Draft Slot Tracker (thru Week 15)

[adam]

Here are the top 10 IDLs based on snap count (all under 30) and UFAs in 2023. Snap count is high to low, with all over 50% of the defensive snaps:

1. Da'Ron Payne    IDL    Commanders
2. Zach Allen    IDL    Cardinals
3. Dre'Mont Jones    IDL    Broncos
4. Greg Gaines    IDL    Rams
5. Isaiah Buggs    IDL    Lions
6. Matt Ioannidis    IDL    Panthers
7. Taven Bryan    IDL    Browns
8. Poona Ford    IDL    Seahawks
9. Shy Tuttle    IDL    Saints
10. Sheldon Rankins    IDL    Jets

[adam]

1. Jamel Dean    CB    Buccaneers
2. Byron Murphy    CB    Cardinals
3. Chandon Sullivan    CB    Vikings
4. Rock Ya-Sin    CB    Raiders
5. Eli Apple    CB    Bengals
6. Fabian Moreau    CB    Giants
7. Emmanuel Moseley    CB    49ers
8. Amani Oruwariye    CB    Lions
9. Rashad Fenton    CB    Falcons
10. Nik Needham    CB    Dolphins

Top 10 CBs based on snap count, all under 30 and UFAs in 2023.

[adam]

Top 10 LBs based on snap count, UFAs, all under 30 with 80% of the defensive snaps:

1. Nicholas Morrow    LB    Bears
2. Rashaan Evans    LB    Falcons
3. David Long Jr.    LB    Titans
4. Roquan Smith    LB    Ravens
5. Alex Anzalone    LB    Lions
6. Quincy Williams    LB    Jets
7. Drue Tranquill    LB    Chargers
8. Leighton Vander Esch    LB    Cowboys
9. Bobby Okereke    LB    Colts
10. Tremaine Edmunds    LB    Bills

[adam]

Top 10 OTs based on snap count, under 30, UFAs with 60% of offensive snaps:

1. Kaleb McGary    RT    Falcons
2. Jawaan Taylor    RT    Jaguars
3. Orlando Brown    LT    Chiefs
4. Andrew Wylie    RT    Chiefs
5. Trey Pipkins    LT    Chargers
6. Mike McGlinchey    RT    49ers
7. Matt Pryor    LT    Colts
8. Elgton Jenkins    RT    Packers
9. Isaiah Wynn    LT    Patriots
10. Greg Little    LT    Dolphins

[AZ54]

56 minutes ago, adam said:

Top 10 LBs based on snap count, UFAs, all under 30 with 80% of the defensive snaps:

1. Nicholas Morrow    LB    Bears
2. Rashaan Evans    LB    Falcons
3. David Long Jr.    LB    Titans
4. Roquan Smith    LB    Ravens
5. Alex Anzalone    LB    Lions
6. Quincy Williams    LB    Jets
7. Drue Tranquill    LB    Chargers
8. Leighton Vander Esch    LB    Cowboys
9. Bobby Okereke    LB    Colts
10. Tremaine Edmunds    LB    Bills

Vander Esch will be interesting to see given his history with Eberflus.  Do we want him or not?  

[scs787]

I don't necessarily think they should limit themselves to players under 30 next year. I think there should be some realistic expectations to compete, so adding some good veterans wouldn't be the worst idea. 

[Mongo3451]

Da'ron Payne, Nichols Morrow, Tremaine Edmonds would be an awesome start.  Payne is a good pass rusher from the DT position.  Edmonds is an Urlacher type of athlete that would play well in the middle.  This draft is big on edge guys, so I see us filling that there.  Priority for defense is still finding our 3 tech.  That may make it harder to trade our first rounder for more picks.

[Stinger226]

If we go by Poles first yr of being GM, he will target a few big signings and then resign who he sees as core players.

In the draft he will go with BPA early and trade back later for more picks. He said he will build by the draft and dont see him changing in only his second yr. 

