adam Posted November 10, 2015 Report Share Posted November 10, 2015 Here is what we have left, if we show any additional improvement, and get some guys back off injury, we actually have a shot at the playoffs, but the next 3 games will be critical. @ STL (4-4) - winnable game, STL defense is tough, and Gurley has emerged, however, we are better against the run than the pass, so this plays into our defensive strengths, and if Forte and Royal are back, we have great shot with our offense. vs DEN (7-1) - Denver's defense has masked just how bad the offense and Manning have been. A mid-November game in Chicago and Fox knowing a lot about the players gives us a shot. If Indy can beat them, we can beat them. I expect a close game, and would not be surprised if we win. @ GB (6-2) - We played them tough in Week 1 and they look vulnerable as hell right now. They will be coming off a Sunday afternoon game in Minnesota and we will be coming off an early game against Denver at home. Rodgers seems to have our number and they will be honoring Favre. This has GB blowout written all over it, and the media will aid in that view. However, I think it will be close and another winnable game. If we were somehow (a huge reach obviously) to win these first 3, I would have no reservations to believe we couldn't win out at this point. vs SF (3-6) - I can't believe this team has 3 wins, they are a hot mess with no running game and Gabbert at QB. This is a game we are supposed to win (at home) with an extra few days prep after Thursday game. vs WAS (3-5) - Another team with 3 wins that should probably have 1 or 2. They have been aided by an easy schedule, and this is another game we should win at home. @ MIN (6-2) - We should've beat them a few weeks ago and they look like one of the weakest 6 win teams in the league. They could be 6-7 by the time we play them again with game in OAK, vs GB, @ATL, vs SEA, and @ARZ. @ TB (3-5) - Lovie bowl, another team benefiting from a ridiculously easy schedule. Another game we should win. This is the farthest place we travel since SD. vs DET (1-7) - Last game of the season, and if Minnesota does falter down the stretch against a tough schedule, and Atlanta comes back down to earth, this game could be for a Wild Card berth against a team playing for the #1 pick. So if you consider that we are only playing for a Wild Card slot, we need to pass the lesser of GB/MIN at 6-2 (which I believe is MIN), ATL at 6-3, PHI/STL/SEA at 4-4 and NO at 4-5. I think MIN fades with that tough schedule and they end up 8-8, and 9-7 at best. GB probably wins the division with 11 wins, so it will come down to the other teams. Atlanta is an extremely weak 6-3, have lost 3 of 4 (only win was 10-7 against TEN), and they still haven't played Carolina. I see them going no better than 3-4 to finish 9-7 at best. Philly, STL, and NO all seem destined for 8-8, and Seattle's season seems like it will be determined this week against ARZ, but they can make a run with a super easy schedule down the stretch. I could see them winning 9-10 games. That means if we go 6-2 we will need a lot of help and tie breakers to get in at 9-7 (probably won't with current 0-5 conference record), or 7-1 and go 10-6 as the 2nd Wild Card. To me that seems like the only realistic way to make it in. Obviously a win in STL will go a long way towards this goal. A loss and we are done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitownhustla Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 Here is what we have left, if we show any additional improvement, and get some guys back off injury, we actually have a shot at the playoffs, but the next 3 games will be critical. @ STL (4-4) - winnable game, STL defense is tough, and Gurley has emerged, however, we are better against the run than the pass, so this plays into our defensive strengths, and if Forte and Royal are back, we have great shot with our offense. vs DEN (7-1) - Denver's defense has masked just how bad the offense and Manning have been. A mid-November game in Chicago and Fox knowing a lot about the players gives us a shot. If Indy can beat them, we can beat them. I expect a close game, and would not be surprised if we win. @ GB (6-2) - We played them tough in Week 1 and they look vulnerable as hell right now. They will be coming off a Sunday afternoon game in Minnesota and we will be coming off an early game against Denver at home. Rodgers seems to have our number and they will be honoring Favre. This has GB blowout written all over it, and the media will aid in that view. However, I think it will be close and another winnable game. If we were somehow (a huge reach obviously) to win these first 3, I would have no reservations to believe we couldn't win out at this point. vs SF (3-6) - I can't believe this team has 3 