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Everything posted by adam
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We need to continue to get younger (and healthier), McPhee is gone for sure.
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Seriously, my fantasy luck the last few years. My first playoff game and Brad's team puts up the highest score in the league this year (unless his Kicker scores nothing), and has back-to-back 190+ pt games over the playoffs. Congrats.
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Keenum is playing like a top 10 QB right now and the O-Line does not allow sacks. With that defense, they have potential to go deep in the playoffs. With Wentz out, Rams and Vikings look like the top 2 teams in the conference. I would say NO, but I don't trust their defense.
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Outside of the long prayer to Jones, the Lions didn't do too much on offense. They only scored 20 and were gift wrapped a few INTs. We also sustained their drives with a constant flow of penalties on 3rd down. On defense, if Slay is not spying the QB, he doesn't get either of those INTs. One was an overthrow to the sidelines that is rarely intercepted. On the last one, it looks like it was a miscommunication between Trubisky and Brown which led to the ball going right into Slay's chest. On the Red Zone INT, Trubisky was forcing a ball into a tight window and must not have seen the LB dropping into coverage (a rookie mistake). I just don't understand what players are thinking on special teams with the penalties, especially with blocks in the back. This is also a case where we get a penalty away from the play where the holding would have no bearing on the play.
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Easiest way to define the game, abortion. It was hard to watch. It is beyond comprehension why Fox still has a job. He is the worst coach in the league. The game was riddled with penalties, mistakes, and a brutal game plan. Loggains worst OC in league and it is not even close. Trubisky took a step back today. He flashed some good throws but man those INTs were bad. The red zone one was particularly ugly. Penalty on long Cohen return, not going for it on 4th and 1, penalties, and Trubisky's INTs were the difference.
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Now in 6th, and pending 7th after TB loss tomorrow night. 1. Browns 0-14 (Doesn't matter) .521 SOS 2. Giants 2-12 (ARZ/WAS) .503 SOS 3. Colts 3-11 (BAL/HOU) .515 SOS ---------------------------------------------- 4. 49ers 4-10 (JAX/LAR) .485 SOS 5. Texans 4-10 (PIT/IND) .494 SOS 6. Bears 4-10 (CLE/MIN) .580 SOS 7. Bucs 4-9 (ATL/CAR/NO) .533 SOS ---------------------------------------------- 8. Broncos 5-9 (WAS/KC) .509 SOS 9. Bengals 5-9 (DET/BAL) .444 SOS 10. Jets 5-9 (LAC/NE) .488 SOS *Updated 12/17 Assuming a win against CLE and loss to MIN, we are looking at 5-11. That puts us no better than 7th, and no worse than 10th. We can only hope Broncos, Bengals (win one for Marv), or the Jets can win at least one more game.
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This is such a winnable game. Lions 4-5 since starting 1-3. Bears 27-20
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In terms of 3rd down conversions on passing attempts, he is 25th in NFL with 38.4% (28/73). However, 40 of those attempts were 3rd & 8 or longer. In those attempts, he completed 30/40 (75%) for 8.9 Y/A and 0 INTs. In those 40 (considered 3rd and Long), he converted 27.5% for 1st Downs (19th in NFL). For 3rd and medium (3-7yds), he is 9th (51.9%). On a side note, the Bears are 9th in drops with 18. Trubisky is 9th in INT% at 1.8%. *****[stats available here: http://hosted.stats.com/fb/index.asp]*****
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GOAT! He was one of the most exciting players to ever play the game.
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I don't know what Vegas odds have to do with anything. I would be more worried about our Division record. I was just pointing out that this year we have the toughest schedule in the last 5 (as far as I could see) and have the toughest cumulative SOS over the Fox era.
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SOS is crap though. It doesn't take anything into account like your opponent's SOS which actually drives your SOS. You can't control your SOS, but you can control head to head matchups and Winning Pct against common opponents.
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It definitely sucks, because you end up getting punished twice, once with the tough schedule, and then with the lesser pick. However, that is how they determine the "better" team. I would rather see head to head first, then common opponents second, followed by SOS last.
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I just checked this and right now the 3 teams we have left (DET/CLE/MIN) have a combined 17-22 record, and the Redskins opponents (ARZ/DEN/NYG) have a combined 12-27 record. So we will finish the season with the toughest SOS and lose every tiebreaker.
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Fuller seems to have played his way back into the discussion, but based on his interview last week. I don't know if he wants to be here, he might be butthurt about the 5th year option and is only playing like this as an audition. Cooper is gone, it was worth a shot, but he has underwhelmed most of the year. I think we need Trevathan back, and probably should keep Sitton and Young considering how many injuries we have had to the O-line and front-7.
