Draft Order Tracker

[adam]

SoS will be computed after this week, so these are using last week's SoS, so we may pass Dallas for 8th after the games are computed:

 

1. DET 1-7 (7)

2. TEN 1-6 (30)

3. CLE 2-6 (14)

4. SD 2-6 (12)

5. BAL 2-6 (4)

6. SF 2-6 (1)

7. JAX 2-5 (19)

8. DAL 2-5 (6)

9. CHI 2-5 (5)

10. HOU 3-5 (23)

11. KC 3-5 (2)

 

We play 3 teams on this list (SD, SF, and DET), 2 bad teams (TB, WAS), 2 great teams (GB, DEN), and 2 good, but beatable teams (MIN, STL). What is crazy is we could still technically win 7 of those 9 games and no one would question those wins, and we could also only win 3 of them and no one would question the losses. Such an odd season.

 

Crazy how 2 losses makes a 4 game swing (going from 4-3 to 2-5, 1 game over .500 to 3 games under)

[jason]

SD - Phillips is going to torch the Bears' secondary

SF - This could be a win

DET - Should be a win

TB - Revenge game for Lovie, and they've been decent lately

WAS - Should be a win

GB - Loss

DEN - Loss

MIN - Bears did just about everything right this game, and still lost. Another loss.

STL - Gurley might have 250yds rushing

 

After the WAS game the Bears could conceivably be 6-6, but I just don't see them reeling off 4 straight wins. So one of those games, probably DET or TB, is a loss. 5-7. Then 4 straight losses to end the season. 5-11.

[Bears4Ever_34]

Still on track for a 5-11 season and a top 8 pick. Sucks that we're going to waste another good season from Cutler but that's what you're looking at. Stats be damned, he's never looked better in a Bears uniform. Gase has him playing quality football.

[killakrzydav]

I don't think the Bears can possibly be 6-and 7 after the Washington game. Our next win is likely SF. I was just looking at the schedule and was thinking if not for 2 late fourth quarter Cutler heroics, we'd be 0 and 7. That sounds scary.

 

[scs787]

I don't think the Bears can possibly be 6-and 7 after the Washington game. Our next win is likely SF. I was just looking at the schedule and was thinking if not for 2 late fourth quarter Cutler heroics, we'd be 0 and 7. That sounds scary.

 

Still though, the Lions are the only team they should have beat but didn't. The schedule this year hasn't been kind at all.

 

They've lost 3 games by a combined 13 points.

 

So you could look at glass half empty and think we could be 0-7, or you could look at as we were 14 points spread over 3 games away from being 5-2 against a really good schedule.

 

Maybe it's because I've been at a bar for every game, but I think this team with a good offseason could be a good team next year.

[adam]

SD - Phillips is going to torch the Bears' secondary

SF - This could be a win

DET - Should be a win

TB - Revenge game for Lovie, and they've been decent lately

WAS - Should be a win

GB - Loss

DEN - Loss

MIN - Bears did just about everything right this game, and still lost. Another loss.

STL - Gurley might have 250yds rushing

 

After the WAS game the Bears could conceivably be 6-6, but I just don't see them reeling off 4 straight wins. So one of those games, probably DET or TB, is a loss. 5-7. Then 4 straight losses to end the season. 5-11.

Well we beat Rivers and SD and the defense played pretty good. I think you have the game order messed up. The next 3 are STL, DEN, then GB. We finish with SF, WAS, MIN, TB, DET. That final 5 can't get much easier.

 

1. DET 1-7 (7)

2. CLE 2-7 (11)

3. SD 2-7 (9)

4. TEN 2-6 (32)

5. JAX 2-6 (18)

6. BAL 2-6 (4)

7. DAL 2-6 (3)

8. SF 3-6 (1)

9. HOU 3-5 (28)

10. TB 3-5 (27)

11. MIA 3-5 (25)

12. WAS 3-5 (20)

13. CHI 3-5 (6)

14. KC 3-5 (5)

[ASHKUM BEAR]

Well we beat Rivers and SD and the defense played pretty good. I think you have the game order messed up. The next 3 are STL, DEN, then GB. We finish with SF, WAS, MIN, TB, DET. That final 5 can't get much easier. 1. DET 1-7 (7) 2. CLE 2-7 (11) 3. SD 2-7 (9) 4. TEN 2-6 (32) 5. JAX 2-6 (18) 6. BAL 2-6 (4) 7. DAL 2-6 (3) 8. SF 3-6 (1) 9. HOU 3-5 (28) 10. TB 3-5 (27) 11. MIA 3-5 (25) 12. WAS 3-5 (20) 13. CHI 3-5 (6) 14. KC 3-5 (5)

 

3 and 5 and picking near the middle...so far...ugh. That tastes like a 10-6 or 9-7 season and barely missing the playoffs and picking 15th.