wins, they are a hot mess with no running game and Gabbert at QB. This is a game we are supposed to win (at home) with an extra few days prep after Thursday game. vs WAS (3-5) - Another team with 3 wins that should probably have 1 or 2. They have been aided by an easy schedule, and this is another game we should win at home. @ MIN (6-2) - We should've beat them a few weeks ago and they look like one of the weakest 6 win teams in the league. They could be 6-7 by the time we play them again with game in OAK, vs GB, @ATL, vs SEA, and @ARZ. @ TB (3-5) - Lovie bowl, another team benefiting from a ridiculously easy schedule. Another game we should win. This is the farthest place we travel since SD. vs DET (1-7) - Last game of the season, and if Minnesota does falter down the stretch against a tough schedule, and Atlanta comes back down to earth, this game could be for a Wild Card berth against a team playing for the #1 pick. So if you consider that we are only playing for a Wild Card slot, we need to pass the lesser of GB/MIN at 6-2 (which I believe is MIN), ATL at 6-3, PHI/STL/SEA at 4-4 and NO at 4-5. I think MIN fades with that tough schedule and they end up 8-8, and 9-7 at best. GB probably wins the division with 11 wins, so it will come down to the other teams. Atlanta is an extremely weak 6-3, have lost 3 of 4 (only win was 10-7 against TEN), and they still haven't played Carolina. I see them going no better than 3-4 to finish 9-7 at best. Philly, STL, and NO all seem destined for 8-8, and Seattle's season seems like it will be determined this week against ARZ, but they can make a run with a super easy schedule down the stretch. I could see them winning 9-10 games. That means if we go 6-2 we will need a lot of help and tie breakers to get in at 9-7 (probably won't with current 0-5 conference record), or 7-1 and go 10-6 as the 2nd Wild Card. To me that seems like the only realistic way to make it in. Obviously a win in STL will go a long way towards this goal. A loss and we are done. St Louis - will be a great test for our Offense. It will be interesting to see Long go up against his brother now that he plays RT. Winnable game for sure. Denver - Denver has a great Defense and never count Peyton out. Having Fox and Gase on staff should help a little but I dont see the Bears winning this one. GB - this one is a toss up, GB has looked out of whack the past two weeks but Rodgers always seems to play out of his mind against the Bears. dont see us winning this one. If the Bears win this game it will make my year. I would love nothing more to see Cutler and CO go up there and Beat GB. I have a deep seeded hatred for the Pack. 49er- could win this one Was - could win this one Min - could win this one TB - could win this one Det- could win this one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChileBear Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 St Louis - will be a great test for our Offense. It will be interesting to see Long go up against his brother now that he plays RT. Winnable game for sure. Denver - Denver has a great Defense and never count Peyton out. Having Fox and Gase on staff should help a little but I dont see the Bears winning this one. GB - this one is a toss up, GB has looked out of whack the past two weeks but Rodgers always seems to play out of his mind against the Bears. dont see us winning this one. If the Bears win this game it will make my year. I would love nothing more to see Cutler and CO go up there and Beat GB. I have a deep seeded hatred for the Pack. 49er- could win this one Was - could win this one Min - could win this one TB - could win this one Det- could win this one If you guys think we have a shot at playoffs, I think you need more scotch! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted November 11, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 If you guys think we have a shot at playoffs, I think you need more scotch! We have as much of a chance as any of the other 3-5 team (very slim). With a win against STL, we would be 4-5 with 5 winnable games remaining. A loss and we are out. If you take a step back and look at each game, we really haven't played that bad. We had a halftime lead against GB, were only down by 8 after giving up a KO return TD and Pick-6 against ARZ at half, were only down 6-0 in Seattle with Jimmy the Pickle at QB with a missed muffed punt that should've been our ball in FG range before half. We had the Tate TD/INT go against us vs Detroit and had a 7 point lead against MIN with 5 mins left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madlithuanian Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 I'm simply refusing to look past the week. We have STL in our sights. It's an away game. It's one we should lose according to Vegas oddsmakers. But, STL isn't that great. They lost to a team in Minny that we should have easily taken down. I think we have a shot at this game. We need to keep Gurley in check. He'll get his, but we can't let him go off. Then, we need to keep Welker in check. The slot guys always give us problems. We just play our game and keep it close. STL's D is good. We have our work cut out for us. But, this is a winnable game. Go Bears! