adam Posted August 6, 2019 Report Share Posted August 6, 2019 See article below. I got spammed for comparing Anthony Miller to a young Antonio Brown, but it's surprising more people have not seen the similarities. In a way, Miller is already ahead of Brown. Brown took 3 years to get to 7 TDs, Miller did it in his rookie year with a bum shoulder. Brown was not WR1 until his 4th season, so Miller still has time to get there. Robinson, Miller, and Wims are all 25 and under. That would be a great trio to ride on for the next decade. Compare Brown/Miller in their last two years of college football: Miller 191-2896 yds, 15.2 YPC, 32 TDs Brown 203-2196 yds, 10.8 AVG, 16 TDs Basically the same receptions with Miller having 700 more yards, over 4 more yards per catch and double the TDs. Fast forward to their rookie seasons and Brown barely sniffed the field (16 receptions for 167 yds). https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/players-who-could-be-primed-for-a-big-leap-in-year-2/ 3 Quote Anthony Miller, WR, Chicago Bears Anthony Miller showed flashes in his rookie season, but it was hard to find consistent production in the Chicago Bears’ passing game last year. Miller only had four starts, but played in 15 games and had seven touchdowns on 33 receptions. That rate isn’t likely to continue, but Miller should be able to be productive even with touchdown regression baked in. Last year Miller was one of the best receivers at gaining separation, per Next Gen Stats. While we might instinctively think about separation as beating a defender down the field, that isn’t always the case. Actually, over the past three seasons, separation has a negative correlation (-0.51) with average depth of target, meaning separation comes more often on shorter throws. There was a group of receivers last season who came in above the three-year average in separation and depth of target with at least 25 targets, per Next Gen Stats. Those receivers were: Desean Jackson Robby Anderson Tyreek Hill Will Fuller Brandin Cooks Paul Richardson Tyler Lockett Anthony Miller Phillip Dorsett Robert Woods Taylor Gabriel Odell Beckham Davante Adams Tajae Sharpe That’s a fairly impressive group of wide receivers and features more names believed to be among the top tier of the position than ones who make you wonder what they’re doing on the list. Over the three-year sample, separation is pretty correlated from year-to-year for receivers (0.60) and depth of target is one of the stickiest year-to-year stats we have (0.81). With a bump in playing time, a second year for Matt Nagy orchestrating the Chicago offense, and maybe some more consistency at quarterback, Miller should continue to be one of the more impressive young wide receivers in the league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AZ54 Posted August 7, 2019 Report Share Posted August 7, 2019 Add in the reports that Miller has really matured this season and is more focused on getting the details right and he'll be a tough matchup for any DB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted August 7, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 7, 2019 11 hours ago, AZ54 said: Add in the reports that Miller has really matured this season and is more focused on getting the details right and he'll be a tough matchup for any DB. Yeah, and from the last reports, he if finally building a rapport with Trubisky as they seem to be getting more and more on the same sheet of music. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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