 

 

[adam]

3 and 5 and picking near the middle...so far...ugh. That tastes like a 10-6 or 9-7 season and barely missing the playoffs and picking 15th.

Once you are out of the top 6-8 picks, it seems like 9-20 are all the same anyway. With our last 5 games all being winnable games, I figure will settle in around 7-9 or 8-8 with a mid teens pick.

[adam]

After Week 10, we are now drafting 16th, but one win or loss could shift us to 9th or 19th. We are now closer to making the playoffs than picking in the top 8.

 

1. CLE: 2-8 (.514 SOS)

2. TEN 2-7 (.507 SOS)

3. BAL 2-7 (.507 SOS)

4. SD: 2-7 (.510 SOS)

5. DAL 2-7 (.558 SOS)

6. DET: 2-7 (.531 SOS)

7. JAX 3-6 (.483 SOS)

8. SF 3-6 (.534 SOS)

9. NO 4-6 (.517 SOS)

10. MIA 4-5 (.483 SOS)

11. OAK 4-5 (.483 SOS)

12. SEA 4-5 (.490 SOS)

13. KC 4-5 (.497 SOS)

14. STL 4-5 (.503 SOS)

15. TB 4-5 (.503 SOS)

16. CHI 4-5 (.507 SOS)

17. WAS 4-5 (.517 SOS)

18. PHI 4-5 (.524 SOS)

19. HOU 4-5 (.527 SOS)

 

[adam]

Looks like we are now in the 12th slot (but I will have to check the updated SOS once this week is complete). We are now 1 game from the 4th pick.

 

1. TEN 2-8 (.507 SOS)

2. SD: 2-8 (.510 SOS)

3. CLE: 2-8 (.514 SOS)

---------------------------

4. BAL 3-7 (.507 SOS)

5. DET: 3-7 (.531 SOS)

6. SF 3-7 (.534 SOS)

7. DAL 3-7 (.558 SOS)

---------------------------

8. JAX 4-6 (.483 SOS)

9. MIA 4-6 (.483 SOS)

10. OAK 4-6 (.483 SOS)

11. STL 4-6 (.503 SOS)

12. CHI 4-6 (.507 SOS)

13. NO 4-6 (.517 SOS)

14. WAS 4-6 (.517 SOS)

15. PHI 4-6 (.524 SOS)

----------------------------

16. NYJ 5-5 (.479 SOS)

17. SEA 5-5 (.490 SOS)

18. KC 5-5 (.497 SOS)

19. TB 5-5 (.503 SOS)

20. HOU 5-5 (.527 SOS)

[CrackerDog]

We are now 1 game from the 4th pick.

 

Does the SOS calc you're using take into account future games or just games to date? If it take into account future games and all else is equal, if we lose to Green Bay, I'm all for playing the rest of the season like it's next year's extended preseason. I didn't think we were this close to a top pick given all the absolutely shitty teams in the NFL this season.

[adam]

Does the SOS calc you're using take into account future games or just games to date? If it take into account future games and all else is equal, if we lose to Green Bay, I'm all for playing the rest of the season like it's next year's extended preseason. I didn't think we were this close to a top pick given all the absolutely shitty teams in the NFL this season.

It was current SOS and record, and we do play an easier schedule going forward, so if anything, we would be lower, not higher in the draft order.