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitownhustla Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 If you guys think we have a shot at playoffs, I think you need more scotch! Im not saying we are making the playoffs Im just saying with the way the Bears are playing they are winnable games, will we win?????not sure. Last year after everything went to shit I wouldn't have said they had many winnable games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitownhustla Posted November 11, 2015 Report Share Posted November 11, 2015 St Louis - will be a great test for our Offense. It will be interesting to see Long go up against his brother now that he plays RT. Winnable game for sure. Denver - Denver has a great Defense and never count Peyton out. Having Fox and Gase on staff should help a little but I dont see the Bears winning this one. GB - this one is a toss up, GB has looked out of whack the past two weeks but Rodgers always seems to play out of his mind against the Bears. dont see us winning this one. If the Bears win this game it will make my year. I would love nothing more to see Cutler and CO go up there and Beat GB. I have a deep seeded hatred for the Pack. 49er- could win this one Was - could win this one Min - could win this one TB - could win this one Det- could win this one Just read that St Louis had the 2nd most sacks in the NFL, behind Denver. So the next two weeks our Oline will really be tested. This could cause a lot of problems for Cutler. Also just saw that Chris Long will be out for this game so we wont see the Long brothers battle it out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted November 12, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 12, 2015 Just read that St Louis had the 2nd most sacks in the NFL, behind Denver. So the next two weeks our Oline will really be tested. This could cause a lot of problems for Cutler. Also just saw that Chris Long will be out for this game so we wont see the Long brothers battle it out. The only good thing is that both teams only had 1 sack in their last games, so there is a formula for success out there (both losses). Another interesting note for both teams, STL was 3-5 at home last year and are currently 3-1 (so they may be due for a bit of a correction). Denver was 4-4 on the road last year and are currently 4-1. Again, going off norms, they both seem to be trending higher than normal. Hopefully we hit them both at the right time. Temperature is projected to be mid-40's with some wind on the 22nd, and Manning is obviously not as good in the cold or wind (especially with his ducksnort passes). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted November 18, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 18, 2015 7 games remaining, 4 at home, 3 away. vs DEN (7-2) - Getting Denver at the right time? Seems winnable to me @ GB (6-3) - short week hurts the most on this game, but still winnable as we are better since Week 1 and they are playing worse vs SF (3-6) - should be a winnable game at home against a bad team vs WAS (4-5) - Redskins have looked better but they don't play very good on the road @ MIN (7-2) - We match up pretty good against them and should've won at home, winnable game @ TB (4-5) - Lovie Bowl, they are sort of like the Redskins, and another winnable game vs DET (2-7) - At home, and potentially playing for a playoff spot and they will have nothing to play for According to some advanced stats, none of the remaining teams we face are in the top 10 of the league: http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/stats/2015/11/Overall/ GB 11th DEN 13th MIN 14th WAS 18th TB 19th SF 30th DET 32nd We are currently 21st, but considering our recent play we have been trending from 30th over the past few weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitownhustla Posted November 18, 2015 Report Share Posted November 18, 2015 7 games remaining, 4 at home, 3 away. vs DEN (7-2) - Getting Denver at the right time? Seems winnable to me @ GB (6-3) - short week hurts the most on this game, but still winnable as we are better since Week 1 and they are playing worse vs SF (3-6) - should be a winnable game at home against a bad team vs WAS (4-5) - Redskins have looked better but they don't play very good on the road @ MIN (7-2) - We match up pretty good against them and should've won at home, winnable game @ TB (4-5) - Lovie Bowl, they