There are 4 teams this year with a losing record that ended last year with a winning record:
TEN 13-3, 5-7
CAR 12-4, 5-7
TB 9-7, 1-11
CHI 9-7, 5-7
There are only 3 teams with a winning record that had a losing record last year.
CIN 4-11-1, 9-3
JAX 5-11, 7-5
GB 6-10, 7-4
There are also 8 teams that currently have a losing record and finished last year with one (STL, SEA, SF, DET, KC, OAK, CLE, and BUF).
So if we end this year with a losing record, the odds are against us to rebound next year.