My choices (barring tags)

Orlando Brown LT  with a young OL, I think he will solidify the line with vets instead of more draft picks

Ethan Pocic OC     same as above

Bobby Okereke WLB ties to Flus coming from a failing team

He resigns Monty (team friendly deal)

                    Morrow-  proved value

                     Armon Watts - good rotational player

                     Tevor Wesco  - cheap contributor

                      N'Keal Harry - will show value going forward

He extends Claypool and Mooney

 This is from a PFN draft simulator

• 
  9.
  Bryan Bresee

  DT Clemson
   
• 
  57.
  Tyree Wilson

  EDGE Texas Tech
   
• 
  70.
  Rashee Rice

  WR SMU
   
• 
  105.
  Luke Musgrave

  TE Oregon State
   
• 
  131.
  Mazi Smith

  DT Michigan
   
• 
  141.
  Riley Moss

  CB Iowa
   
• 
  156.
  Jammie Robinson /FS/ Florida ST

 

[adam]

Top 10 WRs, based on snap count, under 30, UFAs:

1. Parris Campbell    WR Colts

2. JuJu Smith-Schuster WR Chiefs

3. Noah Brown WR Cowboys

4. Equanimeous St. Brown WR Bears

5. Allen Lazard WR Packers

6. Jakobi Meyers WR Patriots

7. Olamide Zaccheaus WR Falcons

8. Trent Sherfield    WR Dolphins

9. Mecole Hardman    WR Chiefs

10. Demarcus Robinson WR Ravens

 

Poles and Getsy connections. Do the Bears go with another former Packer, or reunite JuJu and Chase?

[adam]

Interior Linemen Top 10, all under 30, UFAs, with over 75% snap count:

 

1. Ben Powers    LG    Ravens

2. Ethan Pocic    C    Browns

3. Dalton Risner    LG    Broncos

4. Garrett Bradbury    C    Vikings

5. Will Hernandez    RG    Cardinals

6. Dennis Daley    RG    Titans

7. Scott Quessenberry    C    Texans

8. Evan Brown    C    Lions

9. Elijah Wilkinson    LG    Falcons

10. Alex Bars    LG    Raiders
 

A couple of former Bears making the list. I am shocked that Bars has been able to play that much. I would target Pocic for sure. 

[adam]

This would be a nice haul, lol:

Da'Ron Payne, DT (solid DT)
Jamel Dean, CB (2 INTs, 5 PD)
Orlando Brown, LT (good, consistent LT)
Ethan Pocic, C (highly rated Center)
Bobby Okereke, LB (8th in tackles, Flus connection)
JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR (13th in yards, T-11th in reception for WRs)

Getting even 2-3 of these guys would be huge. Fields emergence will attract some FAs. 

[adam]

After losing to the Lions, Bears now 3-7 and drafting 6th, but are tied with 3 other teams at 3-7. So right now only LVR at 2-6 and HOU at 1-7-1 have a worse record. That loss is the difference between drafting 6th and 13th. 

[AZ54]

Just now, adam said:

After losing to the Lions, Bears now 3-7 and drafting 6th, but are tied with 3 other teams at 3-7. So right now only LVR at 2-6 and HOU at 1-7-1 have a worse record. That loss is the difference between drafting 6th and 13th. 

That is the recipe for the future, score 30pts, give up 31pts.  

[BearFan PHX]

27 minutes ago, AZ54 said:

That is the recipe for the future, score 30pts, give up 31pts.  

totally!

[adam]

Right now the draft order is HOU, LVR, CAR, NO, JAX, CHI. With SEA (from DEN), DET (from LAR), HOU (from CLE), PIT, and DET all with one less loss. It is pretty crazy to think the Bears have as many wins as DEN, LAR, CLE, and PIT right now. Hopefully those teams start winning. 

I am surprised by how bad LVR, NO, and JAX are this year. 

HOU, CAR, and NO are taking QBs for sure. LVR is up in the air. So the Bears could possibly get the 3rd best non-QB off the board.

After the Bears pick, DEN, LAR, CLE, and PIT are not taking a QB. So that leaves DET, ATL, WAS, and IND as the next team's looking for a QB. So there may be potential to trade back a few spots and recoup another pick without the risk of losing a top player. 

Next week feels like a win against ATL (so they don't lose 4 in a row). Then losses to NYJ and GB would have them 4-9 into the bye. After the bye its PHI, BUF, DET, and MIN. 3 easy losses and a possible win against DET. That is 5-12 max, potentially 4-13 which would be a top 4 pick.

