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Playoff Odds


adam

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So thru a quarter of the season, the Bears are 3-1 and have a 52% chance to make the playoffs. The NFC East will only send one team, so the competition is going to come from the West and South. After TB, NO has a 72.6% to make the playoffs, which would put them in the #2 Wild Card slot. In the West, after Seattle, LAR has a 72.8% chance to make the playoffs for the #1 Wild Card slot.

So the Bears are the WC3 slot (7th) ahead of SF at 40% and ARZ at 33%, both teams are 2-2. 

What is interesting is we faced the #1 DVOA team last week against IND (they are now 4th), and will face TB who is now #1 this week. So we are definitely hitting a gauntlet right now.  Our defense is still in the top 10 (7th) but our offense is 27th and Special Teams is 30th. 

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8 minutes ago, Alaskan Grizzly said:

Trying to remember, is this the year they play an extra game?  And more teams allowed into the playoffs?  

They added a 7th team per conference (3rd WC Team) and only the #1 seed gets a first round bye, the remaining 6 play (DIV2 vs WC3, DIV3 vs WC2, DIV4 vs WC1) in the first round. Then the 3 winners and the #1 seed play the two games in the Divisional Round. So ultimately they added one additional WC Game.

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