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adam

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  1. adam

    Race to 1K

    I am still really disappointed in the WR Room. The WR coach should be fired. How do you misuse Moore, over target Allen, and do nothing to develop Odunze? Out of all the position groups, this one dropped the most. I would say LBs, mainly Edmunds has been a disappointment. The secondary, which was supposed to be a strength all of a sudden turned to crap without Brisker. Stevenson also on the most disappointed list. I also think the TE room failed. They don't really have a TE2, Everett was a overpaid waste. It seems like every time Everett or Lewis come in the game, they are good for at least one presnap penalty. According to the official stats, Lewis (201 snaps) has a team leading 3 False Starts to go with Wright and Pryor.
  2. Yeah, crazy draft. One of the best all-time for any team. Considering how scouting was back then, it makes it even more impressive. I am curious what people think of CJ Stroud, he was the golden boy last year, little brothered Caleb this year and now looks like a bottom 3rd QB. He now has 19 TD with 12 INT and 52 Sacks on the season, and that is with Mixon at RB, had Dell back for a good chunk of the season and had Diggs for the first half. He doesn't look like the same QB.
  3. These are not all of them, but the Bears stacked their OLine and DLines for the 85 Team, using 5 1st rounders in the trenches, with the others being McMahon, Gault, Marshall, and Wilson. So 5 out of 9 in the trenches, all others were starters at their positions. 1979 #4 - Dan Hampton - DE 1981 #11 - Keith Van Horne - OT 1981 UDFA - Jay Hilgenberg - C 1983 #6 - Jimbo Covert - OT 1983 #91 - Tom Thayer - OG 1983 #203 - Richard Dent - DE 1983 #219 - Mark Bortz - OG 1985 #22 - William Perry - DT The Bears hit on every 1st round pick from 79 to 87 (Harbaugh), then the wheels fell off after that (Muster, Wendell Davis, Woolford, Armstrong, Carrier, Stan Thomas, and Spellman.
  4. The great thing is they can do no worse than #10 right now as the Saints are the only 5-win team. They would have to win the last two to drop out of the top 10.
  5. I really hope they can score on more than 2 drives at home on a short week against Seattle.
  6. I hope everyone has a safe and Merry Christmas and holidays! 🎄🎅🍺
  7. I would rather go for the Home Run and fail than settle for the single and fail. Johnson or Brady for me is Tier 1. Vrabel would be Tier 2. I would not be happy, but he would be an upgrade over Flus, Fox, and Trestman. If he got the right OC, the team could be solid. However, this HC has to be about Caleb.
  8. One thing I heard from all the player interviews is that most of the young guys only know losing. The Bears really need to bring in a few FAs from perennial winning organizations.
  9. 4 OL, Edge, CB2, S2, and a rotational DT. That is 8 starters at a minimum. So they need to get a min of 4 in FA.
  10. Of the two other 4-win teams, CAR is at TB and NYJ is at BUF. I don't see either of the lesser teams winning. So our only hope is some 3-win teams move up. TEN is @JAX, so one of those teams will move to 4 wins. LVR is @NO, who looked terrible against GB. So LVR could move to 4 wins. That sets up for some interesting games in Week 18: MIA @ NYJ - (MIA is terrible in the cold), NYJ could move to 5 wins JAX @ IND - if JAX beats TEN in Week 17, this could get them to 5 wins CAR @ ATL - this is the last realistic game where a team could move to 5 wins Other games: LAC @ LVR - Is LAC resting starters for WC Weekend? TEN @ HOU - Is HOU resting starters for WC Weekend? So the absolute best the Bears could do is 6th, if JAX beats TEN and IND, NYJ beats MIA, and CAR beats ATL. The issue is based on odds, only NYJ is favored to win. That would give the Bears 8th if they don't win again. If they win one more, it looks like 10th is locked in unless NO wins again (they play LVR and TB), so a win is likely against LVR. So figure 8, 9 or 10. For CAR, at this point we would rather have the better first-round pick than 2nd. One slot is huge in the first round. So we actually want CAR to win one more. That scenario would give the Bears #8, 40, and 42. or 9, 41 and 42. 9 to 8 is worth a late 3rd round pick.
  11. I always find this interesting, how the media can portray the same production. All 3 of these QBs have played 15 games. Herbert gets praised all the time, and no one ever talks bad about Kyler, yet Caleb is crapped on constantly. Kyler Murray 3,288 yds, 16 TD, 9 INT, 518 Rush Yds, 5 TD Caleb Williams 3,271 yds, 19 TD, 5 INT, 442 Rush Yds, 0 TD Justin Herbert 3,243 yds, 18 TD, 3 INT, 252 Rush Yds, 2 TD The biggest issue with Caleb is sacks.
  12. adam