[adam]

After Thanksgiving Day games:

 

W L SOS

1 SD 2 8 0.490

2 TEN 2 8 0.500

3 CLE 2 8 0.500

4 DAL 3 8 0.520

--------------------------------

5 BAL 3 7 0.490

6 SF 3 7 0.560

7 PHI 4 7 0.490

8 DET 4 7 0.570

--------------------------------

9 MIA 4 6 0.470

10 OAK 4 6 0.480

11 STL 4 6 0.490

12 NO 4 6 0.520

13 JAX 4 6 0.540

14 WAS 4 6 0.570

15 CHI 5 6 0.530

--------------------------------

16 NYJ 5 5 0.470

17 TB 5 5 0.470

18 SEA 5 5 0.530

19 HOU 5 5 0.540

20 KC 5 5 0.580

[ASHKUM BEAR]

After Thanksgiving Day games:

 

W L SOS

1 SD 2 8 0.490

2 TEN 2 8 0.500

3 CLE 2 8 0.500

4 DAL 3 8 0.520

--------------------------------

5 BAL 3 7 0.490

6 SF 3 7 0.560

7 PHI 4 7 0.490

8 DET 4 7 0.570

--------------------------------

9 MIA 4 6 0.470

10 OAK 4 6 0.480

11 STL 4 6 0.490

12 NO 4 6 0.520

13 JAX 4 6 0.540

14 WAS 4 6 0.570

15 CHI 5 6 0.530

--------------------------------

16 NYJ 5 5 0.470

17 TB 5 5 0.470

18 SEA 5 5 0.530

19 HOU 5 5 0.540

20 KC 5 5 0.580

This team has teased us with the slot. From the beginning many mock sites had us with the #1 pick. The 0-3 start made it believable. Now it is getting realistic that we will be in 20's or later. As this team improves, the big needs get smaller as players improve. On D, finding a 5T DT that can hold the edge and move the line would be nice. The D line is thin and I think they will continue to draft DT's until we get it right DeForest Buckner? OLB with a little more speed would be a luxury, would love to see Myles Jack picked. ILB is also a concern, which for a Fangio D, I expected to see better play. Offensively, we always need O Line, RG or LT.

[adam]

After a loss, I was hoping we would at least gain some draft position, but nope, we are still locked in at #15 with the toughest SoS out of the teams not in the playoff hunt (only KC is even close). So essentially that locks us in at the bottom of teams with the same record.

 

W L SOS

1 CLE 2 10 0.527

2 TEN 3 9 0.505

3 SD 3 9 0.519

4 DAL 3 8 0.530

--------------------------------

5 JAX 4 8 0.495

6 BAL 4 8 0.490

7 SF 4 8 0.524

8 STL 4 8 0.526

9 DET 4 8 0.527

10 NO 4 8 0.528

--------------------------------

11 NYG 5 7 0.438

12 MIA 5 7 0.470

13 OAK 5 7 0.479

14 PHI 5 7 0.514

15 CHI 5 7 0.562

--------------------------------

16 ATL 6 6 0.421

17 TB 6 6 0.470

18 HOU 6 6 0.540

19 BUF 6 6 0.545

[jason]

Redskins - Seems like this should be a gimme win, but that was before seeing the SF game. Probably still a win.

Vikings - They've been playing better, but who the hell knows? Probably a loss.

Bucs - They'll probably have trouble with Winston for some reason. Loss.

Lions - Somehow this team always gives the Bears fits. Loss.

 

6-10, which puts us somewhere around the top ten. Smells like Robert Nkemdiche territory.

[Bears4Ever_34]

They'll probably win 2 out of 4 and finish 7-9. Don't see them beating Washington next week. This week's loss was devastating enough to be worth two losses; plus, Washington is fighting to win the division, so they'll be motivated.

 

Minnesota could be in free fall by the time we play them after losing to Seattle and Arizona. This will be the Kevin White game. I think he will play and give the Bears a boost.

 

Tampa won't roll over on us because Lovie will want to win real bad, regardless of whether or not they are still in a playoff hunt.

 

Lastly, Detroit. They'll be tanking by this time. Fox will want to go out on a good note. The team will be motivated to win their last game, and they probably will.

[lemonej]

After a loss, I was hoping we would at least gain some draft position, but nope, we are still locked in at #15 with the toughest SoS out of the teams not in the playoff hunt (only KC is even close). So essentially that locks us in at the bottom of teams with the same record.

