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UDFA Tracker


adam

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I am tracking these 10 so far:

Mississippi State G Dareuan Parker

Northwestern OT Gunnar Vogel

Coastal Carolina RB C.J. Marable

Clemson OL Gage Cervenka

Stanford TE Scooter Harrington

Houston Baptist LB Caleb Johnson

Stony Brook DT Sam Kamara

Stanford DL Thomas Schaffer

Virginia EDGE Charles Snowden (had a 4th round grade) 

Temple DL Daniel Archibong

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Check this out.

Here is a breakdown of rostered players from 2020 from Profootballreference:

9 - 1st Round - 14% (Trubisky, Fuller, Smith, Mingo, Ginn, Patterson, Mack, Ifedi, Quinn)
8 - 2nd Round - 13%
5 - 3rd Round - 8%
8 - 4th Round - 13%
6 - 5th Round - 9%
9 - 6th Round - 14%
3 - 7th Round - 5%
16 - UDFA or undrafted players - 25%
64 Rostered Players

So 25% of the roster was UDFA or undrafted players.

As for starters (11/11/3):

6 - 1st Round - 25%
6 - 2nd Round - 25%

3 - 3rd Round - 12.5%
3 - 4th Round - 12.5%
1 - 5th Round - 4%
2 - 6th Round - 8%
1 - 7th Round - 4%
3 - UDFA - 12.5%
24 - Starters

50% of the starters are from rounds 1-2, which makes sense. So with this draft, Fields and Jenkins should be added to that list. For the later rounds, the 6th round looks like a sweet spot. That had higher percentage of players and starters than the 5th or 7th rounds. Pace got 3 players in that round, so the odds are 2 will make the team at a minimum. 

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It seems to vary by year too.

Some years it is as high as 30%

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1641528-where-does-nfl-talent-come-from

I guess the point is that even 1st rounders are a gamble, but half the players in the league come from rounds 1 and 2 and the rest are lower, with over half of those undrafted.

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On 5/1/2021 at 6:26 PM, adam said:

Virginia EDGE Charles Snowden (had a 4th round grade) 

Saw a photo of him and thought he was a WR.  Then watched some highlights.  He’s another Leonard Floyd but faster.  As much as Floyd didn’t perform as a 1st round should have, his speed was what helped Mack succeed.  I see Snowden potentially being that guy too. 

 

 

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  • 2 weeks later...
On 5/1/2021 at 6:26 PM, adam said:

Clemson OL Gage Cervenka

Stanford TE Scooter Harrington

Saw a write up on Cervenka that says Clemson was “29-1 in his two seasons as a starter”.  He’s an IOL but maybe has a chance to make it(?)

And who can’t love a TE named “Scooter”? 
 

https://www.chicagobears.com/news/roster-moves-bears-ink-undrafted-free-agents-2021-rookie-minicamp

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