    Race to 1K

    Thru 15 games: 1. Moore - 826, proj: 936 (87/g to hit 1K) 2. Odunze - 701, proj: 794 (149.5/g to hit 1K) 3. Allen - 694, proj: 786 (153/g to hit 1K) 4. Scott - 0, proj: 0 (500/g to hit 1K)
  13. Some of this is dependent on who they resign. I am going with them resigning Jenkins for one of the OG positions. With Braxton's injury, the OLine is going to need a new LT, new OC, and a new OG. They need a real TE2, with Allen probably leaving, they will need a new WR3, and they will need a new rotational RB. Depthwise, they will need another OT, OG, and OC. That is 9 spots on the offense at a minimum. On defense, they need a real Edge2, another DT, a CB2, and another S. Depth wise, they need another DT, Edge, CB, LB, and S. So for the 53-man, that's also 9. So I see about 18 spots, at a minimum that need to be filled in FA and the draft. Obviously 4-5 of those are going to be vet min deals. The draft will need to fill 4-5 of those, so 6-7 need to be filled in FA with legit contracts.
  14. Yep that accounted for more than 2x INTs by other QBs, it makes no sense. On the flip side, PFF graded him at 83.0, his 3rd best game of the season.
  15. I know it is still early, but this looks worse now than it did a month ago lol. 10x games vs teams that currently have 10+ wins (not just winning teams, elite teams) 2x games against 7-8 teams (CIN and DAL) 1x SFO (not a true last place team) 4x games vs bad teams (CAR, CLE, LVR, and NYG, but CAR is improving) SFO was ravaged with injuries, so they are not a true last place team. DAL has been without Dak for much of the season, so they will be better than a 7-8 team. CIN should also be better. So the Bears, a current 4-win team needs to improve in the offseason to the point where they can compete with the likes of DET, MIN, GB, PHI, WAS, PIT, and BAL if they even want a shot at a winning record next season. If you give them every game against a 7-8 team and lower, that's only 7 games. I know teams change from year to year, but teams like BAL, PIT, PHI, DET, and GB all had winning records pretty much every year. That leaves MIN and WAS. The Bears need to open the wallet and bring in impact FAs and nail the draft. Otherwise, I don't see how this is not a 5 to 6 win team next year.
  16. From the Twitter Doctors, it looks like a season ending injury and potentially something that will impact next season. So the Bears will need a new LT on opening day next season. Just another need for a team with a ton of needs. Poles needs to go.
  17. Braxton Jones broke his leg, going to be out 8-10 months. They will need a new LT now too. So 3-4 OLinemen depending on Jenkins and DT, Edge, CB, and probably S. It won't all be addressed in the draft, but they really need to find 4-5 starters in the draft.
  18. Yeah, it is pretty crazy for a 4 win team to only get the 9th pick. I am going to have to look, but that is one of the worst picks ever for a 4 win team. The only hope is for NYJ or CAR to win one more. NYJ plays MIA in Week 18. CAR plays @TB in Week 17 and @ATL in Week 18. They just beat ARZ, so a win against either of them is at least possible. I don't see the Bears winning another game.
  19. I have no idea how QBR is giving Caleb a 39.7 for this game? 334 Passing Yards, 65.0% Comp, 8.4 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Sacks, 6 carries, 34 Rushing Yards. Like how is that possible? It has to be a typo right? His 2nd highest passing yards, 7th highest Comp%, 2nd highest Y/A, T-2nd TD Passes, T-1st INT, T-6th Rushing Yards, T-2nd Sacks, and 4th highest QB Rating. Yet that equates to a 39.7? Stroud had 244 passing yards, 59% Comp, 6.3 Y/A, 2 TD, 2 INT, 2 Sacks, and 23 Rushing Yards. Every single stat worse than Caleb yet he ended up with a 64.3 QBR?
  20. Caleb also has 442 rushing yards. So he has 3,713 total yards for 247.5 yards per game with 2 games left. So he is on pace for 4,208 total yards.
  21. Bears Franchise Record (Passing Yards) 1. Erik Kramer, 1995: 3838 2. Jay Cutler, 2014: 3812 3. Jay Cutler, 2009: 3666 4. Jay Cutler, 2015: 3659 5. Jay Cutler, 2010: 3274 6. Caleb Williams, 2024: 3271 (2 games remaining)
  22. Another one: Williams has 326 passing attempts without an INT, now over 100 attempts more than the previous rookie record. The NFL record is next, 402 attempts by Rodgers in 2018. Williams needs 76 attempts, which would be 38 per game for the last two games, or he can extend it into next season. He has 5 games where he had more than 38 attempts, and a 6th game where he had 37.
  23. Here is where the generational talent comes in: 300 Yard Passing Games (Rookies) Caleb Williams - 15 starts, 4x 300-yd games All other rookie QBs - 45 starts, 2x 300-yd games (Daniels 1, Nix-1, Maye-0, Rattler-0, Penix-0) So he has twice as many 300-yd passing games than all other rookies combined in a 1/3 of the starts.
  24. The Lions have 8 starters on IR or were out against the Bears. The Bears had 4.
  25. The Bears last national embarrassment game of the season. Short week, the only advantage is Seattle is playing right now in Seattle against Minnesota. So they are going to have a short week and have to travel. With Seattle expected to lose to Minnesota and already down by 10, they have to win out to even have a chance to make the playoffs. So for them, it is a must win. The Bears have only pride to play for, and based on recent weeks, I don't know if that is enough. I am going with Seattle 27 - Bears 23. I revised my prediction score. I think both teams score 3 TDs, but SEA also gets 2x FGs.
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