 

W L SOS

1 CLE 2 10 0.527

2 TEN 3 9 0.505

3 SD 3 9 0.519

4 DAL 3 8 0.530

--------------------------------

5 JAX 4 8 0.495

6 BAL 4 8 0.490

7 SF 4 8 0.524

8 STL 4 8 0.526

9 DET 4 8 0.527

10 NO 4 8 0.528

--------------------------------

11 NYG 5 7 0.438

12 MIA 5 7 0.470

13 OAK 5 7 0.479

14 PHI 5 7 0.514

15 CHI 5 7 0.562

--------------------------------

16 ATL 6 6 0.421

17 TB 6 6 0.470

18 HOU 6 6 0.540

19 BUF 6 6 0.545

 

I don't see Washington on here aren't they 5-7 also?

[Bears4Ever_34]

So what's the status now? Seems like the Bears caught a break this week with teams below them getting wins.

 

We will at least fall back two spots thanks to the Eagles winning to get them to 6 wins. One of MIA or NY will be moving ahead of the Bears as well after MNF unless there is a tie.

 

NO, STL, JAX are the 4 win teams getting to 5 after this week. OAK is the other 5 win team that could leap ahead of us, but they are currently losing to DEN.

 

Edit: OAK wins! That makes 3 teams the Bears will fall under after this week.

[adam]

We are currently in 10th, but will be bumped to 11th after tonight's game (based on SoS). Due to our SoS, we are 1 win from drafting 19th and 1 loss from drafting 6th.

 

After Week 14

 

1. Tennessee Titans: 3-10 (.498 strength of schedule)

2. San Diego Chargers: 3-10 (.527 SOS)

3. Cleveland Browns: 3-10 (.529 SOS)

-------------------------------------------------------

4. Dallas Cowboys: 4-9 (.517 SOS - 3-8 in conference) (NYJ/BUF/WAS)

5. Baltimore Ravens: 4-9 (.517 SOS - 3-6 in conference) (KC/PIT/CIN)

6. Detroit Lions: 4-9 (.529 SOS) (NO/SF/CHI)

7. San Francisco 49ers: 4-9 (.531 SOS) (CIN/DET/STL)

-------------------------------------------------------

8. Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-8 (.469 SOS) (ATL/NO/HOU)

9. Miami Dolphins: 5-8 (.470 SOS) (SD/IND/NE)

10. New Orleans Saints: 5-8 (.512 SOS) (DET/JAX/ATL)

11. Chicago Bears: 5-8 (.524 SOS - 2-7 in conference) (MIN/TB/DET)

12. St. Louis Rams: 5-8 (.524 SOS - 4-5 in conference) (TB/SEA/SF)

-------------------------------------------------------

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6-7 (.478 SOS)

14. Atlanta Falcons: 6-7 (.488 SOS)

15. New York Giants: 6-7 (.500 SOS)

16. Oakland Raiders: 6-7 (.500 SOS)

17. Philadelphia Eagles: 6-7 (.512 SOS - 3-6 in conference)

18. Houston Texans: 6-7 (.512 SOS - 4-4 in conference)

19. Buffalo Bills: 6-7 (.522 SOS)

[Connorbear]

It sucks to lose but, given playoff chances are out the door, I would much rather have the 10th pick or better than 19.

 

Peace

[madlithuanian]

yup

 

But, let the chips fall where they may... Pace is paid to make it happen whether we draft 1 or 32...

 

It sucks to lose but, given playoff chances are out the door, I would much rather have the 10th pick or better than 19.

 

Peace

 

[adam]

Check this out, if we stayed in place, we may be the first team to consider a QB (unless SF does):

 

1. Tennessee Titans: Mariota (franchise QB)

2. San Diego Chargers: Rivers (Rivers getting older, but he is not the problem)

3. Cleveland Browns: Manziel (hard for me to see Browns going QB again)

-------------------------------------------------------

4. Dallas Cowboys: Romo (Dallas had SB aspirations before injuries, hard for me to see them going QB this early)

5. Baltimore Ravens: Flacco (franchise QB)

6. Detroit Lions: Stafford (has played well of late, I think he stays)

7. San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick/Gabbert (possibly a QB if they don't trust Gabbert and/or move on from Kaepernick)

