Sunday Early Games (08 DEC)

[adam]

Not much help from the listless Lions against the Vikings, and Washington is at least keeping it close into the 4th quarter down 17-9 against Green Bay. It doesn't look like we will make any ground against either of those teams. Hopefully, Seattle can beat the LA Sunday night. 

Rodgers numbers through 3 1/2 quarters? 13-23, 56.5%, 148 yards, 6.4 Y/A, 1 TD, 1 fumble lost and 4 sacks. 

Watson? 19-33, 57.6%, 216 yds, 6.5 Y/A, 1 TD, 2 sacks, and 1 nice rushing TD. 

MVP Jackson? 14-22, 63.6%, 134 yds, 6.1 Y/A, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack. 

How about Josh Allen, someone the media has had more confidence in than Trubisky even though they have similar numbers:  11-27, 40.7%, 89 yds, 3.3 Y/A, 5 sacks, 1 fumble lost. Just think if Trubisky had a game like this?

[adam]

Well damn, Seattle shit the bed at the wrong time. The Rams actually looked really good and dominated the Seahawks. They really muddied the waters with that win and move to 8-5. They play at Dallas and at SF next. We really need them to drop BOTH of those games. Otherwise, they are going to win 10 games and beat us in the head to head tiebreaker. There is some weird 3-team tiebreaker that uses conference record as the second tiebreaker if three teams tie, but we would need MIN to finish with 10 wins as well. If that happens, things get complicated.

A 10-6 Rams team would end up with an 8-4 conference record. If Bears win 10, you guessed it, an 8-4 conference record. If MIN loses to GB and CHI, they would end up with 10 wins and a 7-5 conference record. The next tiebreaker is common games (minimum 4), if you count the head to head, we only played LAR, DAL, and NO commonly, so it goes to strength of victory. If you projected the remaining games for both teams and counted the records of the teams we beat, the Bears would have a 4 game lead on the Rams right now. However, that can easily change based on the teams we each beat. We need teams like CAR, NO, CLE, ATL, CIN, ARZ, and SEA all to lose, while we want teams like DEN, WAS, DET, NYG, GB, and KC to win when they don't play us.

Besides us winning out, the best scenario is for MIN and LAR to go 9-7 (MIN losing to GB and CHI and LAR losing to DAL and SF). The Chargers looked really good, and there could be an upset brewing there. That would be incredible if the Chargers could pull out a win against the Vikings and while we beat the Pack and the Rams lose to the Cowboys. That would be an epic weekend and would set us up for a crazy last two weeks of the season. 

 

[BearFan PHX]

neat info about the three way tie. very weird, and totally inside. thank you!

[BearFan2000]

very interesting read, our chances certainly are slim which we likely will be kicking ourselves for the couple games we gave away earlier in the year.  All we can do is keep working to win the game ahead of us till we're officially eliminated.  It sucks to know that 1 more win and we'd be in a far better position.  I just hope that the momentum we've been building the last few weeks can carry over into next year. 

I'd love to see us make the playoffs and feel we could be a dangerous team if we do. 

[adam]

 

 

 

 

1 hour ago, BearFan2000 said:

very interesting read, our chances certainly are slim which we likely will be kicking ourselves for the couple games we gave away earlier in the year.  All we can do is keep working to win the game ahead of us till we're officially eliminated.  It sucks to know that 1 more win and we'd be in a far better position.  I just hope that the momentum we've been building the last few weeks can carry over into next year. 

I'd love to see us make the playoffs and feel we could be a dangerous team if we do. 

Kicking ourselves, I see what you did there.