history and is 18 yards from 8th. For a single-season, Trubisky is projected to have the 2nd best rushing season for a QB behind only Bobby Douglass' 968 yards in 1972. The 2nd best season right now is Douglass with 525, and Trubisky is projected to have 568 rushing yards.