are sort of like the Redskins, and another winnable game vs DET (2-7) - At home, and potentially playing for a playoff spot and they will have nothing to play for According to some advanced stats, none of the remaining teams we face are in the top 10 of the league: http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/stats/2015/11/Overall/ GB 11th DEN 13th MIN 14th WAS 18th TB 19th SF 30th DET 32nd We are currently 21st, but considering our recent play we have been trending from 30th over the past few weeks. Our remaining schedule does look a lot better then our first half of games. funny I would have predicted wins over DET and Min and losses to KC and SD before the season started. The only reason I would say DEN and GB are winnable is because they both have played so poorly the last few weeks. One thing I know is Rodgers always seems to play his ass off against the Bears. If history tells us anything Cutler usually plays like crap and Rodgers plays lights out. Maybe this is the year Cutler and the Bears finally go out and beat GB. It would literally make my NFL season. Making the playoffs would take a 2010 performance like the Packers, which I don't see happening. Cutler can really silence a lot of people with two good performances against DEN and GB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DABEARSDABOMB Posted November 18, 2015 Report Share Posted November 18, 2015 Remaining schedule is solid, but we aren't a great team. I find it extremely unlikely that we get their, but I do think 6 to 8 wins is a realistic possibility with positive momentum heading into next year, which is a major plus. I think we are favored in a lot of the games (after the Denver / GB games) but @ Minny is a really tough game (yes we should have beat them in our house but they keep getting better) and Washington, Tampa are both playing better football. Would be surprised if we didn't lose at least 3 games down the stretch and wouldn't be surprised if it was 4. I think everyone is fired up over this week's game, but Denvers D is potent and its offense is much better than the Rams offense (even without Peyton). Still...its fun to even be able to discuss this after the dumpster fire that was last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AZ54 Posted November 19, 2015 Report Share Posted November 19, 2015 The only way I see the playoffs happening for this team is if we win the next two games. Don't win both, don't worry about it. I'm sure there are other mathematical possibilities but IF this team truly is what we think they are becoming they should beat the Broncos at home against their backup QB. After that it's payback time on T-day. I think health is the biggest factor so we need to get Grasu back at C which returns Slauson to LG and Ducasse to bench, have Jeffrey at full speed so we have a deep threat, and have Royal on the field which conveniently takes Mariani off the field. I'm not going to sweat it because of the progress I've seen this season with all the new players. We're still going to have some ups and downs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted November 27, 2015 Author Report Share Posted November 27, 2015 We went 2-1 against STL, DEN, and GB (with both wins coming on the road). We now have 5 games left, and all are winnable: vs SF (3-7) - At home with a couple of extra days of rest, this has to be a win vs WAS (4-6) - Another home game, Washington 0-5 on the road, this should be a win @ MIN (7-3) - Probably our toughest game remaining, with a win here, we really set ourselves up for a potential late season push for the playoffs @ TB (5-5) - this team is playing better, and this is a much tougher game than it once was vs DET (4-7) - if we somehow strung together 5 wins coming into this game, a Wild Card berth would more than likely be on the line Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bears4Ever_34 Posted November 27, 2015 Report Share Posted November 27, 2015 Unfortunately, the Lions will be playing to win that last game as Jim Caldwell needs just about every win he can manage to save his job. The Bears playoff chances are still very slim. They really have to win out to have a realistic shot because of all the tiebreakers they lose out on. One of Minnesota or GB should be locks for a wildcard spot. Atlanta still only has 4 losses, though I feel like they could lose to anybody these days. They could conceivably end up with 7 losses. Seattle is about as average as their record indicates, and they still have to play AZ again. There should be no way the Bears lose any of these next two games. If they do, it would be a colossal disappointment. The real test comes against Minnesota and Tampa Bay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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