-------------------------------------------------------

8. Jacksonville Jaguars: Bortles (franchise QB)

9. New Orleans Saints: Brees (getting up there in age, but a lot of holes to fill)

10. Bears: Cutler (do we go after a QB with a favorable slot and possibly have the pick of the litter?)

11. St. Louis Rams: Foles (it doesn't look like Foles was the answer for that offense, might go QB or DL like they always do)

12. Miami Dolphins: Tannehill (franchise QB)

13. New York Giants: Manning (franchise QB)

14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Winston (franchise QB)

15. Atlanta Falcons: Ryan (franchise QB)

16. Oakland Raiders: Carr (franchise QB)

17. Philadelphia Eagles: Bradford/Sanchez (seems like a huge need here)

18. Houston Texans: Hoyer (seems like a huge need here as well even though Hoyer has played well)

19. Buffalo Bills: Taylor (looks like their franchise QB)

[Chitownhustla]

It sucks to lose but, given playoff chances are out the door, I would much rather have the 10th pick or better than 19.

 

Peace

 

It does suck to lose but losing like the Bears lost this year is completely different than last year. They are out of the playoffs, they have lost 4 or 5 games by 3 points. I can deal with it. Last year was embarrassing.

 

 

After last season I had no hope for this team unless everyone was fired. That happened expect Ted Phillips, Im not a greedy man so I was really happy.

 

2015 positives

Cutler has played really well and looks to be a QB that we could win with now

Pace drafted REALLY well!

Pernell was a great pick up, great leader to build around

Alshon when healthy is a top WR, if white is a stud this could be a deadly combo

Langford looks to be a good RB

Goldman will be a stud

Amos should pan out to be a good S for us for a long time

Fuller has shown some improvement

 

2015 Negatives

Inside Linebacker is a huge need

Oline needs some upgrades badly

We didn't get to see White play

Robbie has lost his magic touch - can he get it back

Sp Teams has been a big problem- with more overall talent on the team this should get fixed

 

 

 

I don't think the Bears will ever tank to get a better draft pick. I will say that at this point I want the bears to get the Best draft pick possible. If they happened to lose the rest of the games I do not think it will negatively affect this team. They know they are close, with a couple of additions they could be a playoff contender. Hell with a couple of made FG's and bounces the Bears could be contending for a playoff spot right now.

 

 

 

[DABEARSDABOMB]

Check this out, if we stayed in place, we may be the first team to consider a QB (unless SF does):

 

1. Tennessee Titans: Mariota (franchise QB)

2. San Diego Chargers: Rivers (Rivers getting older, but he is not the problem)

3. Cleveland Browns: Manziel (hard for me to see Browns going QB again)

-------------------------------------------------------

4. Dallas Cowboys: Romo (Dallas had SB aspirations before injuries, hard for me to see them going QB this early)

5. Baltimore Ravens: Flacco (franchise QB)

6. Detroit Lions: Stafford (has played well of late, I think he stays)

7. San Francisco 49ers: Kaepernick/Gabbert (possibly a QB if they don't trust Gabbert and/or move on from Kaepernick)

-------------------------------------------------------

8. Jacksonville Jaguars: Bortles (franchise QB)

9. New Orleans Saints: Brees (getting up there in age, but a lot of holes to fill)

10. Bears: Cutler (do we go after a QB with a favorable slot and possibly have the pick of the litter?)

11. St. Louis Rams: Foles (it doesn't look like Foles was the answer for that offense, might go QB or DL like they always do)

12. Miami Dolphins: Tannehill (franchise QB)

13. New York Giants: Manning (franchise QB)

14. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Winston (franchise QB)

15. Atlanta Falcons: Ryan (franchise QB)

16. Oakland Raiders: Carr (franchise QB)

17. Philadelphia Eagles: Bradford/Sanchez (seems like a huge need here)

18. Houston Texans: Hoyer (seems like a huge need here as well even though Hoyer has played well)

19. Buffalo Bills: Taylor (looks like their franchise QB)

Unless Manziel plays well, fairly certain Browns are looking QB. Similarly, unless Gabbert is a stud, Niners are looking for a QB. No way around that. Kap has played his last game (Barring an injury to Blane) and I would be surprised if Gabbert is the direction they go. That said, their isn't a QB really worth picking top 10 anyway.