[killakrzydav]

Works for me!

[ASHKUM BEAR]

On 11/12/2022 at 7:04 AM, adam said:

This would be a nice haul, lol:

Da'Ron Payne, DT (solid DT)
Jamel Dean, CB (2 INTs, 5 PD)
Orlando Brown, LT (good, consistent LT)
Ethan Pocic, C (highly rated Center)
Bobby Okereke, LB (8th in tackles, Flus connection)
JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR (13th in yards, T-11th in reception for WRs)

Getting even 2-3 of these guys would be huge. Fields emergence will attract some FAs. 

I think next year if they sign 5 or 6 starter quality players and draft another 8, there will be alot of players we like let go.  

[ASHKUM BEAR]

Mock Draft Nov 15.

6: R1 P6 DL Jalen Carter - Georgia

57: R2 P26 EDGE Zach Harrison - Ohio State

69: R3 P6 C Luke Wypler - Ohio State

108: R4 P6 RB Devon Achane - Texas A&M

134: R4 P32 WR Xavier Hutchinson - Iowa State

141: R5 P6 EDGE Mike Morris - Michigan

161: R5 P26 CB Julius Brents - Kansas State

221: R7 P6 OT Zion Nelson - Miami

[BearFan PHX]

10 minutes ago, ASHKUM BEAR said:

I think next year if they sign 5 or 6 starter quality players and draft another 8, there will be alot of players we like let go.  

yup. if we start handling our roster like the Patriots do/did then we will be releasing crowd favorites every year. But then again we'll be winning a lot too

[AZ54]

I'd be happy if the draft fell this way up to our pick at 6 overall, but there is zero chance I leave Jalen Carter on the board and take an OT. 

https://thedraftnetwork.com/2023-nfl-mock-draft-addison-johnston-hyatt/ 

[Stinger226]

On 11/12/2022 at 7:04 AM, adam said:

This would be a nice haul, lol:

Da'Ron Payne, DT (solid DT)
Jamel Dean, CB (2 INTs, 5 PD)
Orlando Brown, LT (good, consistent LT)
Ethan Pocic, C (highly rated Center)
Bobby Okereke, LB (8th in tackles, Flus connection)
JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR (13th in yards, T-11th in reception for WRs)

Getting even 2-3 of these guys would be huge. Fields emergence will attract some FAs. 

 I like all those names . I think he will spend the money on both a DL and OL. The rest will be middling contracts.

[Stinger226]

14 minutes ago, AZ54 said:

I'd be happy if the draft fell this way up to our pick at 6 overall, but there is zero chance I leave Jalen Carter on the board and take an OT. 

https://thedraftnetwork.com/2023-nfl-mock-draft-addison-johnston-hyatt/ 

I think they like B Jones and let that play out, they absolutely will take Jaylon Carter. Imagine him and another edge rusher. Imagine a 8-10 sack DT .

[Mongo3451]

19 minutes ago, AZ54 said:

I'd be happy if the draft fell this way up to our pick at 6 overall, but there is zero chance I leave Jalen Carter on the board and take an OT. 

https://thedraftnetwork.com/2023-nfl-mock-draft-addison-johnston-hyatt/ 

If we land here and Levis is still there, the Colts, Falcons, Commanders and Bucs are serious trade partners to screw the Lions.  Moving up to 6 would expensive and I like it.

[AZ54]

1 hour ago, Mongo3451 said:

If we land here and Levis is still there, the Colts, Falcons, Commanders and Bucs are serious trade partners to screw the Lions.  Moving up to 6 would expensive and I like it.

I can definitely see that as a possibility but there are rare elite blue chip players that I think every team needs to have to win a Superbowl.  The Aaron Donald types.  We'll see how draft grades and early entrants line up but he'd be hard to pass up even in a 2 for 1 deal.  I'd literally bend Detroit over backwards and make them pay the Trubisky price and then still get Carter and a lot more.   Levis is a good prospect but he's not Justin Fields.    

[Stinger226]

I hope we dont trade back if Carter, Anderson, or Murphy are there.