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I think Wright and Inman are keepers as the Bears WR3 and WR4, but I still think we need to bring in a top tier free agent and draft a WR in the first 3 rounds. Let Meredith and White compete with Wright, Inman, and Bellamy for 3 spots.
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I don't know, Shaheen and Cohen's playtime has been very inconsistent the entire year. The only thing I was thinking of was the Bears were purposely neutering the offense so there was less tape on Trubisky going into next year.
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We are playing at Detroit on Saturday, then Cleveland and Minnesota. Minnesota has basically clinched the division and in the #2 seed with a bye as of this week. We lost to Detroit on a Barth missed FG, so we can win that game. We should win against Cleveland, and even have a chance to end the season on a high note against Minnesota (who only beat us on a last minute FG). So I think we have a chance to win 2, and winning 1 or 3 would not surprise me. If we lose out, we would draft around #5 or #6, win 1 and draft #8 or #9, win 2, draft #10 or #11, and win out, we could draft as low as 14. So our range is 5-14 right now.
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Why would the Bears have been concerned with Cleveland moving up to #3 when we had that pick? If they moved up, it would've been to #2, which would've cost even more draft capital, making that scenario almost impossible. Also, know Cleveland was using analytics guys, where more picks have statistically better odds, so there was no way in hell they were moving up to #2. Once they passed on Trubisky at #1, we had him at #3. Now what we will never know is if SF really wanted Trubisky, thought we would take Solomon Thomas at #2, and thought they were in the perfect position to trade down and still get Trubisky. During the live video of the War Room, they believed we were taking Thomas, and shocked when we didn't. Of course, they would never publicly say that, but that is the only scenario where the Bears made the right choice (if SF wanted Trubisky). Luckily for us it wasn't a huge amount to give up and we got some back when we moved down in the 2nd. If we make one trade down in April, that trade will be a wash.
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Bears final WR snap count: Dontrelle Inman 68 Joshua Bellamy 48 Kendall Wright 47 Markus Wheaton 6 Out of 76 plays I agree, what is the point, just release him now? After Glennon, the worst FA signing by Pace this offseason (for the money).
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I can't believe we have played the toughest schedule in the last 5 years. Not much media talking about it. That coupled with all the injuries sure would make for a challenging year without all the other stuff (bad coaching, kicking, rookie QB, no WR corps, etc). .590 going into this week, and .562 over the last 3 years (#1 in NFL over that period as well).
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Bears win with Texans and Bucs losses slide us to 8th. SoS still kills us as we lose SOS tiebreaker to every team with the hardest schedule in the NFL. I believe the only team that can surpass us is by the end of the year are the Redskins. 1. Browns 0-12 (Doesn't matter) .521 SOS 2. Giants 2-10 (PHI/ARZ/WAS) .503 SOS 3. 49ers 3-10 (TEN/JAX/LAR) .485 SOS 4. Colts 3-10 (DEN/BAL/HOU) .515 SOS 5. Texans 4-9 (JAX/PIT/IND) .494 SOS 6. Broncos 4-9 (IND/WAS/KC) .509 SOS 7. Bucs 4-9 (ATL/CAR/NO) .533 SOS 8. Bears 4-9 (DET/CLE/MIN) .580 SOS ------------------------------- 9. Bengals 5-8 (MIN/DET/BAL) .444 SOS 10. Jets 5-8 (NO/LAC/NE) .488 SOS 11. Redskins 5-8 (ARZ/DEN/NYG) .574 SOS 12. Dolphins 5-7 (NE/BUF/KC/BUF) .529 SOS *Updated 12/10/BUF) .542 SOS *Updated 12/10 I hate to say this, but I think we end up picking 10th or 11th instead of 5th or 6th. I don't know if the Bengals or Jets will win another game, and I believe we will at least win one and maybe two.
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Yeah, it was nice to see, but where has this been all year. Everyone has been calling for this type of playcalling and we wait until Week 14 to put it on the display? Trubisky has completed 79% of his passes the last two games with 7.9 yds per attempt, which is elite. Howard and Cohen returned to their normal production and Shaheen and Wright both had big days. 1-9 in the NFC, 3-0 against the AFC. Go figure.
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Of course, defense gets off field, offense looks good and scores a quick TD, then Nugent misses an XP. #Bearsin2017
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We definitely need to bring in a vet, but I don't think Sims' 11 receptions and 115 yards are going to be hard to replace. He has 2 receptions and 2 yards since November 1st and his blocking has been suspect. Some Free Agent names: Virgil Green, Tyler Eifert, Ed Dickson, Niles Paul, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Darren Fells
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Yeah, no way on Sims. He completely underperformed, his money can be spent elsewhere, and Shaheen needs the PT.