adam

Thanks, I just like to break things down from different angles to see if there are trends or other interesting perspectives.

He fits the target range of our 4th round pick, but rated as the lowest OL according to NFL.com: http://www.nfl.com/draft/2013/tracker#dt-t...sition-input:ol

Yeah obviously, 6-10? Now the Bears could very well end up 8-8, but 6-10, that is highly unlikely.

I would say going to Baltimore or Chicago would be the worst destination for him. He needs to go to a smaller market and not put any undue pressure on himself. I could just see the endless number of blowup doll "girlfriends" in his locker every week.

Me too.

I like Banks and Schwenke, I am ok with Gooden and Fragel. If Williams can play DT for a 4-3, then I would be ok there. Rodgers, eh, probably could get him as a UDFA. After going back and forth on TE, I think it is a mistake after investing so much money in Bennett. To me the top 2 areas to address are OL and LB, specifically MLB. Then CB, WR, and DT in no particular order.

I use: http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/chicago-bears/

Wow, the media is really down on the Bears for this season: ESPN, both writers have us at 8-8: http://espn.go.com/blog/chicago/bears/post...s-2013-schedule For the Tribune, they range from 6-10 to 10-6: http://www.chicagotribune.com/media/acroba...60-18200536.pdf To me I say these guys are complete idiots, one has us beating NYG and NO, then losing to STL and DET? Really.

or Fluker and Brown? Which pair would you like better?

Using NFLDraftScout's Prospect Rankings, I filtered it for only CB/DT/ILB/WR/OT/OG/C/TE/QB, then figured out who might be available at our current top 3 picks (20, 50, and 117). For the 1st round, I figured +/-10, 2nd round +/-12, and 4th round +/-20. I was assuming this is how far someone could fall and how far we might reach on a pick. Here are the groups: 20 - (+/-10) 11 - X. Rhodes, CB 12 - J. Cooper, OG 13 - T. Austin, WR 14 - C. Patterson, WR 15 - S. Lotulelei, DT 17 - S. Richardson, DT 18 - S. Williams, DT 19 - T. Eifert, TE - 20 - 22 - D. Fluker, OT 23 - D. Trufant, CB 24 - M. Watson, OT 25 - A. Ogletree, LB 26 - R. Woods, WR 27 - J. Taylor, CB 30 - E. Manuel, AB 50 - (+/-12) 38 - Z. Ertz, TE 39 - J. Hankins, DT 41 - D. Hopkins, WR 42 - J. Banks, CB 44 - A. Brown, LB 45 - J. Williams, DT 46 - K. Minter, LB 47 - K. Short, DT 48 - R. Nassib, QB 49 - T. Armstead, OT - 50 - 50 - J. Hunter, WR 52 - J. Pugh, OT 53 - D. Amerson, CB 54 - L. Warford, OG 55 - K. Long, OG 57 - T. Frederick, C 59 - T. Williams, WR 61 - D. Hayden, CB 62 - T. Wilson, QB 117 - (+/-20) 98 - B. Jones, C 101 - A. Bailey, OG 102 - L. McFadden, CB 103 - S. Bailey, WR 104 - A. Klein, LB 105 - L. Jones, QB 109 - V. Painter, OT 113 - A. Dobson, WR 114 - L. Ryan, CB - 117 - 117 - J. Reed, TE 118 - A. Spence, DT 119 - C. Harper, WR 122 - K. Holmes, C 124 - J. Bostic, LB 125 - D. Quessenberry, OT 128 - B. Webb, CB 130 - T. Simon, CB 131 - B. Williams, OT 132 - K. Stills, WR 134 - D. Thomas, OT 135 - M. Hughes, DT 137 - H. Thornton, OG To me, we really need to trade down, as #20 doesn't seem to have the same value as it would in other years.

I like the names and the positions, if this occurred, I would have no issues with it. We get Brown who can sub in at all positions and prepare to take over in the middle. Jones at #50 may be a little early for him, but he can play either Guard or Center immediately, Bailey (who I actually like better than Austin) would be a good compliment to Marshall and Jeffery. McFadden would be a good fit and play right away in Nickel and as a sub. Logan would join the DT rotation. Dysert is also who I picked, I actually like him over some of the other QBs. Lawrence and Horton would just be depth picks. Overall not bad.

It's probably true that Atlanta wouldn't do that, but the value is pretty even. The issue I have is that if we are going to trade down, I want an extra 2nd. Atlanta drafts so late in the round that there picks are not as valuable. The easier trade and more logical trade would be #20 for #30 and #60. To make it even, we might have to give up #188, but it would be worth it to get 3 picks in the top 60.

College vs last year vs this year Arms look bigger and more defined, and overall he looks like he is in better shape. Looks like he lost fat his rookie year, but now has put on some muscle.

Nah, in the second trade, I had to give up 188 to make the values work.

After his great pro day, some are saying Tank Carradine could be a top 20 pick. If so, that is good news for us as that means someone else is dropping. http://www.rotoworld.com/player/nfl/8429/tank-carradine

Wow, he looks a lot different. Also noticed Weems catching some passes.

Even staying the same weight and losing body fat is a pretty big deal. So if he had 12% of 225, that means he was carrying 27 lbs of fat on him, 219 and 8% would bring that down to 17.5. So he essentially burned 9.5 lbs of fat and packed on 3.5 lbs of muscle in 3 weeks. That is a lot.

Yeah, I didn't even think about the home advantage of a THU Night game.

I know this was mentioned before, but here is an updated article about their time in Florida: http://www.suntimes.com/sports/football/be...e-workouts.html Good to hear: Good stuff:

Here is a pretty good video of the 2002 Oakland Raiders Highlights: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HUwHig1kvAY They had a 60/40 Pass/Run Ratio. Gannon was sacked 36 times, and had 10x 300-yd passing games. They had 13-6 record including the playoffs with all their losses coming when they scored 21 pts or less and all their wins coming when they scored 24 or more. I found that sort of interesting. 1st in First Downs and Passing 1st Downs, 10th in Rushing 1st Downs 2nd in 3rd Down Conversions: 45.3% +12 Turnover Ratio (T-5th) Here are the receiving numbers broken down in terms of receptions: WR -54% RB - 31% TE - 15% #1 WR - 92-1,211-7TD #2 WR - 81-930-2TD #3 WR - 51-688-9TD #1 TE - 32-409-2TD #2 TE - 27-213-0TD #1 RB - 91-941-4TD #2 RB - 17-115-1TD To me, seeing this distribution, I don't see us drafting a TE, and unless they are not high Earl Bennett, there is not much room for another WR either. Forte, like Garner, looks poised for a huge year. Garner had the 2nd best YPC at 5.3 and over 1,900 yards from scrimmage. I would assume with the addition of M. Bennett that Marshall will have lower numbers this year, and hopefully Jeffery can have a breakout season. For Cutler I am hoping for something like 2008 with a few more TDs and a couple less INTs.

Good catch, then there real pick at 89. 27 (1) - 50 (2) - 89 (3) - 113 (4) - 117 (4) - 153 (5) - 188 (6) -

Moving down from 20 to 22 is equivalent to the #112 pick (mid 4th rounder) and STL has pick #113, so I assume it is that pick. Houston moving up from 27 to 22 would be worth pick #100 (early 4th) and HOU has pick #95 (Comp 3rd), so that would make sense too. So we would end up with: 27 (1) - 50 (2) - 95 (3) - 113 (4) - 117 (4) - 153 (5) - 188 (6) - That would not be too bad for only 7 slots. I would love to flip it again and move into the early 2nd and then group some of these picks up and move back into the 3rd. 4 picks in the first 100 picks would be awesome.

I agree except for 3 games, I think we beat the Saints at home, they were 3-5 on the road and we have some insider info on them from Kromer and Bushrod. We will beat Philly, they are terrible, and I can't see us beating the Packers unless they are resting players for the playoffs. I actually think we will have a better chance Week 9 vs GB than Week 17. We will be coming off a Bye and it will be a Monday Night game, so we have more than enough time to get healthy and to prepare. Week 1: Bengals - WIN (1-0) Week 2: Vikings - WIN (2-0) Week 3: at Steelers - LOSS (2-1)* Week 4: at Lions - WIN (3-1) Week 5: Saints - WIN (4-1)* Week 6: Giants - LOSS (4-2)* Week 7: at Redskins - WIN (5-2)* Week 8: BYE Week 9: at Packers - LOSS (5-3)* Week 10: Lions - WIN (6-3) Week 11: Ravens - LOSS (6-4)* Week 12: at Rams - WIN (7-4) Week 13: at Vikings - WIN (8-4)* Week 14: Cowboys - WIN (9-4)* Week 15: at Browns - WIN (10-4) Week 16: at Eagles - WIN (11-4) Week 17: Packers - LOSS (11-5)* I almost see 7 very likely wins with the other 9 games (*) being ones that could go either way. To me I have us going 4-5 in those games and ending up 11-5, but we could easily go 5-4 to 6-3 in those games and finish with 12 or 13 wins.

Either does speed, combine scores, school size, or collegiate performance. My only concern with Austin is his size, everyone is getting bigger and faster, and he wasn't even the leading receiver on his team. Bailey had twice as many TD's and 400 more yards. How much of Austin's production was due to the system?

Gore is dyslexic so his score validates his condition. AJ Green also had a learning disability. A bunch of players score low when they have a learning disability, but the ones that don't and score low has to draw some concern.